sycasey said:oskidunker said:
We will see. So far nothing has been done. No agreement. Russias ok with us discussing it. Thats about it.
But we will continue to get breathless updates from Twitter randos stating that great things are happening.
Anarchistbear said:
Maybe something happens, maybe it doesn't but under the senile moron Biden and his band of incompetents nothing ever started
bearister said:
Those same arguments could be used by any invading country against the target country that vigorously resisted the invasion. Heck, during WWII, Germany would have used those arguments against Western Europe…..had it meaningfully resisted.
With regard to the Reasonable Chance of Success principle of the Just War Theory as it relates to self defense:
Self-defense when facing existential threat: Some scholars argue that if a nation's continued existence and fundamental values are gravely threatened, it may be permissible to engage in self-defense regardless of the probability of success.
AI Overview
You are never going to convince me that the majority of Ukranians are fighting involuntarily against their will. If that was the case there wouldn't be 1M dead/wounded Russian soldiers.
The majority of Ukrainians are not fighting against their will in the war against Russia, according to Brookings.
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/russia-ukraine-after-three-years-of-large-scale-war/
If the Ukrainians want to Custer Last Stand this thing it's their choice and on them. I don't for one minute think Trump or anyone making excuses for the Russian invasion give a rat's @$$ about the welfare of the Ukrainian people (It reminds me of MAGA shedding alligator tears when claiming sleepy Joe was so cruelly cast aside).
*Never fear, this thing is over, Putin will get everything he wants and Trump will get the Nobel for brokering such a great peace deal.
bearister said:
With regard to the Reasonable Chance of Success principle of the Just War Theory as it relates to self defense:
Self-defense when facing existential threat: Some scholars argue that if a nation's continued existence and fundamental values are gravely threatened, it may be permissible to engage in self-defense regardless of the probability of success.
Quote:
The majority of Ukrainians are not fighting against their will in the war against Russia, according to Brookings.
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/russia-ukraine-after-three-years-of-large-scale-war/
If the Ukrainians want to Custer Last Stand this thing it's their choice and on them. I don't for one minute think Trump or anyone making excuses for the Russian invasion give a rat's @$$ about the welfare of the Ukrainian people (It reminds me of MAGA shedding alligator tears when sleepy Joe was so cruelly cast aside).
*Never fear, this thing is over, Putin will get everything he wants and Trump will get the Nobel for brokering such a great peace deal.
movielover said:sycasey said:oskidunker said:
We will see. So far nothing has been done. No agreement. Russias ok with us discussing it. Thats about it.
But we will continue to get breathless updates from Twitter randos stating that great things are happening.
That's the FACT:
1. We're talking
2. We HEARD Russia (Trump emissary there 5x?)
3. CIA meddling minimized
4. Relationships developed, some degree of trust
5. Putin talks w POTUS in Alaska
6. Z civil, making some needed concessions
sycasey said:movielover said:sycasey said:oskidunker said:
We will see. So far nothing has been done. No agreement. Russias ok with us discussing it. Thats about it.
But we will continue to get breathless updates from Twitter randos stating that great things are happening.
That's the FACT:
1. We're talking
2. We HEARD Russia (Trump emissary there 5x?)
3. CIA meddling minimized
4. Relationships developed, some degree of trust
5. Putin talks w POTUS in Alaska
6. Z civil, making some needed concessions
Maybe something good will come of this. I hope so! At this point in the war (now a seemingly endless stalemate), it seems right to negotiate an ending.
I'm just not going to get too excited until there's a real agreement.
bearister said:
Who is on the committee that makes the determination that a country doesn't measure up to certain moral and ethical standards and thus is free game for invasion and takeover?
Cal88 said:bearister said:
With regard to the Reasonable Chance of Success principle of the Just War Theory as it relates to self defense:
Self-defense when facing existential threat: Some scholars argue that if a nation's continued existence and fundamental values are gravely threatened, it may be permissible to engage in self-defense regardless of the probability of success.
What fundamental values? Ukraine, before the war, has been the poorest, most corrupt country in Europe, with a GDP per capita 4.5 times smaller than Russia before the war, despite the fact that Ukraine used to be the richest, most advanced, most industrialized part of the USSR, with the best agricultural land. It has completely botched its post-Soviet transition, while Russia righted the ship in the early 00s.
Ukraine has been the European hub of arms and human trafficking for decades, a failed state subsiding on western NGO money and military buildup. The post-Maidan regime repressed its minorities (not just Russian, but Hungarian and Romanian as well), shut down opposition media, the original Ukrainian Orthodox Church and suppressed the use of the Russian language, while enshrining ultranationalist Bandera ideology into its institutions, from its school curriculum to its renamed city sqaures and thoroghfares.Quote:
The majority of Ukrainians are not fighting against their will in the war against Russia, according to Brookings.
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/russia-ukraine-after-three-years-of-large-scale-war/
If the Ukrainians want to Custer Last Stand this thing it's their choice and on them. I don't for one minute think Trump or anyone making excuses for the Russian invasion give a rat's @$$ about the welfare of the Ukrainian people (It reminds me of MAGA shedding alligator tears when sleepy Joe was so cruelly cast aside).
*Never fear, this thing is over, Putin will get everything he wants and Trump will get the Nobel for brokering such a great peace deal.
Do you think all these videos of Ukrainian fathers being hunted on city streets and thrown into vans are all staged?
Even the more hardcore Ukrainians would never have done a Custer Last Stand is we hadn't egged them on and heavily armed them. They would have instead worked a compromise very early on and adopted the same type of tolerance for their ethno-linguistic minority as the Spaniards, Brits, Canadians or Belgians do.
Brookings is just selling the war, they are just another revolving door mouthpiece of the trillion dollar MIC complex manufacturing consent for a huge boondoggle of a war, and also proponents of the Great Game/Grand Chessboard policy along the lines of the Rand "Extending Russia" whitepaper advocating arming and pushing Ukraine into a war with Russia.
Anarchistbear said:
lol, an uninformed generic opinion
movielover said:
There are hundreds of videos online showing Ukrainians being kidnapped off the street for warfare. Millions have fled. I've met three Ukranian couples here, men of fighting age, we know why they're here, I never bring it up.
Just tonight a new podcaster to me said Ukraine is enlisting 16-year-old boys, and training 14 year olds. Disgusting.
What is your source for one million dead Russians?
Ukraine doesn't have enough airpower, artillery, ammo, or manpower to enact that kind of damage, especially since Russia has defensive air systems and are now employing a 3 / 6 / 6 (??) attack deployment with drones, after artillery, to further limit casualties. If they happen to stumble into a hornets nest after repeated air bombardment and multiple drones, only 3 men are at risk of death.
BearGoggles said:movielover said:
There are hundreds of videos online showing Ukrainians being kidnapped off the street for warfare. Millions have fled. I've met three Ukranian couples here, men of fighting age, we knojackets,
ey're here, I never bring it up.
Just tonight a new podcaster to me said Ukraine is enlisting 16-year-old boys, and training 14 year olds. Disgusting.
What is your source for one million dead Russians?
Ukraine doesn't have enough airpower, artillery, ammo, or manpower to enact that kind of damage, especially since Russia has defensive air systems and are now employing a 3 / 6 / 6 (??) attack deployment with drones, after artillery, to further limit casualties. If they happen to stumble into a hornets nest after repeated air bombardment and multiple drones, only 3 men are at risk of death.
I ask again, why does the bolded matter?
Answer: these items reveal Ukraine doesn't have the manpower to fight the war.
A few simple questions for you - If I gave you a magic wand and you could produce whatever result you wanted from this war:
1. Who do you want to win - Russia or Ukraine? Who would surrender?
A: Split decision based on Reality: Crimea, 2-4 oblasts to Russia; while Ukraine gets to keep the natural defensive positions, and fortifications they've made. Possibly include a no go zone. UKR saves Odessa. AZOV battalions gets shipped off to Serbia. Entice UKR abroad to come back, with incentives. Townhouse type accommodations for having 2 babies in 5 years; bigger, nicer accommodations for 3, 4 new children. Maybe Russia pitches in to help rebuild territories.
Then again w a magic wand, I'd go back to 2020 - and stop UKR from entertaining NATO. Set up a DMZ, and UKR neutrality. Stop all child traffickers and abusers, and ship them to Serbia w the baddest AZOV members. Share cells, no cameras.
2. Would you restore all territory taken by Russia since the beginning of the war to Ukraine, or would you allow Russia to keep some or all of it?
A. Some of it. See above.
3. Would you leave Putin in power or remove him and replace him with a pro-western leader?
A: Putin won, we FA and FO. Putin is pro-western. Those next in line allegedly much worse (militant).
With my wand I would also remove 90% of UKR corruption, heavily promote marriage and child birth to help rebuild UKR, and confiscate ill-gotten wealth from Z and his top thieves. Restore free elections, and kick out the CIA / State Department.
With my wand, I would require all of the military medical doctors from western Europe into Ukraine to provide survivors w solid medical care, and force the same countries to supply massive numbers of doctors trained in (fake) limb replacement. Start a UKR match making service.
Send 50% of American troops home from European bases. Maybe make Ukraine an immediate supplier of ammo and weapons to Europe and USA. (No longer corrupt.) Provide visas to native Western European men to help the provide marriage material for single Ukranian women.
the BI warfare experts with degrees (or none) in poli sci and undoubtedly zero military experience on this board is impressive. Most of it garnered thru memes and hot takes and playing Stratego……case in point in bolstering an argument you get "a podcaster to me said"….followed by "what is your source for 1m dead Russians"? LMAO.movielover said:
There are hundreds of videos online showing Ukrainians being kidnapped off the street for warfare. Millions have fled. I've met three Ukranian couples here, men of fighting age, we know why they're here, I never bring it up.
Just tonight a new podcaster to me said Ukraine is enlisting 16-year-old boys, and training 14 year olds. Disgusting.
What is your source for one million dead Russians?
Ukraine doesn't have enough airpower, artillery, ammo, or manpower to enact that kind of damage, especially since Russia has defensive air systems and are now employing a 3 / 6 / 6 (??) attack deployment with drones, after artillery, to further limit casualties. If they happen to stumble into a hornets nest after repeated air bombardment and multiple drones, only 3 men are at risk of death.
BearForce2 said:Beat it like a 🥁 https://t.co/p4I0hw1LuO pic.twitter.com/5ZXjiXcWwp
— MoAndHisBalls (@MoAndHisBalls) February 23, 2022
Putin doesn't know Biden's next move but he knows Biden doesn't know Biden's next move.
movielover said:BearGoggles said:movielover said:
There are hundreds of videos online showing Ukrainians being kidnapped off the street for warfare. Millions have fled. I've met three Ukranian couples here, men of fighting age, we knojackets,
ey're here, I never bring it up.
Just tonight a new podcaster to me said Ukraine is enlisting 16-year-old boys, and training 14 year olds. Disgusting.
What is your source for one million dead Russians?
Ukraine doesn't have enough airpower, artillery, ammo, or manpower to enact that kind of damage, especially since Russia has defensive air systems and are now employing a 3 / 6 / 6 (??) attack deployment with drones, after artillery, to further limit casualties. If they happen to stumble into a hornets nest after repeated air bombardment and multiple drones, only 3 men are at risk of death.
I ask again, why does the bolded matter?
Answer: these items reveal Ukraine doesn't have the manpower to fight the war.
A few simple questions for you - If I gave you a magic wand and you could produce whatever result you wanted from this war:
1. Who do you want to win - Russia or Ukraine? Who would surrender?
A: Split decision based on Reality: Crimea, 2-4 oblasts to Russia; while Ukraine gets to keep the natural defensive positions, and fortifications they've made. Possibly include a no go zone. UKR saves Odessa. AZOV battalions gets shipped off to Serbia. Entice UKR abroad to come back, with incentives. Townhouse type accommodations for having 2 babies in 5 years; bigger, nicer accommodations for 3, 4 new children. Maybe Russia pitches in to help rebuild territories.
Then again w a magic wand, I'd go back to 2020 - and stop UKR from entertaining NATO. Set up a DMZ, and UKR neutrality. Stop all child traffickers and abusers, and ship them to Serbia w the baddest AZOV members. Share cells, no cameras.
2. Would you restore all territory taken by Russia since the beginning of the war to Ukraine, or would you allow Russia to keep some or all of it?
A. Some of it. See above.
3. Would you leave Putin in power or remove him and replace him with a pro-western leader?
A: Putin won, we FA and FO. Putin is pro-western. Those next in line allegedly much worse (militant).
With my wand I would also remove 90% of UKR corruption, heavily promote marriage and child birth to help rebuild UKR, and confiscate ill-gotten wealth from Z and his top thieves. Restore free elections, and kick out the CIA / State Department.
With my wand, I would require all of the military medical doctors from western Europe into Ukraine to provide survivors w solid medical care, and force the same countries to supply massive numbers of doctors trained in (fake) limb replacement. Start a UKR match making service.
Send 50% of American troops home from European bases. Maybe make Ukraine an immediate supplier of ammo and weapons to Europe and USA. (No longer corrupt.) Provide visas to native Western European men to help the provide marriage material for single Ukranian women.
bearister said:
John Mearsheimer vs. Matt Duss: A Debate on Trump-Putin Summit, Ukraine, Russia & Paths to Peace | Democracy Now! https://www.democracynow.org/2025/8/15/matt_duss_john_mearsheimer_debate_ukraine
In this debate Mearsheimer opines the war in the Ukraine is driven by NATO and Matt Duss disagrees:
"MATT DUSS: Well, we got to this point because Vladimir Putin decided to invade Ukraine and try to take it over. There's a longer history there, of course. I mean, Professor Mearsheimer has talked a lot about the growth of NATO and how Russia sees that as a threat. I think there is evidence that that is true. I mean, that others have claimed that, as well. U.S. officials throughout the 1990s, former Secretary of Defense Bill Perry, former head of the CIA Bill Burns, have all, in their time as diplomats, mentioned that this is a real problem for Russia, not just for Putin. However, that does not explain the entire problem. NATO alone was not the cause of this war.
Putin himself has made clear various times, most notably in a speech that he gave in June 2021, of his much grander vision of a kind of restored Russian imperium in which Ukraine was a part. So, I think the growth of NATO, you know, again, is part of Russia's larger grievance, but I do think Putin has made clear that he has a pretty grandiose historical conception of what he sees as a kind of renewed Russian empire, that is simply not consistent, certainly, with Ukraine's own sovereignty and independence, and I don't think it's consistent with a kind of a general approach to international affairs that is based in any kind of law or norms……….
I want to just respond to something Professor Mearsheimer said. I mean, it's baffling to hear him claim that there's no evidence that Putin wanted to conquer Ukraine and establish a new kind of Russian imperium. Putin has said this explicitly. I would encourage people to look at that June 2021 speech that I mentioned. He also, you know, landed troops outside Kyiv in February 2022 as part of the failed effort to topple Ukraine's government and install his you know, a friendly Russian government. Those Russian troops were not landed in Kyiv to go camping. So, that effort failed. But I think that's clear evidence that Putin's ambitions were much larger than the professor seems to claim."
*Matt Duss is executive vice president at the Center for International Policy and the former foreign policy adviser to Senator Bernie Sanders.
*I suppose because of the era in which I grew up, I have a difficult time with any analysis grounded on the premise that Russia is a victim and its actions are defensive. I suppose Yogi rejects outright, any opinions put forth by an ex Bernie associate.
🇺🇸🇺🇦🇷🇺 “No boots on the ground, possible boots in the air!”
— Lord Bebo (@MyLordBebo) August 19, 2025
On US security guarantee for Ukraine pic.twitter.com/WDhOY6RfXk
🔥Karoline Leavitt made Jacqui Heinrich admit the war wouldn’t have happened under President Trump:
— Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) August 19, 2025
HEINRICH: “The President says this war wouldn’t have started if he were in office.”
LEAVITT: “It's true. Do you accept that?”
HEINRICH: “Probably.”
pic.twitter.com/LymlUx6WD5
As we hopefully inch toward some kind of peace agreement, it is worth recalling that Russia and Ukraine had reached a near agreement in Istanbul. That deal was destroyed by Western elites who told Ukraine to keep fighting and the result is that Ukraine now faces far worse terms: pic.twitter.com/fwP2GqK0N2
— Hans Mahncke (@HansMahncke) August 19, 2025
movielover said:
The USA, NATO, and Victoria Nuland deployed and directed a soft coup and civil war.
movielover said:As we hopefully inch toward some kind of peace agreement, it is worth recalling that Russia and Ukraine had reached a near agreement in Istanbul. That deal was destroyed by Western elites who told Ukraine to keep fighting and the result is that Ukraine now faces far worse terms: pic.twitter.com/fwP2GqK0N2
— Hans Mahncke (@HansMahncke) August 19, 2025