Coincidentally, here's a stats and analytics-backed writeup on Draymond Green just today by 538: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/draymond-green-isnt-scoring-but-hes-doing-everything-else-for-the-warriors/JeffBear07 said:I still think you're misstating Draymond's value here. His contributions on the court lie substantially in the way that he quarterbacks both the offense and the defense. With the complex motion offense and switching defense that the Warriors employ, they need somebody like Draymond (quick note: there is almost no one else like Draymond) to make sure everyone is in the proper place, and that's something that is not captured in surface-level numbers (PER is based substantially on counting stats which is why Russell Westbrook has long been a PER monster without being a winning player). As you've acknowledged, the Warriors are clearly much worse without Draymond, a fact that would seem to belie your minimization of him as a player based purely on stats.concordtom said:
Everyone says the Warriors instantly got better once Draymond Green returned from Covid, and I agree.
That said, he is averaging just 4.6 pts, 5 rebs, 6.6 assists per game.
He has the team's worst PER,
He has the team's worst 3FG% at 19.4%,
He has the 2nd worst FG% at 33.3%, ahead of D-Leaguer Rookie Nico Mannion.
Steph is making $43M this year.
Klay: $35.3M
Wiggins: $29.5M
Draymond $22,246,956
Kelly Oubre: $14,375,000
James Wiseman: $8,730,240
Kevon Looney: $4,821,429
Kent Bazemore $2,320,044
Brad Wanamaker $2,250,000
and so on....
Draymond will make $24,026,712 next year.
Draymond will make $25,806,468 after that.
Draymond has player option after that: $27,586,224
It wouldn't be shocking to see Draymond be traded, but I don't think anyone would want to take on his salary!
In other words, he probably won't be traded because nobody would want him.
Or maybe looking at it from a different perspective: Draymond's extraordinarily high BBIQ is NOS for other elite players. He raises top-level players to greater heights, but alone, he's not particularly useful at raising a team's floor or ceiling unless you're asking him to instill defensive chops in young players. And to that point, if the Warriors have any notion of continuing to be title contenders during Curry's prime years, there is no way they let go of Draymond short of a trade for someone like Giannis who is superlative enough in other areas, including defense, to make up for losing Draymond's uniquely high BBIQ. If you're trading Draymond for draft picks and/or expiring contracts, then you're basically giving up on title contention for at least the next three years and have fun convincing Curry to re-up next year.
And here's a pass from tonight's game that probably only Nikola Jokic and Lebron James among NBA big men even think of making: https://streamable.com/3lmlgv