Bear8995 said:
We are all in on football because we have to be. Hoops, no matter how much I/we love it, is at best second fiddle.
True. To be clear, second fiddle in our hearts would be fine. The issue is it just doesn't make money and the likelihood that further investment will result materially increasing NET revenue is slim. That is the problem.
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Fox is an OK coach but not a good fit IMHO because he isn't an elite recruiter.
Fox is an okay coach. To be honest, I think some are inflating his coaching ability by comparing it to his recruiting ability. As in, his recruiting is poor so his redeeming quality must be his coaching. IMO, he is on par with Braun or Campanelli in "coaching".
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To do well here, our coach/staff needs to be elite recruiters for a variety of reasons.
I mostly agree, but I take issue with the word "elite". I'm not even sure what we want is an "elite" recruiter. We want the right recruiter. Cal has unique challenges and unique good qualities. We aren't going to succeed recruiting like Duke or Kentucky. The article about Dennis Gates plan to recruit to Cleveland State was impressive. His plan was specific to Cleveland State and it worked well. That plan wouldn't work at Kentucky. It wouldn't work at Cal. But it was extremely well designed to work at Cleveland State. We need someone to do that here. Not saying it is Gates, being able to design a plan for Cleveland State does not mean you can design one for Cal. Just saying we need someone who can do for Cal what he did for Cleveland State.
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Fox isn't going anywhere anytime soon because we simply can't afford to fire him.
We can afford whatever the donors wish to pay. Not saying I would pay anything if I were them, especially after just doing this two years ago, but the issue is the donors. If they were motivated, they'd pay it. They either haven't come to the conclusion that Fox needs to go or they don't have faith in Cal to improve the situation if they pay him off.
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In retrospect, we probably should have kept Jones beause we would be in the same place results-wise and better off financially.
That is what I've been saying. We should have fired Jones, but we shouldn't have fired him to do this. I have come to the conclusion that Cal should have Fox serve out his contract without extension and then move on. But if Cal is going to publicly act like success still matters, I'm going to comment based on that standard. And based on that standard, they should move on now.
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Jones was a decent recruiter once he figured out who to target (and who not to target). The team was showing signs of life towards the end. He was never going to take us to the Final Four but perhaps he could have gotten us to top 8 in conference so the next coach wouldn't have as big a hole to dig out of
I argued at the time there were 2 potential reasons to keep Jones. 1. you were giving up and going cheap; or 2. The end of Martin's tenure decimated the roster. Firing Jones risked decimating the roster again as it gave an excuse for players to transfer and recruits to get out of their LOI's before we had a chance to solidify things. Ultimately Jones was bad enough that it seemed like it outweighed reason #2. But it did decimate the roster yet again. If we don't get a top quality recruiting class come Fall signing period, or the underclassmen don't take great strides next season, I don't think this should be an impediment after next year. If, on the other hand, the underclassmen are showing more progress and the recruiting is improving, even if we are never going to get to the top half of conference, it might be worth another year to give the next coach a more stable roster and to save on the buyout.
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To be recruit better, our coaching staff is likely going to have to get their hands dirty (paying players/AAU coaches). Some (maybe many) here aren't willing to go there. This will always be a limiting factor. The field isn't level. Fox is a coach who won't go there.
Don't agree with this at all. First of all, people act like somehow dirty recruiting is new. IMO, recruiting was a lot dirtier in the old days. Back in the 70's Stanford had alums giving players "jobs" that let's just say paid a lot more than market value for what they were pretending to do. Before SAT minimums were put in, guys were illiterate. The first year when a paltry 700 was required, Nebraska lost 9 recruits due to not qualifying by that standard. Recruiting has always been a dirty business.
This goes back to the "elite recruiter" you mentioned above. Look, let's be honest here. It will be a miracle and flat out luck for Cal to be a consistent, elite basketball program. Frankly, getting dirty won't work. We simply can't get as dirty as others. Even if we got just as dirty, we will never have the resources to compete. Others have more alums willing to put more money to the cause. Getting dirty isn't the solution. We will just be third rate dirty.
Actually, we've seen good enough. Recruiting like Braun and coaching like Monty lead to our only conference championship in the modern era. Braun was not elite. He was fine. We can reasonably expect to recruit like that. And before we talk about the challenges of today's program, Braun had to recruit to a team that was banned from postseason and nationally humiliated. Braun had reasonable success on the court until he flat out played out the string. Now getting a coach like Monty is tougher, but we don't need that good. Do I think that formula leads us to top 10 finishes? No. Not without a lot of luck. (and Monty got that luck at Stanford after 8 years). But we can consistently place in the top half of conference, turn out some good players, and be an entertaining, competitive program.
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What we DO need is a coach who is willing to deal with characters he might find unpleasant. There are certainly a lot of those on the AAU circuit. That is unfortunate, especially for the players because frankly they have little choice but to play ball. But while I don't think we need to make deals with them, we need to be willing to kiss their ring a bit. I think that was the main problem Monty encountered. I don't blame him for deciding he didn't want to deal with that, but I think it is the reality.