#15 North Carolina (12-3)

6,903 Views | 95 Replies | Last: 4 mo ago by RedlessWardrobe
ClayK
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So Sakima Walker played 31 very effective minutes, leaving just nine.

And playing two posts who can't shoot from distance is a recipe for offensive struggles.
Shocky1
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and playing fatigued players like lulu 40 minutes results in careless turnovers (22) while the team's highest percent shooter naya (58.5% on field goals) sits on the bench results in offensive struggles that loses basketball games

and fatigued undersized defenders struggle to rebound & play post interior defense, almost all of the wolfpack's 4th quarter buckets wuz uncontested layouts around the rim

clay, a client of mine is a nba organization & i played golf recently with their former wnba franchise general manager...pitman is in agreement that playing 2 post players in zone is the most effective way to keep posts outta foul trouble & clog the paint against teams that struggle with perimeter shooting

playing sakima & naya both 30+ minutes a game with 10 minutes of them both being on the floor together as the twin towers is the only solution to the bears FAILING playing rotation

right now the bears are heading for a 2025 sub .500 record with 2026 shaping up to be an absolute ****show with multiple key players gone
RedlessWardrobe
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ClayK said:

So Sakima Walker played 31 very effective minutes, leaving just nine.

And playing two posts who can't shoot from distance is a recipe for offensive struggles.

Honestly Clay, I know you have coached, but sticking to this formula that Sakima and Naya CAN'T be on the floor at the same time is really baffling. Watching Naya and her athleticism, isn't it obvious that she can be used in the 4 slot? She is not a slow lumbering player who can be used at the post only.

She has every bit as much athleticism as Taylor, (who could be used sometimes as a 3), just without the outside shot. Really, can't Charmin implement an alternative offensive scheme to use when Sakima and Naya are both in the game? And defensively Naya is certainly quick enough to play the 4. It's really puzzling to me.

I don't recall a rule that says a basketball team, (men, women, any level) has to have a 4 with an outside shot to be effective. There have been many successful teams with an inside 4 player over the years.
wvitbear
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Marta had an outside shot last year and it worked perfectly. Naya was 1 for 10 when she played last year. Taylor is a lot better than that. As far as minutes, having Puff not play hurt our minute distribution. Naya yesterday had 0 rebounds. and no FGS.

Watching her against male practice players , she was over whelmed.
Shocky1
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wvit, ur probably gonna get ur wish when "overwhelmed" naya (and her 9 minutes yesterday) enters the transfer portal after this season along with the outta eligibility departures of sakima & mjracle and the bears are back to losing 20+ games next season

my source for playing the twin towers is jim pitman who led the phoenix mercury to multiple wnba championships but ur knowledge is very important too

do u think naya is frustrated playing outta position as a backup 5 when her natural position is at the 4??

curious how u can explain the fact that naya leads the bears in field goal shooting at 58.5%??
RedlessWardrobe
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wvitbear said:

Marta had an outside shot last year and it worked perfectly. Naya was 1 for 10 when she played last year. Taylor is a lot better than that. As far as minutes, having Puff not play hurt our minute distribution. Naya yesterday had 0 rebounds. and no FGS.

Watching her against male practice players , she was over whelmed.

I appreciate your comment, but just because we had a 4 last year that could shoot from the outside doesn't mean we can't deviate from that strategy this year.

Really, your argument is based on one game? Your comparison is based strictly to one isolated year of Cal Women's Basketball? And wow, you're talking about Naya's game yesterday? Was not Naya actually playing the post yesterday? And your statement basically defies your argument, she was playing the post and had o points and 0 rebounds - so then we should conclude that she should never play the post?

With all due respect, some of the statemets and rationale I see posted here completely baffle me. It's almost like the only frame of reference used is from watching Cal WBB exclusively. The game of basketball offers many options and strategies. I never coached, but I played BB through JC and have watched the game for over 60 years. I don't think my take here is unsubstantiated.

wvitbear
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Todays 4's play different than before. more shoot from the outside. In the NBA, we have 7 footers routinely throw up 3's. It is moving that way in college for women too. Did UNC's second big shoot from the outside. How about NC State? I played basketball too but the game has changed. I was a good outide shooter but the three point line wasn't there then.
Shocky1
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winning successful basketball coaches adapt their schemes to the players skillsets on their roster, they don't just stick with their losing formula over and over while losing games

does anybody really think the bears can successfully play man to man defense with the all american uber athletic wolfpack??...a compact zone d with the twin towers makes north carolina state shoot perimeter shots, that's cal's only potential path to competing in this game

ur right wvit, the game has changed, too bad coach smith can't adapt from her rigid playing rotation
RedlessWardrobe
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Okay wvit, to your point, in yesterday's game each team used 7 players for significant minutes.

Carolina's two front liners, 6-4 Toomey and 6-2 Harris, played 25 and 32 minutes respectively. Their aggregate 3 point total was 3 points, 1 made on 1 attempt. Fact is, Nyla Harris the 6-2 forward has attempted 8 three points shots the entire season, and has converted exactly 1. It doesn't appear to be a problem with North Carolina's results this year.

While I agree with you that the three point line is much more used today, it doesn't mean that every coach on every team - every time, needs to play it that way. Every coach has the responsibility to formulate their strategy based on the players they have to work with. It's the old cliche, the style of play needs to fit the players on hand - not the other way around. It's a cliche, but it's still around because it's true.

I like Charmin as a coach for many different reasons, but moving forward this season she has to make some adjustments or the season will not turn out too well.

Shocky1
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redless, worthless bureaucrat/diehard softball & basketball fanatic jennifer simon-o'neil extended smith's contract right before chancellor lyons took office for unfathomable reasons just like she extended the contract of the mentally unstable softball coach before she blew up that program

charmin isn't going anywhere which means wbb is stuck in a mediocre wash spin cycle with virtually no fanbase & no nil donors on the horizon
RedlessWardrobe
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I understand Shocky, but the past is already the past. All I'm saying is that if Charmin's gonna be here she needs to start thinking out of the box. When basically all of your losses follow the same pattern, you need to adjust.
annarborbear
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Let's not try anything different. Losing and getting overrun in the fourth quarter is fun.

I also enjoy the careless turnovers.
Shocky1
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redless, the problem is that charmin has shown no indication that she is LEARNING from the past, she's still playing starters massive minutes which results in predictable 4th quarter meltdowns & then bench players not getting developed which results in their transferring every off season

agreed adjusting is the key to winning basketball games and life too
RedlessWardrobe
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^
end of story.
wvitbear
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Toomey shoots 31.5 % from three point land. don't just go for one game. N C State has a 6'6" women who shoots 33,3 % from three point land.
RedlessWardrobe
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wvitbear said:

Toomey shoots 31.5 % from three point land. don't just go for one game. N C State has a 6'6" women who shoots 33,3 % from three point land.

Sorry wvit, that number is based on a total of 32 attempts over 16 games played(two per game), and 10 (less than one per game) being made. Hardly a game changer.

And again, the fact that another team does it doesn't mean our team has to do it. A team has to play to it's strengths.
wvitbear
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32 is more than 0.
ClayK
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The 3 out-2 in strategy worked for a long time, just as the Wishbone did.

Now some teams run a version of the Wishbone now, but it's an anomaly because defenses caught up to it.

The same has happened to 3 out-2 in.

That said, to the points made by Shocky and others, yes it may be possible to dig back into the past and come up with an old-school offense that can function in the modern world.

But 3-out 2-in takes away driving lanes (because both blocks are occupied) and requires two posts with back-to-the-basket games. It also requires one of the two to match up with a quick wing if the other coach goes small (think the Warriors). As Pete Newell said long ago, basketball is a game of move and counter. If Charmin moves to start two posts, the opposing coach will counter with a smaller lineup that will spread the court at the other end, and force one of the bigs to guard a shooter on the perimeter.

Charmin's counter is to go zone, which was the reflex action back in the day. But the counter to that is the three-point game, which has made it much more difficult to play zone.

Now could Charmin make these adjustments and become a 3 out-2 in team that plays a zone? Of course she could. And how many guards and shooters will play in a system like that? How will you recruit to that system?

And if you're going to go 3-out 2-in, you can't just dabble in it, and throw it out there after a few days practice. It's unfamiliar to players and they have to be taught to play in a system they literally have never played before.

Could it work? Possibly. Would it give Cal a chance to beat more athletic, more skilled teams with much bigger budgets and a practice facility? Would the investment of time and energy pay off in the long run?

Sure, playing Naya and Sakima together might result in another win or two. How would it affect recruiting? How much do those two or three extra wins matter? Do Barnes and Sheppard come to a program where they can't get to the rim because the lane is always clogged with defenders?

If your goal is to go 22-10 instead of 20-12, or even 24-8 and 20-12, rip everything up and go for it. But Cal isn't winning the ACC, or going very deep in the tournament with a strategy that works about as well as the Wishbone.

If 3 out-2 in could lead to elite status, lots of teams would play it. No one does.
Shocky1
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clay my source for playing both naya & sakima at the same time is former wnba championship general manager jim pitman who is kinda knowledgeable imo

pitman believes playing both a 5 and a 4 at the same time allows a team with limited depth to play zone defense to conserve energy & clog the paint to avoid the uncontested layups the fatigued bears give up in 4th quarters of tight games...force opponents to make perimeter shots to beat you

bottom line the bears can't afford to play naya 9 minutes a game and not expect her to not transfer after this season nor can the offense afford to not have her 58.5% field goal shooting percentage on the floor this season

but charmin isn't likely to change anything so let's just see how the north carolina state game plays out of if any new fans show up when the team returns to haas
ClayK
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I agree. But you would have to commit to that zone and that strategy from day one. Playing a good zone is difficult and requires a lot of work, especially since kids don't play much zone -- and if they do, they don't play it well -- at the lower levels. If Cal had gone that route all summer and implemented it in training camp, it's a solid one-season strategy.

But to think you can wave a magic wand in January and change your whole system and be effective ignores the reality of coaching. Again, playing a zone well is not easy. Rebounding is always a challenge, and understanding rotations and communication are issues that take time to sort out.

Point two: Yes, that might work for this season, but unless you want to commit to being that kind of team long term, it's going to hurt your recruiting. And with this Cal team, which perimeter player goes to the bench? You said Puff, which means she transfers. If you say someone else, they transfer.

On top of that, no player with any dreams of playing after college, in the W or overseas, is going to come to a program that plays zone. All pro leagues are man-to-man leagues because that's the most effective defense, and pro teams want to see players playing man, not zone.

Finally, what impact would that short-term shift have on the ceiling for this team? Is a zone going to win the ACC with the level of talent Cal has? Is it going to take the Bears to the Sweet 16?

I'm thinking maybe it's two more wins than otherwise, and the price you pay for that is one of your perimeter players immediately transfers because she gets put on the bench.

I just don't think it's a good tradeoff to chase a few more wins -- even if you could implement that kind of massive system change in January -- that will hurt your recruiting in the long run.
RedlessWardrobe
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Clay, with all due respect, I don't understand how you continue to conclude that if Sakima and Naya are in the game at the same time, it is mandatory we have to switch to a zone defense. We've all watched Naya play now for several games. In my opinion she possesses the athleticism to play man to man defense against an opposing 4. She's far from slow and lumbering. On the defensive end I fail to see any difference between her and Taylor's abilities. An we use Taylor primarily as a 4. Just not making sense to me.
annarborbear
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So in other words, we are optimizing what we have, and this is the best that we can do. And the same with attendance. That is a sad conclusion. I would at least substitute more to keep a higher energy level on the court.
wvitbear
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We have never played a zone well. I have watched hundreds of games.
wvitbear
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Also, there big off the bench, Maddie Cox shoots 40% from three point land.
RedlessWardrobe
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Fact is, at the beginning of the season we took a big blow when we lost the services of Gabby.
I don't buy how trying to address this for one season isn't worth a try. I keep reading that if we do this for one year, that somehow it will cause this major change in our future. If trying to adjust strategy may help us with a couple of more games this year then why not try it? It doesn't mean that it is going to change anything in the long run. We're talking about a strategy adjustment and somehow it's going to have an impact on whether we get a new practice facility? Really? I really think this is being overthought.
RedlessWardrobe
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wvitbear said:

We have never played a zone well. I have watched hundreds of games.

Why is it a given that we have to start playing zone defense?
wvitbear
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I think both Clay and i are saying you don't want to play a zone. But you need three point shooters which we had last year with Marta.
SFCALBear72
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wvitbear said:

I think both Clay and i are saying you don't want to play a zone. But you need three point shooters which we had last year with Marta.

And Krimili.
wvitbear
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I was thinking of power forwards.
UrsineMaximus
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ClayK said:

I agree. But you would have to commit to that zone and that strategy from day one. Playing a good zone is difficult and requires a lot of work, especially since kids don't play much zone -- and if they do, they don't play it well -- at the lower levels. If Cal had gone that route all summer and implemented it in training camp, it's a solid one-season strategy.

But to think you can wave a magic wand in January and change your whole system and be effective ignores the reality of coaching. Again, playing a zone well is not easy. Rebounding is always a challenge, and understanding rotations and communication are issues that take time to sort out.

Point two: Yes, that might work for this season, but unless you want to commit to being that kind of team long term, it's going to hurt your recruiting. And with this Cal team, which perimeter player goes to the bench? You said Puff, which means she transfers. If you say someone else, they transfer.

On top of that, no player with any dreams of playing after college, in the W or overseas, is going to come to a program that plays zone. All pro leagues are man-to-man leagues because that's the most effective defense, and pro teams want to see players playing man, not zone.

Finally, what impact would that short-term shift have on the ceiling for this team? Is a zone going to win the ACC with the level of talent Cal has? Is it going to take the Bears to the Sweet 16?

I'm thinking maybe it's two more wins than otherwise, and the price you pay for that is one of your perimeter players immediately transfers because she gets put on the bench.

I just don't think it's a good tradeoff to chase a few more wins -- even if you could implement that kind of massive system change in January -- that will hurt your recruiting in the long run.

difficult..that cracks me up. there are 5 opponents on the court, of a total of 10 players in a confined space and it is difficult. c'mon man, I see street kids with no coaching control space and play every day right down the block from me. this sh*t isn't hard but coaches will tell you it is.
ClayK
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First, I was responding to the suggestion that we can play two bigs in the modern game by going to a zone. Obviously, there are other options, but they require one of the bigs to be able to defend quickness in space.

And as for the comment that street kids can play a zone, and coaching is not that hard ... maybe for the poster, but not for us mere mortals. If coaching were easy, then top coaches wouldn't get a lot more money than mediocre ones because it wouldn't matter.

I will stand by saying that zones require a lot of work to run effectively, especially when it comes to rebounding. And I will also point to the fact that very few teams play multiple defenses roughly the same amount of time. Most teams will change things up with a press or a halfcourt trap or a zone, but most teams rely on halfcourt man most of the time.

RedlessWardrobe
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Again Clay, I respect your analysis of what's required to play a zone defense. But you've watched Naya this season. What can you possibly see that indicates that she cannot play man to man as a 4? Is she too slow? Does she lack quickness? The conversation about a zone defense assumes that when she's on the court she can't be used as a 4 playing man to man. Do you see any significant difference between her and Taylor defensively? I say there's no reason she can't play man at the 4 on defense, so the whole zone defense discussion becomes irrelevant.
UrsineMaximus
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ClayK said:

First, I was responding to the suggestion that we can play two bigs in the modern game by going to a zone. Obviously, there are other options, but they require one of the bigs to be able to defend quickness in space.

And as for the comment that street kids can play a zone, and coaching is not that hard ... maybe for the poster, but not for us mere mortals. If coaching were easy, then top coaches wouldn't get a lot more money than mediocre ones because it wouldn't matter.

I will stand by saying that zones require a lot of work to run effectively, especially when it comes to rebounding. And I will also point to the fact that very few teams play multiple defenses roughly the same amount of time. Most teams will change things up with a press or a halfcourt trap or a zone, but most teams rely on halfcourt man most of the time.



coaching profession is WAY over paid and over idolized, There are a finite number of ways to play basketball/football. It is very very rare that a coach with marginal talent can sustain wins at a power conference level.

Nay, coaching isn't about coaching, it is about getting the best talent. Talent makes coaches, coaches don't make talent (they refine it). Coaches, in general, are too into themselves. Cignetti, a rare find, is an exception. Can he and Indiana sustain this success, time will tell.
wvitbear
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Taylor can shoot the three and might be a better rebounder. Naya has had some injury problems and I never have seen her guard a mobile player. I know Taylor can.
RedlessWardrobe
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You've never seen her guard a mobile 4 because we don't use her that way. And Taylor is a better rebounder, really? And why do we have to keep going back to Naya not shooting threes? It's like some kind of obsession. Honestly, there is no hard rule that says a 4 has to be a 3 point shooter! Get out of the Cal syndrome, watch basketball, past and present. There are plenty of teams that have played and are playing today that don't utilize a 4 that can shoot threes. It is not an all end all. Honestly.
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