diva1;841971901 said:
The next 4 seem to be the easier games before we end with OU and OSU.
If Cal does not win 4 of 6 and become bowl eligible is their a win total that insures Tedford comes back?
Other than Oregon there is no premier pac12 team and if Cal plays well and shows improvement we could win 6, unlikely but possible.
Yes, the next 4 games are winnable, but it won't be easy.
Oct 13 - at WSU
Leach is a very good coach and the Cougars won't be a pushover despite the talent disparity. If the team we saw defeat UCLA shows up, Cal will pull out a win, if the team that faced USC and ASU shows up, Cal will likely lose an away game. Before UCLA I thought this was no better than 50/50, now I'd say its 80/20 that Cal will win this one.
Oct 20 - Big Game
Stanford found it's offense against Arizona (admittedly Zona has no defense this season.). They have been playing tough against the run, and will definitely try to get Maynard out of his comfort zone and throwing on the run. With the O-line still less than stellar the Cal offense is likely to struggle, but it is Big Game. I'll be generous and put this at 45/55. Stanford is enough better at the moment that they should win this one.
Oct 27 - At Utah.
Utah has a defense, but absolutely no offense. Worse, their strength is on the D-line and interior LBs, which will put a ton of pressure on the Cal O-line. And its away. However, the lack of an offense makes this one where Cal can win if they get 3 TDs. 85/15 for Cal at the moment.
Nov 2 - UW
Washington's big problem is the lack of an O-line. They have shown that they have an aggresive swarming defense which should match up well against Cal, but their offense is extremely weak compared to last season. I expect both teams to be hyped up at least some due to the Tosh-gate situation. Unfortunately, Sark has definitely had Tedford's number and seems to have little trouble defeating Cal. 40/60 on Cal to win.
I my mind 2-2 is by far the most likely outcome at the moment. I'd be thrilled to see Cal pull out 3-1, which would get us to 5-7 if we consider Oregon and OSU as sure losses to end the season.