Johnfox said:
We had a somewhat disappointing year so far considering based on how we started. We had that Missouri game, we had the Cornell game, we had the Virginia Tech game. There were no expectations coming into the season and if you asked me now, I'd be content at where we're at. But it's how we lost some of the games that pains me. Who knows if you win those 3 games.
Going into next season, if you can retain Stojakovic, Wilkinson, Omot, Ola-Joseph, and Petraitis, there's a lot of hope and optimism. Maddog will attract talent.
Last year was a botched year because Madsen was hired late and had to scramble to get players - he was put in an awful position and did decently well. This year, everyone left and he has to scramble again to get players and did decently well. Closing out the season with 15-16 wins will be key. You get 15-16 wins and next year may be march madness.
But finish strong, retain the players, and we'll be in march madness next year.
The current state is not very good. They do very little well. They rebound (#102) the ball well And they get to the free throw line (#28).
But they are poor in many other areas.
Assist to turnovers #312
FG% #306
FG % defense #318
3 pt fg% #298
3 pf fg% defense #332
These numbers are very poor. They do not run strong offense nor play good defense. If you are going to play the style Madsen has installed you have to be able to score the ball. And shoot much better from 3 pt range.
There are 355 teams in D1 hoops.
As for finishing strong while anything is possible they play 5 of the last 7 on the road. Including an upcoming game vs Duke. Also Louisville and Stanford. The home games are SMU and BC.
While you can make an argument that 3, maybe 4 wins are possible, IMO 1 or 2 is much more probable.
That would leave Cal at 13 or 14 wins overall. And perhaps as poor as 6-14 in conference.
I would love to see what this team looks like with everyone healthy. BJ Omot is a nice player that has really not played all season. Front court scoring is lacking as well. What I am troubled by watching this team is that they do not seem particularly well coached. So adding talent to overcome that is crucial. Just not enough talent to play the style Madsen is playing.
The ACC other than Duke is down a bit. Some nice teams but only Duke is a monster. No home court advantage either. This team has lost 5 home games. Good teams are very good at home. Attendance and atmosphere are weak. Knowing how hard it is to win on the road you gotta hold serve at home. This team does not do that. Not against the P6 level programs.
Things can change quickly though. Bring back the keepers (Wilkinson, Andrej, JOJ, Omot, Petraitis and Dort) add the 2 frosh and a couple from the portal and the team could be a postseason team next year. Not sure about NCAA but NIT perhaps.
Somehow they need to engage the fanbase. The games are poorly attended. Haas was at one time a very hard venue for opponents. Not anymore.