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PROJECTING THE CUTLINE: 2019 MEN'S NCAA CHAMPIONSHIPSIn a calculation that will delight bubble swimmers across the country, SwimSwam's Andrew Mering has calculated that all swimmers ranked 30th-or-better in an event nationally this season will be invited to the NCAA Championships.
The Texas men lead the way with a whopping 20 invited swimmers. They are only allowed to take 18 of those, so they'll have to cut 2 today (which will change these invite lists), and
they'd have to cut a further 2 in order to bring the 3 divers that they qualified on Monday at the Zone D Championships.
RANK | SCHOOL | # OF INVITEES1 | Texas | 20
2 | Florida | 15
3 | California | 144 | Missouri | 12
4 | Stanford | 12
6 | Michigan | 11
6 | Virginia | 11
8 | Indiana | 10
8 | NC State | 10
10 | Georgia | 9
SWIMMER | EVENT | SEEDSeliskar, Andrew | 200 Breast | 1
Quah, Zheng | 200 Fly | 2
Thomas, Mike | 400 IM | 2
Whitley, Reece | 200 Breast | 3
Sendyk, Pawel | 50 Free | 3
Mefford, Bryce | 200 Back | 5
Norman, Nick | 1650 Free | 6
Carr, Daniel | 200 Back | 7
Hoffer, Ryan | 50 Free | 7
Arvidsson, Karl | 200 Breast | 9
Grieshop, Sean | 400 IM | 9
Jensen, Michael | 100 Free | 11
Julian, Trenton | 500 Free | 17
Sand, Carson | 100 Breast | 25
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SCORING OUT THE 2019 MEN'S NCAA DIVISION I PRE-SELECTION PSYCH SHEETSWhile no cut lines have been made official, we can still score out the psych sheet pretty reliably the cut line usually falls somewhere around 30, meaning the top 16 seeds should be unaffected. Our resident numbers expert
Andrew Mering has already tallied up the points, setting up the true Texas-Cal-Indiana showdown we've all been waiting for.
The big wrinkle not included in these projections is diving. Texas scored 81 diving points last year, and should return all 81 after their top three divers qualified for NCAAs yesterday. Indiana scored 98 diving points a year ago, but did graduate 36 of them with Michael Hixon.
Cal didn't score any dive points, but did have one diver qualify for the meet he's booked a repeat qualification this year.
SCHOOL | PSYCH POINTS | INDIVIDUAL | RELAY | TOP 16 RANKED INDIVIDUAL SWIMSCalifornia | 402 | 256 | 146 | 21
Indiana | 354 | 204 | 150 | 17
Texas | 311 | 188 | 123 | 17
NC State | 253 | 123 | 130 | 13
Florida | 245 | 125 | 120 | 16
Michigan | 234 | 164 | 70 | 13
Alabama | 192.5 | 60.5 | 132 | 6
Louisville | 189 | 66 | 123 | 9
Missouri | 151.5 | 43.5 | 108 | 6
Tennessee | 133 | 65 | 68 | 5
Ohio St | 130 | 54 | 76 | 6
Florida St | 111.5 | 29.5 | 82 | 4
Virginia | 82 | 58 | 24 | 8
Arizona | 81 | 57 | 24 | 6
Southern Cali | 70 | 38 | 32 | 3
Georgia | 66.5 | 66.5 | 0 | 7
Minnesota | 65.5 | 59.5 | 6 | 4
Texas A&M | 64 | 16 | 48 | 3
Stanford | 60 | 42 | 18 | 8
Arizona St | 52.5 | 36.5 | 16 | 4
Cal leads the way in both points and individual scoring swims, but Texas and IU should both make up serious ground on diving. Adding in returning diving points from last year would have IU winning by 14 over Cal, with Texas 10 points back of California.
Texas will also have to make some roster decisions. They've got 20 men invited, but the roster caps them at 18. Complicating matters is that the 20-person figure is swimmers only and doesn't include their three divers. Since the divers are all returning scorers, it seems pretty likely all three will make the roster. Divers count as half an athlete towards the 18-person roster cap, so Texas will essentially have to cut four swimmers leaving home four men who were invited to NCAAs, but can't fit on Texas's roster.
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