Phil Steele free preview of Texas

4,746 Views | 17 Replies | Last: 10 yr ago by going4roses
buster99
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For those interested, Phil Steele has posted his two page preview of Texas for free today

http://philsteele.com/Pdf/Blogs/2015_Top_40/33_Texas.pdf
FuzzyWuzzy
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buster99;842505088 said:

For those interested, Phil Steele has posted his two page preview of Texas for free today

http://philsteele.com/Pdf/Blogs/2015_Top_40/33_Texas.pdf


Wow, so many abbrevs. it's hard to read. Are they supposed to be any good? I mostly worry about their DL manhandling our OL, which happened when we played them in the bowl game a few years back. I think this article says they have 6 of their top 8 DL back.
hanky1
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I think the rag just came out. Gotta pick up my copy soon. Definitely not 'beginner friendly' though but Steele and Paul Myerberg are - by a wide margin - the best national writers covering college football.
BoaltBear
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Can someone interpret and post a summary in English?
bearsandgiants
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that's not a texas summary. that's JT's play card.
Rushinbear
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FuzzyWuzzy;842505104 said:

Wow, so many abbrevs. it's hard to read. Are they supposed to be any good? I mostly worry about their DL manhandling our OL, which happened when we played them in the bowl game a few years back. I think this article says they have 6 of their top 8 DL back.


Phil seems to like them, esp D and OL. Then, he posts returning starters O 7 D 5. They're built to stop a pro set team, not a pass happy attack. On O, all will depend on the QB. He's puffing up Swoopes, but he's a liability.
Strykur
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He is quite high on them for most improved teams in college football.
heartofthebear
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If you actually read the text, you will see that Steele places a great deal of value on what he calls a VHT.
A "VHT" is a very highly touted player. There are also players that are merely highly touted.

He determines these categories by accumulating 8 different rating systems including the ones you here about plus more.
He then puts into a metric that ends up with a #. The lower the #, the more highly acclaimed the player.

This helps to understand why he came up with the players he did for the pre-season all conference teams.
But these measures too heavily weigh the accomplishments of these players prior to getting to D1 football.
He does not modify these ratings after they have played in college.

So, his evaluation of players for an all-conference team is not all that accurate.
Despite his claims, there are many ways that Steele is not accurate.
This is particularly true of his "projected starting line-up" as he once again assumes that it will be largely based on VHT ranking.

I would not get too intimidated by the # of VHTs on the Texas squad. They have always been loaded with VHTs.
All the top programs are loaded with VHTs every year. Texas is still a top program from a recruiting standpoint. But that doesn't mean they play like it.
What is a little more telling is the # of returning starters.
A returning starter is in capital letters.
And also I'm a bit concerned that Strong is entering his 2nd year, a year when teams usually make major improvements, especially under good coaches.

What I do like about Steele's magazine is that it is an encycopedic level piece of reference material.
If you are just trying to get accurate information on what has historically happened, he's great.

If you are using him to predict the future, be careful.

But Steele did not underestimate only Cal, he seriously under-estimated the WSU receivers, which, as a group, are as good as anybody in the conference.
hanky1
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Steele has always been more of a 'macroeconomics' guy. Don't trust him for 'microeconomics' though.
BerlinerBaer
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Rushinbear;842505213 said:

Phil seems to like them, esp D and OL. Then, he posts returning starters O 7 D 5. They're built to stop a pro set team, not a pass happy attack. On O, all will depend on the QB. He's puffing up Swoopes, but he's a liability.


Odd, if true. These days the Big 12 is loaded with spread offenses that resemble Cal's, at least superficially.
moonpod
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BerlinerBaer;842506285 said:

Odd, if true. These days the Big 12 is loaded with spread offenses that resemble Cal's, at least superficially.


And they had trouble stopping them
SFHorn
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moonpod;842506349 said:

And they had trouble stopping them


Actually not true. Our D performed (for the most part) very well against Big12 offenses. We ran into issues given how bad our offense was, which consistently put our D in bad spots.
Rushinbear
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BayAreaHorn;842506605 said:

Actually not true. Our D performed (for the most part) very well against Big12 offenses. We ran into issues given how bad our offense was, which consistently put our D in bad spots.


Strong lucked into Teddy Bridgewater at UL and without him might have lost 2 or 3 more. And, might not be at UT today. It doesn't appear that UT has anything close to Teddy, so we'll see if Charlie can gin up an attack with less than 5 star talent. At least, he'll have an OL, according to Steele.
going4roses
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im wondering how adjusted they will be to running up tempo on offense and defense .. is the stamia going to be there that change takes more than 1 off season
SonOfCalVa
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going4roses;842506621 said:

im wondering how adjusted they will be to running up tempo on offense and defense .. is the stamina going to be there that change takes more than 1 off season


as we know, switching to "up-tempo" requires a lot of practice with technique, not just increased stamina and S&C.
going4roses
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SonOfCalVa;842506625 said:

as we know, switching to "up-tempo" requires a lot of practice with technique, not just increased stamina and S&C.


right the whole ball of wax ..

does UT have indoor practice field ? i can remember vic saying he loves the off season weather here cause its easier on the body vs tx..
going4roses
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as usual it will come down the the best prepared team that that shows up coming to ball /execute at a HIGH LEVEL ....

i hope we really take care of business in the first two games ... SDst will have the Nevada edge to them coming to play need to go into austin healthy and READY get the win
Eastern Oregon Bear
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Here are Phil Steele's previews of Utah (#27), Arizona State (#29) and Arizona (#34):

http://www.philsteele.com/Pdf/Blogs/2015_Top_40/27_Utah.pdf

http://www.philsteele.com/Pdf/Blogs/2015_Top_40/29_ArizonaSt.pdf

http://www.philsteele.com/Pdf/Blogs/2015_Top_40/34_Arizona.pdf

I tried to see if the higher ranked teams could be accessed with a little URL tinkering, but they don't seem to be up yet.
going4roses
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hmm k the CAL vs utah game will be on Homecoming weekend
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