Cal vs Virginia rematch from three weeks ago...

1,615 Views | 15 Replies | Last: 3 mo ago by MafDen
Schroeder71
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I am not going to prepare an in-depth preview of UVA for tomorrow's game. If a fan wants to refresh his or her memory, scroll down the page to Virginia preview (Feb 19) and re-read the backround on each player,etc.

I watched the entire Virginia victory over Pitt this afternoon. I will add my observations of that game as well as draw some conclusions on the initial matchup between the two team's on the Cavalier's home court.

https://calbears.com/sports/womens-basketball/stats/2024-25/virginia/boxscore/36914

The game that I watched today was not well played by UVA. The one wrinkle that the Cavaliers implemented that has me a little worried was the double-team on Pitt's primary offensive threat, 6-4 C Faye, who normally averages19.4 points per game. Virginia plays a zone defense the entire game. Every time that Pitt got the ball into their post, she was immediately double-teamed and could not maneuver, drive or make any offensive moves. Faye was shutout (zero points) at halftime for the initial time this season. I am concerned that they will try to execute this tactic on Michelle Onyiah tomorrow which could be problematic for Cal. I'll discuss it more down below when I discuss the pros & cons of the 76-70 Bear victory.

If Cal plays a solid game like they did on February 20th, there's no reason to think that the result will not be the same. As I stated in my preview of the first encounter with the Cavaliers, they do not force many turnovers and they're not a strong rebounding team. The Bears only committed 13 TOs and dominated the boards, 42-31. Michelle Onyiah was in foul trouble most of the game and only played 24 minutes, ending up w/ 4 PFs. Fortunately, she was able to establish superiority over UVA's second highest scorer and top rebounder, Latasha Lattimore. Michelle Onyiah got a double-double with 18 points and 11 rebounds as compared to L Lattimore's output of 6 points and only 4 boards. Lattimore is an elite shot blocker and did get 5 of those.

If Cal can duplicate similar results, they will have an excellent opportunity to triumph. As I previously stated, if the Cavaliers are able to substantially shut down Onyiah and/or get her in early foul trouble, the final result could swing in Virginia's favor. Michelle is the key to the Bear's successful three-point shooting from the four other starters. Cal made 13 treys that day with their "inside out" offensive strategy. The Bears had four starters hit double figures in Charlottesville with point totals of 18, 18, 15 & 14. The only major offensive force for UVA was their soph point guard, Kymora Johnson (#21). KJ led the way w/ 24 points, 7 rebounds & 5 assists. Nobody else was unstoppable like her. Kymora made 8 baskets while none of her teammates mustered more than 3 or 4. Two players scored 11 & 12 points to complement their star.

Both teams have only lost one game in their last several games. Cal has won 5 of 6. As long as the Bears perform in a balanced manor, they should be able to be successful on Thursday and advance. If Michelle Onyiah can stay on the court, I believe that Cal's chances go up exponentially. I predict the Bears will defeat the Cavaliers, 80-70. GO BEARS!



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Woodacre
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Thanks…such a critical game today…it must be hard to coach as if there is no tomorrow, but if you win, there is a tomorrow, and hopefully your players are in good enough shape. I did hear that one time in the ACC a team without a double bye won the whole thing.
RedlessWardrobe
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Bottom line, the more we can see of Jayda Noble guarding Kymora Johnson, the better off we will be..
SFCALBear72
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Let's see how much energy Virginia has today. This will be their 4th game in 8 days including this back-to-back (Wednesday/Thursday).
Schroeder71
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RedlessWardrobe-Although Kayla Williams has a reputation as good defender, she seemed overmatched by Kymora Johnson. The bigger PG took her off of the dribble to the basket and scored over her. I would concur that Jayda Noble needs to defend her as much as possible to keep her from going off offensively. They're approximately the same size.
Woodacre
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Cal is favored by 7.5, over/under 141.5
RedlessWardrobe
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Schroeder71 said:

RedlessWardrobe-Although Kayla Williams has a reputation as good defender, she seemed overmatched by Kymora Johnson. The bigger PG took her off of the dribble to the basket and scored over her. I would concur that Jayda Noble needs to defend her as much as possible to keep her from going off offensively. They're approximately the same size.
It becomes a little bit of a coaching puzzle for Charmin. We know that Jayda doesn't start, but at some point we need to utilize Jayda's defensive skills while still getting our other starters (including Kayla) their fair share of minutes.
BearBint
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MICHELLE!
"Don't get distracted, myself. Don't get distracted." Self-talk from a young relative
CalFanatic
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UVA's best post player looks out for the game. Hoping she's okay. Also hoping this means we run up the score early and rest our starters late in the game....
blungld
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One of our better defensive performances thus far.
The Bear will not quilt, the Bear will not dye!
Schroeder71
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Cal played well for the first half, leading 41-25. The Bears stopped scoring in the latter part of the second quarter and ended up with only 17 points. Cal finished with 1-7 shooting. Onyiah missed a couple of close in shots. Everyone is playing well (IMO) except for Lulu Twidale. She has not been close on her three trey attempts and she has two bad turnovers on lazy passes. Lulu also was beaten for a couple of layups by the opposition. Kayla Williams is only 1-5 shooting, too, but she has played good defense on Kymora Johnson. She drew a charge on their star while picking up two fouls. KJ only has four points for the Cavaliers.

I hope that Cal continues to play with energy. Thank goodness that Suarez & Onyiah only have one foul each and have already scored in double figures.

Twidale answered the call in the second half, scoring 14 of her 16 points. Every time UVA would cut the lead under twenty points, it seemed like Lulu buried a three-pointer to push it back towards 20. She hit four treys in the second half. Cal made only 3 baskets in a dozen attempts in the final quarter to total 13 points. I predicted that the Bears would win 80-70, but neither team could score enough to do the trick. GO BEARS!
gwashburn14
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Impressive win, wire to wire. Played well in an unfamiliar environment. Who would have thunk this team would win 25 games? Now try to keep up with Notre Dame on Friday to improve their NCAA seeding. Would be great to get a 6 or 7.


gljone
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As soon as Lattimore got hurt, Virginia had no chance.

Cal is turning into a points in the paint team. All teams seem to be selling out on stopping the 3s, so it looks like there's been more of a focus on getting paint touches. Michelle and Marta have had double doubles in three straight games, if I'm not mistaken? Of course, sag in and that opens the 3s back up.

This is why Michelle is so critical. If she's on the court, Cal can beat you in several ways.

Cal crushed Virginia on the boards and only had 14 TOs. Good recipe.

Going to need this recipe against ND.
RedlessWardrobe
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Good defensive effort to make K Johnson work hard for her points. Charmin made sure that we weren't going to let their best player beat us. Let's hope we play to our capabilities tomorrow
wvitbear
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Gjlone, you got that right. I've been meaning to to talk about this. after the interruptions of our guards, Charmin , about 8 or 9 games ago, decided to start the scoring I'lI bet Michele has scored the first basket down low 80 % of the time.

I believe Michele is the most athletic center in the league. And maybe the best center in the league overall when she stays out of foul trouble. And she never made first or second team all league.

When you watch her against male practice players, you realize how strong she is.
MafDen
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On to face Notre Dame! Let's go you Golden Bears!
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