The Official Russian Invasion of Ukraine Thread

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Aunburdened
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So, why are we helping this corrupt undemocratic country again?

Cal88
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If you add another decimal to the figure above, you will have a ballpark estimate of the size of the fraud by the man himself...
sycasey
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Aunburdened said:

So, why are we helping this corrupt undemocratic country again?



Ukraine has corruption problems. Russia attacks and invades (and also has rampant corruption).

I know which one I'd pick.
Aunburdened
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sycasey said:

Aunburdened said:

So, why are we helping this corrupt undemocratic country again?



Ukraine has corruption problems. Russia attacks and invades (and also has rampant corruption).

I know which one I'd pick.

So you want to get involved with every war where one country attacks another?



Of course, you refuse to accept NATO's role in provoking Russia's attack, but I'll keep laughing at you anyway.
chazzed
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As an aside, what the hell did you do to Yogi? That Bernie bro is obsessed with your messages.
Aunburdened
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chazzed said:

As an aside, what the hell did you do to Yogi? That Bernie bro is obsessed with your messages.

Some people are so intellectually dishonest and smug about things that they've been wrong about for years that they deserve to be publicly shamed for it for eternity.
sycasey
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chazzed said:

As an aside, what the hell did you do to Yogi? That Bernie bro is obsessed with your messages.

Probably thoroughly embarrassed him in some comment some time ago and now I'm on the Revenge List.
Cal88
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sycasey said:

Aunburdened said:

So, why are we helping this corrupt undemocratic country again?



Ukraine has corruption problems. Russia attacks and invades (and also has rampant corruption).

I know which one I'd pick.


Russia has had its **** together since the 2000s. Before that, Ukraine was the richest, most industrialized state in the USSR, and Russia was completely devastated by the neoliberal reforms and shock therapy that gave way to the most extreme oligarchy in modern European history, with nearly half of its population living in extreme poverty.

But through the past decades Russia recovered, Putin jailed and exiled most of the oligarchs and forced the remaining ones to stay out of the political system. He renationalized a lot of the assets that were carved out by the oligarchs, paid off the national debt, invested in infrastructure, and the country recovered. Its poverty rate today is better than those of France or the UK.

Ukraine on the other hand never recovered or changed from the wild east 1990s. Before the war started, Russia was nearly 3x as wealthy per capita. Zelensky is a pure product of that oligarchy, he was launched by one of the worst Ukrainian oligarchs, Kolomoysky, who also funded several neonazi militias including Azov.

Bottom line, the two countries aren't alike in terms of corruption. This is an important aspect, because war, and the unvetted stream of tens of billions of funds from the US and EU into the coffers of the ruling clique in Kiev, down to the local police stations, these billions coming in have been one of the main reason Kiev, like Lindsay Graham and the other neocon freaks in DC, want to conduct this war to the last Ukrainian.

The current count is over 2 million casualties in Ukraine.
sycasey
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Aunburdened said:

sycasey said:

Aunburdened said:

So, why are we helping this corrupt undemocratic country again?



Ukraine has corruption problems. Russia attacks and invades (and also has rampant corruption).

I know which one I'd pick.

So you want to get involved with every war where one country attacks another?

Every? Probably not. But if we can stop an autocratic regime from absorbing a democracy (however flawed) I'll count that as a worthy cause.

Not that I think the US is always some perfect moral authority in such matters. Obviously not. It just happens to have lined up that way this time.
movielover
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What's the updated KIA in Ukraine?
Aunburdened
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sycasey said:

Aunburdened said:

sycasey said:

Aunburdened said:

So, why are we helping this corrupt undemocratic country again?



Ukraine has corruption problems. Russia attacks and invades (and also has rampant corruption).

I know which one I'd pick.

So you want to get involved with every war where one country attacks another?

Every? Probably not. But if we can stop an autocratic regime from absorbing a democracy





Cal88
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movielover said:

What's the updated KIA in Ukraine?


Well over a million, conservatively speaking, as of earlier this year.
movielover
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$100 Million graft recently revealed.

Prime Minister Orban "The golden illusion of Ukraine is falling apart. A wartime mafia network with countless ties to President [Zelensky has been exposed. The energy minister has already resigned, and the main suspect has fled the country.

"This is the chaos into which the Brusselian elite want to pour European taxpayers' money, where whatever isn't shot off on the front lines ends up in the pockets of the war mafia. Madness.

"Thank you, but we want no part of this. We will not send the Hungarian people's money to Ukraine. It can be put to far better use at home: this week alone we doubled foster parents' allowances and approved the 14th month's pension.

"Anyhow, after all this, we certainly won't give in to the Ukrainian president's financial demands and blackmail. It's high time Brussels finally understood where their money is really going."

Aunburdened
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sycasey said:

Aunburdened said:

British WWII veteran says the sacrifice of his fellow soldiers wasn't worth it in view of all the freedoms lost since. Female host rushes to do damage control.

Food for thought for the "defending democracy abroad" crowd from someone who did more than just post online about it.



I don't understand the point here. It wasn't worth it to fight the Nazis?

These guys didn't have trouble understanding the point, but then they aren't invested in never admitting that they were 100% wrong about the war they got tricked into supporting like you and dajo9 are.


(link is right at the point where the above clip is discussed)
MinotStateBeav
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Wow that's a really good episode...I was particularly struck by Walter Kirn saying he had a buddy that served 4 tours in Iraq and was getting out of the military and one day he said to Walter "You know they are setting up a North American command structure to deal with people in the continental United States and I realized I'm the enemy." Meaning he has the training that would effect things on the battlefield significantly and thus he would be targeted first for holding the wrong side of an issue.
Aunburdened
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movielover
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Freeland is a fool.
sycasey
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Aunburdened said:



I'm pretty tired of the same Mearsheimer crap getting thrown at me over and over again, so I'll just re-link to my earlier post about him getting completely owned by McFaul and another guy in a live debate, held after the Ukraine War started:

https://bearinsider.com/forums/6/topics/107414/replies/2528994

(I actually don't even think McFaul is particularly good in this debate. His partner is better, and the other side's arguments are just so weak that they kind of won by default.)

For good measure, here's his rambling, contradictory interview with The New Yorker that I think speaks for itself:
https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/john-mearsheimer-on-putins-ambitions-after-nine-months-of-war
Aunburdened
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sycasey said:

Aunburdened said:



I'm pretty tired of the same Mearsheimer crap getting thrown at me over and over again, so I'll just re-link to my earlier post about him getting completely owned by McFaul and another guy in a live debate, held after the Ukraine War started:

https://bearinsider.com/forums/6/topics/107414/replies/2528994

(I actually don't even think McFaul is particularly good in this debate. His partner is better, and the other side's arguments are just so weak that they kind of won by default.)

For good measure, here's his rambling, contradictory interview with The New Yorker that I think speaks for itself:
https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/john-mearsheimer-on-putins-ambitions-after-nine-months-of-war

I'm glad you're getting tired of it. People that were wrong should get tired of having their mistakes pointed out to them when they're too arrogant to admit they were wrong.

Who cares how the Munk debate audience voted? One side told you what was going to happen. The other side pretended Ukraine could win. They won the debate, but Mearsheimer told you who would win the war. One was far more important than the other.

The comments on Youtube years later are great though.



Keep eating those L's though.
sycasey
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Mearsheimer also thought Russia would win within a year. Whoops!

I said the war would become a terrible quagmire and it is. W for me.
Cal88
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sycasey said:

Mearsheimer also thought Russia would win within a year. Whoops!

I said the war would become a terrible quagmire and it is. W for me.


The Russians will win in 4-5 years, and Ukraine which, to paraphrase Mearsheimer, being led down the primrose path to its destruction, just as he has predicted. The war was longer than expected because Russia went to a more static approach favoring its strengths, and Ukraine held out longer than expected, because they essentially got a blank check from NATO. For any rational observer though, the final outcome was never in doubt.

I haven't watched that debate between Mearsheimer and McFaul, but the notion that the latter could win in a debate about Ukraine is pretty misguided.

Other than Freeland, whose father is a Ukrainian and grandfather fought with nazi Germany, none of the other war proponents give a rat's @ss about Ukraine or Ukrainians.
sycasey
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Cal88 said:

I haven't watched that debate between Mearsheimer and McFaul, but the notion that the latter could win in a debate about Ukraine is pretty misguided.

They literally poll the audience before and after the debate. People moved away from Mearsheimer's position after being exposed to it and the rebuttals. Scoreboard.
Aunburdened
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sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

I haven't watched that debate between Mearsheimer and McFaul, but the notion that the latter could win in a debate about Ukraine is pretty misguided.

They literally poll the audience before and after the debate. People moved away from Mearsheimer's position after being exposed to it and the rebuttals. Scoreboard.



Scoreboard
sycasey
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Aunburdened said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

I haven't watched that debate between Mearsheimer and McFaul, but the notion that the latter could win in a debate about Ukraine is pretty misguided.

They literally poll the audience before and after the debate. People moved away from Mearsheimer's position after being exposed to it and the rebuttals. Scoreboard.



Scoreboard

Yes, the battle lines have been dug in roughly this formation for some time now. A grinding quagmire, as I expected it would be.

There is not going to be any real "winner" in this war. It's a very expensive mistake.
oski003
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sycasey said:

Aunburdened said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

I haven't watched that debate between Mearsheimer and McFaul, but the notion that the latter could win in a debate about Ukraine is pretty misguided.

They literally poll the audience before and after the debate. People moved away from Mearsheimer's position after being exposed to it and the rebuttals. Scoreboard.



Scoreboard

Yes, the battle lines have been dug in roughly this formation for some time now. A grinding quagmire, as I expected it would be.

There is not going to be any real "winner" in this war. It's a very expensive mistake.


That's a lot of territory to take and hold. Ukraine is a huge country, and Russia is holding 20% of it.
dajo9
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sycasey said:

Aunburdened said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

I haven't watched that debate between Mearsheimer and McFaul, but the notion that the latter could win in a debate about Ukraine is pretty misguided.

They literally poll the audience before and after the debate. People moved away from Mearsheimer's position after being exposed to it and the rebuttals. Scoreboard.



Scoreboard

Yes, the battle lines have been dug in roughly this formation for some time now. A grinding quagmire, as I expected it would be.

There is not going to be any real "winner" in this war. It's a very expensive mistake.


That map really is a humiliation for Russia
sycasey
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oski003 said:

sycasey said:

Aunburdened said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

I haven't watched that debate between Mearsheimer and McFaul, but the notion that the latter could win in a debate about Ukraine is pretty misguided.

They literally poll the audience before and after the debate. People moved away from Mearsheimer's position after being exposed to it and the rebuttals. Scoreboard.



Scoreboard

Yes, the battle lines have been dug in roughly this formation for some time now. A grinding quagmire, as I expected it would be.

There is not going to be any real "winner" in this war. It's a very expensive mistake.


That's a lot of territory to take and hold. Ukraine is a huge country, and Russia is holding 20% of it.

And I would argue, not worth the cost required to get it and hold it.
Cal88
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dajo9 said:

sycasey said:

Aunburdened said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

I haven't watched that debate between Mearsheimer and McFaul, but the notion that the latter could win in a debate about Ukraine is pretty misguided.

They literally poll the audience before and after the debate. People moved away from Mearsheimer's position after being exposed to it and the rebuttals. Scoreboard.



Scoreboard

Yes, the battle lines have been dug in roughly this formation for some time now. A grinding quagmire, as I expected it would be.

There is not going to be any real "winner" in this war. It's a very expensive mistake.


That map really is a humiliation for Russia


The territorial aspect of this war doesn't tell the real picture, the casualties do - near 1.5 million Ukrainian/NATO KIA vs 120,000 Russian.

When Germany surrendered at the end of WW1 on November 1918, France and Belgium were still occupied by Germany, and there was no German territory that was occupied by the Allies, the German army just collapsed from exhaustion from 4 years of a war of attrition forcing Wilhelm II to abdicate and surrender.



It is pretty obvious that the Ukraine war is similar to WW1, it is also a war of attrition. This being said, the Russians have been gaining ground all across the frontlines in the last 2 years, the situation now in Ukraine is not unlike that in the later stages of WW1.

It is also obvious that this war and the rate of losses is unsustainable for Ukraine,
Cal88
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sycasey said:

oski003 said:

sycasey said:

Aunburdened said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

I haven't watched that debate between Mearsheimer and McFaul, but the notion that the latter could win in a debate about Ukraine is pretty misguided.

They literally poll the audience before and after the debate. People moved away from Mearsheimer's position after being exposed to it and the rebuttals. Scoreboard.



Scoreboard

Yes, the battle lines have been dug in roughly this formation for some time now. A grinding quagmire, as I expected it would be.

There is not going to be any real "winner" in this war. It's a very expensive mistake.


That's a lot of territory to take and hold. Ukraine is a huge country, and Russia is holding 20% of it.

And I would argue, not worth the cost required to get it and hold it.


Holding on to Crimea is vital for Russia. Initially their strategy was confined to securing Crimea and a land bridge to that peninsula along the Donbas. Eventually it also became clear that they had to hold on to all of the Donbas region as the local ethnic Russian population could not be subjected to being second class citizens by the post-Maidan Coup government.

Russia is willing to go to total war and lose more than a million men to achieve these goals. NATO conducted this war in order to inflict maximum damage on Russia with the ultimate goal to regime change Moscow and break up Russia into several smaller pieces, as stated by several NATO and EU officials, and earlier in policy papers from US and NATO sources. That is the big picture here.
movielover
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Putin still seems sharp. How long can he remain in power?

What's their bench look like?
Cal88
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The former mayor of a small town in inner Russia, Petro Buttigvich, has been rumored to be the next Russian president.

chazzed
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sycasey said:

chazzed said:

As an aside, what the hell did you do to Yogi? That Bernie bro is obsessed with your messages.

Probably thoroughly embarrassed him in some comment some time ago and now I'm on the Revenge List.


It would be amusing if it weren't a bit unsettling.
dajo9
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Cal88 said:

dajo9 said:

sycasey said:

Aunburdened said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

I haven't watched that debate between Mearsheimer and McFaul, but the notion that the latter could win in a debate about Ukraine is pretty misguided.

They literally poll the audience before and after the debate. People moved away from Mearsheimer's position after being exposed to it and the rebuttals. Scoreboard.



Scoreboard

Yes, the battle lines have been dug in roughly this formation for some time now. A grinding quagmire, as I expected it would be.

There is not going to be any real "winner" in this war. It's a very expensive mistake.


That map really is a humiliation for Russia


The territorial aspect of this war doesn't tell the real picture, the casualties do - near 1.5 million Ukrainian/NATO KIA vs 120,000 Russian.

When Germany surrendered at the end of WW1 on November 1918, France and Belgium were still occupied by Germany, and there was no German territory that was occupied by the Allies, the German army just collapsed from exhaustion from 4 years of a war of attrition forcing Wilhelm II to abdicate and surrender.



It is pretty obvious that the Ukraine war is similar to WW1, it is also a war of attrition. This being said, the Russians have been gaining ground all across the frontlines in the last 2 years, the situation now in Ukraine is not unlike that in the later stages of WW1.

It is also obvious that this war and the rate of losses is unsustainable for Ukraine,


It's still a humiliation for Putin. Russia is fighting a former satellite state, not a great power of the world.
movielover
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Which was built up and supported by the EU, USA, and NATO. Including satellite, logistical, and military aid. It's our proxy war.

USA, NATO stockpiles threadbare, an ancillary benefit to Russia.

MIC wins, as always.
oski003
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movielover said:

Which was built up and supported by the EU, USA, and NATO. Including satellite, logistical, and military aid. It's our proxy war.

USA, NATO stockpiles threadbare, an ancillary benefit to Russia.

MIC wins, as always.


Yes, Russia is fighting NATO. Weird that the Ukrainian warhawks can't acknowledge that it is NATO weaponry, training, technology and intelligence, and Ukrainian bodies.
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