Morrison Wins in Australian Election, Confounding Pollsters https://nyti.ms/2JoTemB
Forget the policy issues, Morrison, Trump, Netanyahu (actually the polls were all over the place), Brexit, Orban , Italy (though again polling was all over the place) etc. The other thing is that the polls don''t seem to work to well with populists like Trump or even liberal candidates e.g., Ocasio-Corttez over Crowley.
I admit wrong oills are not new (Dewey beats Truman), but you would think that polling has become much more scientific to keep getting it wrong so much lately.
An English academic perspective on polling issues:
The Twilight of the Polls? A Review of Trends in Polling Accuracy and the Causes of Polling Misses http://bit.ly/2LT6NNn
There are people here who know this stuff (I don't). Thoughts?
Forget the policy issues, Morrison, Trump, Netanyahu (actually the polls were all over the place), Brexit, Orban , Italy (though again polling was all over the place) etc. The other thing is that the polls don''t seem to work to well with populists like Trump or even liberal candidates e.g., Ocasio-Corttez over Crowley.
I admit wrong oills are not new (Dewey beats Truman), but you would think that polling has become much more scientific to keep getting it wrong so much lately.
An English academic perspective on polling issues:
The Twilight of the Polls? A Review of Trends in Polling Accuracy and the Causes of Polling Misses http://bit.ly/2LT6NNn
There are people here who know this stuff (I don't). Thoughts?