Holmoephobic;842340584 said:
How quickly you abandoned your last point. Stop using conjecture and start using evidence to make your points. "Do your really believe (insert point here)" is a terrible way to make a point. Use data, evidence, or at least a soundbite from someone who is an authority on the subject. The fact that you are attempting to use one player to make your point should be evidence enough that you don't have a very good one.
As for your question, I believe that Jorge would not have gained in rating regardless of where he signed. He was available AFTER the signing period for a reason, very few teams were interested and the only reason we offered is because of a decommitment. Fortunately for us, his hard work paid immediate dividends.
Holmo - as Civil Bear pointed out - the "data" that would be required would be screen shots since the services do not provide historic information to allow one to see how the rankings move. Sadly, while I try to win ALL my arguments on BI (and usually do) I didn't foresee fighting with you and the street agent over a fairly obvious point.
Our second best alternative is, however, to think logically about this.
A) Why do these web sites put ANYTHING on them? To drive eyeballs to their site. Do you want to dispute that? What other reason could there be?
B) Who has the most eyeballs? Fans of power schools....in part because they have lots of alums and in part because non alums follow them
C) Within the realm of credibility (i.e. a 5'5" guy isn't getting 5 stars even if he signs with Kentucky) there are good reasons (those eyeballs) to grade out recruits and signees of the power schools higher, all other things being equal, than the recruits of non-power schools. Where this probably has the greatest impact is right around the level of the threads original topic - 25 to 100 or so. Higher than 25 it is likely that a LOT of people (including real journalists) have seen the kid and there is a reason for a consensus to emerge. Below 100 and it is probably near random.
D) Why these incentives?
1) in part because of well known group behavior (put 10 guys in a room to "grade" something and they usually are remarkably close if they know how each other voted....if secret much greater spread/variance. WELL known finding in social psych. And remember, these scouting rankings are NOT secret, unless you believe in unicorns and that the Yahoo guys are not reading the ESPN guys posts).
2) IN part because consistently not giving the benefit of the doubt to the schools with the most rabid fans loses you eyeballs. ( "I don't read that crap over there...they always be dissing on my Bruins!")
It really amazes me that we are even having this debate. It simply is incredible that people believe these on the cheap scouting lists, that are designed to drive internet traffic, have much weight in gold and that there isn't a bias toward power school recruits. To believe otherwise just isn't plausible.