ACC Preseason Poll

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DoubtfulBear
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https://theacc.com/news/2025/7/30/clemson-picked-as-preseason-favorite-in-2025-acc-football-media-poll.aspx

Hoping we can prove the rest of the conference wrong, but #15 Cal vs #17 Furd could be the worst Big Game of all time
calumnus
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DoubtfulBear said:

https://theacc.com/news/2025/7/30/clemson-picked-as-preseason-favorite-in-2025-acc-football-media-poll.aspx

Hoping we can prove the rest of the conference wrong, but #15 Cal vs #17 Furd could be the worst Big Game of all time

There have been many Big Game battles for last place in the Pac over the years, but just last year Big Game was two teams that finished tied second to last. Cal went into the game tied for last place with a single ACC win. It is a bit scary that both teams could be worse this year.
C6Bear
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How can you even rate these teams with all of the offseason turnover and changes until you see them play? More than half of the conference looks like a huge question mark. Seems to me that from Duke on down in that list could finish anywhere.
calumnus
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C6Bear said:

How can you even rate these teams with all of the offseason turnover and changes until you see them play? More than half of the conference looks like a huge question mark. Seems to me that from Duke on down in that list could finish anywhere.

People are looking at where teams finished last year and then looking at the ratings of the talent that left and the ratings of the talent that came in.

Cal had a top 20 Portal class last year and finished 2-6 and second to last. From that second to last team we lost Mendoza our 4 star QB, Ott our 4 star RB, Hunter our 4 star WR and Endries our 4 star TE. Plus all our other RBs, WRs and our DBs (the latter to graduation). Our only incoming 4 star is Sagapolutele but everyone seems to think 3 star Brown will start. We have the #69 recruiting class. Our transfer class is #38, but that is buoyed by highly ranked Sagapolutele, without him we have only 3 stars and below and would be ranked in the bottom half of FBS.

Of course that doesn't mean that is where we will finish. Rankings can be very wrong. SMU was picked near the bottom of the ACC last year (and also with a top 20 Portal class) made the CFPs. We have less rational reason for anyone outside of irrational Cal fans to pick us any higher. Again, we can hope that analysis is wrong. For one, I thought coaching held us back last year losing 4 or 5 conference games we easily could have won. Or better FG kicking. 6-2 or 7-1 would look very different. So maybe that doesn't happen again this year? Maybe not 7-1, but 4-4 or 5-3? With 3 or 4 OOC wins is entirely possible even if we are not as talented as last year's team.
Strykur
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We were last in the ACC halfway through last season and that was after losing to the worst Florida State team of all time, losing to a Pitt squad that started 7-0 but crashed out to 7-5, losing to a dog**** NC State, etc...

Preseason polls don't mean much but think of it as a power ranking, what juice do we have going into 2025 to convince media members that we will compete in the ACC, especially after last year's showing?
calumnus
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Strykur said:

We were last in the ACC halfway through last season and that was after losing to the worst Florida State team of all time, losing to a Pitt squad that started 7-0 but crashed out to 7-5, losing to a dog**** NC State, etc...

Preseason polls don't mean much but think of it as a power ranking, what juice do we have going into 2025 to convince media members that we will compete in the ACC, especially after last year's showing?


Exactly. And on paper at least, we appear to be worse than last year. There is no reason for any outsider to pick us higher.
bear2034
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calumnus said:

Exactly. And on paper at least, we appear to be worse than last year. There is no reason for any outsider to pick us higher.

On paper, we looked like a 8-4 team last year.
Strykur
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bear2034 said:

calumnus said:

Exactly. And on paper at least, we appear to be worse than last year. There is no reason for any outsider to pick us higher.

On paper, we looked like a 8-4 team last year.

On paper we were a 10-win team last year, if not for having the worst placekicking in FBS.
Golden One
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DoubtfulBear said:

https://theacc.com/news/2025/7/30/clemson-picked-as-preseason-favorite-in-2025-acc-football-media-poll.aspx

Hoping we can prove the rest of the conference wrong, but #15 Cal vs #17 Furd could be the worst Big Game of all time

They recognize that Justin Wilcox is still our head coach. That really limits our upward potential.
BearSD
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Strykur said:

bear2034 said:

calumnus said:

Exactly. And on paper at least, we appear to be worse than last year. There is no reason for any outsider to pick us higher.

On paper, we looked like a 8-4 team last year.

On paper we were a 10-win team last year, if not for having the worst placekicking in FBS.


Cal's 2023 kicker, Bhaghani, was 20-24 on FG attempts and 20-20 on PATs for UCLA in 2024.
Bobodeluxe
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Money talks in professional sports.
Oski87
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calumnus said:

C6Bear said:

How can you even rate these teams with all of the offseason turnover and changes until you see them play? More than half of the conference looks like a huge question mark. Seems to me that from Duke on down in that list could finish anywhere.

People are looking at where teams finished last year and then looking at the ratings of the talent that left and the ratings of the talent that came in.

Cal had a top 20 Portal class last year and finished 2-6 and second to last. From that second to last team we lost Mendoza our 4 star QB, Ott our 4 star RB, Hunter our 4 star WR and Endries our 4 star TE. Plus all our other RBs, WRs and our DBs (the latter to graduation). Our only incoming 4 star is Sagapolutele but everyone seems to think 3 star Brown will start. We have the #69 recruiting class. Our transfer class is #38, but that is buoyed by highly ranked Sagapolutele, without him we have only 3 stars and below and would be ranked in the bottom half of FBS.

Of course that doesn't mean that is where we will finish. Rankings can be very wrong. SMU was picked near the bottom of the ACC last year (and also with a top 20 Portal class) made the CFPs. We have less rational reason for anyone outside of irrational Cal fans to pick us any higher. Again, we can hope that analysis is wrong. For one, I thought coaching held us back last year losing 4 or 5 conference games we easily could have won. Or better FG kicking. 6-2 or 7-1 would look very different. So maybe that doesn't happen again this year? Maybe not 7-1, but 4-4 or 5-3? With 3 or 4 OOC wins is entirely possible even if we are not as talented as last year's team.


Mendoza was a 2 star QB.
panda
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Oski87 said:

calumnus said:

C6Bear said:

How can you even rate these teams with all of the offseason turnover and changes until you see them play? More than half of the conference looks like a huge question mark. Seems to me that from Duke on down in that list could finish anywhere.

People are looking at where teams finished last year and then looking at the ratings of the talent that left and the ratings of the talent that came in.

Cal had a top 20 Portal class last year and finished 2-6 and second to last. From that second to last team we lost Mendoza our 4 star QB, Ott our 4 star RB, Hunter our 4 star WR and Endries our 4 star TE. Plus all our other RBs, WRs and our DBs (the latter to graduation). Our only incoming 4 star is Sagapolutele but everyone seems to think 3 star Brown will start. We have the #69 recruiting class. Our transfer class is #38, but that is buoyed by highly ranked Sagapolutele, without him we have only 3 stars and below and would be ranked in the bottom half of FBS.

Of course that doesn't mean that is where we will finish. Rankings can be very wrong. SMU was picked near the bottom of the ACC last year (and also with a top 20 Portal class) made the CFPs. We have less rational reason for anyone outside of irrational Cal fans to pick us any higher. Again, we can hope that analysis is wrong. For one, I thought coaching held us back last year losing 4 or 5 conference games we easily could have won. Or better FG kicking. 6-2 or 7-1 would look very different. So maybe that doesn't happen again this year? Maybe not 7-1, but 4-4 or 5-3? With 3 or 4 OOC wins is entirely possible even if we are not as talented as last year's team.


Mendoza was a 2 star QB.


He was a four star transfer QB to Indiana.
6956bear
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C6Bear said:

How can you even rate these teams with all of the offseason turnover and changes until you see them play? More than half of the conference looks like a huge question mark. Seems to me that from Duke on down in that list could finish anywhere.

Agree. But taking off our blue and gold glasses for a minute lets look at what has happened. Cal won 2 conference games a year ago. Many focus on the close losses and what could have been. But what happened is they were 2-6. The 15th consecutive season of less than a .500 conference record. They were not just FSUs only conference win but their only FBS as win.

Cal has a poor history. They still have the same HC. They have lost 4 guys to the NFL draft from a defense that was good despite the poor W/L record. They lost their 3000 yd QB who was productive despite being a sensitive me first sort. They lost the entire RB room. Their starting TE. And many of the top prodcuing WRs.This team has 6 returning starters (Uluave, McCulloch, Keannaina, Grizell, Vatikani and Morrow).

Where would you put this team if you were predicting the season? I completely understand why they have Cal where they do. I may have put them ahead of Virginia and maybe BC. I think it interesting that the only 2 teams below Cal were Cal's only conference wins.

This team and program have a lot to prove. They are not going to get the benefit of the doubt from anyone outside the most ardent Cal supporters. They have made an enormous number of changes within the program and team. I hope it works. It needs to.
Rushinbear
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BearSD said:

Strykur said:

bear2034 said:

calumnus said:

Exactly. And on paper at least, we appear to be worse than last year. There is no reason for any outsider to pick us higher.

On paper, we looked like a 8-4 team last year.

On paper we were a 10-win team last year, if not for having the worst placekicking in FBS.


Cal's 2023 kicker, Bhaghani, was 20-24 on FG attempts and 20-20 on PATs for UCLA in 2024.

when he was with us, it was said that he didn't have the distance.
bear2034
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Strykur said:

bear2034 said:

calumnus said:

Exactly. And on paper at least, we appear to be worse than last year. There is no reason for any outsider to pick us higher.

On paper, we looked like a 8-4 team last year.

On paper we were a 10-win team last year, if not for having the worst placekicking in FBS.

On paper, Cal defeats everyone except Miami and SMU?
calumnus
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bear2034 said:

Strykur said:

bear2034 said:

calumnus said:

Exactly. And on paper at least, we appear to be worse than last year. There is no reason for any outsider to pick us higher.

On paper, we looked like a 8-4 team last year.

On paper we were a 10-win team last year, if not for having the worst placekicking in FBS.

On paper, Cal defeats everyone except Miami and SMU?


We had Miami beat at home up 20 in the 4th quarter in front of a big, loud Game Day crowd.
calumnus
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panda said:

Oski87 said:

calumnus said:

C6Bear said:

How can you even rate these teams with all of the offseason turnover and changes until you see them play? More than half of the conference looks like a huge question mark. Seems to me that from Duke on down in that list could finish anywhere.

People are looking at where teams finished last year and then looking at the ratings of the talent that left and the ratings of the talent that came in.

Cal had a top 20 Portal class last year and finished 2-6 and second to last. From that second to last team we lost Mendoza our 4 star QB, Ott our 4 star RB, Hunter our 4 star WR and Endries our 4 star TE. Plus all our other RBs, WRs and our DBs (the latter to graduation). Our only incoming 4 star is Sagapolutele but everyone seems to think 3 star Brown will start. We have the #69 recruiting class. Our transfer class is #38, but that is buoyed by highly ranked Sagapolutele, without him we have only 3 stars and below and would be ranked in the bottom half of FBS.

Of course that doesn't mean that is where we will finish. Rankings can be very wrong. SMU was picked near the bottom of the ACC last year (and also with a top 20 Portal class) made the CFPs. We have less rational reason for anyone outside of irrational Cal fans to pick us any higher. Again, we can hope that analysis is wrong. For one, I thought coaching held us back last year losing 4 or 5 conference games we easily could have won. Or better FG kicking. 6-2 or 7-1 would look very different. So maybe that doesn't happen again this year? Maybe not 7-1, but 4-4 or 5-3? With 3 or 4 OOC wins is entirely possible even if we are not as talented as last year's team.


Mendoza was a 2 star QB.


He was a four star transfer QB to Indiana.


Exactly. Mendoza, Ott, Hunter and Endries were all rated as 4 star transfers out from our offense. All are expected to start and star at Indiana, Oklahoma, Nebraska and Texas respectively. In addition, the constantly under-rated Javian "The Jet" Thomas is expected to start and will likely star at UCLA.

Only Sagapolutele was rated as a 4 star transfer in, but most here think 3 star transfer Brown will get the nod at QB this season. So as far as the "experts" are concerned, we are on balance having a large talent downgrade from a team that finished second to last in an 18 team conference. People here seem to think Harsin and "toughness" will make up the difference but that did not happen when he was at Auburn where he had a terrible offense even with a junior Bo Nix at quarterback and had an NFL draft pick at RB. The outside experts are not impressed.
BearlyCareAnymore
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calumnus said:

Strykur said:

We were last in the ACC halfway through last season and that was after losing to the worst Florida State team of all time, losing to a Pitt squad that started 7-0 but crashed out to 7-5, losing to a dog**** NC State, etc...

Preseason polls don't mean much but think of it as a power ranking, what juice do we have going into 2025 to convince media members that we will compete in the ACC, especially after last year's showing?


Exactly. And on paper at least, we appear to be worse than last year. There is no reason for any outsider to pick us higher.


The annual cycle:

Everyone besides Cal fans: Cal will be bad again this year
Cal fan: these predictions are meaningless, how can you know we will be bad until we play the games?

We play the games. Cal is bad.

Everyone: Cal will be bad again next year

Cal fans: these predictions are meaningless

Repeat ad nauseum
Golden One
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calumnus said:

bear2034 said:

On paper, Cal defeats everyone except Miami and SMU?


We had Miami beat at home up 20 in the 4th quarter in front of a big, loud Game Day crowd.

And then we got Wilcoxed.
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