Anarchistbear said:
wifeisafurd said:
Anarchistbear said:
wifeisafurd said:
Anarchistbear said:
wifeisafurd said:
wifeisafurd said:
Anarchistbear said:
The last time we had gdp growth over 4% is in 2000, before that it wasn't uncommon.The amusing thing about people fighting about which party is responsible for 2% growth is that they actually consider it an accomplishment. I doubt we'll see 4% again.
If you grew up in the salad days of America anyone no matter the class ( if you were white) could accumulate wealth on a one person income. Now very few young people can live well on a one person income which means more work, less children and more debt than their parents.
There are still opportunities for the educated and this board is educated . If you are uneducated, however, your life, health and prospects are in decline and your future is one catastrophe away from ruin.
78% of Americans live check to check
50% make less than $31K
40% struggle to meet basic needs
3 people have more wealth than bottom 160 million
There is a reason Sanders biggest supporters are youth and fewest supporters are elderly though I'd say even that was misguided considering possible social security cuts
This may be nostalgic, but lacks the reality of business cycles that impact the country and now globally, and reports statistical self-reported statistical table that hasn't changed over time, and therefore is misleading.
The United States is a relatively wealthy country by international standards, but poverty has consistently been present throughout its history, often signficantly worse than today. These numbers don't even touch the Great Depression, and before that the country was constantly in boom and bust cycles.
I'm not sure what time you are talking about, but when you say single earner times it sound like the 50's and '60's (I'm assuming your not over 100 yers old) so here is the charts on poverty, and they simply don't match-up with your thesis.
File:Number_in_Poverty_and_Poverty_Rate,_1959_to_2017.png
If you read the Picketty book on income inequality (Capital in the 21st Century), he attributes the rise in the middle American middle class and eduction starting post WW2 to MILITARY SPENDING. And he is supported in that theory by his economic followers, including guys at Berkeley. LET ME REPEAT THAT, THE ECONOMISTS THAT STUDY INCOME INEQUALITY ATTRBUTE THE UNIQUE AMERICAN MIDDLE CLASS TO MILITARY SPENDING. Yet this board is full know it alls talking about ending this economic steroid.
There is no doubt that there are now more opportunities for minorities, which may present problems for white voters. And the Great Recession helped to increase poverty levels again. The issue of understating poverty is especially pressing in states with both high living costs and a high poverty rate such as California where the median home levels are off the charts. This is more of a left state issue, but not exclusively (for example Texas is not exempt). Some critics assert that the official U.S. poverty definition is inconsistent with how it is defined by its own citizens and the rest of the world, because the U.S. government considers many citizens statistically impoverished despite their ability to sufficiently meet their basic needs. But the issue of inequality, is less than you think in many other states, and failed to resonate that much in the election 4 years ago, despite many Ivy League liberal arts graduates camping out in public areas. Just look at the states Clinton carried with large majorities. It also explains why there is so much more hand wringing here with so many highly educated people primarily living in California.
Then we get to all the stupid self-reported/assessed studies you quoted.
Of particular nuisance is the recent study you quoted that 40% (actually 39.4%) of Americans can't meet basic needs. The heavy criticized Urban Institute report you cherry picked was based on asking participants if they felt they STRUGGLED to meet what they consider their basic needs, as opposed to what are actually measure of meeting their basic needs that economists use. That report didn't say they didn't get their basic needs met. It said they struggled. And it is not liked they proved how much they struggled, all of which is certainly in the eye of the beholder in country now full of entitlement. So when I hear someone in my country club saying they "struggled" to handle pay increase in their business for increased minimum wages I really start to wonder. ESPECIALLY WHEN I READ THE REPORT AND IT SAYS IN BOLD "These struggles did not just affect adults with lower incomes, they extended to higher-income families and to families with and without employed members." Wait the people who should be taxed? Or when Michael Karpman, a research associate at the Urban Institute's Health Policy Center and a co-author of the study, told CBS News (here is the link) says that this illustrates that there "is no guarantee" that a middle-class income protects people from financial struggle. Huh? So it isn't just the poor who struggle its the rich and middle class. The one take away I get (other than a lot of these new type of reports are bullcrap) is that a bigger portion of the "struggle" is on health expenses, the one issue the Democrats should be pushing.
And let's talk about the paycheck to paycheck BS. That 78% number. The often quoted Nielson (the one with 8 in 10) study found that one in four families making $150,000 a year or more are living paycheck-to-paycheck, while one in three earning between $50,000 and $100,000 also depend on their next check to keep their heads above water. Oh and this gets better, one-third of the families making over $350,000 living in San Francisco go paycheck to paycheck. I would say these are life style decisions or that many Americans lack financial literacy skills (or in the case of San Franciscans love to pay too many taxes). Google the Market Watch article - I can't Lin it. Why Upper Middle are Living Paycheck-to-Paycheck https://www.investopedia.com/articles/personal-finance/091015/why-high-earners-still-live-paychecktopaycheck.asp?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=shareurlbuttons via @investopedia
We make $325,000 a year and feel like we live paycheck to paycheck" https://www.fastcompany.com/90338071/we-make-325000-a-year-and-feel-like-we-live-paycheck-to-paycheck
The FED now puts out a report each year on Economic Well Being of Households and reports on these garbage self assessed reports of financial challenges. And guess what? None of this is new. In 2015, 60% of the households couldn't meet their short terms needs, 50% couldn't meet their medical needs, 42% said they couldn't pay their credit card debt timely, 51% percent said the could not meet their retirement needs, and the topper, was 38% couldn't meet the "basic necessity" of education and the majority of those were from the highest income families. And how many where living from paycheck to paycheck, eight of ten. Coincidence?
A lot of this is this new type of self reporting narrative on describing poverty is new from the way economists look at the poverty as described in the charts above. It was only in 1995, that the U.S. Census Bureau started collecting data for the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Food and Nutrition Service and Economic Research Service on "food security" using a special Food Security Supplement to the Current Population Survey. Early work focused on the development of a food security scale. In December 2004, 48,103 households answered a series of 18 survey questions about behaviors and experiences with respect to food. In an amazing coincidence, essentially the same percentage of households reported food security "struggles" as in the Nielsen report you cited. Coincidence?
The problem is that poverty tends to vary with business cycle (and race), and your concept about salad days doesn't hold water (bad metaphor, sorry).
As a follow-up to what should have been said, is there is more concentration of wealth than say 40 years ago. Or another words, more income inequality. That inequality is not distributed though out the nation equally, which is a real problem for Dems, and already is being used against them. Sanders need to sell the virtues of national health insurance. But he needs to be real careful on certain social welfare issues in my opinion. Better he stick with fairness, corruption and billionaire greed.
I'm not sure what wifeisafurd is arguing but yes there were salad days - not where there was no poverty but where income was distributed in a more egalitarian way. As Piketty notes we are in a new robber baron era
Piketty and Saenz again
"Reducing wealth disparity. How could wealth disparity be reduced (or its increase slowed)? Since wealth inequality is fueled by both rising income and rising saving rate inequality, policies need to address both trends. Progressive income taxation can reduce wealth concentration by limiting the ability of rich households to accumulate wealth. Estate taxation is critical to prevent self-made fortunes from becoming inherited wealth. Progressive wealth taxation affects wealth inequality by diminishing the rate of return on wealth at the top (see Piketty, 2014, Chapters 14 and 15 for a detailed discussion). The historical experience of the United States and other rich countries suggests that progressive taxation can powerfully affect income and
58The value of Defined Benefits for workers not yet getting benefits is harder to evaluate both conceptually and practically and could be estimated approximately as discussed above.
59This purchase of asset information is now already stored by financial companies as forms 1099-B require, since 2011, to state the basis price when the asset is sold. Net savings in year t on regular accounts can be inferred by differencing end-of-year balances in year t and year t 1 (less interest earned during year t) with no additional reporting requirement.
60Interestingly, such third-party reports of balances are systematically implemented by Danish tax authorities even after Denmark eliminated its wealth tax in 1996. Such balance information has proved useful for income tax enforcement and of great value for research (see e.g. Chetty et al., 2014a).
(so as to be able to compute the value of defined benefits pensions for current pensioners).
purchase of asset could correspondingly generate a tax information form.
information on sales and purchases of assets would make it possible to compute saving at the individual level, an information needed to evaluate or implement a progressive consumption tax.
efficiently administer a progressive wealth tax.
Comprehensive
39
wealth concentration (Atkinson et al., 2011, see). Yet tax policy is not the only channel. Other policies can directly support middle class incomessuch as access to quality and affordable education, health benefits cost controls, minimum wage policies, or more generally policies shifting bargaining power away from shareholders and management toward workers.."
You argued poverty, which the US has always had, with little variation other than some extreme business cycles. There is no salad days. We now have wealth concentration back to the the good old days before all that military spending, which you now should know from reading Pikerty, is a lot different than poverty, and also different than income inequality, as income earning professionals (unlike the really wealthy that hold capital) that get screwed on income taxes can tell you. We can't have a wealth tax without a constitutional amendment - good luck with that. And as everyone found out when talking about Warren's wealth tax, these forms of taxes are really hard to implement. A VAT or consumption tax, to the extent legal possibly, makes a lot more sense. The stuff they talk about with progressive taxes is utter BS. For example, when I was cranking out tax returns at Big 8 during the 1970's and the tax rate for high income people was 70%, they were not paying anywhere near that due to tax shelters. There was no informational reporting at that time to see the impact of shelters having say 25 to 1 write-offs, and the shelters showed up as a net number on the return. Yet these nitwits say the tax rate was 70% in their charts. Their work in this area simply is not credible. And the concept of a middle class is amusing to me given what is being said by people here about military spending.
I think the idea about health care is a winner. Sanders can talk about fairness in tax, but there are business reason often to support capital gains rates (less so during low inflation). But he has not laid any foundation for changing the types of taxes. I don't see minimal wage limits in California having changed wealth concentration one bit. Cost controls in a market system failed bitterly under Nixon. You can google all the articles. Shifting power to labor from capital has been tried certainly, and there in a capitalist society drives capital away, and sinks industry. The problem is if you want to be a true socialist, and move the means of production, distribution, and exchange to be owned or regulated by the elitists in government, you can control these things, but you can't in a market society. The market dictates the result. The problem is Bernie Sanders isn't that guy. He is not a real socialist like Pikerty.
A common response from Bernie is he is a Democratic Socialist. And it works just fine in Sweden, Norway, and Denmark. The problem is these counties are not particularly socialist and thus the confusion between socialism, meaning government exerting control or ownership of businesses, and the welfare state in the form of government-provided social safety net programs, which is where Bernie seems to be coming from.Regardless of the perception, in reality the Nordic countries practice mostly free market economics (not anything on your Pikerty laundry list) paired with high taxes exchanged for generous government entitlement programs. The Nordic counties were economic successes before they built their welfare states. There is in fact, a lack of government interference in business affairs. Almost none of these countries have minimum wage laws, unlike in the US. Unions are reasonably powerful in many industries and negotiate contracts, but the government does nothing to ensure any particular outcome from those negotiations unlike in Pikerty situation. Workers are paid what they are worth, not based on government's perception of what is fair. Most of these counties also have school choice (for private or public) with evil vouchers. Socialism can take the form of government controlling or interfering with free markets, nationalizing industries, and subsidizing favored ones (green energy, anyone?). The Nordic countries don't actually do much of those things. Actually we do it more in the US. Yes, they offer government-paid healthcare, in some cases tuition-free university educations (which are well rationed far below US standards), and rather generous social safety nets, all financed with high taxes. However, they do these things without interfering in the private sector more than required. The question is how far off is Bernie from this model?
If Bernie constrains himself to simply naming a system of generous government benefits combined with a free market "democratic socialism" through raising taxes, we can have that debate. It is a matter of priorities, whether money is better invested in business or social welfare, and the usual liberal vs conservative arguments. I get that health care probably is an exception (though there is a lot of private enterprise in medicare). The socialist tag then seems unnecessarily (except for political shock value) since the government is actually running no industries other than some portion of education (and meddling somewhat in healthcare). It certainly isn't socialism. In fact, the only reason these countries can afford those benefits is that their market economies are so productive they can cover the expense of the government's generosity. And in one case, it is all about petrodollars. So for a guy who once represented himself as anarchist, where are you on this spectrum?
Of course there were salad days. Incomes doubled between 1940-1970 and were in tandem across income percentiles. Gdp was robust and lifted all boats
?s=gdp+cyoy&v=202001301357V20191105&ismobile=1&w=400&h=250&lbl=0&d1=
Since this time both income and wealth inequality have increased. Middle class income was flat from 2000-2016; almost all tye benefits of the recovery went to the upper classes.
So we gave gone from an egalitarian model to the most severe form of inequality, all because our leaders view government as serving the interests of capital not people resulting in a country in severe decline by any
measure- health, addiction, violence, suicide. People were pissed off in 2016 and we got Trump. They are still pissed off.
Personally, Bernie is too authoritarian. I dont like authoritarian models be it left or right. I would prefer the continued destruction of the US party system and evolution to a decentralized model where people controlled their own lives as they see fit- in my case that would be local worker owner collectives. But I will vote for Bernie for one reason- his enemies: the political establishment, corporations, the military, the wealthy. That's good enough for me.
Actually your own graph says that we didn't get the most severe inequality, we just bounced back to the good old days before the great "egalitarian" salad days.
But let's not forget the great salad days. As the Cold War unfolded in the decade and a half after World War II, the United States experienced phenomenal economic growth. The war spending brought prosperity, and in the postwar period the United States consolidated its position as the world's richest country. GDP jumped from about $200 thousand-million in 1940 to $300 thousand-million in 1950 to more than $500 thousand-million in 1960. More and more Americans now considered themselves part of the middle class built on the foundation of military expenditures in fighting the red menace. Free of authoritarian figures that carved the world up into spheres of influence, and created endless wars and engagement. No the great salad years, where no one endured the widespread growth of government authority and accepted the outlines of the welfare state, first formulated during the New Deal in order to enjoy the postwar prosperity funded by a sustained increase in share of GDP related to military and government spending and fostering a new level of affluence in the United States to many white Americans. Oh the great salad days, where politically active students supported the nation's role abroad, enjoying the corrosive war in Vietnam, and a youth counterculture that stood behind the status quo of American values proffered by a society free of authoritarian figures. Oh the great salad years, inspiring a wave of hysterical anti-communism throughout the country that set the stage for the emergence of McCarthyism. Oh the great salad days, committing America to assist allied nations anywhere in the world run by benevolent overloads, not authoritarian figures, which seemed threatened by Soviet aggression, spending as much GDP as possible in the pursuit of serving people, not capital heavies like GM, Dow Chemical, defense contractors (certainly paid for our nice house), IBM, and will you get the picture. Oh the great salad days, where after 1945 the major corporations in America grew even larger. There had been earlier waves of mergers in the 1890s and in the 1920s; in the 1950s another wave occurred. New conglomerates -- firms with holdings in a variety of industries -- led the way. International Telephone and Telegraph, for example, bought Sheraton Hotels, Continental Baking, Hartford Fire Insurance, and Avis Rent-a-Car, among other companies. Oh those salad years, where sweet, smaller franchise operations like McDonald's fast-food restaurants provided still another pattern for helping people, not capital. Oh the salad years, where large cooperatives of corporate kindness also developed holdings overseas, where labor costs were lower, creating the multi-national corporation in the 1950's. Oh the great salad days, where fewer workers produced goods; more provided services. Where by 1956, a majority held white-collar jobs, working as corporate managers, teachers, salespersons and office employees, working for non-authoritian figures, that really wanted to be collectives and work for the interests of people, not capital. Oh the salad years in the 1950s, where gains in productivity led to agricultural consolidation, as farming became a big business, and family farms, in turn, found it difficult to compete growing ah...salad. Oh those wonderful salad years, where white Americans left the inner city for those burbs, leaving those minorities behind, Oh the great salad years, where non-authoritarian cooperatives started large shopping centers containing a great variety of stores changed consumer patterns for people, not capital accumulation. Oh the salad years, where it just makes all the sense in the world and isn't the least bit hypocritical or the least bit full of it.
This is quite a rant- incoherent and impossible to read. May I suggest a new tool for you when writing while drunk- the paragraph.
I have used salad days specifically to refer to a time where inequality and opportunity in America were less oppressive. You infer wrongly and in a silly way that I was saying the country was free of social ills or ferment. Capitalism has always been an exploitative system- thanks for making my point. One reason it was less exploitative in those days was that there was a competing social system-communism- and as a result a left wing alternative that threatened capitalism's hegemony internationally and domestically. Since the fall of international communism, there really hasn't been a left wing alternative to the two parties which is why we have a 78 year old socialist leading young people.
I will try to use numbered paragraphs so you can keep up:
1) Sarcasm, not a rant about you talking out of both sides of your mouth
2) Your wax over your best of times narrative, then wanting something just the opposite, and not understating the more diplomatic posts, so maybe sarcasm could help.
3) When your hyprocrisy is thrown in your face, you reduce your base arguments to calling people drunk or your other more prominent rhetorical personal attacks (you might try making the accusation about drinking against somebody that actually drinks).
4) You pretend to be an anarchist, yet rail against the loss of communism or other left wing government contolling dogma, which was used to oppress in an incredible authoritarian way.
5) You try to walk back your comments that this period was an "egalitarian model" (your words) to the factually incorrect worse of time scenario, and then say wait a minute capitalism always sucked so you make my point for me (that I guess you forgot to make?). Let's call it, the best way to get to your egalitarian model is to fund an arms race. I guess your anarchist background does not allow causal analysis for a time component in the the world or the economy.
6) You cite a laundry list of government control tools suggested by Pikerty and others that are just the polar opposite as solutions of what you later espouse. State policies are always oppressive as they provide
one system or solution for
one kind of people, so you want local worker collectives. Yet here comes capitalism which certainly provides the individual with more choice to define how they use their labor, then some government elite.
7) And to make the argument even more absurd, you pick a time in American history when conformity was arguably at its highest, as an egalitarian model. I can't help it if you don't understand how idiotic it is to read about someone lamenting a golden era that was based on military spending, conformity, big business, capitalism in full growth mode and creation of multi-natonaal corporations, corporate farming, large capital accumulations, consolidation of business and all the other traits of capitalism you claim to abhor in other posts, and then say wait a minute, what I really meant was that it all sucks, but well, it must suck less because it lead to good results. Your not getting it when people say it to you directly, why not sarcasm? Look you get posters needling you about being anarchist, but you set yourself up with cynical comments about society, without realizing the opposite of what you are saying is an anti-anarchist position.
Steeping back for a second, I know a guy (you may be that guy) in the Bay Area who is a free market anarchist. For this guy, individuals will act in accordance with their perception of what is most beneficial to them and how they value their labor with like minded thinking people. Sound familiar?
Some people value monetary wealth, while others value health, leisure, family, a nice house, or even a Rose Bowl every 70 years or so. People will choose differently depending on their situation and their preferences, and even if they start off in a state of "egalitarianism" some choices will be better (with respect to something, e.g., amount of monetary assets) and some poorer. But they, and the market, not the government, makes that decision.
I mean you do understand that government is taken out of the equation in anarchy? So when I ask you about where you are on the Sanders part of the spectrum, with the bigger, controlling government, programs where the government elites decide how resources are allocated, I'm still not hearing what is in it for you?