Covid and Cal Football - what again????

14,969 Views | 111 Replies | Last: 4 yr ago by wifeisafurd
ColoradoBear
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drizzlybear said:

BearForce2 said:



a. I'm pretty sure all large cities are above the national average in cases right now.

b. I'm a little dubious of that source since SF's mask mandates doesn't appear to be any more strict than anyone else's, and was instituted only last week (compared to LA County, for example, which was reinstated several weeks ago).

c. Most importantly, per the same underlying article, San Francisco has had a relatively low rate of COVID-19 hospital admissions compared with other counties with similar case rates. Compare, for example, the state of Texas (where vaccination is low and masking is scorned) which is in such terrible shape right now that the governor is now asking hospitals not to perform elective procedures and is asking for hospital staffing assistance from other states.

I think Jake Shields is not a strong source for useful covid information.


Who knows where that graph comes from - it looks like MS Excel. It does cite the NY Times 7 day average, but when looking at the NY Times data, the data do not support the additional comments about SF having the highest rate of any city. Out of curiosity a few data points from today, Aug 11:

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/us/florida-covid-cases.html

SF County: 30 cases/ 100k (7 day average)
Miami-Dade County: 104
Orleans Parish: 89
Harris County (Houston): 44
USA combined: 36
LA County: 34
Dallas County: 32
Denver County: 17
NYC: 15



Bears2thDoc
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Cal_79 said:

Your question is based on the very dubious assumption that exposure is 100% the result of attending the Cal game. Is it your expectation that outside of Cal Football games at CMS attendees are living full-time in an antiseptic bubble?
Actually.... the ones at most risk are the fans that have club seats. Statistically, they are also the members of the community most vulnerable and most likely not to be vaxed. The concourse on the west side allows more exposure to things one might not wish to be exposed to.
So hey, knock yourself out.

Cheers!
Go Bears!!
Cal Band Great!!
Big C
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Regarding San Francisco's COVID cases: The virus has a way of traveling in waves, cycling its way through different areas. The June 15th "reopening" and summer tourism from all over the country were probably what hurt The City.

With the vax rate in SF, no way will they ever have a high number of fatalities, relative to other areas.
oskidunker
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So city employees could opt to get weekly testing instead of the vaccine. I would imagine they would have to pay for the test. Not sure if their medical provider would give them free tests on a weekly basis. Does anyone think formal approval of the vaccine will change the minds of the nut cases?
Bears2thDoc
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oskidunker said:

So city employees could opt to get weekly testing instead of the vaccine. I would imagine they would have to pay for the test. Not sure if their medical provider would give them free tests on a weekly basis. Does anyone think formal approval of the vaccine will change the minds of the nut cases?
I haven't seen "weekly" in official print. I have, however, read "at least once per week", which means one always has to get a test on the same day of the week, or before....not after....so Sundays and holidays could be a factor.


Cheers!!
Go Bears!!
Cal Band Great!!
BearForce2
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Infections in S.F. are up, hospitalization numbers have stayed the same. Yes densely populated cities are more vulnerable.
The difference between a right wing conspiracy and the truth is about 20 months.
Bears2thDoc
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BearForce2 said:



Infections in S.F. are up, hospitalization numbers have stayed the same. Yes densely populated cities are more vulnerable.
As are densely populated concourses.

Cheers!
Go Bears!!
Cal Band Great!!!
MilleniaBear
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I think we just got setup for our first L:



Pac-12 Commissioner to rule on forfeits

COB's control is going to set us up for the Commish.
GivemTheAxe
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AunBear89 said:

ColoradoBear said:

drizzlybear said:

BearForce2 said:



a. I'm pretty sure all large cities are above the national average in cases right now.

b. I'm a little dubious of that source since SF's mask mandates doesn't appear to be any more strict than anyone else's, and was instituted only last week (compared to LA County, for example, which was reinstated several weeks ago).

c. Most importantly, per the same underlying article, San Francisco has had a relatively low rate of COVID-19 hospital admissions compared with other counties with similar case rates. Compare, for example, the state of Texas (where vaccination is low and masking is scorned) which is in such terrible shape right now that the governor is now asking hospitals not to perform elective procedures and is asking for hospital staffing assistance from other states.

I think Jake Shields is not a strong source for useful covid information.


Who knows where that graph comes from - it looks like MS Excel. It does cite the NY Times 7 day average, but when looking at the NY Times data, tte data do not support the additional comments about SF having the highest rate of any city. Out of curiosity a few data points from today, Aug 11:

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/us/florida-covid-cases.html

SF County: 30 cases/ 100k (7 day average)
Miami-Dade County: 104
Orleans Parish: 89
Harris County (Houston): 44
USA combined: 36
LA County: 34
Dallas County: 32
Denver County: 17
NYC: 15






Wait a minute: you're telling me that BearFarce posted misleading or incorrect information? I am SHOCKED!

If that news shocks you, you will probably also be shocked to learn that gambling is going on int the back room of Rick's Cafe Americain"
drizzlybear
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MilleniaBear said:

I think we just got setup for our first L:



Pac-12 Commissioner to rule on forfeits

COB's control is going to set us up for the Commish.


It looks like the rule gives the Commissioner discretion to determine whether the team is "at fault". Presumably, that would allow for some amount of comparability of infection, rather than based on what a local health authority does about a particular level of infection, which will vary and would make enforcement based on local health rules arbitrary. So I think the ball is still squarely in the program's court to demonstrate consistent and responsible compliance measures.
GivemTheAxe
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MilleniaBear said:

I think we just got setup for our first L:



Pac-12 Commissioner to rule on forfeits

COB's control is going to set us up for the Commish.


How would Cal be held "primarily at fault" if it cannot play a game because of a COB's regulation. Cal has done as much or more than any other college to fight Covid: mandatory vaccinations, masking, closed campus except for students.
drizzlybear
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GivemTheAxe said:

MilleniaBear said:

I think we just got setup for our first L:



Pac-12 Commissioner to rule on forfeits

COB's control is going to set us up for the Commish.


How would Cal be held "primarily at fault" if it cannot play a game because of a COB's regulation. Cal has done as much or more than any other college to fight Covid: mandatory vaccinations, masking, closed campus except for students.

My guess is that's precisely the reason the rule gives the Commissioner the discretion to determine "fault".
oskidunker
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We lose to USC 45-0 but are given the win and the Rosebowl because a USC player that refused to be vaccinated.
BearForce2
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oskidunker said:

We lose to USC 45-0 but are given the win and the Rosebowl because a USC player that refused to be vaccinated.

This is not typiCAL. but I'll take it.
The difference between a right wing conspiracy and the truth is about 20 months.
ColoradoBear
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GivemTheAxe said:

MilleniaBear said:

I think we just got setup for our first L:



Pac-12 Commissioner to rule on forfeits

COB's control is going to set us up for the Commish.


How would Cal be held "primarily at fault" if it cannot play a game because of a COB's regulation. Cal has done as much or more than any other college to fight Covid: mandatory vaccinations, masking, closed campus except for students.


The 'primarily at fault' seems full of interpretation.

A team could be 'primarily at fault' if it can't field enough players IMO. Who knows what kind of relaxation of that fault will go with high vaccination rates?

One cancellation last year had to do with players of the same position group living in the same house being quarantined due to exposure.

This year, protocols say vaccinated players do not have to quarantine if exposed, while unvaxxed are subject to a 10 day quarantine. Would have to guess cancellation due to unvaxxed players quarantining would be considered fault. And since vaxxed players don't quarantine, there might not be any large groups held out that would prevent a game. But then, what if a team has a large number of vaxxed players actually test positive? Looking at what has happened with the Yankees repeated covid issues and delayed games (rumor is they all got the 1 shot J&J which is just not proving as effective), I think a similar issue will pop up in CFB and have no idea if that would be excused or not under the p12 rules.

I don't recall the COB doing anything but following the CDC recommended covid exposure rules last fall. So I wouldn't expect them to come up with their own rules this fall. And currenly the CDC is not requiring quarantines for vaccinated people who have been exposed as close contacts (could that change if breakthrough cases in increase? I even doubt that because that would get rid of one major carrot of getting vaxxed).

But given the amount of money involved, it might be smart to figure out potential temporary alternate living quarters so players aren't living with others who might have covid, because if they actually get covid, they won't play.
Cal_79
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oskidunker said:

We lose to USC 45-0 but are given the win and the Rosebowl because a USC player that refused to be vaccinated.

And if the game were played, what grounds would exist for a forfeit?
oskidunker
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Cal_79 said:

oskidunker said:

We lose to USC 45-0 but are given the win and the Rosebowl because a USC player that refused to be vaccinated.

And if the game were played, what grounds would exist for a forfeit?
If the team you beat later finds out you gave some of their players Covid derived from unvaccinated players that you knowingly played regardless. I think all players at Cal will be vaccinated but not sure.

Now if the coach at wsu causes a problem wsu could forfeit.
Cal_79
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oskidunker said:

Cal_79 said:

oskidunker said:

We lose to USC 45-0 but are given the win and the Rosebowl because a USC player that refused to be vaccinated.

And if the game were played, what grounds would exist for a forfeit?
If the team you beat later finds out you gave some of their players Covid derived from unvaccinated players that you knowingly played regardless. I think all players at Cal will be vaccinated but not sure.

Now if the coach at wsu causes a problem wsu could forfeit.

And how is this relevant to a game already played that's been decided on the field? Forfeits in this scenario can be retroactive?
GivemTheAxe
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ColoradoBear said:

GivemTheAxe said:

MilleniaBear said:

I think we just got setup for our first L:



Pac-12 Commissioner to rule on forfeits

COB's control is going to set us up for the Commish.


How would Cal be held "primarily at fault" if it cannot play a game because of a COB's regulation. Cal has done as much or more than any other college to fight Covid: mandatory vaccinations, masking, closed campus except for students.


The 'primarily at fault' seems full of interpretation.

A team could be 'primarily at fault' if it can't field enough players IMO. Who knows what kind of relaxation of that fault will go with high vaccination rates?

One cancellation last year had to do with players of the same position group living in the same house being quarantined due to exposure.

This year, protocols say vaccinated players do not have to quarantine if exposed, while unvaxxed are subject to a 10 day quarantine. Would have to guess cancellation due to unvaxxed players quarantining would be considered fault. And since vaxxed players don't quarantine, there might not be any large groups held out that would prevent a game. But then, what if a team has a large number of vaxxed players actually test positive? Looking at what has happened with the Yankees repeated covid issues and delayed games (rumor is they all got the 1 shot J&J which is just not proving as effective), I think a similar issue will pop up in CFB and have no idea if that would be excused or not under the p12 rules.

I don't recall the COB doing anything but following the CDC recommended covid exposure rules last fall. So I wouldn't expect them to come up with their own rules this fall. And currenly the CDC is not requiring quarantines for vaccinated people who have been exposed as close contacts (could that change if breakthrough cases in increase? I even doubt that because that would get rid of one major carrot of getting vaxxed).

But given the amount of money involved, it might be smart to figure out potential temporary alternate living quarters so players aren't living with others who might have covid, because if they actually get covid, they won't play.


At fault usually means doing something you shouldn't have done. Or not doing something you should have done. I don't see how Cal has done anything wrong so that it would be "at fault "
LunchTime
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Unit2Sucks said:

LunchTime said:

AunBear89 said:

Golden One said:

Oski87 said:

GivemTheAxe said:

Once again in all seriousness i would like to begin a discussion about the COVID Pandemic and the impact that it might have on the upcoming season from the perspective of fans and the teams.

I respectfully request that the posters please try to avoid the political flame wars of past threads that easily lead the discussion into the political arena.

From the fans perspective, I wonder whether Cal and possibly the other PAC12 schools will impose any restrictions on the fans in attendance. With the current onslaught of the D-variant, it appears that people and politicians, employers and institutions in many states (even those that previously had been strongly against them) are looking more favorably (or less negatively) towards mask requirements, vaccinations and vaccination requirement than they were just one month ago, Heck, even Alabama (the college football team, not the State) is leading the charge on vaccinations.

Question 1. In this new more vigilant atmosphere is it likely that Cal and/or the PAC-12 might impose additional restrictions on the fans whether that takes the form of proof of vaccinations, vaccination-only sections, mask mandates, social distancing, restrictions on refreshments (you know those food and drink stations are just made to be super-spreader locations) same for the long lines for the toilets and porta-potties).

Question 2. In view of the new D-variant spike and the response of the NFL. Is it likely that the PAC12 will adopt a rule similar to that of the NFL? If one team cannot field sufficient players for the game, that team will be deemed to forfeit that game.

Question 3. are there any other aspects of the current spike that might adversely affect the fans or the games?
There are no restrictions right now on outdoor events - even in the Bay Area - including mask wearing. That is with the renewed wariness about Delta. I think that vaccination changes the game completely. I am not sure what the COVID protocol is for the school - for example, do vaccinated kids have to be tested, do the contact trace vaccinated kids, etc. It would be interesting to see what the PAC 12 medical group comes up with in terms of who is available, what sort of protocols they have and when all that will be played out. But clearly at this point the team is essentially maskless together and there are not a lot of issues. I do not think that there will be any sort of wholesale elimination of entire position groups because one person had a positive COVID test, for example.

My guess is that if the entire team is vaccinated, then there will not be any restrictions on them regardless of any single player getting COVID. And since the University is requiring vaccinations to be in person, then they all will be fine.
How does one get vaccinated any other way than "in person". Has someone figured out a way to give vaccinations remotely? Via Zoom?



The university is requiring vaccination for in person instruction, so one can safely assume all players will be vaccinated.


Do you have any evidence of that?

There is considerable overlap between the groups that play football and the groups not getting vaccinated.

Last I heard, from a reliable source, vaccinating players across D1 wasn't going particularly well, but that was months ago, before the campus mandates. It should go without saying that players don't have to attend class in person to stay eligible.
Not sure what "groups" precisely you are talking about but D-1 football players don't have any difficulty accessing medical care or obtaining vaccines.

According to the commissioner, 8 of the 12 Pac football programs are at 80%+ and 4 of those are at 90%+. We will see if that number increases before the first game. I would suspect that Cal is one of the 8 and hopefully one of the 4 but that's just speculation for now.
There are four specific groups I was thinking about.

1. All groups seem to have around 20% that are not willing to get vaccinated with this vaccine and roughly 20% who dont make it a priority. (maybe solved with the threat of forfeit?)
2. POC (specifically black people) are the least vaccinated group in the country (access will soften this greatly, but not completely, as the cause is not all access related)
3. Young people (Much less likely to get vaccinated - again, because it isnt a priority and maybe softened with the threats of forfeit)
4. People in the "big football" region (specifically the south has MUCH higher numbers of unvaccinated than the rest of the country)

I asked for evidence, because, like your evidence shows, "so one can safely assume all players will be vaccinated" is not something we can safely assume.

I asked the question before OlMiss (iirc) announced 100% vaccination. Alabama has 90% last I heard. As you point out; 8 of 12 Pac12 teams have 80% and only 4 are over 90%. D1 athletes, despite not having "any difficulty" are still not "all vaccinated."

Maybe universities are giving those groups a better shot at getting vaccinated, but aside from OlMiss, I havent seen any evidence that would suggest that "one can safely assume all players will be vaccinated."

I think its fair when someone says "we can safely assume" something like 100% vaccination where they are getting their evidence from, when the null points the other way.
LunchTime
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drizzlybear said:

MilleniaBear said:

I think we just got setup for our first L:



Pac-12 Commissioner to rule on forfeits

COB's control is going to set us up for the Commish.


It looks like the rule gives the Commissioner discretion to determine whether the team is "at fault". Presumably, that would allow for some amount of comparability of infection, rather than based on what a local health authority does about a particular level of infection, which will vary and would make enforcement based on local health rules arbitrary. So I think the ball is still squarely in the program's court to demonstrate consistent and responsible compliance measures.
What would be compliant?

If Cal does get to 100%, or even 90%, why isnt that enough to show compliance? What is the breakthrough rate of the delta variant?

The best information I can find is the Kaiser report that suggests 1%, with like .004% requiring hospitalization (CDC).

That is absurdly low to be suggesting any additional measures are needed to not be "at fault" in my mind. Any one know different?
Unit2Sucks
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LunchTime said:

Unit2Sucks said:

LunchTime said:

AunBear89 said:

Golden One said:

Oski87 said:

GivemTheAxe said:

Once again in all seriousness i would like to begin a discussion about the COVID Pandemic and the impact that it might have on the upcoming season from the perspective of fans and the teams.

I respectfully request that the posters please try to avoid the political flame wars of past threads that easily lead the discussion into the political arena.

From the fans perspective, I wonder whether Cal and possibly the other PAC12 schools will impose any restrictions on the fans in attendance. With the current onslaught of the D-variant, it appears that people and politicians, employers and institutions in many states (even those that previously had been strongly against them) are looking more favorably (or less negatively) towards mask requirements, vaccinations and vaccination requirement than they were just one month ago, Heck, even Alabama (the college football team, not the State) is leading the charge on vaccinations.

Question 1. In this new more vigilant atmosphere is it likely that Cal and/or the PAC-12 might impose additional restrictions on the fans whether that takes the form of proof of vaccinations, vaccination-only sections, mask mandates, social distancing, restrictions on refreshments (you know those food and drink stations are just made to be super-spreader locations) same for the long lines for the toilets and porta-potties).

Question 2. In view of the new D-variant spike and the response of the NFL. Is it likely that the PAC12 will adopt a rule similar to that of the NFL? If one team cannot field sufficient players for the game, that team will be deemed to forfeit that game.

Question 3. are there any other aspects of the current spike that might adversely affect the fans or the games?
There are no restrictions right now on outdoor events - even in the Bay Area - including mask wearing. That is with the renewed wariness about Delta. I think that vaccination changes the game completely. I am not sure what the COVID protocol is for the school - for example, do vaccinated kids have to be tested, do the contact trace vaccinated kids, etc. It would be interesting to see what the PAC 12 medical group comes up with in terms of who is available, what sort of protocols they have and when all that will be played out. But clearly at this point the team is essentially maskless together and there are not a lot of issues. I do not think that there will be any sort of wholesale elimination of entire position groups because one person had a positive COVID test, for example.

My guess is that if the entire team is vaccinated, then there will not be any restrictions on them regardless of any single player getting COVID. And since the University is requiring vaccinations to be in person, then they all will be fine.
How does one get vaccinated any other way than "in person". Has someone figured out a way to give vaccinations remotely? Via Zoom?



The university is requiring vaccination for in person instruction, so one can safely assume all players will be vaccinated.


Do you have any evidence of that?

There is considerable overlap between the groups that play football and the groups not getting vaccinated.

Last I heard, from a reliable source, vaccinating players across D1 wasn't going particularly well, but that was months ago, before the campus mandates. It should go without saying that players don't have to attend class in person to stay eligible.
Not sure what "groups" precisely you are talking about but D-1 football players don't have any difficulty accessing medical care or obtaining vaccines.

According to the commissioner, 8 of the 12 Pac football programs are at 80%+ and 4 of those are at 90%+. We will see if that number increases before the first game. I would suspect that Cal is one of the 8 and hopefully one of the 4 but that's just speculation for now.
There are four specific groups I was thinking about.

1. All groups seem to have around 20% that are not willing to get vaccinated with this vaccine and roughly 20% who dont make it a priority. (maybe solved with the threat of forfeit?)
2. POC (specifically black people) are the least vaccinated group in the country (access will soften this greatly, but not completely, as the cause is not all access related)
3. Young people (Much less likely to get vaccinated - again, because it isnt a priority and maybe softened with the threats of forfeit)
4. People in the "big football" region (specifically the south has MUCH higher numbers of unvaccinated than the rest of the country)

I asked for evidence, because, like your evidence shows, "so one can safely assume all players will be vaccinated" is not something we can safely assume.

I asked the question before OlMiss (iirc) announced 100% vaccination. Alabama has 90% last I heard. As you point out; 8 of 12 Pac12 teams have 80% and only 4 are over 90%. D1 athletes, despite not having "any difficulty" are still not "all vaccinated."

Maybe universities are giving those groups a better shot at getting vaccinated, but aside from OlMiss, I havent seen any evidence that would suggest that "one can safely assume all players will be vaccinated."

I think its fair when someone says "we can safely assume" something like 100% vaccination where they are getting their evidence from, when the null points the other way.
Thanks. Because the poster you responded to was speaking to Cal specifically which requires vaccination for in-person instruction (with limited exceptions), I think a number of the group characteristics you are talking about would be irrelevant.

If a football player at Cal doesn't want to be vaccinated, he has basically two choices: 1) not play football, or 2) receive a medical or religious exemption. I think it would be difficult to obtain a medical exemption and still be eligible for football and I believe that the masking requirements would be challenging as well but not necessarily insurmountable. Whether the AD/admin would permit a masked unvaccinated player to participate is obviously of utmost relevance.

If a football team doesn't have close to 100% vaccine compliance, it's largely because their administration has chosen not to do so.

If you knew about the company I work for, you would probably have made the same comment. We have many people from "groups" with low vaccination rates. We required everyone to be vaccinated to return to office and we required everyone to return to office to maintain their jobs. We had a few holdouts and we helped them get vaccinated. We are at 100% vaccination now.

Similarly, Cal football can achieve close to 100% vaccination status (making allowance for valid religious or medical exemptions) if the administration wants it to happen. Given the campus policy, I think the original poster's assumption had a stronger relevance to the situation at hand than does your generalized information about "groups." I don't mean to quibble, by the way, with your generalizations. I just think they are rendered somewhat irrelevant by university action. Hence, MS achieving 100% vaccination in the state with the 2nd lowest vaccination rate in the nation.
drizzlybear
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LunchTime said:

drizzlybear said:

MilleniaBear said:

I think we just got setup for our first L:



Pac-12 Commissioner to rule on forfeits

COB's control is going to set us up for the Commish.


It looks like the rule gives the Commissioner discretion to determine whether the team is "at fault". Presumably, that would allow for some amount of comparability of infection, rather than based on what a local health authority does about a particular level of infection, which will vary and would make enforcement based on local health rules arbitrary. So I think the ball is still squarely in the program's court to demonstrate consistent and responsible compliance measures.
What would be compliant?

If Cal does get to 100%, or even 90%, why isnt that enough to show compliance? What is the breakthrough rate of the delta variant?

The best information I can find is the Kaiser report that suggests 1%, with like .004% requiring hospitalization (CDC).

That is absurdly low to be suggesting any additional measures are needed to not be "at fault" in my mind. Any one know different?

"What would be compliant?"

That's a question for the Commissioner to answer. The rule he's created indicates he's willing to take on the responsibility of answering that question in any given situation. The rule he's created is also deliberately vague so that he can take all of the myriad circumstances into account in each instance where he has to make a determination.

We'll have to see how it works out, but at this point I applaud him for having the courage to take on this approach, rather than take the much easier (but less fair?) way out by just going by whatever local health officials say.
oski003
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LunchTime said:

drizzlybear said:

MilleniaBear said:

I think we just got setup for our first L:



Pac-12 Commissioner to rule on forfeits

COB's control is going to set us up for the Commish.


It looks like the rule gives the Commissioner discretion to determine whether the team is "at fault". Presumably, that would allow for some amount of comparability of infection, rather than based on what a local health authority does about a particular level of infection, which will vary and would make enforcement based on local health rules arbitrary. So I think the ball is still squarely in the program's court to demonstrate consistent and responsible compliance measures.
What would be compliant?

If Cal does get to 100%, or even 90%, why isnt that enough to show compliance? What is the breakthrough rate of the delta variant?

The best information I can find is the Kaiser report that suggests 1%, with like .004% requiring hospitalization (CDC).

That is absurdly low to be suggesting any additional measures are needed to not be "at fault" in my mind. Any one know different?


Pfizer was 42% effective in July. 42%. Against severe disease, it is around 85%.
GoCal80
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Irrespective of the forfeit issue, it seems that there is plenty of potential for covid disruption this season. As far as I can decipher, vaccination decreases your chances of infection around 6 fold (while decreasing chances of serious disease and death much more). Given the quarantine and contact tracing protocols, and given what we saw in the Olympics, it seems to me very likely that there will be some cancelled games or at least games played with depleted rosters. And then there is the risk of delays and cancellations due to air quality issues resulting from smoke from fires as the drought drags on and the earth continues to heat up.
Oski87
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I think the point is that anyone who is vaccinated is able to treat this like a flu - meaning that if you get it you are out but no one else who is vaccinated is out unless they get it too.

So if you have a team which has the flu, and 25% of them are out, and no one can play o-line....then you forfeit in a regular (non-covid year) season. That will be the same as this season.
LunchTime
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Unit2Sucks said:

LunchTime said:

Unit2Sucks said:

LunchTime said:

AunBear89 said:

Golden One said:

Oski87 said:

GivemTheAxe said:

Once again in all seriousness i would like to begin a discussion about the COVID Pandemic and the impact that it might have on the upcoming season from the perspective of fans and the teams.

I respectfully request that the posters please try to avoid the political flame wars of past threads that easily lead the discussion into the political arena.

From the fans perspective, I wonder whether Cal and possibly the other PAC12 schools will impose any restrictions on the fans in attendance. With the current onslaught of the D-variant, it appears that people and politicians, employers and institutions in many states (even those that previously had been strongly against them) are looking more favorably (or less negatively) towards mask requirements, vaccinations and vaccination requirement than they were just one month ago, Heck, even Alabama (the college football team, not the State) is leading the charge on vaccinations.

Question 1. In this new more vigilant atmosphere is it likely that Cal and/or the PAC-12 might impose additional restrictions on the fans whether that takes the form of proof of vaccinations, vaccination-only sections, mask mandates, social distancing, restrictions on refreshments (you know those food and drink stations are just made to be super-spreader locations) same for the long lines for the toilets and porta-potties).

Question 2. In view of the new D-variant spike and the response of the NFL. Is it likely that the PAC12 will adopt a rule similar to that of the NFL? If one team cannot field sufficient players for the game, that team will be deemed to forfeit that game.

Question 3. are there any other aspects of the current spike that might adversely affect the fans or the games?
There are no restrictions right now on outdoor events - even in the Bay Area - including mask wearing. That is with the renewed wariness about Delta. I think that vaccination changes the game completely. I am not sure what the COVID protocol is for the school - for example, do vaccinated kids have to be tested, do the contact trace vaccinated kids, etc. It would be interesting to see what the PAC 12 medical group comes up with in terms of who is available, what sort of protocols they have and when all that will be played out. But clearly at this point the team is essentially maskless together and there are not a lot of issues. I do not think that there will be any sort of wholesale elimination of entire position groups because one person had a positive COVID test, for example.

My guess is that if the entire team is vaccinated, then there will not be any restrictions on them regardless of any single player getting COVID. And since the University is requiring vaccinations to be in person, then they all will be fine.
How does one get vaccinated any other way than "in person". Has someone figured out a way to give vaccinations remotely? Via Zoom?



The university is requiring vaccination for in person instruction, so one can safely assume all players will be vaccinated.


Do you have any evidence of that?

There is considerable overlap between the groups that play football and the groups not getting vaccinated.

Last I heard, from a reliable source, vaccinating players across D1 wasn't going particularly well, but that was months ago, before the campus mandates. It should go without saying that players don't have to attend class in person to stay eligible.
Not sure what "groups" precisely you are talking about but D-1 football players don't have any difficulty accessing medical care or obtaining vaccines.

According to the commissioner, 8 of the 12 Pac football programs are at 80%+ and 4 of those are at 90%+. We will see if that number increases before the first game. I would suspect that Cal is one of the 8 and hopefully one of the 4 but that's just speculation for now.
There are four specific groups I was thinking about.

1. All groups seem to have around 20% that are not willing to get vaccinated with this vaccine and roughly 20% who dont make it a priority. (maybe solved with the threat of forfeit?)
2. POC (specifically black people) are the least vaccinated group in the country (access will soften this greatly, but not completely, as the cause is not all access related)
3. Young people (Much less likely to get vaccinated - again, because it isnt a priority and maybe softened with the threats of forfeit)
4. People in the "big football" region (specifically the south has MUCH higher numbers of unvaccinated than the rest of the country)

I asked for evidence, because, like your evidence shows, "so one can safely assume all players will be vaccinated" is not something we can safely assume.

I asked the question before OlMiss (iirc) announced 100% vaccination. Alabama has 90% last I heard. As you point out; 8 of 12 Pac12 teams have 80% and only 4 are over 90%. D1 athletes, despite not having "any difficulty" are still not "all vaccinated."

Maybe universities are giving those groups a better shot at getting vaccinated, but aside from OlMiss, I havent seen any evidence that would suggest that "one can safely assume all players will be vaccinated."

I think its fair when someone says "we can safely assume" something like 100% vaccination where they are getting their evidence from, when the null points the other way.
Thanks. Because the poster you responded to was speaking to Cal specifically which requires vaccination for in-person instruction (with limited exceptions), I think a number of the group characteristics you are talking about would be irrelevant.

If a football player at Cal doesn't want to be vaccinated, he has basically two choices: 1) not play football, or 2) receive a medical or religious exemption. I think it would be difficult to obtain a medical exemption and still be eligible for football and I believe that the masking requirements would be challenging as well but not necessarily insurmountable. Whether the AD/admin would permit a masked unvaccinated player to participate is obviously of utmost relevance.

If a football team doesn't have close to 100% vaccine compliance, it's largely because their administration has chosen not to do so.

If you knew about the company I work for, you would probably have made the same comment. We have many people from "groups" with low vaccination rates. We required everyone to be vaccinated to return to office and we required everyone to return to office to maintain their jobs. We had a few holdouts and we helped them get vaccinated. We are at 100% vaccination now.

Similarly, Cal football can achieve close to 100% vaccination status (making allowance for valid religious or medical exemptions) if the administration wants it to happen. Given the campus policy, I think the original poster's assumption had a stronger relevance to the situation at hand than does your generalized information about "groups." I don't mean to quibble, by the way, with your generalizations. I just think they are rendered somewhat irrelevant by university action. Hence, MS achieving 100% vaccination in the state with the 2nd lowest vaccination rate in the nation.


Sigh...

By the way you keep quoting the word "groups" I get the feeling that you believe that pointing out under vaccinated groups of individuals as existing is a somehow a dog whistle or some kind of racial epithet. Because of that, this is not a good faith discussion.

Have a good day.
Unit2Sucks
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LunchTime said:

Unit2Sucks said:

LunchTime said:

Unit2Sucks said:

LunchTime said:

AunBear89 said:

Golden One said:

Oski87 said:

GivemTheAxe said:

Once again in all seriousness i would like to begin a discussion about the COVID Pandemic and the impact that it might have on the upcoming season from the perspective of fans and the teams.

I respectfully request that the posters please try to avoid the political flame wars of past threads that easily lead the discussion into the political arena.

From the fans perspective, I wonder whether Cal and possibly the other PAC12 schools will impose any restrictions on the fans in attendance. With the current onslaught of the D-variant, it appears that people and politicians, employers and institutions in many states (even those that previously had been strongly against them) are looking more favorably (or less negatively) towards mask requirements, vaccinations and vaccination requirement than they were just one month ago, Heck, even Alabama (the college football team, not the State) is leading the charge on vaccinations.

Question 1. In this new more vigilant atmosphere is it likely that Cal and/or the PAC-12 might impose additional restrictions on the fans whether that takes the form of proof of vaccinations, vaccination-only sections, mask mandates, social distancing, restrictions on refreshments (you know those food and drink stations are just made to be super-spreader locations) same for the long lines for the toilets and porta-potties).

Question 2. In view of the new D-variant spike and the response of the NFL. Is it likely that the PAC12 will adopt a rule similar to that of the NFL? If one team cannot field sufficient players for the game, that team will be deemed to forfeit that game.

Question 3. are there any other aspects of the current spike that might adversely affect the fans or the games?
There are no restrictions right now on outdoor events - even in the Bay Area - including mask wearing. That is with the renewed wariness about Delta. I think that vaccination changes the game completely. I am not sure what the COVID protocol is for the school - for example, do vaccinated kids have to be tested, do the contact trace vaccinated kids, etc. It would be interesting to see what the PAC 12 medical group comes up with in terms of who is available, what sort of protocols they have and when all that will be played out. But clearly at this point the team is essentially maskless together and there are not a lot of issues. I do not think that there will be any sort of wholesale elimination of entire position groups because one person had a positive COVID test, for example.

My guess is that if the entire team is vaccinated, then there will not be any restrictions on them regardless of any single player getting COVID. And since the University is requiring vaccinations to be in person, then they all will be fine.
How does one get vaccinated any other way than "in person". Has someone figured out a way to give vaccinations remotely? Via Zoom?



The university is requiring vaccination for in person instruction, so one can safely assume all players will be vaccinated.


Do you have any evidence of that?

There is considerable overlap between the groups that play football and the groups not getting vaccinated.

Last I heard, from a reliable source, vaccinating players across D1 wasn't going particularly well, but that was months ago, before the campus mandates. It should go without saying that players don't have to attend class in person to stay eligible.
Not sure what "groups" precisely you are talking about but D-1 football players don't have any difficulty accessing medical care or obtaining vaccines.

According to the commissioner, 8 of the 12 Pac football programs are at 80%+ and 4 of those are at 90%+. We will see if that number increases before the first game. I would suspect that Cal is one of the 8 and hopefully one of the 4 but that's just speculation for now.
There are four specific groups I was thinking about.

1. All groups seem to have around 20% that are not willing to get vaccinated with this vaccine and roughly 20% who dont make it a priority. (maybe solved with the threat of forfeit?)
2. POC (specifically black people) are the least vaccinated group in the country (access will soften this greatly, but not completely, as the cause is not all access related)
3. Young people (Much less likely to get vaccinated - again, because it isnt a priority and maybe softened with the threats of forfeit)
4. People in the "big football" region (specifically the south has MUCH higher numbers of unvaccinated than the rest of the country)

I asked for evidence, because, like your evidence shows, "so one can safely assume all players will be vaccinated" is not something we can safely assume.

I asked the question before OlMiss (iirc) announced 100% vaccination. Alabama has 90% last I heard. As you point out; 8 of 12 Pac12 teams have 80% and only 4 are over 90%. D1 athletes, despite not having "any difficulty" are still not "all vaccinated."

Maybe universities are giving those groups a better shot at getting vaccinated, but aside from OlMiss, I havent seen any evidence that would suggest that "one can safely assume all players will be vaccinated."

I think its fair when someone says "we can safely assume" something like 100% vaccination where they are getting their evidence from, when the null points the other way.
Thanks. Because the poster you responded to was speaking to Cal specifically which requires vaccination for in-person instruction (with limited exceptions), I think a number of the group characteristics you are talking about would be irrelevant.

If a football player at Cal doesn't want to be vaccinated, he has basically two choices: 1) not play football, or 2) receive a medical or religious exemption. I think it would be difficult to obtain a medical exemption and still be eligible for football and I believe that the masking requirements would be challenging as well but not necessarily insurmountable. Whether the AD/admin would permit a masked unvaccinated player to participate is obviously of utmost relevance.

If a football team doesn't have close to 100% vaccine compliance, it's largely because their administration has chosen not to do so.

If you knew about the company I work for, you would probably have made the same comment. We have many people from "groups" with low vaccination rates. We required everyone to be vaccinated to return to office and we required everyone to return to office to maintain their jobs. We had a few holdouts and we helped them get vaccinated. We are at 100% vaccination now.

Similarly, Cal football can achieve close to 100% vaccination status (making allowance for valid religious or medical exemptions) if the administration wants it to happen. Given the campus policy, I think the original poster's assumption had a stronger relevance to the situation at hand than does your generalized information about "groups." I don't mean to quibble, by the way, with your generalizations. I just think they are rendered somewhat irrelevant by university action. Hence, MS achieving 100% vaccination in the state with the 2nd lowest vaccination rate in the nation.


Sigh...

By the way you keep quoting the word "groups" I get the feeling that you believe that pointing out under vaccinated groups of individuals as existing is a somehow a dog whistle or some kind of racial epithet. Because of that, this is not a good faith discussion.

Have a good day.



You are reading more into it then you need to. Cal football has 85+ student athletes at the number one public university in the world. I think that is the most important group as a reference point and don't think it's relevant that they may also be part of other groups that have lower vaccination rates in other contexts. That was all I was trying to communicate.
philbert
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oskidunker
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Thats a deal breaker
ColoradoBear
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Can the COB possibly resist trying to one up LA on this one?

OD before you bail on the season consider that, sure, masks at day games gonna be nasty. But at night games they keep you warm.
piemelon
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Recent post on a TCU board. "Now that TCU is the Cal Berkeley of the South, can masks in the stadium be far behind?"
“Don’t P—s off old men. The older we get, the less life in prison is a deterrent”.
GivemTheAxe
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BearForce2 said:



Infections in S.F. are up, hospitalization numbers have stayed the same. Yes densely populated cities are more vulnerable.


Encouraging development: UCSF has reported today that San Francisco appears to have turned the corner on the D variant and new cases have been trending downward. The first US major city to report having turned the corner.

[UCSF credits the positive developments to high vaccination rates and masking mandates.]

But this is a positive development for Cal and the BAy Area and should (hopefully) dissuade the City of Berkeley from imposing any ADDITIONAL requirements (other than those already in place).
BearSD
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Unit2Sucks said:


According to the commissioner, 8 of the 12 Pac football programs are at 80%+ and 4 of those are at 90%+. We will see if that number increases before the first game. I would suspect that Cal is one of the 8 and hopefully one of the 4 but that's just speculation for now.

Cal's football team vaccination rate might be a problem. This is from the last item in Wilner's last mailbag column: https://www.mercurynews.com/2021/08/20/hotline-mailbag-covid-protocols-vax-rates-mask-mandates-big-ten-alliance-directv-outlook-and-more/

Quote:

We published all the available vaccination rates this week. But since that point, Arizona announced an increase to 100%. (Well done, Wildcats.)

UCLA, Washington and Colorado are close to 100%, with Utah, USC, Oregon, Oregon State and Stanford not far behind, followed by WSU.

Arizona State and Cal unfortunately declined to provide data.

We expected as much from ASU the school has been a black hole for COVID information since the pandemic began but Cal's stance is disappointing.

The full list can be found here.
Unit2Sucks
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BearSD said:

Unit2Sucks said:


According to the commissioner, 8 of the 12 Pac football programs are at 80%+ and 4 of those are at 90%+. We will see if that number increases before the first game. I would suspect that Cal is one of the 8 and hopefully one of the 4 but that's just speculation for now.

Cal's football team vaccination rate might be a problem. This is from the last item in Wilner's last mailbag column: https://www.mercurynews.com/2021/08/20/hotline-mailbag-covid-protocols-vax-rates-mask-mandates-big-ten-alliance-directv-outlook-and-more/

Quote:

We published all the available vaccination rates this week. But since that point, Arizona announced an increase to 100%. (Well done, Wildcats.)

UCLA, Washington and Colorado are close to 100%, with Utah, USC, Oregon, Oregon State and Stanford not far behind, followed by WSU.

Arizona State and Cal unfortunately declined to provide data.

We expected as much from ASU the school has been a black hole for COVID information since the pandemic began but Cal's stance is disappointing.

The full list can be found here.

Oh interesting, so I guess Cal was one of the 4 but it was not the top 4 lol. We still really don't know where ASU and Cal are. It's disappointing that we don't know what's going on with Cal but encouraging that most of the conference is reaching a high degree of vaccination.
 
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