Well this is the game we realize Sonny will not take us to the Rose Bowl

13,036 Views | 124 Replies | Last: 10 yr ago by HuntingtonBear
BearlyCareAnymore
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wifeisafurd;842577578 said:

that is likely not as true anymore thanks to the TV contract. Without getting into details about last minute and night time scheduling, etc, just realize that many people now would rather watch the game in their surround sound huge HD TV room (since every game is now televised) than deal with the hassle of the game day experience. Even if Cal had the same record as during the JT years, the AD staff will tell you (as they have told me) Cal will not draw as well. A look at peer schools, Furd and UCLA, are used as examples. They simply are not drawing fans as well despite success on the field. The one exception conference appears to be Utah, which has sold out 42 times in a row, but they also have an undersized stadium.


I don't think Cal's fan base is the same as UCLA or Stanford's and I think our AD is completely wrong in this one. Of course what you are saying they believe leads them to the conclusion that we might as well suck for all they care.
GB54
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wifeisafurd;842577578 said:

that is likely not as true anymore thanks to the TV contract. Without getting into details about last minute and night time scheduling, etc, just realize that many people now would rather watch the game in their surround sound huge HD TV room (since every game is now televised) than deal with the hassle of the game day experience. Even if Cal had the same record as during the JT years, the AD staff will tell you (as they have told me) Cal will not draw as well. A look at peer schools, Furd and UCLA, are used as examples. They simply are not drawing fans as well despite success on the field. The one exception conference appears to be Utah, which has sold out 42 times in a row, but they also have an undersized stadium.


UCLA led the conference in attendance last year averaging over 76000. Since 2011 their average attendance has increased by more than 20,000 per game which is damn good.
JSML
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housingbear;842577519 said:

The last time there was this much preseason excitement for Cal BB was 2003 with the Powe, Ubaka, Kately, McGuire class. We were terrible.


I can assure you that this team with Jaylen Brown is not going to be terrible.
CaptOski
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4thGenCal;842577511 said:

What is distressing that to Me is that Cal should be better than we have shown over the past several years - Tedford proved that we can compete for titles (co-league champion), #7 ranking, another year #2 ranked nationally mid year etc. And yes Football program/athletic performance is extremely important to many of us. Call it sense of pride, loyalty, competitive spirit, "why not us" attitude etc. Its been well documented that leading athletic performances in Football and basketball (to a lesser degree) incentivise Cal alums, to donate to various programs (athletic and non-athletic endeavors). I became an ESP contributor originally because in part due to Tedford's performance and also because I felt that financial support was needed to a much over do project. Many of us assist with the Basketball program just so the program has a fighting chance financially. Several of the other League's schools have large internal budgets for recruiting, charter flights, overseas play every 4 years etc. Our athletic performance is important to many of us and that does not mean we want just "a football factory". Seeing our football team go 0-9 vs Ucla,SC, Furd, Oregon over the past 3 years can beaten down expectations - lets dare to be great and support our programs financially as reasonable and in attendance as schedule's permit.


:bravo
59bear
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Academics are not a problem for UCLA or, lately, LSJU. It's just something we use as an excuse.
KoreAmBear
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59bear;842577757 said:

Academics are not a problem for UCLA or, lately, LSJU. It's just something we use as an excuse.


It's not an excuse when we are behind the APR/GSR eight ball.
BerlinerBaer
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59bear;842577757 said:

Academics are not a problem for UCLA or, lately, LSJU. It's just something we use as an excuse.


If UCLA was the one teetering over the brink of sanctions a few years ago and not us, Takk McKinley would likely be a Bear and not a Bruin.

Our academic standards are nothing special normally, but the past few seasons have not been normal.
59bear
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But people have been saying forever that we can't be expected to compete with schools that are softer academically than we are. There is a difference between Cal and the ASUs of the world in terms of academic rigor but I believe our academic issues stem more from the fact that we haven't provided adequate support/oversight than from the fact that our academic hurles are insurmountable.
BearlyCareAnymore
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59bear;842577788 said:

But people have been saying forever that we can't be expected to compete with schools that are softer academically than we are. There is a difference between Cal and the ASUs of the world in terms of academic rigor but I believe our academic issues stem more from the fact that we haven't provided adequate support/oversight than from the fact that our academic hurles are insurmountable.


When Stanford and UCLA were down and we were up, their fans used to claim that they couldn't compete because of academics. I used to laugh at them because as long as they believed that they would lose. Now I just cry.

It is what we have in common with Stanford and UCLA. When we lose we try to make ourselves feel better by claiming academic and ethical superiority.
sycasey
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OaktownBear;842577794 said:

When Stanford and UCLA were down and we were up, their fans used to claim that they couldn't compete because of academics. I used to laugh at them because as long as they believed that they would lose. Now I just cry.

It is what we have in common with Stanford and UCLA. When we lose we try to make ourselves feel better by claiming academic and ethical superiority.


Yes, and during those years our retort back to UCLA fans was that their academic requirements were exactly the same as ours. Well, they still are. Academics are not an excuse.
510Bear
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4thGenCal;842577511 said:

What is distressing that to Me is that Cal should be better than we have shown over the past several years - Tedford proved that we can compete for titles (co-league champion), #7 ranking, another year #2 ranked nationally mid year etc. And yes Football program/athletic performance is extremely important to many of us. Call it sense of pride, loyalty, competitive spirit, "why not us" attitude etc. Its been well documented that leading athletic performances in Football and basketball (to a lesser degree) incentivise Cal alums, to donate to various programs (athletic and non-athletic endeavors). I became an ESP contributor originally because in part due to Tedford's performance and also because I felt that financial support was needed to a much over do project. Many of us assist with the Basketball program just so the program has a fighting chance financially. Several of the other League's schools have large internal budgets for recruiting, charter flights, overseas play every 4 years etc. Our athletic performance is important to many of us and that does not mean we want just "a football factory". Seeing our football team go 0-9 vs Ucla,SC, Furd, Oregon over the past 3 years can beaten down expectations - lets dare to be great and support our programs financially as reasonable and in attendance as schedule's permit.


:bravo

(because it can't be said enough. Also, I hope your fellow donors don't beat you up or excommunicate you for being too....reasonable!)
HuntingtonBear
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BeachyBear;842576356 said:

Hey I'm disappointed but did ANYONE seriously expect the Bears to be competing for the RB 3 years after 2012 and 2 years after 2013?

Yes low level bowl very likely 8 wins still possible. That's a pretty good season all things considered.

And... If we were serious about a RB maybe we should try paying better than worst in the Pac 12 for coaches. Just saying...

Still love this team. It'll be ok.






Thanks Baghdad Bob from Hawthorne.
HuntingtonBear
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socaltownie;842576407 said:

Yup. I just think it is brutally obvious though that 8 wins is about the ceiling for the program under the current PAC-12 and under a regime that cares about academics.


You might very well think that, but I couldn't possibly comment.

Sincerely,

Francis Urquhart[ATTACH=CONFIG]5196[/ATTACH]
tequila4kapp
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A few years ago when UCLA hired a string of incompetent coaches and sucked they claimed their academics were problematic and more stringent than Cal's. We rightfully called bullshit. Oh how the tables have turned.
Cal89
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Drawing parallels and comparing to UCLA is seemingly sound...

Before Mora they had Neuheisel of course. I remember many of us here wanting him to do just well enough to stay longer, because UCLA was clearly not performing all that well under his leadership. His first three years, he got just 2 or 3 conferences wins each season, with one 7 win season, that included a bowl victory.

He was terminated after his fourth and best season, 5 conference wins, and they won the South. Technically, he was fired before the end of that season as a 50-0 shellacking to Southern Cal is what finally did it...

Are we going to see 5 conference wins this season? At one point quite a few us thought that would be doable...

In 2013 - 0 conference wins
2014 - 3 conference wins (Buffs, Cougs and Beavs)
2015 - 2 conference wins and counting (UW, Cougs...

Neuheisel got canned after his best season, winning the South, and taking the team to two bowls in four years. If SD were to replicate that here, something comparable, a BS bowl or two, I wonder if he'd be let go... I bet most of us would think not, some even agreeing, possibly wanting to extend.

We expect and demand less, that's what we are apt to get...
ultramantaro
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Cal89;842578903 said:

Drawing parallels and comparing to UCLA is seemingly sound...

Before Mora they had Neuheisel of course. I remember many of us here wanting him to do just well enough to stay longer, because UCLA was clearly not performing all that well under his leadership. His first three years, he got just 2 or 3 conferences wins each season, with one 7 win season, that included a bowl victory.

He was terminated after his fourth and best season, 5 conference wins, and they won the South. Technically, he was fired before the end of that season as a 50-0 shellacking to Southern Cal is what finally did it...

Are we going to see 5 conference wins this season? At one point quite a few us thought that would be doable...

In 2013 - 0 conference wins
2014 - 3 conference wins (Buffs, Cougs and Beavs)
2015 - 2 conference wins and counting (UW, Cougs...

Neuheisel got canned after his best season, winning the South, and taking the team to two bowls in four years. If SD were to replicate that here, something comparable, a BS bowl or two, I wonder if he'd be let go... I bet most of us would think not, some even agreeing, possibly wanting to extend.

We expect and demand less, that's what we are apt to get...


+ 1
Strykur
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Rick Neuheisel did get 4 years, but with what we lose this coming offseason, what can we expect in 2016? If we are expecting a downturn, then might as well clean house beforehand.
Cal89
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I saw another thread asking if we can win the Pac-12 next year or a RB (I forgot), if Goff comes back...

If this offense had been trending up, improving, as it should with all the key parts back this year, I find that a valid question. However, the offense has continued to be problematic, as was evident a good part of 2014.

We need some evidence that this offense can work against the decent to good D in this conference. If once again it is a limp dick against the Trojans, yes there's a joke in there, I'll be in full support of a change, ASAP.
Strykur
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At least keep Art Kaufman, the defense is still hit-or-miss but it is better.

Cal89;842578928 said:

We need some evidence that this offense can work against the decent to good D in this conference. If once again it is a limp dick against the Trojans, yes there's a joke in there, I'll be in full support of a change, ASAP.


I do like this mentality for Saturday: clarity as to the potency (or lack thereof) for this offense. We will know how Dykes' tenure will unfold within the first 20 minutes of this game, if USC gets rolling early and our offense is neutralized, start the coaching search because the Air Raid is not ready for primetime. The UCLA game sucked but Thursday night games are always going to throw a team off, Halloween however is going to be the reckoning for Dykes and his regime.
BearlyCareAnymore
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socaltownie;842576407 said:

Yup. I just think it is brutally obvious though that 8 wins is about the ceiling for the program under the current PAC-12 and under a regime that cares about academics.


You know, I'm sorry. I have to start challenging this. Has anyone here actually looked at what Cal has done/is doing on the academic front? First, let's start with that supposedly brutal new academic policy. So the standard for this incoming recruiting class was that 40% of the entire student athlete population has to be over a 3.0. You telling me that is holding us back? We are working up to a standard of 80% of the entire student athlete population which we basically already meet because most of the teams already have a very high rate of 3.0+ students. The final standard that we are ramping up to will have 300 slots that can be designated for "special talent consideration". Quite honestly, the standard isn't that much different than it ever was. And, by the way, it wasn't in place until this year so it really has little to do with this eight game ceiling on the current team.

As for the awesomeness of our academic performance in football, our single year APR for 2012-2013 was 969. For 2013-2014 it was 23 points lower at 946 which the athletic department tried to claim in their press release was because of guys leaving early for the pros except that isn't how APR works and it is 11th place in the Pac-12 and I think a few other teams in the Pac-12 send some guys to the NFL. Let me repeat that: [SIZE=5][/SIZE] 11th place in the Pac-12. That is actual data on actual performance, not little press releases from the AD saying how hard we are working. I know. You want to believe that Cal is awesome at this. I want to also. Which is why this crap ticks me off.

As for accepting an 8 win ceiling to get this top notch academic performance, again, before Tedford tanked across the board, we were regularly second in APR in the conference while we were getting our 10 wins and we had increased our grad rates about 20 percentage points. Remember - UCLA used to claim that our APR was so high because somehow Cal had mick classes that they didn't have, because they needed some excuse to say that they couldn't beat us because of academics even though our APR was higher than theirs.

If our academic focus is killing our chances at football, it seems like we are failing double here. Again, they did the same thing with Holmoe saying all along that is bad statistics were skewed because of Gilby, but at the end it was clear that Holmoe was a horrible failure on the academic side, and they had to know that because they had the individual year data. They not only covered it up but claimed he was doing a great job. Problem for them now is that APR doesn't lag like grad rates do.

Some fans have made such assumptions here that when our APR was posted, the APR that is 11th in conference (and again this is single year - no Tedford) a bunch of posters responded with "great job Sonny!"

All I'm saying is if you assume that we can't succeed in football because of our academic standards, demand to see the data. Right now it does not appear to be close to a legitimate reason.
HuntingtonBear
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OaktownBear;842579063 said:

You know, I'm sorry. I have to start challenging this. Has anyone here actually looked at what Cal has done/is doing on the academic front? First, let's start with that supposedly brutal new academic policy. So the standard for this incoming recruiting class was that 40% of the entire student athlete population has to be over a 3.0. You telling me that is holding us back? We are working up to a standard of 80% of the entire student athlete population which we basically already meet because most of the teams already have a very high rate of 3.0+ students. The final standard that we are ramping up to will have 300 slots that can be designated for "special talent consideration". Quite honestly, the standard isn't that much different than it ever was. And, by the way, it wasn't in place until this year so it really has little to do with this eight game ceiling on the current team.

As for the awesomeness of our academic performance in football, our single year APR for 2012-2013 was 969. For 2013-2014 it was 23 points lower at 946 which the athletic department tried to claim in their press release was because of guys leaving early for the pros except that isn't how APR works and it is 11th place in the Pac-12 and I think a few other teams in the Pac-12 send some guys to the NFL. Let me repeat that: [SIZE=5][/SIZE] 11th place in the Pac-12. That is actual data on actual performance, not little press releases from the AD saying how hard we are working. I know. You want to believe that Cal is awesome at this. I want to also. Which is why this crap ticks me off.

As for accepting an 8 win ceiling to get this top notch academic performance, again, before Tedford tanked across the board, we were regularly second in APR in the conference while we were getting our 10 wins and we had increased our grad rates about 20 percentage points. Remember - UCLA used to claim that our APR was so high because somehow Cal had mick classes that they didn't have, because they needed some excuse to say that they couldn't beat us because of academics even though our APR was higher than theirs.

If our academic focus is killing our chances at football, it seems like we are failing double here. Again, they did the same thing with Holmoe saying all along that is bad statistics were skewed because of Gilby, but at the end it was clear that Holmoe was a horrible failure on the academic side, and they had to know that because they had the individual year data. They not only covered it up but claimed he was doing a great job. Problem for them now is that APR doesn't lag like grad rates do.

Some fans have made such assumptions here that when our APR was posted, the APR that is 11th in conference (and again this is single year - no Tedford) a bunch of posters responded with "great job Sonny!"

All I'm saying is if you assume that we can't succeed in football because of our academic standards, demand to see the data. Right now it does not appear to be close to a legitimate reason.




The major problem is in the coaching and the data that supports this is the overall record the past three years.
 
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