annarborbear said:
ClayK said:
There are three things Naya does not do well: Defend, pass and rebound (especially on the defensive end).
There is one things Naya does well: Score. And to do so, she shoots more times per minute on the floor than anyone else.
So what everyone in the gym sees is Naya scoring. What the coaches see is the player she's guarding scoring more than her average, Naya shooting every time she touches it, Naya having 11 assists in 401 minutes (to 33 turnovers), and Naya getting fewer defensive rebounds per minute than Gisella Maul.
Just to add to the discussion, here are the per minute stat comparisons of Walker and Ojukwu:
Points Per Minute
Walker 0.46
Ojukwu 0.61
Rebounds Per Minute
Walker 0.26
Ojukwu 0.27
Assists Per Minute
Walker 0.05
Ojukwu 0.03
TO's Per Minute
Walker 0.95
Ojukwu 0.84
That looks pretty good for a player that had to play out of position at the 5 all season.
And Walker also had fewer defensive rebounds per minute than Maul. But that is not a negative. It is a positive for Maul.
Naya also shot 50% from the floor. So that is someone who should be taking those shots. When Claudia was in instead, she shot 29.6%.
I would say our biggest problem is not having anyone with a mid-range game. Posts have very difficult situations on the offensive end when they have to do everything themselves inside of the perimeter, and with telegraphed passes inside being the norm. Both Barnes and Lulu should be encouraged to take mid-range shots next season.
Good stuff. Just one clarification: I was specifying defensive rebounds. Naya's focus on offense is a positive some of the time, but the modern theory (though some are going against the tide) is that offensive rebounds are less important than stopping transition baskets. So selling out for an OR and not getting it can result in a good look at the other end.
The analytics support that. (They also support shooting threes instead of mid-range shots. Players convert threes at the same percentage as mid-range, overall -- so do you want three points or two?)
The biggest issue for Naya is defensive, and the second is what she does when the ball is not in her hands. There are ten players on the court, and one ball, so raw percentages say you do not have the ball 90% of the time.
And of course you defend 50% of the time, and I would love to see some defensive metrics -- but the Cal public stats are so old school that they don't tell you nearly as much as you'd like.
