Unit2Sucks said:
Mark Hertling on why he's not surprised by yet another failure for Russia in Vuhledar.I've not provided battlefield comments for some time because both forces are fighting hard, surviving the winter, and prep for respective offensives.
— MarkHertling (@MarkHertling) February 16, 2023
Right now, there's a race between mobilization (RU) and the preparation for planned offensives (UA). 2/https://t.co/m4LMXuNu4dRU have been physically moved to "training locations," given shoddy equipment, seen the same poor leadership, & sent to the front without an understanding of what they were to do.
— MarkHertling (@MarkHertling) February 16, 2023
In western language, "their recruiters lied to them!" 4/https://t.co/A9RXPodFSvWhile ordering this, Putin prepares more missile strikes from what he has - planes & ships - to force Ukraine to do two things: fight on the front, and defend the population with air defense.
— MarkHertling (@MarkHertling) February 16, 2023
Putin is also now attacking from N &S with these strikes. 6/ https://t.co/tVGkKqicE8IPB: Intelligence Preparation of the Battlefield.
— MarkHertling (@MarkHertling) February 16, 2023
Reconnaissance. Looking for weak spots. Planning operations directed at key locations. Interdicting enemy supplies. Using SOF to hit targets behind the lines. Preparing logistics.
Smart operations. 8/https://t.co/LhZcpvqfVoAs I said: It is now a race between RU mobilization and UKR force preparedness and transformation.
— MarkHertling (@MarkHertling) February 16, 2023
The next few weeks will see tough fights, some back and forth, false declarations by RU of "victory."
But a Ukrainian spring is coming. 9/9
Here are some excerpts from the NYT article he is responding to - it just reiterates what everyone who can see through the Russian propaganda has been saying. It doesn't mean Russia won't continue to devote heavy resources and sacrifice everything to win this war, but it's been one failure after another and Russia's only hope is to smother Ukraine with artillery and dead Russian soldiers.Quote:
KYIV, Ukraine As Moscow steps up its offensive in eastern Ukraine, weeks of failed attacks on a Ukrainian stronghold have left two Russian brigades in tatters, raised questions about Russia's military tactics and renewed doubts about its ability to maintain sustained, large-scale ground assaults.
The battle for the city of Vuhledar, which has been viewed as an opening move in an expected Russian spring offensive, has been playing out since the last week of January, but the scale of Moscow's losses there is only now beginning to come into focus.
Accounts from Ukrainian and Western officials, Ukrainian soldiers, captured Russian soldiers and Russian military bloggers, as well as video and satellite images, paint a picture of a faltering Russian campaign that continues to be plagued by battlefield dysfunction.
...
He said the attacks on Vuhledar had been no surprise the Russians even warned the Ukrainians of the coming assault through social media channels, in an apparent attempt to scare them. "It was announced and spread," Colonel Dmytrashkivskyi said. "It was done to diminish the morale of the fighters."
As they have done throughout the war, the Russian commanders made some basic mistakes, in this case failing to take into account the terrain open fields littered with antitank mines or the strength of the Ukrainian forces, Colonel Dmytrashkivskyi said. Two of Russia's most elite brigades the 155th and 40th Naval Infantry Brigades were decimated in Vuhledar, he said.
In one week alone in the Vuhledar clash, the Ukrainian General Staff estimates, Russia lost at least 130 armored vehicles, including 36 tanks. That estimate has been supported by drone footage reviewed by independent military analysts and by accounts from Russian military bloggers, who are ardent supporters of the war but sharp critics of its conduct by top Russian commanders.
...
The Grey Zone, a Telegram channel that is affiliated with Wagner, has been scathing about the Russian military's efforts in Vuhledar, and called for Russian commanders responsible for the losses to be held accountable in public trials. "Impunity always breeds permissiveness," a recent post said.
After Russia's November attack on Vuhledar, which was also reported to have ended with enormous losses, Moscow turned to newly mobilized recruits to replenish its ranks. But those troops had just a bare minimum of training, military analysts say, and probably not enough to mount a serious, organized offensive.
The Russians faced another problem in Vuhledar from Ukraine's deployment of American-made HIMARS missiles that forced commanders to position large concentrations of forces more than 50 miles from the front. That made it hard to attack with either speed or surprise.
A Russian marine who fought in Vuhledar told the Russian media outlet 7x7, which is based in the Komi region of Russia, that those who survived the battle were considered deserters. The marine, whose identity the news outlet did not disclose, citing the need to protect his safety, said he was part of the third company of the 155th brigade. After the failed assault, he said, only eight soldiers from his company were left alive.
"It would have been better if I had been captured and never returned," he said.
Despite the setbacks, Moscow has continued to insist that all is going according to plan. On Sunday, Mr. Putin said that the "marine infantry is working as it should. Right now. Fighting heroically."
Thank you and could you also please forward this to every Russian mother (probably with Russian translation)? I heard somewhere that Russian regimes end when the babushkas decide they have had enough.
crazy, absolutely senseless war