dimitrig said:
tequila4kapp said:
We have a long way to go
Not really.
Trump is doing what he needs to do to win.
Harris +3 in Scranton. Joe was +8. She hasn't overperformed anywhere really. She doesn't need to but if Trump overperforms everywhere, like he seems to be doing, he will be President.
The exit polls are not good with a majority of first time voters saying they voted for Trump which is quite surprising.
In the last election, it was the absentee ballots counted later that changed the early results and they were predicted to be (and were) largely Democrat.
Does anyone know how those were tabulated this time?
It weird that to you this is all about Harris underperforming and not about Trump performing better. Trump has done massively better with Latinos, black men, and even suburban women (losing by less). BIden/Harris policies are unpopular.
In terms of absentee/mail in ballots, there is a variation. In some states, those are counted ahead of time/first. in others last. But the biggest difference is that in 2020, the dems had a MASSIVE MASSIVE MASSIVE advantage in the number of mail in votes, mostly because Trump stupidly told his voters not to use them.
This time, the republicans also went all in on collecting mail in votes, particularly in Penn, Arizona and Nevada. There won't be the same mail in surge for dems, which is why the NY Times and others will make a call if the margin remains wide for Trump.