Pac-12 play really getting underway with my not so stunning 9-10-1 record. Here's the link to last week: https://bearinsider.com/forums/2/topics/103826/replies For this week, odds as always are for the home team, my picks are in italics. My chances of getting everything right are about the same as me being rich enough to buy Tahiti for cash.

Cal @ Mutts -7.5: Have the butt sniffers woken up? Is Cal going to find their defense? Will this be another "It's almost 3 AM in my time zone and the liquor stores are closed" game? With no answer to any of those questions and for no reason except hope, taking Cal to beat the spread.

Wazoo @ Mormon Marauders -12: After a pair of tough losses to pretty good teams Utes bounce back against Puddytats. Utah to cover.

bRuins @ Furd +6: Southern branch was torched by a one-legged QB. Furd's is healthier. Furd beats the spread.

River Rats @ U$C -13: Condoms lose starting QB. No problem, next stud up. Toejams cover.

Colorado @ Spawn of Satan -14.5: Ralphie can't score with the most desperate street walker. Devils cover.

Mildcats @ Rubber Duckies -28: Nation's longest losing streak, 15 and counting, gets extended another week. In the process the Quackers cover.

UrsusTexicanus said:

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Pac-12 play really getting underway with my not so stunning 9-10-1 record. Here's the link to last week: https://bearinsider.com/forums/2/topics/103826/replies For this week, odds as always are for the home team, my picks are in italics. My chances of getting everything right are about the same as me being rich enough to buy Tahiti for cash.

Cal @ Mutts -7.5: Have the butt sniffers woken up? Is Cal going to find their defense? Will this be another "It's almost 3 AM in my time zone and the liquor stores are closed" game? With no answer to any of those questions and for no reason except hope, taking Cal to beat the spread.

Wazoo @ Mormon Marauders -12: After a pair of tough losses to pretty good teams Utes bounce back against Puddytats. Utah to cover.

bRuins @ Furd +6: Southern branch was torched by a one-legged QB. Furd's is healthier. Furd beats the spread.

River Rats @ U$C -13: Condoms lose starting QB. No problem, next stud up. Toejams cover.

Colorado @ Spawn of Satan -14.5: Ralphie can't score with the most desperate street walker. Devils cover.

Mildcats @ Rubber Duckies -28: Nation's longest losing streak, 15 and counting, gets extended another week. In the process the Quackers cover.

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2-5 last week, and now 3 games under break even.

Cal and points. Both teams have been underwhelming. This pick is with the heart.
Utah covers. Both teams have been underwhelming this year. Going with Utah and home cooking.
UCLA and points. Both teams have looked good most of the time. Furd passes well and UCLA's pass defense sucks. Furd's rush defense suck and UCLA rushes well. Shaw seems to have UCLA's number. Too many injuries to key Furd players.
OSU and points Slovis has looked bad at times and OSU seems like a legit decent team.
ASU covers. Colorado's offense plus injuries means ASU covers.
Ducks covers. Ducks are starting to feel it.

Welcome to pac-12 play.
I found out some interesting things looking at the stats page on the pac-12 network website. For example, WSU rushes the ball more often than Utah and Utah passes the ball more often than WSU. Also, WSU has better STs overall than Utah. Utah has a better D and the WSU pass D is pretty porous, but WSU also lead in INTs.

The UCLA/Furd matchup won't be much of one when it comes to units. The UCLA rushing attack overmatches the Furd rushing D, but the Furd passing offense will overmatch the UCLA pass D. Expect a lot of scoring unless UCLA tries to pass a lot and Furd tries to run a lot.

Did you know that Arizona allows less yards per game than Oregon? Also Arizona passes for more yards/game than Oregon. Go figure. And they allow over 100 less yards passing than Oregon.

Oregon St. is #1 in the conference in total offense and ranks above USC in scoring offense. They also rank above USC in rushing offense and defense and scoring defense. They are also #1 in TFLs.

Cal has one of the better offenses in the pac-12 and lead in yards/play. Washington has a good D, especially against the pass, so Cal should run against them. Washington will pass against Cal since they have one of the top passing offenses and Cal has one of the worst passing defenses.

Here is the way I see things spinning this week, but don't listen to me, I had only 1 correct pick in week 2 and followed it up with 3-4 last week. I'm somewhere around 9-16 on the year:

Both WSU and Utah have ?? at QB and a key CB injured. So injuries are kind of a wash. I have to say that I hate picking Utah games because I've never really understood Utah's success. I get that they have a brand of football that does well in the conference in they have great coaching. They also are very successful at grabbing top rated transfers. However, this week their top rated QB transfer left the team. They still have a good QB transfer but the spread is way to high in a game that is too close to call. 24-24 at the end of regulation. Who wins, is a toss up.

Stanford is decimated at RB and DB. They do have a lot of unproven bodies at RB and one of their 2 co-starters (Peat) is healthy. I think the bigger problem is their pass D. It is on the farm and Furd is on a roll, but I'm taking UCLA 37-27.

Oregon has had injury issues all year and that didn't stop them from beating tOSU. But I'm concerned about the QB health and there are new injuries at LB. And as bad as Arizona has been and as good as Oregon has been, I think this spread is just a bit too high. Oregon 44-24.

Arizona St. is banged up at a number of positions with key players questionable. But the most significant injury in this game is Colorado QB JT Shrout OFY before last week's game against Minnesota. Colorado responded by getting shut out by a team that really doesn't have a good defense. They were shut out at home, at elevation where Colorado specializes in wearing out defenses. This week they have to go to Tempe. It's ASU 27-10

Both USC QBs (Slovis and Dart) are questionable for the game, but either way I'm picking this game to be the surprise game of the week with Oregon St. making it very close. USC 27-23

Washington has injury issues at WR but they have still been productive. This is a bad matchup for Cal's D which is getting lit up in the passing game. However, Cal matches up well on the other side, running the ball against a bad Washington rushing D. So, in that sense, it will be a bit like UCLA vs. Furd with Cal playing the part of UCLA and Washington playing the part of Furd. I always like the running team vs. the passing team, and Cal's offense is balanced, so they can pass too, although Washington's pass D is very good. I'm picking Cal to beat the spread but Washington to win 38-31.

heartofthebear said:

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Welcome to pac-12 play.
I found out some interesting things looking at the stats page on the pac-12 network website. For example, WSU rushes the ball more often than Utah and Utah passes the ball more often than WSU. Also, WSU has better STs overall than Utah. Utah has a better D and the WSU pass D is pretty porous, but WSU also lead in INTs.

The UCLA/Furd matchup won't be much of one when it comes to units. The UCLA rushing attack overmatches the Furd rushing D, but the Furd passing offense will overmatch the UCLA pass D. Expect a lot of scoring unless UCLA tries to pass a lot and Furd tries to run a lot.

Did you know that Arizona allows less yards per game than Oregon? Also Arizona passes for more yards/game than Oregon. Go figure. And they allow over 100 less yards passing than Oregon.

Oregon St. is #1 in the conference in total offense and ranks above USC in scoring offense. They also rank above USC in rushing offense and defense and scoring defense. They are also #1 in TFLs.

Cal has one of the better offenses in the pac-12 and lead in yards/play. Washington has a good D, especially against the pass, so Cal should run against them. Washington will pass against Cal since they have one of the top passing offenses and Cal has one of the worst passing defenses.

Here is the way I see things spinning this week, but don't listen to me, I had only 1 correct pick in week 2 and followed it up with 3-4 last week. I'm somewhere around 9-16 on the year:

Both WSU and Utah have ?? at QB and a key CB injured. So injuries are kind of a wash. I have to say that I hate picking Utah games because I've never really understood Utah's success. I get that they have a brand of football that does well in the conference in they have great coaching. They also are very successful at grabbing top rated transfers. However, this week their top rated QB transfer left the team. They still have a good QB transfer but the spread is way to high in a game that is too close to call. 24-24 at the end of regulation. Who wins, is a toss up.

Stanford is decimated at RB and DB. They do have a lot of unproven bodies at RB and one of their 2 co-starters (Peat) is healthy. I think the bigger problem is their pass D. It is on the farm and Furd is on a roll, but I'm taking UCLA 37-27.

Oregon has had injury issues all year and that didn't stop them from beating tOSU. But I'm concerned about the QB health and there are new injuries at LB. And as bad as Arizona has been and as good as Oregon has been, I think this spread is just a bit too high. Oregon 44-24.

Arizona St. is banged up at a number of positions with key players questionable. But the most significant injury in this game is Colorado QB JT Shrout OFY before last week's game against Minnesota. Colorado responded by getting shut out by a team that really doesn't have a good defense. They were shut out at home, at elevation where Colorado specializes in wearing out defenses. This week they have to go to Tempe. It's ASU 27-10

Both USC QBs (Slovis and Dart) are questionable for the game, but either way I'm picking this game to be the surprise game of the week with Oregon St. making it very close. USC 27-23

Washington has injury issues at WR but they have still been productive. This is a bad matchup for Cal's D which is getting lit up in the passing game. However, Cal matches up well on the other side, running the ball against a bad Washington rushing D. So, in that sense, it will be a bit like UCLA vs. Furd with Cal playing the part of UCLA and Furd playing the part of Furd. I always like the running team vs. the passing team, and Cal's offense is balanced, so they can pass too, although Washington's pass D is very good. I'm picking Cal to beat the spread but Washington to win 38-31.

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thanks for all the up to date info. Edited some of my picks.

wifeisafurd said:

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heartofthebear said:

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Welcome to pac-12 play.
I found out some interesting things looking at the stats page on the pac-12 network website. For example, WSU rushes the ball more often than Utah and Utah passes the ball more often than WSU. Also, WSU has better STs overall than Utah. Utah has a better D and the WSU pass D is pretty porous, but WSU also lead in INTs.

The UCLA/Furd matchup won't be much of one when it comes to units. The UCLA rushing attack overmatches the Furd rushing D, but the Furd passing offense will overmatch the UCLA pass D. Expect a lot of scoring unless UCLA tries to pass a lot and Furd tries to run a lot.

Did you know that Arizona allows less yards per game than Oregon? Also Arizona passes for more yards/game than Oregon. Go figure. And they allow over 100 less yards passing than Oregon.

Oregon St. is #1 in the conference in total offense and ranks above USC in scoring offense. They also rank above USC in rushing offense and defense and scoring defense. They are also #1 in TFLs.

Cal has one of the better offenses in the pac-12 and lead in yards/play. Washington has a good D, especially against the pass, so Cal should run against them. Washington will pass against Cal since they have one of the top passing offenses and Cal has one of the worst passing defenses.

Here is the way I see things spinning this week, but don't listen to me, I had only 1 correct pick in week 2 and followed it up with 3-4 last week. I'm somewhere around 9-16 on the year:

Both WSU and Utah have ?? at QB and a key CB injured. So injuries are kind of a wash. I have to say that I hate picking Utah games because I've never really understood Utah's success. I get that they have a brand of football that does well in the conference in they have great coaching. They also are very successful at grabbing top rated transfers. However, this week their top rated QB transfer left the team. They still have a good QB transfer but the spread is way to high in a game that is too close to call. 24-24 at the end of regulation. Who wins, is a toss up.

Stanford is decimated at RB and DB. They do have a lot of unproven bodies at RB and one of their 2 co-starters (Peat) is healthy. I think the bigger problem is their pass D. It is on the farm and Furd is on a roll, but I'm taking UCLA 37-27.

Oregon has had injury issues all year and that didn't stop them from beating tOSU. But I'm concerned about the QB health and there are new injuries at LB. And as bad as Arizona has been and as good as Oregon has been, I think this spread is just a bit too high. Oregon 44-24.

Arizona St. is banged up at a number of positions with key players questionable. But the most significant injury in this game is Colorado QB JT Shrout OFY before last week's game against Minnesota. Colorado responded by getting shut out by a team that really doesn't have a good defense. They were shut out at home, at elevation where Colorado specializes in wearing out defenses. This week they have to go to Tempe. It's ASU 27-10

Both USC QBs (Slovis and Dart) are questionable for the game, but either way I'm picking this game to be the surprise game of the week with Oregon St. making it very close. USC 27-23

Washington has injury issues at WR but they have still been productive. This is a bad matchup for Cal's D which is getting lit up in the passing game. However, Cal matches up well on the other side, running the ball against a bad Washington rushing D. So, in that sense, it will be a bit like UCLA vs. Furd with Cal playing the part of UCLA and Furd playing the part of Furd. I always like the running team vs. the passing team, and Cal's offense is balanced, so they can pass too, although Washington's pass D is very good. I'm picking Cal to beat the spread but Washington to win 38-31.

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thanks for all the up to date info. Edited some of my picks.

---

LOL, I warned you not to listen to me. But I appreciate it anyway.

heartofthebear said:

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wifeisafurd said:

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heartofthebear said:

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Welcome to pac-12 play.
I found out some interesting things looking at the stats page on the pac-12 network website. For example, WSU rushes the ball more often than Utah and Utah passes the ball more often than WSU. Also, WSU has better STs overall than Utah. Utah has a better D and the WSU pass D is pretty porous, but WSU also lead in INTs.

The UCLA/Furd matchup won't be much of one when it comes to units. The UCLA rushing attack overmatches the Furd rushing D, but the Furd passing offense will overmatch the UCLA pass D. Expect a lot of scoring unless UCLA tries to pass a lot and Furd tries to run a lot.

Did you know that Arizona allows less yards per game than Oregon? Also Arizona passes for more yards/game than Oregon. Go figure. And they allow over 100 less yards passing than Oregon.

Oregon St. is #1 in the conference in total offense and ranks above USC in scoring offense. They also rank above USC in rushing offense and defense and scoring defense. They are also #1 in TFLs.

Cal has one of the better offenses in the pac-12 and lead in yards/play. Washington has a good D, especially against the pass, so Cal should run against them. Washington will pass against Cal since they have one of the top passing offenses and Cal has one of the worst passing defenses.

Here is the way I see things spinning this week, but don't listen to me, I had only 1 correct pick in week 2 and followed it up with 3-4 last week. I'm somewhere around 9-16 on the year:

Both WSU and Utah have ?? at QB and a key CB injured. So injuries are kind of a wash. I have to say that I hate picking Utah games because I've never really understood Utah's success. I get that they have a brand of football that does well in the conference in they have great coaching. They also are very successful at grabbing top rated transfers. However, this week their top rated QB transfer left the team. They still have a good QB transfer but the spread is way to high in a game that is too close to call. 24-24 at the end of regulation. Who wins, is a toss up.

Stanford is decimated at RB and DB. They do have a lot of unproven bodies at RB and one of their 2 co-starters (Peat) is healthy. I think the bigger problem is their pass D. It is on the farm and Furd is on a roll, but I'm taking UCLA 37-27.

Oregon has had injury issues all year and that didn't stop them from beating tOSU. But I'm concerned about the QB health and there are new injuries at LB. And as bad as Arizona has been and as good as Oregon has been, I think this spread is just a bit too high. Oregon 44-24.

Arizona St. is banged up at a number of positions with key players questionable. But the most significant injury in this game is Colorado QB JT Shrout OFY before last week's game against Minnesota. Colorado responded by getting shut out by a team that really doesn't have a good defense. They were shut out at home, at elevation where Colorado specializes in wearing out defenses. This week they have to go to Tempe. It's ASU 27-10

Both USC QBs (Slovis and Dart) are questionable for the game, but either way I'm picking this game to be the surprise game of the week with Oregon St. making it very close. USC 27-23

Washington has injury issues at WR but they have still been productive. This is a bad matchup for Cal's D which is getting lit up in the passing game. However, Cal matches up well on the other side, running the ball against a bad Washington rushing D. So, in that sense, it will be a bit like UCLA vs. Furd with Cal playing the part of UCLA and Furd playing the part of Furd. I always like the running team vs. the passing team, and Cal's offense is balanced, so they can pass too, although Washington's pass D is very good. I'm picking Cal to beat the spread but Washington to win 38-31.

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thanks for all the up to date info. Edited some of my picks.

---

LOL, I warned you not to listen to me. But I appreciate it anyway.

---

I'm so lousy at this it can only help.

wifeisafurd said:

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heartofthebear said:

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wifeisafurd said:

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heartofthebear said:

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Welcome to pac-12 play.
I found out some interesting things looking at the stats page on the pac-12 network website. For example, WSU rushes the ball more often than Utah and Utah passes the ball more often than WSU. Also, WSU has better STs overall than Utah. Utah has a better D and the WSU pass D is pretty porous, but WSU also lead in INTs.

The UCLA/Furd matchup won't be much of one when it comes to units. The UCLA rushing attack overmatches the Furd rushing D, but the Furd passing offense will overmatch the UCLA pass D. Expect a lot of scoring unless UCLA tries to pass a lot and Furd tries to run a lot.

Did you know that Arizona allows less yards per game than Oregon? Also Arizona passes for more yards/game than Oregon. Go figure. And they allow over 100 less yards passing than Oregon.

Oregon St. is #1 in the conference in total offense and ranks above USC in scoring offense. They also rank above USC in rushing offense and defense and scoring defense. They are also #1 in TFLs.

Cal has one of the better offenses in the pac-12 and lead in yards/play. Washington has a good D, especially against the pass, so Cal should run against them. Washington will pass against Cal since they have one of the top passing offenses and Cal has one of the worst passing defenses.

Here is the way I see things spinning this week, but don't listen to me, I had only 1 correct pick in week 2 and followed it up with 3-4 last week. I'm somewhere around 9-16 on the year:

Both WSU and Utah have ?? at QB and a key CB injured. So injuries are kind of a wash. I have to say that I hate picking Utah games because I've never really understood Utah's success. I get that they have a brand of football that does well in the conference in they have great coaching. They also are very successful at grabbing top rated transfers. However, this week their top rated QB transfer left the team. They still have a good QB transfer but the spread is way to high in a game that is too close to call. 24-24 at the end of regulation. Who wins, is a toss up.

Stanford is decimated at RB and DB. They do have a lot of unproven bodies at RB and one of their 2 co-starters (Peat) is healthy. I think the bigger problem is their pass D. It is on the farm and Furd is on a roll, but I'm taking UCLA 37-27.

Oregon has had injury issues all year and that didn't stop them from beating tOSU. But I'm concerned about the QB health and there are new injuries at LB. And as bad as Arizona has been and as good as Oregon has been, I think this spread is just a bit too high. Oregon 44-24.

Arizona St. is banged up at a number of positions with key players questionable. But the most significant injury in this game is Colorado QB JT Shrout OFY before last week's game against Minnesota. Colorado responded by getting shut out by a team that really doesn't have a good defense. They were shut out at home, at elevation where Colorado specializes in wearing out defenses. This week they have to go to Tempe. It's ASU 27-10

Both USC QBs (Slovis and Dart) are questionable for the game, but either way I'm picking this game to be the surprise game of the week with Oregon St. making it very close. USC 27-23

Washington has injury issues at WR but they have still been productive. This is a bad matchup for Cal's D which is getting lit up in the passing game. However, Cal matches up well on the other side, running the ball against a bad Washington rushing D. So, in that sense, it will be a bit like UCLA vs. Furd with Cal playing the part of UCLA and Furd playing the part of Furd. I always like the running team vs. the passing team, and Cal's offense is balanced, so they can pass too, although Washington's pass D is very good. I'm picking Cal to beat the spread but Washington to win 38-31.

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thanks for all the up to date info. Edited some of my picks.

---

LOL, I warned you not to listen to me. But I appreciate it anyway.

---

I'm so lousy at this it can only help.

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It's been a schizo year, and that's not hyperbole. I mean, none of the pac-12 teams are the same team 2 weeks in a row. I suppose Oregon, maybe Oregon St, are sort of on schedule but I can't think of anyone else that is making sense. BTW, that really great Fresno St. team that beat that really good UCLA team is losing late in the 3rd quarter to 0-3 UNLV.

Last week I went 5-5-1 (the way I figured it, the Oregon/Stony Brook game was a push as the final point differential matched the spread of 41 - please correct me if I'm wrong), making me 13-14-1 for the season to date.

Cal @ Washington: Going with my heart - Huskies will, but fail to cover has me betting on Cal.

WSU @ Utah: Up until last week, I believed in the Utes, regardless of past performance. Sorry, no more. Yes, they are the better team, but I'm betting on WSU to beat the spread.

UCLA @ Stanford: I'm still not sure what to make of Stanford, while UCLA has been less than overwhelming. Nevertheless, I'm picking the Bruins to cover.

OSU @ USC: The Beavers have been stronger than I anticipated. But I still think the Trojans have the depth to win and cover.

Colorado@ ASU: Sun Devils, easy.

UA @ Oregon: The Wildcats are so bad, they make everyone else look like worldbeaters. I normally hate large spreads, but at Autzen Stadium, I think the Ducks cover.