Wilcox Firing (hypothetical)

801 Views | 20 Replies | Last: 7 hrs ago by TonyTiger
SouthKBear
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If I were Ron with this bye week, I would think this would be a great time to terminate Wilcox. Gives team two weeks to adjust and figure out the future going forward for the remaining of the season. And like Andrew luck, elevate one of the former head coaches to finish the season and make sure they know it's only for this season. I would also be speaking to an east coast coach (Sweeney, day, etc for possible jobs. They will undoubtably be fired here soon.

I would avoid a nfl coach that has ent been in college coaching since NIL and portal change, as they don't know the dynamic of it.

But I'm not Ron. I'm just a dreamer. So I'll go back to sleep now.
DoubtfulBear
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If he was going to get fired, it would've happened by now. No way it would drag out until the bye week
bencgilmore
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We're 4-2. Anyone calling for a firing now is missing the point on multiple levels.

Only possible scenario i see a mid-season firing is a meltdown against UNC. Yeah, we'd still be 4-3, but getting to 6 or 7 would look pretty much impossible. And even 7 is supposedly not good enough this year.

Even then it's probably pretty unlikely though.

The single most important thing is keeping jks. If Ron rushes things that could prove difficult

SouthKBear
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Ron said he wanted improvement. This is not it. Ron terminating shows his word and commitment to that. This needs to happen now, regardless of win column. It should be about competitive play, improvement, fixing past repetitive faults, and player development. This won't happen, but needs too. We are basically in ground hogs day every year. Will lose JKs most likely, we hope not, but we all know the story.
DoubtfulBear
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JKS would be a fool to stay. He only needs to look at Mendoza to see what the possibilities are even if he doesn't join a blue blood
Strykur
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bencgilmore said:

The single most important thing is keeping jks. If Ron rushes things that could prove difficult

If Ron waits and boots Wilcox at the end of the season the winter portal opens without any coaching candidates in the mix and then everybody walks
Golden One
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JKS is more likely to stay if Wilcox is fired.
MrGPAC
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The best path to firing Wilcox after the season and keeping JKS is to promote Rolovich to head coach.

At this point you fall into one of two camps:

Camp 1) You think Wilcox can get us to a spot that is good enough to get us into the Big10 in the next round of realignment. That means more wins and more importantly more eyeballs on Cal football.

Camp 2) You do not think Wilcox will get us to a spot that is good enough to get us into the Big10 in the next round of realignment.

If you are still in camp 1 I'm going to have to respectfully disagree. After letting the team flounder with no emotional leader 2 of the last 3 weeks with loss margins much larger than the disparity of talent between the two teams I cannot give him any benefit of the doubt. Further, even at its peak, Wilcox brand of football is kind of boring. He wants defensive slugfests that minimize the scoring and number of possessions each team gets. Slow methodical drives may very well be a good recipe to get wins...but its not a great one to get eyeballs which is what we need.

For those in Camp 2 it seems to me that the best action is to cut ties ASAP. We gain absolutely nothing waiting to fire him. The money is already spent, and interim coaches don't typically get large salary increases (someone feel free to correct me if I'm wrong here). We also have an added bonus of getting a free try out for Rolovich. If he can work some magic then great we have a coaching hire lined up. If not? We have more knowledge about a potential candidate.

Bonus points: We get to start trying to find a coach asap.

We are at the point where we have to decide if we want to have a major football program post 2030. We either buckle down and do what it takes to get into a super league (big10 being most likely avenue), or we accept that we will no longer have a major football program and will have to pick up the pieces. We have to invest one way or the other at this point and time is not on our side.
bencgilmore
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DoubtfulBear said:

JKS would be a fool to stay. He only needs to look at Mendoza to see what the possibilities are even if he doesn't join a blue blood


Posts like this should auto qualify you for a Prozac prescription

Golden One said:

JKS is more likely to stay if Wilcox is fired.


Maybe. Weird that I think our freshman qb should at least get some input on it, but here we are.
bencgilmore
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Would be very helpful if said head coach happened to come with a couple really good receivers.

... Which is something that happens these days
TedfordTheGreat
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MrGPAC said:

The best path to firing Wilcox after the season and keeping JKS is to promote Rolovich to head coach.

At this point you fall into one of two camps:

Camp 1) You think Wilcox can get us to a spot that is good enough to get us into the Big10 in the next round of realignment. That means more wins and more importantly more eyeballs on Cal football.

Camp 2) You do not think Wilcox will get us to a spot that is good enough to get us into the Big10 in the next round of realignment.

If you are still in camp 1 I'm going to have to respectfully disagree. After letting the team flounder with no emotional leader 2 of the last 3 weeks with loss margins much larger than the disparity of talent between the two teams I cannot give him any benefit of the doubt. Further, even at its peak, Wilcox brand of football is kind of boring. He wants defensive slugfests that minimize the scoring and number of possessions each team gets. Slow methodical drives may very well be a good recipe to get wins...but its not a great one to get eyeballs which is what we need.

For those in Camp 2 it seems to me that the best action is to cut ties ASAP. We gain absolutely nothing waiting to fire him. The money is already spent, and interim coaches don't typically get large salary increases (someone feel free to correct me if I'm wrong here). We also have an added bonus of getting a free try out for Rolovich. If he can work some magic then great we have a coaching hire lined up. If not? We have more knowledge about a potential candidate.

Bonus points: We get to start trying to find a coach asap.

We are at the point where we have to decide if we want to have a major football program post 2030. We either buckle down and do what it takes to get into a super league (big10 being most likely avenue), or we accept that we will no longer have a major football program and will have to pick up the pieces. We have to invest one way or the other at this point and time is not on our side.

who is in camp 1 still?

I had hope as recently as last year, then we lost to FSU, then to Pitt, then to NC State, then i realized yet again Wilcox is not the guy. All the excuses of playing UW, UO, USC every year went out the window last year.

Then this year i bought in the hype machine again. We had an even easier schedule than last year, our easiest schedule in perhaps 3 decades. Then he immediately squashed it against SDSU. NIU lost to SDSU 3-6, we lose 0-35. U telling me we have less talent than NIU?

He can't recruit, he cant retain talent, he has no rolodex, he has no charisma, worst of all, he can't coach his team and get them to perform consistently.

Wilcox consistently coaches DOWN to the level of our competition. If we are in the MWC/Pac12 we will lose to OSU and WSU.
If anyone is in camp 1, they are delusional
Econ141
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Agreed - at this point the writing is on the wall. He'd need to have a miraculous run-the -table type of scenario that would change minds but at that point, he might as well jump to a new gig.

So better start shopping for coaching now and the best way to garner interest is to let people know it is open!
01Bear
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bencgilmore said:

We're 4-2. Anyone calling for a firing now is missing the point on multiple levels.

Only possible scenario i see a mid-season firing is a meltdown against UNC. Yeah, we'd still be 4-3, but getting to 6 or 7 would look pretty much impossible. And even 7 is supposedly not good enough this year.

Even then it's probably pretty unlikely though.

The single most important thing is keeping jks. If Ron rushes things that could prove difficult



So when's a good time to call for Wilsux to be fired? After the season, when the portal opens? So Cal risks losing its recruits and being able to bring in talented players from the portal due to not having a head coach (and coaching staff) in place? During Spring, when Cal should be using that time to get its players used to the new coach's playbook, but instead opens another door for players to exit Cal (thanks to the rule that players can transfer within 30 days of a coach's termination)? During Summer? At the beginning of the next season?

At the end of the day, the "Cal can't fire Wilsux now because [reasons]" camp are really just arguing for more of the same. They really don't think Wilsux should be fired, only they're too cowardly to admit it. Instead, they hide behind the argument that "the timing is bad" or some other ridiculous reason.

Yes, there's merit to the idea that Cal can't afford to pay $15+ million to Wilsux and also pay another high quality HC. But that's not a good reason not to fire Wilsux. Wilsux is going to get paid either way, so that's a sunk cost.

The question is whether the new HC will be able to get the team to play well enough to (1) increase ticket sales (and thus help pay for his salary) and (2) help Cal survive the next conference realignment (and end up in the big boy college power football club). Based on his performance to date, it is abundantly clear that Wilsux is incapable of either. It's time to find someone who can.

pingpong2
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bencgilmore said:

We're 4-2. Anyone calling for a firing now is missing the point on multiple levels.

Only possible scenario i see a mid-season firing is a meltdown against UNC. Yeah, we'd still be 4-3, but getting to 6 or 7 would look pretty much impossible. And even 7 is supposedly not good enough this year.

Even then it's probably pretty unlikely though.

The single most important thing is keeping jks. If Ron rushes things that could prove difficult




We're 4-2 despite Wilcox, not because of him. We barely beat BC and got blown out by powerhouse SDSU and Duke. Our only good win was again Minnesota; Oregon State and Texas Southern we would have beaten even if we let the players coach themselves.
BearlyCareAnymore
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bencgilmore said:

DoubtfulBear said:

JKS would be a fool to stay. He only needs to look at Mendoza to see what the possibilities are even if he doesn't join a blue blood


Posts like this should auto qualify you for a Prozac prescription

Golden One said:

JKS is more likely to stay if Wilcox is fired.


Maybe. Weird that I think our freshman qb should at least get some input on it, but here we are.

A good coach and a mediocre QB will be more valuable than a mediocre coach and JKS. JKS will do what he does. Frankly, he will only be here as a Junior if we have turned things around by his sophomore year. We can't let JKS' situation dictate our next 5 years of coaching.
Joegeo
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Nothing is stopping Ron from conducting back channel discussion with agents to see what is the level of coach who will take the Cal job versus those who want to see what options are avaliable.

Right now with all the openings, I don't think Cal will be the number 1 choice, so there is little incentive to start the search now and hope to snipe someone because OKC/Arkansas will be ahead of you anyway.
DoubtfulBear
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bencgilmore said:

DoubtfulBear said:

JKS would be a fool to stay. He only needs to look at Mendoza to see what the possibilities are even if he doesn't join a blue blood


Posts like this should auto qualify you for a Prozac prescription


Being a Wilcox fan despite the last 9 years is sufficient evidence to be committed to an insane asylum
Rushinbear
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Econ141 said:

Agreed - at this point the writing is on the wall. He'd need to have a miraculous run-the -table type of scenario that would change minds but at that point, he might as well jump to a new gig.

So better start shopping for coaching now and the best way to garner interest is to let people know it is open!

Ron knows everyone in the business. Guaranteed he has a shopping list and probably 2 or 3 who have made tentative commitments, should he pull the string. He also now knows enough about Harsin and Rolo. Does he have the guts or will he play it like a bureaucrat?
Strykur
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Rushinbear said:

Econ141 said:

Agreed - at this point the writing is on the wall. He'd need to have a miraculous run-the -table type of scenario that would change minds but at that point, he might as well jump to a new gig.

So better start shopping for coaching now and the best way to garner interest is to let people know it is open!

Ron knows everyone in the business. Guaranteed he has a shopping list and probably 2 or 3 who have made tentative commitments, should he pull the string. He also now knows enough about Harsin and Rolo. Does he have the guts or will he play it like a bureaucrat?

If the latter was the case, why did he even take the GM job
Golden One
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MrGPAC said:

The best path to firing Wilcox after the season and keeping JKS is to promote Rolovich to head coach.

At this point you fall into one of two camps:

Camp 1) You think Wilcox can get us to a spot that is good enough to get us into the Big10 in the next round of realignment. That means more wins and more importantly more eyeballs on Cal football.

Camp 2) You do not think Wilcox will get us to a spot that is good enough to get us into the Big10 in the next round of realignment.

If you are still in camp 1 I'm going to have to respectfully disagree. After letting the team flounder with no emotional leader 2 of the last 3 weeks with loss margins much larger than the disparity of talent between the two teams I cannot give him any benefit of the doubt. Further, even at its peak, Wilcox brand of football is kind of boring. He wants defensive slugfests that minimize the scoring and number of possessions each team gets. Slow methodical drives may very well be a good recipe to get wins...but its not a great one to get eyeballs which is what we need.

For those in Camp 2 it seems to me that the best action is to cut ties ASAP. We gain absolutely nothing waiting to fire him. The money is already spent, and interim coaches don't typically get large salary increases (someone feel free to correct me if I'm wrong here). We also have an added bonus of getting a free try out for Rolovich. If he can work some magic then great we have a coaching hire lined up. If not? We have more knowledge about a potential candidate.

Bonus points: We get to start trying to find a coach asap.

We are at the point where we have to decide if we want to have a major football program post 2030. We either buckle down and do what it takes to get into a super league (big10 being most likely avenue), or we accept that we will no longer have a major football program and will have to pick up the pieces. We have to invest one way or the other at this point and time is not on our side.

I'm with you 100%. After 8.5 years of futility, it's abundantly clear that Wilcox is not the answer. Our football program has shown virtually no improvement over that time period. Enough is enough. The time to end this madness is NOW.
TonyTiger
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SouthKBear said:

If I were Ron with this bye week, I would think this would be a great time to terminate Wilcox. Gives team two weeks to adjust and figure out the future going forward for the remaining of the season. And like Andrew luck, elevate one of the former head coaches to finish the season and make sure they know it's only for this season. I would also be speaking to an east coast coach (Sweeney, day, etc for possible jobs. They will undoubtably be fired here soon.

I would avoid a nfl coach that has ent been in college coaching since NIL and portal change, as they don't know the dynamic of it.

But I'm not Ron. I'm just a dreamer. So I'll go back to sleep now.

Rolovich - Real Simple.
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