The coming trade wars with China

4,923 Views | 96 Replies | Last: 14 days ago by movielover
Eastern Oregon Bear
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MinotStateBeav said:

Eastern Oregon Bear said:

Judicial System of ChinaMinotStateBeav said:

Cal88 said:


China doesn't do fair trade.
China has no court system to redress problems.
China steals IP.
China doesn't allow foreign businesses to have sole ownership wtithin China (Globalism for thee but not for me)
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Judicial_system_of_China
China's Justice Minister is named He Rong....

https://www.chinadailyhk.com/hk/article/317203
I see it didn't take you long to do a 180 and admit China has a legal system.
MinotStateBeav
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Eastern Oregon Bear said:

MinotStateBeav said:

Eastern Oregon Bear said:

Judicial System of ChinaMinotStateBeav said:

Cal88 said:


China doesn't do fair trade.
China has no court system to redress problems.
China steals IP.
China doesn't allow foreign businesses to have sole ownership wtithin China (Globalism for thee but not for me)
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Judicial_system_of_China
China's Justice Minister is named He Rong....

https://www.chinadailyhk.com/hk/article/317203
I see it didn't take you long to do a 180 and admit China has a legal system.
Yes a legal system that rules in favor of the government. We call that a sham court.
Cal88
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MinotStateBeav said:

Eastern Oregon Bear said:

MinotStateBeav said:

Eastern Oregon Bear said:

Judicial System of ChinaMinotStateBeav said:

Cal88 said:


China doesn't do fair trade.
China has no court system to redress problems.
China steals IP.
China doesn't allow foreign businesses to have sole ownership wtithin China (Globalism for thee but not for me)
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Judicial_system_of_China
China's Justice Minister is named He Rong....

https://www.chinadailyhk.com/hk/article/317203
I see it didn't take you long to do a 180 and admit China has a legal system.
Yes a legal system that rules in favor of the government. We call that a sham court.


Most of the sources on China are deeply flawed, not just right wing sources but also MSM ones like the BBC or CNN. The Chinese legal system and domestic business environment is much better than what you will find in other Asian countries like India, Indonesia, the Philippines, and even Japan has its homer kangaroo courts with conviction rates above 99% (see the Carlos Ghosn case). Besides the talk of free trade or fairness is moot in an environment where Chinese cars are slapped with 100% tariffs (and that was even before Trump) and Huawei phones are banned.

One key point that many miss about trade with China is that it is acting as a curb on the monopolistic and nefarious aspects of late-stage capitalism, as seen with OpenAI's top-down, oligarchial and downright extortionist business plan that was scuttled by DeepSeek.

The same dynamic affects many other sectors, here is a study of the fire truck and equipment market in the US, which was turned into a quasi-monopoly by private equity, extorting funds from municipalities and taxpayers across America, and even contributing to the LA fires disaster, from your favorite pundit:


Anarchistbear
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China's secret weapon in the trade war is an army of factory robots, powered by artificial intelligence, that have revolutionized manufacturing.

Factories are being automated across China at a breakneck pace. With engineers and electricians tending to fleets of robots, these operations are bringing down the cost of manufacturing while improving quality.

As a result, China's factories will be able to keep the price of many of its exports lower, giving it an advantage in fighting the trade war and President Trump's high tariffs. China is also facing new trade barriers by the European Union and developing countries ranging from Brazil and India to Turkey and Thailand.

Factories are now more automated in China than in the United States, Germany or Japan. China has more factory robots for every 10,000 manufacturing workers than any other country except South Korea or Singapore, according to the International Federation of Robotics.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/23/business/china-tariffs-robots-automation.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
MinotStateBeav
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Anarchistbear said:

China's secret weapon in the trade war is an army of factory robots, powered by artificial intelligence, that have revolutionized manufacturing.

Factories are being automated across China at a breakneck pace. With engineers and electricians tending to fleets of robots, these operations are bringing down the cost of manufacturing while improving quality.

As a result, China's factories will be able to keep the price of many of its exports lower, giving it an advantage in fighting the trade war and President Trump's high tariffs. China is also facing new trade barriers by the European Union and developing countries ranging from Brazil and India to Turkey and Thailand.

Factories are now more automated in China than in the United States, Germany or Japan. China has more factory robots for every 10,000 manufacturing workers than any other country except South Korea or Singapore, according to the International Federation of Robotics.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/23/business/china-tariffs-robots-automation.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

China is still using child labor in their manufacturing plants. In fact it's so bad what they're doing is temporarily arresting the parents in the countryside, separating the children, and the parents never see their kids again. Hey even Ukraine made the list. The worst child labor practice in the world is China using children to make bricks.

https://www.dol.gov/agencies/ilab/reports/child-labor/list-of-goods
Cal88
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MinotStateBeav said:

Anarchistbear said:

China's secret weapon in the trade war is an army of factory robots, powered by artificial intelligence, that have revolutionized manufacturing.

Factories are being automated across China at a breakneck pace. With engineers and electricians tending to fleets of robots, these operations are bringing down the cost of manufacturing while improving quality.

As a result, China's factories will be able to keep the price of many of its exports lower, giving it an advantage in fighting the trade war and President Trump's high tariffs. China is also facing new trade barriers by the European Union and developing countries ranging from Brazil and India to Turkey and Thailand.

Factories are now more automated in China than in the United States, Germany or Japan. China has more factory robots for every 10,000 manufacturing workers than any other country except South Korea or Singapore, according to the International Federation of Robotics.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/23/business/china-tariffs-robots-automation.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

China is still using child labor in their manufacturing plants. In fact it's so bad what they're doing is temporarily arresting the parents in the countryside, separating the children, and the parents never see their kids again. Hey even Ukraine made the list. The worst child labor practice in the world is China using children to make bricks.

https://www.dol.gov/agencies/ilab/reports/child-labor/list-of-goods

Your source above, on cotton harvesting in Xinjiang:

Quote:

China
[url=https://www.dol.gov/agencies/ilab/reports/child-labor/list-of-goods?combine=&field_exp_exploitation_type_target_id_1=All&field_exp_good_target_id=All&items_per_page=10&order=name&sort=asc&tid=All&page=13#][/url]Cotton

There are reports that children are forced to pick cotton in China. Reports from an NGO and the U.S. Government indicate that children in the Xinjiang Uighur Autonomous Region and in Gansu province are mobilized through schools and required by provincial regulations to work during the autumn harvest. According to the most recently available estimates, between 40,000 and 1 million students are mobilized annually for the harvest, beginning as early as the third grade. Most children are paid little if at all, after deductions for meals, transportation, and payments to the school. These students are required to pick daily quotas of cotton or pay fines, and performance in the cotton harvest is assessed for the students' promotion to higher grade levels.

Reality:



Also -



MinotStateBeav
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Cal88 said:

MinotStateBeav said:

Anarchistbear said:

China's secret weapon in the trade war is an army of factory robots, powered by artificial intelligence, that have revolutionized manufacturing.

Factories are being automated across China at a breakneck pace. With engineers and electricians tending to fleets of robots, these operations are bringing down the cost of manufacturing while improving quality.

As a result, China's factories will be able to keep the price of many of its exports lower, giving it an advantage in fighting the trade war and President Trump's high tariffs. China is also facing new trade barriers by the European Union and developing countries ranging from Brazil and India to Turkey and Thailand.

Factories are now more automated in China than in the United States, Germany or Japan. China has more factory robots for every 10,000 manufacturing workers than any other country except South Korea or Singapore, according to the International Federation of Robotics.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/23/business/china-tariffs-robots-automation.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

China is still using child labor in their manufacturing plants. In fact it's so bad what they're doing is temporarily arresting the parents in the countryside, separating the children, and the parents never see their kids again. Hey even Ukraine made the list. The worst child labor practice in the world is China using children to make bricks.

https://www.dol.gov/agencies/ilab/reports/child-labor/list-of-goods

Your source above, on cotton harvesting in Xinjiang:

Quote:

China
[url=https://www.dol.gov/agencies/ilab/reports/child-labor/list-of-goods?combine=&field_exp_exploitation_type_target_id_1=All&field_exp_good_target_id=All&items_per_page=10&order=name&sort=asc&tid=All&page=13#][/url]Cotton

There are reports that children are forced to pick cotton in China. Reports from an NGO and the U.S. Government indicate that children in the Xinjiang Uighur Autonomous Region and in Gansu province are mobilized through schools and required by provincial regulations to work during the autumn harvest. According to the most recently available estimates, between 40,000 and 1 million students are mobilized annually for the harvest, beginning as early as the third grade. Most children are paid little if at all, after deductions for meals, transportation, and payments to the school. These students are required to pick daily quotas of cotton or pay fines, and performance in the cotton harvest is assessed for the students' promotion to higher grade levels.

Reality:



Also -




What does Xi Jinping say?

chazzed
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4D chess?

bear2034
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chazzed said:

4D chess?

Checkers. They just walk up to businesses and start taking pictures.

In Missouri, Pittsburgh Corning Corporation operated a low-profile factory making a proprietary insulation material called Foamglas. But when two mysterious visitors from overseas showed up uninvited, what seemed like a minor trespassing incident escalated into a major FBI counterintelligence case.

Cal88
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MinotStateBeav said:

Cal88 said:

MinotStateBeav said:

Anarchistbear said:

China's secret weapon in the trade war is an army of factory robots, powered by artificial intelligence, that have revolutionized manufacturing.

Factories are being automated across China at a breakneck pace. With engineers and electricians tending to fleets of robots, these operations are bringing down the cost of manufacturing while improving quality.

As a result, China's factories will be able to keep the price of many of its exports lower, giving it an advantage in fighting the trade war and President Trump's high tariffs. China is also facing new trade barriers by the European Union and developing countries ranging from Brazil and India to Turkey and Thailand.

Factories are now more automated in China than in the United States, Germany or Japan. China has more factory robots for every 10,000 manufacturing workers than any other country except South Korea or Singapore, according to the International Federation of Robotics.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/23/business/china-tariffs-robots-automation.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

China is still using child labor in their manufacturing plants. In fact it's so bad what they're doing is temporarily arresting the parents in the countryside, separating the children, and the parents never see their kids again. Hey even Ukraine made the list. The worst child labor practice in the world is China using children to make bricks.

https://www.dol.gov/agencies/ilab/reports/child-labor/list-of-goods

Your source above, on cotton harvesting in Xinjiang:

Quote:

China
[url=https://www.dol.gov/agencies/ilab/reports/child-labor/list-of-goods?combine=&field_exp_exploitation_type_target_id_1=All&field_exp_good_target_id=All&items_per_page=10&order=name&sort=asc&tid=All&page=13#][/url]Cotton

There are reports that children are forced to pick cotton in China. Reports from an NGO and the U.S. Government indicate that children in the Xinjiang Uighur Autonomous Region and in Gansu province are mobilized through schools and required by provincial regulations to work during the autumn harvest. According to the most recently available estimates, between 40,000 and 1 million students are mobilized annually for the harvest, beginning as early as the third grade. Most children are paid little if at all, after deductions for meals, transportation, and payments to the school. These students are required to pick daily quotas of cotton or pay fines, and performance in the cotton harvest is assessed for the students' promotion to higher grade levels.

Reality:



Also -




What does Xi Jinping say?




I don't know what he does say, and neither do these two guys who have been getting paid for producing anti-China propaganda.

Not only do Winston Struzel aka "SerpentZA" and his sidekick have zero credentials as former middle school English teachers in China, but they are consistently lying out of their teeth about China, for example in one recent episode where they claimed that theft is rampant in China, a country where most coffeehouse patrons leave their possessions on their table when they go to the restroom, where people leave the ignition keys on their parked scooters all day and where packages including electronics are delivered outside building entrances where anyone can pick them up. That kind of high-trust behavior would be completely inconceivable in any western industrialized country.

"SerpentZA"s content is 100% anti-China, and it's often blatantly racist, like in that segment above where the two guys express their disgust at something as mundane as Cantonese soup - the subtext here is pretty clear and blatant, Chinese culture is repulsive, that's their messaging, 24/7.

This being said, child labor is a problem in China, but a lot less so than in all of its neighbors, and a lot less so than it used to be, as China is increasingly outsourcing its lower-end manufacturing on one hand, and mechanizing its production on the other. In Xinjiang for example almost all the cotton harvesting today is done mechanically.

The child labor issue in China is mostly down to the mom and pop culture there, parents who run a small business expect their children to start working very early, though usually in addition to their schooling. You have that same culture in the US among the farming community, where kids operate tractors and other machinery at a young age, especially in Summer.

https://www.aft.org/community/child-labor-united-states

Quote:

Child Labor in the United States

Estimates by the Association of Farmworker Opportunity programs, based on figures gathered by the Department of Labor, suggest that there are approximately 500,000 child farmworkers in the United States. Many of these children start working as young as age 8, and 72-hour work weeks (more than 10 hours per day) are not uncommon.
MinotStateBeav
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Yeah they tend to be 100% anti-China when China tries to have them arrested and they barely escape the country via Hong Kong before it has been completely taken over by the CCP. However they lived in China for many years, I watched their content for years, don't believe me? Go look at their older videos. Their entire channel was originally about travelling China on their motorcycles, talking with Chinese people (very pro-china Channel called ADVChina). It was China's own government that turned them anti-China. They're both married to Chinese nationals and both their spouses were in their videos from time to time until China started threatening them too.
Cal88
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MinotStateBeav said:

Yeah they tend to be 100% anti-China when China tries to have them arrested and they barely escape the country via Hong Kong before it has been completely taken over by the CCP. However they lived in China for many years, I watched their content for years, don't believe me? Go look at their older videos. Their entire channel was originally about travelling China on their motorcycles, talking with Chinese people (very pro-china Channel called ADVChina). It was China's own government that turned them anti-China. They're both married to Chinese nationals and both their spouses were in their videos from time to time until China started threatening them too.

I have followed these guys as well for a long time and know for a fact that they lie about very basic aspects of life in China, like for instance the notion that theft is rampant when most people leave their belongings in cafes when they go to the restroom, and packages including high end electronics are left out in apartment entrance hallways for residents to pick up. Totally inconceivable in any western nation.

These guys have lived in China for over a decade, if they had an ounce of honesty they would have at the very least mentioned how many things were improving in China, like wages, infrastructure, pollution etc, especially the guy from New York, given how poor and run down things are in his corner of the country.

I know a fair amount of Chinese people, all of them have good things to say about their government and its performance running their country and overseeing the astonishing economic and industrial growth. The CCP has of course been far more repressive in decades past, when relations with China were fairly good and China was piss poor, but now that China is an economic giant, the relations have soured, and the media coverage darkened considerably...
Cal88
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This is the 21st century version of the VW van.

MinotStateBeav
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Cal88 said:

MinotStateBeav said:

Yeah they tend to be 100% anti-China when China tries to have them arrested and they barely escape the country via Hong Kong before it has been completely taken over by the CCP. However they lived in China for many years, I watched their content for years, don't believe me? Go look at their older videos. Their entire channel was originally about travelling China on their motorcycles, talking with Chinese people (very pro-china Channel called ADVChina). It was China's own government that turned them anti-China. They're both married to Chinese nationals and both their spouses were in their videos from time to time until China started threatening them too.

I have followed these guys as well for a long time and know for a fact that they lie about very basic aspects of life in China, like for instance the notion that theft is rampant when most people leave their belongings in cafes when they go to the restroom, and packages including high end electronics are left out in apartment entrance hallways for residents to pick up. Totally inconceivable in any western nation.

These guys have lived in China for over a decade, if they had an ounce of honesty they would have at the very least mentioned how many things were improving in China, like wages, infrastructure, pollution etc, especially the guy from New York, given how poor and run down things are in his corner of the country.

I know a fair amount of Chinese people, all of them have good things to say about their government and its performance running their country and overseeing the astonishing economic and industrial growth. The CCP has of course been far more repressive in decades past, when relations with China were fairly good and China was piss poor, but now that China is an economic giant, the relations have soured, and the media coverage darkened considerably...

Why would you follow these guys for a long time if they, as you say "Lie about the very aspects of life in China"? I don't tend to watch videos of people who I know are lying, for a long time. Also their claims about theft in China are usually backed up by videos from chinese citizens. You acting like China is this "high trust" society is laughable though. High trust societies don't build ghost cities in order to con their government and other chinese citizens out of their money.

They said things have improved in China a long time ago...so I guess they have honesty. If you had actually watched their channel for a long time, you would have clearly seen them talk about how things in China have improved. Pollution is NOT one of the things that have improved though.

I'll be honest, you have a very weird defensive stance when it comes to the CCP and China.
Cal88
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MinotStateBeav said:

Cal88 said:

MinotStateBeav said:

Yeah they tend to be 100% anti-China when China tries to have them arrested and they barely escape the country via Hong Kong before it has been completely taken over by the CCP. However they lived in China for many years, I watched their content for years, don't believe me? Go look at their older videos. Their entire channel was originally about travelling China on their motorcycles, talking with Chinese people (very pro-china Channel called ADVChina). It was China's own government that turned them anti-China. They're both married to Chinese nationals and both their spouses were in their videos from time to time until China started threatening them too.

I have followed these guys as well for a long time and know for a fact that they lie about very basic aspects of life in China, like for instance the notion that theft is rampant when most people leave their belongings in cafes when they go to the restroom, and packages including high end electronics are left out in apartment entrance hallways for residents to pick up. Totally inconceivable in any western nation.

These guys have lived in China for over a decade, if they had an ounce of honesty they would have at the very least mentioned how many things were improving in China, like wages, infrastructure, pollution etc, especially the guy from New York, given how poor and run down things are in his corner of the country.

I know a fair amount of Chinese people, all of them have good things to say about their government and its performance running their country and overseeing the astonishing economic and industrial growth. The CCP has of course been far more repressive in decades past, when relations with China were fairly good and China was piss poor, but now that China is an economic giant, the relations have soured, and the media coverage darkened considerably...

Why would you follow these guys for a long time if they, as you say "Lie about the very aspects of life in China"? I don't tend to watch videos of people who I know are lying, for a long time. Also their claims about theft in China are usually backed up by videos from chinese citizens. You acting like China is this "high trust" society is laughable though. High trust societies don't build ghost cities in order to con their government and other chinese citizens out of their money.

They said things have improved in China a long time ago...so I guess they have honesty. If you had actually watched their channel for a long time, you would have clearly seen them talk about how things in China have improved. Pollution is NOT one of the things that have improved though.

I'll be honest, you have a very weird defensive stance when it comes to the CCP and China.


Winston Sterzel and his sidekick started out doing fairly innocuous bike travel videos in China, where they were sometimes condescending to the locals but it wasn't the constant one-sided politicized China bashing. Sterzel as well hasn't been to China in nearly a decade, his content is no longer based on first-hand experience, assuming he is trying to be objective, which he is clearly not.

Yes, China today is a high-trust society, the safety standards and societal trust are similar to what you find in S. Korea or Japan.




Quote:

Pollution is NOT one of the things that have improved though.




Quote:

Quote:

I'll be honest, you have a very weird defensive stance when it comes to the CCP and China.


China-bashing has been a staple of right wing outlets for a long time now, similar to Russia-bashing in the MSM. However in the last decade or so, outlets like CNN and the BBC have also been politicized and their reports on China are consistently biased against that country.
concordtom
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chazzed said:

4D chess?




It's amazing how he is able to just spin whatever yarns and blow right past people.
I don't know that this has ever happened before.
bear2034
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Cal88
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Toyota sells cars in China at less than half what they sell them for in the US. In the next year or two we're going to see the same kinds of distortions in the US auto market as we have in the pharmaceutical market, where the American consumer is stuck with the highest costs in the world.
socaltownie
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Could you summarize the WSJ piece? Intrigued by that pricing differential but also not sure I buy it. For example, what is the range on that car? Right or wrong american consumers have range anxiety and that is why you have seen so much effort put into the (currently) most expensive part of EVs - trying to add range even though the vast majority of drivers will only rarely need ever a charge of 350+ miles. If that Toyota has a range of <200 it would never sell in the US even at that price ;-(
Cal88
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socaltownie said:

Could you summarize the WSJ piece? Intrigued by that pricing differential but also not sure I buy it. For example, what is the range on that car? Right or wrong american consumers have range anxiety and that is why you have seen so much effort put into the (currently) most expensive part of EVs - trying to add range even though the vast majority of drivers will only rarely need ever a charge of 350+ miles. If that Toyota has a range of <200 it would never sell in the US even at that price ;-(

The EV range issue is being solved, they've caught up with ICEs and going forward will exceed them. For that Toyota SUV EV:

"The Toyota bZ3X has a CLTC (China Light Duty Test Cycle) range of up to 610 km (379 miles). This range is achieved by the top-tier "610 Max" trim, which features a 67.92 kWh battery. Other models offer ranges of 520 km (323 miles) and 430 km (267 miles).

Here's a breakdown of the different models and their ranges:
  • 610 Max: Up to 610 km (379 miles) CLTC range with a 67.92 kWh battery.
  • 520 Pro/Pro Plus: Up to 520 km (323 miles) CLTC range with a 58.37 kWh battery.
  • 430 Air/Air Plus: Up to 430 km (267 miles) CLTC range with a 50.03 kWh battery. "

Full WSJ article above, available with on MSN no paywall:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/companies/what-a-15-000-electric-suv-says-about-u-s-china-car-rivalry

Bottom line: that Toyota SUV is made in China, relying on the cheaper EV/battery local supply chain. The article estimates that the equivalent vehicle made in the US would cost at least $40k...

Quote:

Toyota said its bZ3Xthe recently introduced model that starts at $15,000was designed in China by the company's engineers in the country, who worked with a local joint-venture partner. It is made in Guangzhou with Chinese batteries and driver-assistance software from Momenta, a Chinese leader in that field.

"This couldn't happen without a Chinese supply chain," said Masahiko Maeda, head of Toyota's Asia business. "Unless you localize, it's out of the question."

A Toyota spokesman said the company received 15,000 orders on the first day the bZ3X went on sale in China in March, more than expected. Many buyers are choosing to spend a few thousand dollars extra to get more advanced driver-assistance functions, he said.

Maeda said the U.S. has a "costly supply chain," meaning Toyota's U.S. showrooms won't be selling a $15,000 electric SUV soon. The closest equivalent, a slightly longer model called the bZ4X, starts at around $40,000 in the U.S.

People in the industry say that thanks to China's supply chain, it is still possible to make money on a $15,000 vehicle. BYD, the leader in that price range, said its first-quarter profit doubled to more than $1 billion.

Cal88
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Chinese EVs like the Geely/Zeekr Mix, retailing for $42k in China, are going to kill competitors like the VW "Buzz" van, whose current version sells for $65k:





10min charging time, 400HP+ power, 340mi range.
concordtom
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https://www.yahoo.com/autos/swapped-gas-truck-chinese-hybrid-042101877.html


A good quick read
Cal88
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ICEs are going to be obsolete on the new car market within 10 years, not through legislation but through the marketplace.

As well, with fewer moving parts, EVs are more reliable, require less servicing, and could last a lot longer. One problem down the road for the auto industry is that these vehicles aren't going to be replaced as frequently.

concordtom
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Jealous and foolish Americans will only say MAGA - we must make our own million mile battery.
concordtom
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socaltownie said:

Could you summarize the WSJ piece? Intrigued by that pricing differential but also not sure I buy it. For example, what is the range on that car? Right or wrong american consumers have range anxiety and that is why you have seen so much effort put into the (currently) most expensive part of EVs - trying to add range even though the vast majority of drivers will only rarely need ever a charge of 350+ miles. If that Toyota has a range of <200 it would never sell in the US even at that price ;-(


You might enjoy YouTube channel
@Inside_China_Business
Cal88
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Great rundown of the current macro situation and policy challenges by Alden:

"Lyn Alden breaks down Triffin's dilemma and how the dollar's global reserve status comes at the cost of America's industrial base. She analyzes Trump's tariff strategy, China's manufacturing dominance, and the challenges of reshoring industry while maintaining dollar supremacy.

The conversation explores America's energy production gap compared to China, the shifting global monetary order, and how Bitcoin fits into this transition as countries potentially diversify their reserves beyond dollar-denominated assets."

movielover
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Our Autopen POTUS and his crackhead son let China off on the Trade Agreement. Gee, I wonder why?

And why didn't the media lapdogs highlight this Trillion-dollar theft?

 
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