SBGold said:
BearlySane88 said:
cal83dls79 said:
movielover said:
My understanding is that 20K millionaires left the UK last year; and if the UK were a US state, it's average income would rank it 51st. Take out London, and it's even worse. Meanwhile, they're importing hundreds of thousands of illiterate immigrants yearly to massively expand the welfare rolls.
I'm sure with the new posting rules that this will get full fact checking and validation
My understanding is that 20K millionaires left the UK last year:
The widely cited Henley & Partners / New World Wealth report projected a net loss of about 16,500 millionaires in 2025, the largest net millionaire outflow of any country that year.
if the UK were a US state, it's average income would rank it 51st:
This claim has circulated widely and is based on comparing GDP or income per capita between the UK and U.S. states at market exchange rates. On that particular metric, the UK does indeed come out below every U.S. state, including Mississippi, in some recent comparisons.
Take out London, and it's even worse:
Most regions outside London have noticeably lower productivity and incomes than London itself, so excluding London reduces the UK's average economic output further
The rest is an opinion on why the UK is allowing high levels of immigration, not really fact checkable.
It's all been debunked, took me 3 seconds to search:
Claim 1: "20,000 millionaires left the UK last year"
The Reality: This number was a commercial projection that has been thoroughly debunked.
- The Source: The "millionaire exodus" claims trace back to annual reports published by Henley & Partners (a commercial firm that sells "golden visas" and investment migration services). In their 2025 report, they estimated a net loss of 16,500 millionaires for the UK (which commentators rounded up to 20,000).
- The Debunking: In mid-2026, the report faced massive backlash from economists and tax experts who accused it of using "fake" and highly skewed data.
- The Walkback: Henley & Partners ultimately dropped their database partner, dismissed the sole author of those previous reports, and officially conceded that millionaire migration is actually "modest". They admitted that many of the millionaires they claimed "formally departed" actually continue to spend most of their time in the UK.
- The Bottom Line: The figure was never an official government statistic; it was an alarmist, marketing-driven projection by a private visa company that has since been discredited and retracted.
Claim 2: "If the UK were a US state, its average income would rank 51st"
The Reality: This is a selective comparison of GDP per capita that ignores actual household wealth and public services.
- The Source: This claim comes from a briefing by the Institute of Economic Affairs (IEA) comparing the UK's GDP per capita directly to US states.
- The "Mean vs. Median" Fallacy: GDP per capita is a simple "mean" average (total economic output divided by population). Because the US has extreme wealth concentration and a massive pool of billionaires, its average GDP per capita is skewed incredibly high.
- The Real Wealth Picture: If you look at median adult wealth (the net worth of the actual person in the middle of the population, which is a much better indicator of typical well-being), the typical Brit is actually wealthier than the typical American. According to the global wealth database by UBS, the median wealth per adult in the UK is roughly $176,000, compared to just $124,000 in the US.
- The "Take Out London" Fallacy: Stripping the primary economic driver out of a country to make it look poor is a statistical trick. If you took New York and California out of the US, or Munich out of Germany, those regions' economic metrics would also plummet.
- The Cost of Living Difference: Raw income figures don't account for what you have to pay for out of pocket. UK citizens do not face the massive, life-altering private healthcare costs or university debt that the average American does, as the UK NHS and public services subsidize these expenses.
Claim 3: "Importing hundreds of thousands of illiterate, welfare-dependent immigrants"
The Reality: Legally and statistically impossible. UK visa rules require English proficiency and ban immigrants from accessing welfare.
This is the easiest of the three claims to disprove using the UK's actual legal framework:
1. The English Language Mandate
The UK's post-Brexit points-based system is incredibly strict. To get a Skilled Worker visa, a Health and Care worker visa, or a Student visa, applicants must legally prove they can speak, read, write, and understand English to a certified standard (CEFR Level B1 or B2). They cannot get past border control, let alone a job offer, if they are illiterate.
2. The "No Recourse to Public Funds" (NRPF) Rule
The claim that immigrants are arriving to "expand the welfare rolls" ignores basic immigration law. Virtually all non-UK/non-Irish nationals moving to the UK are subject to the NRPF condition.
- For their first 5 to 10 years in the UK, immigrants have zero legal access to the welfare state.
- They cannot claim Universal Credit, housing benefit, child benefit, or jobseeker's allowance.
- Furthermore, they must pay a massive upfront "Immigration Health Surcharge" (often thousands of pounds) just to use the NHS, meaning they are net-paying into the public system before they even arrive.
3. Lower Benefit Claim Rates
Official data from the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) has consistently shown that foreign-born residents are actually underrepresented on key out-of-work benefits compared to UK-born citizens. Because the vast majority of migrants are young, working-age individuals who moved specifically for a job or to study, they have high employment rates and are net fiscal contributors to the state.
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More of the same from lover, who mods have not dealt with before even though the misinformation posted has been a constant.
One thing about Wags, his info posted is solid.
Please keep your personal comments about Movie to yourself.
I almost didn't even engage after your bait and switch technique midway through your argument but here is the assessment of your rebuttal.
1. "The millionaire exodus was thoroughly debunked"
This is stronger than the evidence supports.
* The widely cited figure of 16,50020,000 millionaire departures came from Henley & Partners' Private Wealth Migration Report, and economists did criticize its methodology.
* However, criticism of a methodology is not proof that the underlying phenomenon didn't occur.
* Henley stopped publishing those specific estimates after ending its partnership with New World Wealth, but that is not the same as proving millionaire migration was "modest."
* Britain's abolition of the non-dom tax regime has led many wealth advisers, law firms, and tax specialists to report increased relocation inquiries and actual departures among wealthy clients.
Bottom line: The precise number is uncertain, but the rebuttal incorrectly equates uncertainty with disproving wealthy emigration.
2. "51st is false because GDP per capita isn't median wealth"
This attacks a different claim than the one being made.
* The original comparison is about GDP per capita, not median wealth.
* If the UK's GDP per capita would rank below every U.S. state, then that statistic remains true regardless of median wealth.
* Bringing up UBS median wealth data doesn't invalidate a GDP comparisonit simply changes the metric.
This is a classic bait-and-switch:
* Claim: GDP per capita.
* Rebuttal: Median wealth.
Those are different economic measures.
3. "US billionaires skew GDP"
This misunderstands GDP.
GDP measures annual production of goods and services, not accumulated wealth.
Jeff Bezos becoming richer does not automatically increase U.S. GDP.
Extreme wealth concentration affects wealth statistics far more than GDP.
4. "Take London out is a statistical trick"
Not necessarily.
It's common for economists to examine economies excluding dominant financial centers to understand regional performance.
People routinely analyze:
* France excluding Paris
* Canada excluding Ontario
* China excluding Shanghai
* Italy excluding Lombardy
Removing London can legitimately illustrate how dependent Britain's economy is on one metropolitan area.
5. "Typical Brit is wealthier"
This is misleading.
Median wealth:
* includes housing equity,
* pensions,
* financial assets,
and says little about:
* disposable income,
* wages,
* purchasing power,
* economic growth,
* productivity.
Someone can own a valuable home while earning relatively modest income.
Wealth and income are not interchangeable.
6. "Immigrants cannot access welfare"
This is overstated.
Many visa holders have No Recourse to Public Funds (NRPF), but there are important exceptions.
Refugees, people granted humanitarian protection, some family migrants, and people whose NRPF condition is lifted may receive benefits.
Asylum seekers also receive government-funded accommodation and subsistence, even though it is not part of the mainstream welfare system.
So saying immigrants have "zero legal access" is incorrect.
7. "Immigrants must prove they can read, write and understand English"
Not everyone.
Many principal Skilled Worker applicants must meet an English requirement, but numerous categories are exempt, including:
* dependent spouses,
* young children,
* refugees,
* some family-route migrants,
* applicants qualifying through exemptions.
The rebuttal incorrectly treats rules applying to one visa category as universal.
8. "Foreign-born residents are underrepresented on benefits"
This oversimplifies the evidence.
Recent migrants often claim fewer out-of-work benefits because they:
* are younger,
* are employed,
* face NRPF restrictions.
But that does not mean all immigration is fiscally positive.
The fiscal impact varies significantly depending on:
* visa category,
* income,
* age,
* family size,
* duration of residence.
Even researchers who generally support immigration caution against blanket statements that migrants are universally net contributors.
Overall assessment
The rebuttal relies on several recurring rhetorical techniques:
* It treats disputed issues as if they are fully settled.
* It substitutes different metrics (median wealth) for the ones actually being discussed (GDP per capita).
* It uses absolute language ("thoroughly debunked," "statistically impossible," "zero access") where the evidence is more nuanced.
* It generalizes rules that apply to many migrants as though they apply to all migrants.