Generational battle at the heart of Democratic primary?

7,440 Views | 96 Replies | Last: 4 yr ago by LMK5
wifeisafurd
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https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/12/young-left-third-party/603232/?utm_source=share&utm_campaign=share

Put another way: Young Democratic voters want to use the social program their elders now benefit from through Sanders "socialism" and elders want to insure they don't lose what "they paid for" by overloading the budget . Both sides have points.

It isn't all about defeating Trump, but about what the Democratic Party determine it stands for and can sell the nation (there still are two other branches of government).
dimitrig
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wifeisafurd said:


https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/12/young-left-third-party/603232/?utm_source=share&utm_campaign=share

Put another way: Young Democratic voters want to use the social program their elders now benefit from through Sanders "socialism" and elders want to insure they don't lose what "they paid for" by overloading the budget . Both sides have points.

It isn't all about defeating Trump, but about what the Democratic Party determine it stands for and can sell the nation (there still are two other branches of government).

Good article.

In the end, the Millenials will prevail. The only question is when. Is 2020 too soon?
sycasey
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I say go with what the kids want. You need to think long-term here.
wifeisafurd
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There is a lot to article I think sounds right. That said, it is important to recall that during the Reagan era we all thought younger kids were conservatives, which (1) wasn't true - people tend to overgeneralize, and (2) people often change their viewpoints during stages of their lives.
sycasey
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People do change their viewpoints, but not as much as you'd think. The kids who came of age with Reagan did remain majority conservative. The ones who came of age with FDR kept voting for Democrats for most of their lives.
GBear4Life
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sycasey said:

I say go with what the kids want. You need to think long-term here.
yeah, whatever the kids want , give it to them!
GBear4Life
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The problem is with current tax rates, millenials should be getting the programs they want already. The middle class and the elderly know that the the government pisses away money. I mean that's all the Republicans stand for is not raising taxes -- people identify with that.
dimitrig
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GBear4Life said:

The problem is with current tax rates, millenials should be getting the programs they want already. The middle class and the elderly know that the the government pisses away money. I mean that's all the Republicans stand for is not raising taxes -- people identify with that.


That's not true. The most significant legislation they passed was a giant tax cut for the rich and corporations. There was no real need to do that and they did not cut spending proportionately so at some point taxes will have to be raised even to keep spending levels where they are now. I think that tax cut pissed away a lot of money.
GBear4Life
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dimitrig said:

GBear4Life said:

The problem is with current tax rates, millenials should be getting the programs they want already. The middle class and the elderly know that the the government pisses away money. I mean that's all the Republicans stand for is not raising taxes -- people identify with that.


That's not true. The most significant legislation they passed was a giant tax cut for the rich and corporations. There was no real need to do that and they did not cut spending proportionately so at some point taxes will have to be raised even to keep spending levels where they are now. I think that tax cut pissed away a lot of money.

I concur. Moreover, aside from it being "unnecessary", it was not attached to spending cuts to compensate. Both parties put politics over economics, but that was certainly egregious. Republicans virtue signal about fiscal responsibility when it suits them ("we can't sign off on this 9/11 benefits bill because there aren't spending cuts to pay for it").

I'm talking more about everyday incomes like under $1M
sycasey
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GBear4Life said:

sycasey said:

I say go with what the kids want. You need to think long-term here.
yeah, whatever the kids want , give it to them!
I use "kids" colloquially, of course. In reality we are talking about people in their 30s or late 20s, entirely old enough to make informed voting decisions, and likely to keep voting with your party if you can lock in their voting patterns now.
bearister
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dimitrig said:

wifeisafurd said:


https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/12/young-left-third-party/603232/?utm_source=share&utm_campaign=share

Put another way: Young Democratic voters want to use the social program their elders now benefit from through Sanders "socialism" and elders want to insure they don't lose what "they paid for" by overloading the budget . Both sides have points.

It isn't all about defeating Trump, but about what the Democratic Party determine it stands for and can sell the nation (there still are two other branches of government).

Good article.

In the end, the Millenials will prevail. The only question is when. Is 2020 too soon?



I hope the Millennials prevail, but only after they have had sufficient time to acquire enough assets so they can have their own skin in the game instead of their parents' skin.
Cancel my subscription to the Resurrection
Send my credentials to the House of Detention
I got some friends inside
wifeisafurd
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sycasey said:

People do change their viewpoints, but not as much as you'd think. The kids who came of age with Reagan did remain majority conservative. The ones who came of age with FDR kept voting for Democrats for most of their lives.
I think that is generally true.
sycasey
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bearister said:

dimitrig said:

wifeisafurd said:


https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/12/young-left-third-party/603232/?utm_source=share&utm_campaign=share

Put another way: Young Democratic voters want to use the social program their elders now benefit from through Sanders "socialism" and elders want to insure they don't lose what "they paid for" by overloading the budget . Both sides have points.

It isn't all about defeating Trump, but about what the Democratic Party determine it stands for and can sell the nation (there still are two other branches of government).

Good article.

In the end, the Millenials will prevail. The only question is when. Is 2020 too soon?



I hope the Millennials prevail, but only after they have had sufficient time to acquire enough assets so they can have their own skin in the game instead of their parents' skin.
Their parents' generation will have to give them the opportunity to acquire said skin first.
wifeisafurd
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sycasey said:

bearister said:

dimitrig said:

wifeisafurd said:


https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/12/young-left-third-party/603232/?utm_source=share&utm_campaign=share

Put another way: Young Democratic voters want to use the social program their elders now benefit from through Sanders "socialism" and elders want to insure they don't lose what "they paid for" by overloading the budget . Both sides have points.

It isn't all about defeating Trump, but about what the Democratic Party determine it stands for and can sell the nation (there still are two other branches of government).

Good article.

In the end, the Millenials will prevail. The only question is when. Is 2020 too soon?



I hope the Millennials prevail, but only after they have had sufficient time to acquire enough assets so they can have their own skin in the game instead of their parents' skin.
Their parents' generation will have to give them the opportunity to acquire said skin first.
I'm curios, does everyone think they have less opportunity than their parents? Why or why not?
sycasey
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wifeisafurd said:

sycasey said:

bearister said:

dimitrig said:

wifeisafurd said:


https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/12/young-left-third-party/603232/?utm_source=share&utm_campaign=share

Put another way: Young Democratic voters want to use the social program their elders now benefit from through Sanders "socialism" and elders want to insure they don't lose what "they paid for" by overloading the budget . Both sides have points.

It isn't all about defeating Trump, but about what the Democratic Party determine it stands for and can sell the nation (there still are two other branches of government).

Good article.

In the end, the Millenials will prevail. The only question is when. Is 2020 too soon?



I hope the Millennials prevail, but only after they have had sufficient time to acquire enough assets so they can have their own skin in the game instead of their parents' skin.
Their parents' generation will have to give them the opportunity to acquire said skin first.
I'm curios, does everyone think they have less opportunity than their parents? Why or why not?
The article you shared kind of covers it:

Quote:

The nation's finances are almost as skewed toward the elderly as its politics are. Americans 55 and up account for less than one-third of the population, but they own two-thirds of the nation's wealth, according to the Federal Reserve. That's the highest level of elderly wealth concentration on record. The reason is simple: To an unprecedented degree, older Americans own the most valuable real estate and investment portfolios. They've captured more than 80 percent of stock-market growth since the end of the Great Recession.

Americans under the age of 40, for their part, are historically well educated, historically peaceful, and historically law-abiding. But this impressive rsum of conscientiousness hasn't translated into much economic or political power.

Instead, young Americans beset with high student debt ran into the buzz saw of a painful recession and slow recovery. Today they are poorer, in income and in wealth, than similarly young groups of previous decades. "In the U.S, as in the U.K. and in much of Europe, 2008 was the end of the end of history," says Keir Milburn, the author of Generation Left, a book on young left-wing movements. "The last decade in the U.K. has been the worst decade for wage growth for 220 years. In the U.S., this generation is the first in a century that expects to have lower lifetime earnings than their parents. It has created an epochal shift."

dimitrig
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wifeisafurd said:


I'm curios, does everyone think they have less opportunity than their parents? Why or why not?

I can only give my take, which is that I think I had more opportunity than my parents, but only because they started from so little and made sure to give me opportunities they never had. They scrimped and saved to put me in private schools and - the few years they couldn't afford to - pushed to get me into the public schools outside of my jurisdiction back when that was a lot harder to do.

In terms of how easy it was to survive, though, I think my parents had it a LOT better. Both attended college, but neither graduated. They held relatively low level jobs. Heck, when my parents met my dad was a short order cook and my mom had a data entry job at a bank. Despite that, they bought a house in the suburbs in Southern California, always drove two nice newer model cars, and raised 5 kids. Most of our vacations were to local places like Yosemite and the Grand Canyon, but they did manage to take us to Europe a couple times.

Back then jobs like they had were enough to have a middle class lifestyle with. The college-educated white collar workers were buying houses in expensive areas like La Canada while their wives stayed at home to care for the kids. Thanks to my parents I am a college-educated white collar worker and there is no way I could afford to buy a big house in La Canada on my income alone and still have money to do anything else let alone raise kids.

The difference in generations is stark. For those with the same careers at my own employer:

1. Millennials mostly rent or maybe buy a townhouse if they marry another professional. Gen Xers probably own a small house, although many do not. Boomers almost always own properties - and usually in the best areas of town.

2. Millennials are most likely to be the best educated. Most have a graduate degree. The majority have PhDs. That was a rarity back in the day but now people with PhDs are competing for the same jobs people with BS degrees held 40 years ago and are making the same or less money for it in real dollars while costs are higher in real dollars.

My neighbor is a (Gen X) doctor. His dad was also a (Boomer) doctor. He says that his dad was able to buy a big house in Larchmont (expensive area in LA) where his mom installed a greenhouse to spend her days growing orchids whereas he has a small (1500 square foot) Spanish-style house in my neighborhood and his wife works at his practice managing the books. My engineer coworker in his late 20s (Millennial) married a dentist. They are still saving for a down payment on a house and paying off their student loans before even considering buying a house or starting a family. They will certainly get there, but much later in life. That's what has changed. People are working harder and are rewarded later in life for it - if at all - and those are the SUCCESSFUL people! Nevermind what is going on farther down the socioeconomic ladder where kids are forced to live with their parents until 30 to save money and pay off debt - all while (some) boomers are laughing that they are forced to live in the basement and talking about how stupid spending $100K+ on college is because back in the day all you needed was a strong work ethic.

The youth of today are more educated, work just as hard, and have the same or less to show for it. I think that is an absolute fact. I guess you could call that less opportunity.





Yogi89
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wifeisafurd said:

sycasey said:

bearister said:

dimitrig said:

wifeisafurd said:


https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/12/young-left-third-party/603232/?utm_source=share&utm_campaign=share

Put another way: Young Democratic voters want to use the social program their elders now benefit from through Sanders "socialism" and elders want to insure they don't lose what "they paid for" by overloading the budget . Both sides have points.

It isn't all about defeating Trump, but about what the Democratic Party determine it stands for and can sell the nation (there still are two other branches of government).

Good article.

In the end, the Millenials will prevail. The only question is when. Is 2020 too soon?



I hope the Millennials prevail, but only after they have had sufficient time to acquire enough assets so they can have their own skin in the game instead of their parents' skin.
Their parents' generation will have to give them the opportunity to acquire said skin first.
I'm curios, does everyone think they have less opportunity than their parents? Why or why not?
Of course. Prices have inflated, wages have stagnated, and globalization has taken away many jobs. Only someone who was born on third base or was one of the lucky few to benefit from the Peter Principle would think otherwise.
GBear4Life
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Professor Bearitas said:

wifeisafurd said:

sycasey said:

bearister said:

dimitrig said:

wifeisafurd said:


https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/12/young-left-third-party/603232/?utm_source=share&utm_campaign=share

Put another way: Young Democratic voters want to use the social program their elders now benefit from through Sanders "socialism" and elders want to insure they don't lose what "they paid for" by overloading the budget . Both sides have points.

It isn't all about defeating Trump, but about what the Democratic Party determine it stands for and can sell the nation (there still are two other branches of government).

Good article.

In the end, the Millenials will prevail. The only question is when. Is 2020 too soon?



I hope the Millennials prevail, but only after they have had sufficient time to acquire enough assets so they can have their own skin in the game instead of their parents' skin.
Their parents' generation will have to give them the opportunity to acquire said skin first.
I'm curios, does everyone think they have less opportunity than their parents? Why or why not?
Of course. Prices have inflated, wages have stagnated, and globalization has taken away many jobs. Only someone who was born on third base or was one of the lucky few to benefit from the Peter Principle would think otherwise.
Society is also becoming more technocratic, increasingly stratified by cognitive abilities. College was practically free but you didn't even need one to have a good job with benefits and could buy a home. It doesn't help that these very same millenials who lament the socio-economic structures of the today have zero problem importing and subsidizing menial labor from abroad.
dajo9
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My Dad is Silent Generation. He earned and spent / lost lots of money, some his fault, some bad luck. As an attorney from the Silent Generation he always had work and opportunities. When I was in my late 20's and talking to him about my merry-go-round of job interviews trying to get some traction in my career my Dad commented that he never had a job interview in his life. He or is folks just always knew the right people.

By now I've had some success but I definitely had a difficult time getting started. I can see how it has only gotten more competitive and difficult for Millenials and how many in a similar situation to me would not have gotten on track. From my viewpoint, they definitely have a legitimate argument.
American Vermin
sycasey
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dajo9 said:

My Dad is Silent Generation. He earned and spent / lost lots of money, some his fault, some bad luck. As an attorney from the Silent Generation he always had work and opportunities. When I was in my late 20's and talking to him about my merry-go-round of job interviews trying to get some traction in my career my Dad commented that he never had a job interview in his life. He or is folks just always knew the right people.

By now I've had some success but I definitely had a difficult time getting started. I can see how it has only gotten more competitive and difficult for Millenials and how many in a similar situation to me would not have gotten on track. From my viewpoint, they definitely have a legitimate argument.
The Silent Gen probably had it the easiest. Small generation, missed the big wars, came of age during American superpower status and massive economic expansion.

However, most of them also remembered WW2 from their childhoods so they weren't entitled about it; they knew how difficult things could have been. The Boomers got the entitlement train rolling.
Yogi89
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sycasey said:

dajo9 said:

My Dad is Silent Generation. He earned and spent / lost lots of money, some his fault, some bad luck. As an attorney from the Silent Generation he always had work and opportunities. When I was in my late 20's and talking to him about my merry-go-round of job interviews trying to get some traction in my career my Dad commented that he never had a job interview in his life. He or is folks just always knew the right people.

By now I've had some success but I definitely had a difficult time getting started. I can see how it has only gotten more competitive and difficult for Millenials and how many in a similar situation to me would not have gotten on track. From my viewpoint, they definitely have a legitimate argument.
The Silent Gen probably had it the easiest. Small generation, missed the big wars, came of age during American superpower status and massive economic expansion.

However, most of them also remembered WW2 from their childhoods so they weren't entitled about it; they knew how difficult things could have been. The Boomers got the entitlement train rolling.
They also remember the Great Depression, so I wouldn't say that they had it easiest. They merely knew how to appreciate what they had.
sycasey
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Professor Bearitas said:

sycasey said:

dajo9 said:

My Dad is Silent Generation. He earned and spent / lost lots of money, some his fault, some bad luck. As an attorney from the Silent Generation he always had work and opportunities. When I was in my late 20's and talking to him about my merry-go-round of job interviews trying to get some traction in my career my Dad commented that he never had a job interview in his life. He or is folks just always knew the right people.

By now I've had some success but I definitely had a difficult time getting started. I can see how it has only gotten more competitive and difficult for Millenials and how many in a similar situation to me would not have gotten on track. From my viewpoint, they definitely have a legitimate argument.
The Silent Gen probably had it the easiest. Small generation, missed the big wars, came of age during American superpower status and massive economic expansion.

However, most of them also remembered WW2 from their childhoods so they weren't entitled about it; they knew how difficult things could have been. The Boomers got the entitlement train rolling.
They also remember the Great Depression, so I wouldn't say that they had it easiest. They merely knew how to appreciate what they had.
Right, it's just that by the time they were ready to start making money all that stuff was over.
wifeisafurd
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Professor Bearitas said:

sycasey said:

dajo9 said:

My Dad is Silent Generation. He earned and spent / lost lots of money, some his fault, some bad luck. As an attorney from the Silent Generation he always had work and opportunities. When I was in my late 20's and talking to him about my merry-go-round of job interviews trying to get some traction in my career my Dad commented that he never had a job interview in his life. He or is folks just always knew the right people.

By now I've had some success but I definitely had a difficult time getting started. I can see how it has only gotten more competitive and difficult for Millenials and how many in a similar situation to me would not have gotten on track. From my viewpoint, they definitely have a legitimate argument.
The Silent Gen probably had it the easiest. Small generation, missed the big wars, came of age during American superpower status and massive economic expansion.

However, most of them also remembered WW2 from their childhoods so they weren't entitled about it; they knew how difficult things could have been. The Boomers got the entitlement train rolling.
They also remember the Great Depression, so I wouldn't say that they had it easiest. They merely knew how to appreciate what they had.
I'm on the trail end of the boomers (early 60's) and what I get a lot of, ironically from the Vietnam generation above me (who were not particularly silent), is "I paid for this" and 'now Bernie wants to give everyone else freebies with a second bite off my financial back ." Hence the question about generational issues. We earned our retirement and paid for it. The problem, as I see it, is a lot of these entitlements were based assumptions of how old people would live and that there would be no aging of the population base due to reduced birth rates, and now possibly immigration restraints.

The flip side of this is that with less earning people to pay for my entitlements, the money has to come from somewhere. With universal care, there are potential agreements for cost savings (which means care providers and Big Pharm make less since the consumer is organized into a monopoly market power by the federal government), and everyone pays in something for cost controls. So while there are winners and losers, overall society improves. That logic isn't there for most other programs that Sanders wants to extend benefits to everyone for, and there really is no sense of what it will cost, and how he will pay for it. There are younger generations that say we want it and we are facing issues ourselves that we can't afford to pay for it, but honestly, every generation says that. Mine did, until Ronnie juiced the economy, and then we spent our countless hours working thinking while we paid our taxes, social security and the like, we were making that downpayment for ourselves. I guess if you tax billionaires (I know that Warren says that is all you need to tax somehow, but I know professional people really are the ones who will pick up the tab as usual), none of us care, it is someone else's money, until the high net worth move their business and personal tax situs outside the country and we end up in the crapper like Harold Wilson's UK, and again the people that pay for all the services are the professional class. Oh, I did we mention the deficits financing the current good economy benefiting the younger generation for someone to pay. So it again becomes a much broader generational and societal battle.
LMK5
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dimitrig said:

wifeisafurd said:


I'm curios, does everyone think they have less opportunity than their parents? Why or why not?

I can only give my take, which is that I think I had more opportunity than my parents, but only because they started from so little and made sure to give me opportunities they never had. They scrimped and saved to put me in private schools and - the few years they couldn't afford to - pushed to get me into the public schools outside of my jurisdiction back when that was a lot harder to do.

In terms of how easy it was to survive, though, I think my parents had it a LOT better. Both attended college, but neither graduated. They held relatively low level jobs. Heck, when my parents met my dad was a short order cook and my mom had a data entry job at a bank. Despite that, they bought a house in the suburbs in Southern California, always drove two nice newer model cars, and raised 5 kids. Most of our vacations were to local places like Yosemite and the Grand Canyon, but they did manage to take us to Europe a couple times.

Back then jobs like they had were enough to have a middle class lifestyle with. The college-educated white collar workers were buying houses in expensive areas like La Canada while their wives stayed at home to care for the kids. Thanks to my parents I am a college-educated white collar worker and there is no way I could afford to buy a big house in La Canada on my income alone and still have money to do anything else let alone raise kids.

The difference in generations is stark. For those with the same careers at my own employer:

1. Millennials mostly rent or maybe buy a townhouse if they marry another professional. Gen Xers probably own a small house, although many do not. Boomers almost always own properties - and usually in the best areas of town.

2. Millennials are most likely to be the best educated. Most have a graduate degree. The majority have PhDs. That was a rarity back in the day but now people with PhDs are competing for the same jobs people with BS degrees held 40 years ago and are making the same or less money for it in real dollars while costs are higher in real dollars.

My neighbor is a (Gen X) doctor. His dad was also a (Boomer) doctor. He says that his dad was able to buy a big house in Larchmont (expensive area in LA) where his mom installed a greenhouse to spend her days growing orchids whereas he has a small (1500 square foot) Spanish-style house in my neighborhood and his wife works at his practice managing the books. My engineer coworker in his late 20s (Millennial) married a dentist. They are still saving for a down payment on a house and paying off their student loans before even considering buying a house or starting a family. They will certainly get there, but much later in life. That's what has changed. People are working harder and are rewarded later in life for it - if at all - and those are the SUCCESSFUL people! Nevermind what is going on farther down the socioeconomic ladder where kids are forced to live with their parents until 30 to save money and pay off debt - all while (some) boomers are laughing that they are forced to live in the basement and talking about how stupid spending $100K+ on college is because back in the day all you needed was a strong work ethic.

The youth of today are more educated, work just as hard, and have the same or less to show for it. I think that is an absolute fact. I guess you could call that less opportunity.






You bring up some very good points, but let me insert a different point-of-view. I grew up back east in the 1970s--bad years by just about any measure. Recessions, stagflation, the draft (until 1973), Arab oil embargoes, high interest rates, low stock prices, polyester, Chevy Vegas, you get the picture. There is no doubt my 3 college-aged kids have it better than me and my friends did. I think a lot of the issue for young people, even if educated, is confined to the price of housing on the coasts. The cost of housing has gone up tremendously on the coasts. The problem for most is the down payment, not the monthly payment. The minimum down payment percentage has stayed pretty stable over a very long time, and with real estate prices rising and wages not keeping up, it becomes quite a hill to climb.

I think young people need to think in a more adventurous way. Home ownership in the US has remained remarkably stable over the decades and now stands at 64.2%, so there are young people buying houses. When I graduated from college in 1983 I had zero job offers on the east coast. To my surprise, I had 2 offers in SoCal. Even though I had no family in the west and no experience there, I drove my 1976 Mercury Comet, in the dead of winter, to Pomona and started my job. People told me I was crazy to leave New Jersey and go live in smog-filled Pomona. Two years later, I got together with a colleague and we purchased a home in the Inland Empire, at 13.5% interest, using an FHA loan. We drove used cars and commuted. All our appliances and furniture were bought used. Our goal was to be able to stay in that house. I work with people of the same age that I was back then and they don't have that same mindset. They're used to much nicer things than my colleagues had in Pomona. Think of the things young people spend money on today that eats into their purchasing power: Lattes, cell phones and their plans, NetFlix, theme park passes, etc. Look at all the shops in the malls that cater to young people who like to spend. "Entitlement" wasn't in the vernacular in my college days.

You must go where the opportunities are. The coasts are not for people starting out today, just like OC was not a place to start out when I came to California. My kid goes to a public university in Arizona as an out-of-state student. Any resident there gets free tuition at her school if their HS GPA was 3.5 or higher. Free. Many of the kids who are graduating are going to places like Texas, New Mexico, and Nebraska. That's where the opportunities are. The pay differential between those states and California is not that great and with the much lower cost of real estate buying a home is not a pipe-dream the way Californians think of it. They're different places with different mindsets. They want people to come and they have something to offer.

Just like my grandparents who had a good life in Europe until it wasn't, and my in-laws who had a good life in Cuba until it wasn't, young people need to regain a spirit of adventure and chart a different path, demanded by contemporary conditions, just like previous generations did.

Anarchistbear
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The last time we had gdp growth over 4% is in 2000, before that it wasn't uncommon.The amusing thing about people fighting about which party is responsible for 2% growth is that they actually consider it an accomplishment. I doubt we'll see 4% again.

If you grew up in the salad days of America anyone no matter the class ( if you were white) could accumulate wealth on a one person income. Now very few young people can live well on a one person income which means more work, less children and more debt than their parents.

There are still opportunities for the educated and this board is educated . If you are uneducated, however, your life, health and prospects are in decline and your future is one catastrophe away from ruin.

78% of Americans live check to check

50% make less than $31K

40% struggle to meet basic needs

3 people have more wealth than bottom 160 million

There is a reason Sanders biggest supporters are youth and fewest supporters are elderly though I'd say even that was misguided considering possible social security cuts
LMK5
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Anarchistbear said:

The last time we had gdp growth over 4% is in 2000, before that it wasn't uncommon.The amusing thing about people fighting about which party is responsible for 2% growth is that they actually consider it an accomplishment. I doubt we'll see 4% again.

If you grew up in the salad days of America anyone no matter the class ( if you were white) could accumulate wealth on a one person income. Now very few young people can live well on a one person income which means more work, less children and more debt than their parents.

There are still opportunities for the educated and this board is educated . If you are uneducated, however, your life, health and prospects are in decline and your future is one catastrophe away from ruin.

78% of Americans live check to check

50% make less than $31K

40% struggle to meet basic needs

3 people have more wealth than bottom 160 million

There is a reason Sanders biggest supporters are youth and fewest supporters are elderly though I'd say even that was misguided considering possible social security cuts
Most generations think that generations past were the "salad days." You are absolutely correct that if you are uneducated it is tough out there. But this is a normal progression of our society. Even a bachelor's degree isn't worth what it used to be. My father was an editor for a national publication in the '80s with just a bachelors degree. That would be impossible today. But again, this is evidence of a society pushing forward, not declining. It is possible for every uneducated person to gain education. It doesn't have to be a 4-year degree, it could be plumbing, electrician's training, auto mechanics, dental hygiene, lots of things. I worked with an engineer that quit and became a fireman of all things. As an engineer, I had to go back to school twice to keep current. Opportunities are out there.

Since this is a sports fanatics forum, let's look at it from that angle. Remember when a shortstop could choke up on the bat, hit .200 with no home runs and have a major league career? Can't do it anymore. The bar has been raised. Remember when it was unheard of for a pitcher to throw 100MPH? Lots of them do it now. Have you ever watched those Pac-12 Network replays of past Rose Bowls? The linemen are noticeably undersized. If they were to try and play today they would wind up in the hospital. The athleticism of the skill players was noticeably less than today. Look at NBA players of today compared to years ago. Look at the difference in size, strength, and quickness. The bar stays the same for no one, and that goes for nations and its citizens. Rome used to be an empire.

Capitalism forces competition on all levels. There will always be winners and losers, but capitalism also provides the opportunities for one to get on the winning team.
Anarchistbear
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They weren't fake salad days. They were real. By every measure growth has declined an
inequality has increased and with it a decline in life expectancy, quality of life, increased addiction, increased tearing apart of social fabric, and other social malaise. The sports analogy is a poor one because it's population is all gifted, but ironically that is increasingly the trend- "haves" and nothing. If you make return on capital the sole basis of your society you will reap consequences which will eventually tear it down.
LMK5
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Anarchistbear said:

They weren't fake salad days. They were real. By every measure growth has declined an
inequality has increased and with it a decline in life expectancy, quality of life, increased addiction, increased tearing apart of social fabric, and other social malaise. The sports analogy is a poor one because it's population is all gifted, but ironically that is increasingly the trend- "haves" and nothing. If you make return on capital the sole basis of your society you will reap consequences which will eventually tear it down.
Which period were the salad days? Pick a decade. Here's a graph from the federal reserve on real disposable income, which is up: Real Disposable Income. Disposable income doesn't rise in an economically-declining society.

The point I was trying to make using sports is that in any game, whether it be sports or jobs, the requirements are ever-increasing. There is no aspect of a thriving society where the requirements for participating are declining.
bearister
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If Bernie loses to tRump, who will Bernie's supporters blame?




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Anarchistbear
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LMK5 said:

Anarchistbear said:

They weren't fake salad days. They were real. By every measure growth has declined an
inequality has increased and with it a decline in life expectancy, quality of life, increased addiction, increased tearing apart of social fabric, and other social malaise. The sports analogy is a poor one because it's population is all gifted, but ironically that is increasingly the trend- "haves" and nothing. If you make return on capital the sole basis of your society you will reap consequences which will eventually tear it down.
Which period were the salad days? Pick a decade. Here's a graph from the federal reserve on real disposable income, which is up: Real Disposable Income. Disposable income doesn't rise in an economically-declining society.

The point I was trying to make using sports is that in any game, whether it be sports or jobs, the requirements are ever-increasing. There is no aspect of a thriving society where the requirements for participating are declining.


Are you arguing that income inequality is not happening and has not been going on for decades? It's possible you know to have increasing personal household income with all of it going to a fraction of the population?

Anarchistbear
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Low information Democrats like you
bearister
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Anarchistbear said:

Low information Democrats like you


Well, that is pretty much what I figured the excuse would be....and I will probably hold my nose and vote for him if he is the nominee just to get tRump out and knowing Bernie won't get his agenda through Congress and he will be a one and done. I hope he picks a good VP.

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wifeisafurd
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Anarchistbear said:

The last time we had gdp growth over 4% is in 2000, before that it wasn't uncommon.The amusing thing about people fighting about which party is responsible for 2% growth is that they actually consider it an accomplishment. I doubt we'll see 4% again.

If you grew up in the salad days of America anyone no matter the class ( if you were white) could accumulate wealth on a one person income. Now very few young people can live well on a one person income which means more work, less children and more debt than their parents.

There are still opportunities for the educated and this board is educated . If you are uneducated, however, your life, health and prospects are in decline and your future is one catastrophe away from ruin.

78% of Americans live check to check

50% make less than $31K

40% struggle to meet basic needs

3 people have more wealth than bottom 160 million

There is a reason Sanders biggest supporters are youth and fewest supporters are elderly though I'd say even that was misguided considering possible social security cuts
This may be nostalgic, but lacks the reality of business cycles that impact the country and now globally, and reports statistical self-reported statistical table that hasn't changed over time, and therefore is misleading.
The United States is a relatively wealthy country by international standards, but poverty has consistently been present throughout its history, often signficantly worse than today. These numbers don't even touch the Great Depression, and before that the country was constantly in boom and bust cycles.

I'm not sure what time you are talking about, but when you say single earner times it sound like the 50's and '60's (I'm assuming your not over 100 yers old) so here is the charts on poverty, and they simply don't match-up with your thesis.


File:Number_in_Poverty_and_Poverty_Rate,_1959_to_2017.png

If you read the Picketty book on income inequality (Capital in the 21st Century), he attributes the rise in the middle American middle class and eduction starting post WW2 to MILITARY SPENDING. And he is supported in that theory by his economic followers, including guys at Berkeley. LET ME REPEAT THAT, THE ECONOMISTS THAT STUDY INCOME INEQUALITY ATTRBUTE THE UNIQUE AMERICAN MIDDLE CLASS TO MILITARY SPENDING. Yet this board is full know it alls talking about ending this economic steroid.

There is no doubt that there are now more opportunities for minorities, which may present problems for white voters. And the Great Recession helped to increase poverty levels again. The issue of understating poverty is especially pressing in states with both high living costs and a high poverty rate such as California where the median home levels are off the charts. This is more of a left state issue, but not exclusively (for example Texas is not exempt). Some critics assert that the official U.S. poverty definition is inconsistent with how it is defined by its own citizens and the rest of the world, because the U.S. government considers many citizens statistically impoverished despite their ability to sufficiently meet their basic needs. But the issue of inequality, is less than you think in many other states, and failed to resonate that much in the election 4 years ago, despite many Ivy League liberal arts graduates camping out in public areas. Just look at the states Clinton carried with large majorities. It also explains why there is so much more hand wringing here with so many highly educated people primarily living in California.

Then we get to all the stupid self-reported/assessed studies you quoted.

Of particular nuisance is the recent study you quoted that 40% (actually 39.4%) of Americans can't meet basic needs. The heavy criticized Urban Institute report you cherry picked was based on asking participants if they felt they STRUGGLED to meet what they consider their basic needs, as opposed to what are actually measure of meeting their basic needs that economists use. That report didn't say they didn't get their basic needs met. It said they struggled. And it is not liked they proved how much they struggled, all of which is certainly in the eye of the beholder in country now full of entitlement. So when I hear someone in my country club saying they "struggled" to handle pay increase in their business for increased minimum wages I really start to wonder. ESPECIALLY WHEN I READ THE REPORT AND IT SAYS IN BOLD "These struggles did not just affect adults with lower incomes, they extended to higher-income families and to families with and without employed members." Wait the people who should be taxed? Or when Michael Karpman, a research associate at the Urban Institute's Health Policy Center and a co-author of the study, told CBS News (here is the link) says that this illustrates that there "is no guarantee" that a middle-class income protects people from financial struggle. Huh? So it isn't just the poor who struggle its the rich and middle class. The one take away I get (other than a lot of these new type of reports are bullcrap) is that a bigger portion of the "struggle" is on health expenses, the one issue the Democrats should be pushing.

And let's talk about the paycheck to paycheck BS. That 78% number. The often quoted Nielson (the one with 8 in 10) study found that one in four families making $150,000 a year or more are living paycheck-to-paycheck, while one in three earning between $50,000 and $100,000 also depend on their next check to keep their heads above water. Oh and this gets better, one-third of the families making over $350,000 living in San Francisco go paycheck to paycheck. I would say these are life style decisions or that many Americans lack financial literacy skills (or in the case of San Franciscans love to pay too many taxes). Google the Market Watch article - I can't Lin it. Why Upper Middle are Living Paycheck-to-Paycheck https://www.investopedia.com/articles/personal-finance/091015/why-high-earners-still-live-paychecktopaycheck.asp?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=shareurlbuttons via @investopedia
We make $325,000 a year and feel like we live paycheck to paycheck" https://www.fastcompany.com/90338071/we-make-325000-a-year-and-feel-like-we-live-paycheck-to-paycheck

The FED now puts out a report each year on Economic Well Being of Households and reports on these garbage self assessed reports of financial challenges. And guess what? None of this is new. In 2015, 60% of the households couldn't meet their short terms needs, 50% couldn't meet their medical needs, 42% said they couldn't pay their credit card debt timely, 51% percent said the could not meet their retirement needs, and the topper, was 38% couldn't meet the "basic necessity" of education and the majority of those were from the highest income families. And how many where living from paycheck to paycheck, eight of ten. Coincidence?

A lot of this is this new type of self reporting narrative on describing poverty is new from the way economists look at the poverty as described in the charts above. It was only in 1995, that the U.S. Census Bureau started collecting data for the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Food and Nutrition Service and Economic Research Service on "food security" using a special Food Security Supplement to the Current Population Survey. Early work focused on the development of a food security scale. In December 2004, 48,103 households answered a series of 18 survey questions about behaviors and experiences with respect to food. In an amazing coincidence, essentially the same percentage of households reported food security "struggles" as in the Nielsen report you cited. Coincidence?


The problem is that poverty tends to vary with business cycle (and race), and your concept about salad days doesn't hold water (bad metaphor, sorry).






bearister
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Cancel my subscription to the Resurrection
Send my credentials to the House of Detention
I got some friends inside
wifeisafurd
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wifeisafurd said:

Anarchistbear said:

The last time we had gdp growth over 4% is in 2000, before that it wasn't uncommon.The amusing thing about people fighting about which party is responsible for 2% growth is that they actually consider it an accomplishment. I doubt we'll see 4% again.

If you grew up in the salad days of America anyone no matter the class ( if you were white) could accumulate wealth on a one person income. Now very few young people can live well on a one person income which means more work, less children and more debt than their parents.

There are still opportunities for the educated and this board is educated . If you are uneducated, however, your life, health and prospects are in decline and your future is one catastrophe away from ruin.

78% of Americans live check to check

50% make less than $31K

40% struggle to meet basic needs

3 people have more wealth than bottom 160 million

There is a reason Sanders biggest supporters are youth and fewest supporters are elderly though I'd say even that was misguided considering possible social security cuts
This may be nostalgic, but lacks the reality of business cycles that impact the country and now globally, and reports statistical self-reported statistical table that hasn't changed over time, and therefore is misleading.
The United States is a relatively wealthy country by international standards, but poverty has consistently been present throughout its history, often signficantly worse than today. These numbers don't even touch the Great Depression, and before that the country was constantly in boom and bust cycles.

I'm not sure what time you are talking about, but when you say single earner times it sound like the 50's and '60's (I'm assuming your not over 100 yers old) so here is the charts on poverty, and they simply don't match-up with your thesis.


File:Number_in_Poverty_and_Poverty_Rate,_1959_to_2017.png

If you read the Picketty book on income inequality (Capital in the 21st Century), he attributes the rise in the middle American middle class and eduction starting post WW2 to MILITARY SPENDING. And he is supported in that theory by his economic followers, including guys at Berkeley. LET ME REPEAT THAT, THE ECONOMISTS THAT STUDY INCOME INEQUALITY ATTRBUTE THE UNIQUE AMERICAN MIDDLE CLASS TO MILITARY SPENDING. Yet this board is full know it alls talking about ending this economic steroid.

There is no doubt that there are now more opportunities for minorities, which may present problems for white voters. And the Great Recession helped to increase poverty levels again. The issue of understating poverty is especially pressing in states with both high living costs and a high poverty rate such as California where the median home levels are off the charts. This is more of a left state issue, but not exclusively (for example Texas is not exempt). Some critics assert that the official U.S. poverty definition is inconsistent with how it is defined by its own citizens and the rest of the world, because the U.S. government considers many citizens statistically impoverished despite their ability to sufficiently meet their basic needs. But the issue of inequality, is less than you think in many other states, and failed to resonate that much in the election 4 years ago, despite many Ivy League liberal arts graduates camping out in public areas. Just look at the states Clinton carried with large majorities. It also explains why there is so much more hand wringing here with so many highly educated people primarily living in California.

Then we get to all the stupid self-reported/assessed studies you quoted.

Of particular nuisance is the recent study you quoted that 40% (actually 39.4%) of Americans can't meet basic needs. The heavy criticized Urban Institute report you cherry picked was based on asking participants if they felt they STRUGGLED to meet what they consider their basic needs, as opposed to what are actually measure of meeting their basic needs that economists use. That report didn't say they didn't get their basic needs met. It said they struggled. And it is not liked they proved how much they struggled, all of which is certainly in the eye of the beholder in country now full of entitlement. So when I hear someone in my country club saying they "struggled" to handle pay increase in their business for increased minimum wages I really start to wonder. ESPECIALLY WHEN I READ THE REPORT AND IT SAYS IN BOLD "These struggles did not just affect adults with lower incomes, they extended to higher-income families and to families with and without employed members." Wait the people who should be taxed? Or when Michael Karpman, a research associate at the Urban Institute's Health Policy Center and a co-author of the study, told CBS News (here is the link) says that this illustrates that there "is no guarantee" that a middle-class income protects people from financial struggle. Huh? So it isn't just the poor who struggle its the rich and middle class. The one take away I get (other than a lot of these new type of reports are bullcrap) is that a bigger portion of the "struggle" is on health expenses, the one issue the Democrats should be pushing.

And let's talk about the paycheck to paycheck BS. That 78% number. The often quoted Nielson (the one with 8 in 10) study found that one in four families making $150,000 a year or more are living paycheck-to-paycheck, while one in three earning between $50,000 and $100,000 also depend on their next check to keep their heads above water. Oh and this gets better, one-third of the families making over $350,000 living in San Francisco go paycheck to paycheck. I would say these are life style decisions or that many Americans lack financial literacy skills (or in the case of San Franciscans love to pay too many taxes). Google the Market Watch article - I can't Lin it. Why Upper Middle are Living Paycheck-to-Paycheck https://www.investopedia.com/articles/personal-finance/091015/why-high-earners-still-live-paychecktopaycheck.asp?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=shareurlbuttons via @investopedia
We make $325,000 a year and feel like we live paycheck to paycheck" https://www.fastcompany.com/90338071/we-make-325000-a-year-and-feel-like-we-live-paycheck-to-paycheck

The FED now puts out a report each year on Economic Well Being of Households and reports on these garbage self assessed reports of financial challenges. And guess what? None of this is new. In 2015, 60% of the households couldn't meet their short terms needs, 50% couldn't meet their medical needs, 42% said they couldn't pay their credit card debt timely, 51% percent said the could not meet their retirement needs, and the topper, was 38% couldn't meet the "basic necessity" of education and the majority of those were from the highest income families. And how many where living from paycheck to paycheck, eight of ten. Coincidence?

A lot of this is this new type of self reporting narrative on describing poverty is new from the way economists look at the poverty as described in the charts above. It was only in 1995, that the U.S. Census Bureau started collecting data for the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Food and Nutrition Service and Economic Research Service on "food security" using a special Food Security Supplement to the Current Population Survey. Early work focused on the development of a food security scale. In December 2004, 48,103 households answered a series of 18 survey questions about behaviors and experiences with respect to food. In an amazing coincidence, essentially the same percentage of households reported food security "struggles" as in the Nielsen report you cited. Coincidence?


The problem is that poverty tends to vary with business cycle (and race), and your concept about salad days doesn't hold water (bad metaphor, sorry).







As a follow-up to what should have been said, is there is more concentration of wealth than say 40 years ago. Or another words, more income inequality. That inequality is not distributed though out the nation equally, which is a real problem for Dems, and already is being used against them. Sanders need to sell the virtues of national health insurance. But he needs to be real careful on certain social welfare issues in my opinion. Better he stick with fairness, corruption and billionaire greed.
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