The Official Russian Invasion of Ukraine Thread

860,830 Views | 9883 Replies | Last: 6 hrs ago by sycasey
oski003
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sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

movielover said:

The pro Ukraine side seems to ignore the constant NATO push of the past 20 years.
NATO never made any offer to Ukraine for membership.

NATO has been arming Ukraine to the gills since 2014
I wonder what could have happened in 2014 that caused Ukraine to ask for more defense help . . .


This is a tough one. You are arguing that Ukraine was neutral, yet you are also aware that the West, which influenced a political revolution in Ukraine against Russian interests, was arming and training a large Ukranian army to protect the new government against Russian aggression.

At the same time, Ukraine would not need this army if not for Russian aggression. The chicken or the egg came first?
sycasey
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Cal88 said:

People on here are tone deaf with regards to the basic realities in this conflict, for instance, the fact that Crimea is a Russian province, has always been, since the late 1700s, and its annexation to Russia reflects the freewill of its overwhelmingly Russian native population. I've provided the basic facts from wiki and other sources, yet that reality doesn't even register. This is a conflict based on narratives, not facts, it's almost useless to argue in that kind of broken cognitive framework.
Also, what the hell are you talking about here? Russia lost Crimea with the breakup of the USSR in 1991. So no, it has not "always been" a Russian province. What is this revisionist history?

If you want a Wiki link, here you go:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimea_in_the_post-Soviet_era_(1991-2014)
sycasey
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oski003 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

movielover said:

The pro Ukraine side seems to ignore the constant NATO push of the past 20 years.
NATO never made any offer to Ukraine for membership.

NATO has been arming Ukraine to the gills since 2014
I wonder what could have happened in 2014 that caused Ukraine to ask for more defense help . . .


This is a tough one. You are arguing that Ukraine was neutral, yet you are also aware that the West, which influenced a political revolution in Ukraine against Russian interests, was arming and training a large Ukranian army to protect the new government against Russian aggression.

At the same time, Ukraine would not need this army if not for Russian aggression. The chicken or the egg came first?
I did not say Ukraine was "neutral." It's pretty clear they are NOT neutral when it comes to the question of whether or not Russia should get to invade them. I said they had no NATO membership on offer.

I am suggesting that because Russia invaded and occupied Crimea, that spurred Ukraine to ask for more help from the West, help which was given. To frame this as "expansionist" tendencies that can be blamed on NATO is beyond ludicrous. The reason for all of this is Russian aggression.
Cal88
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Quote:

sycasey said:

I wonder what could have happened in 2014 that caused Ukraine to ask for more defense help . . .


Color revolution, and overthrow of a democratically-elected government, aka the Maidan Coup. Same pattern as in other coups, going back to the overthrow of Mossadegh and Arbenz in Iran and Guatemala in the early 50s, or very recently to the assassination of Haitian president Jovenel Mose, or the overthrow of the Guatemalan democratically-elected government, also in 2014, engineered by Hillary Clinton's State Dept.




https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_Ukrainian_presidential_election
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Ukrainian_presidential_election

The main difference between the Ukraine coup and the other ones in places like Latin America or the Middle East is that this a feel-good coup, one where we are the good guys, with Russia as the perfect villain we've been conditioned to hate since the late 40s.

You look at the language of guys like Unit2 and their characterization of Russia as a sh!1hole or a "Mongolia" (which is a slur against both Russia and Mongolia), that kind of language and attitude is the result of a combination of narrow-minded jingoism and complete cultural and geographical ignorance about the rest of the world.

Unit2Sucks
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tequila4kapp said:

I disagree with your tone deaf accusation. It's a complex region culturally and historically; these events are complex. On the whole I believe Putin overwhelmingly wants to reestablish the prior Soviet land mass and acquire with it additional geopolitical power and influence, as well as solidify his historical and political legacy. It is true there is a Nazi element in eastern Ukraine. It is true there are large Russian populations in Crimea and eastern Ukraine. It is true there are NATO implications. But on the whole I see those elements as convenient factoids which give cover - ie, they are pretextual - to Putin's overarching true objectives.



Couldn't agree more. All you are hearing from Putin cheerleaders is the narrative and pretext that they want to use to justify his violation of international laws and commission of war crimes. It is particularly risible to think that Putin has a problem with the repression of Russian people when that is pretty much his day job. There is plenty of reason to be skeptical of any offered justification for Putin's actions - he is not to be trusted.
Cal88
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tequila4kapp said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

movielover said:

The pro Ukraine side seems to ignore the constant NATO push of the past 20 years.
NATO never made any offer to Ukraine for membership.

NATO has been arming Ukraine to the gills since 2014, with the intention of crushing the rebellion in the Donbass and eventually retaking Crimea. Before this year, Ukraine was/is a defacto NATO member, with modern NATO training, it had the biggest army in Europe and was ready to overrun the two rebel provinces. This is what precipitated Russian military intervention, as well as Ukraine's intent on acquiring nuclear weapons, which they have the technology and material to do.

Ukraine violated the Minsk II Agreements, had they abided by them, there wouldn't have been a Russian invasion. Both Poronshenko and Merkel recently acknowledged that the Minsk Agreements were a temporary ploy to give NATO time and space to rearm Ukraine with the intention of crushing the Donbass rebel regions and taking back Crimea, which is completely indefendable for the Russians without a wide land bridge through the Azov coast.

People on here are tone deaf with regards to the basic realities in this conflict, for instance, the fact that Crimea is a Russian province, has always been, since the late 1700s, and its annexation to Russia reflects the freewill of its overwhelmingly Russian native population. I've provided the basic facts from wiki and other sources, yet that reality doesn't even register. This is a conflict based on narratives, not facts, it's almost useless to argue in that kind of broken cognitive framework.

There wouldn't be a conflict in the first place if that region were viewed and treated in basic Wilsonian self-determination norms. Autonomy for the Donbass (as outlined in the Minsk II Agreements), protection of cultural minorities in Ukraine and recognition of Crimea as Russian are no different than the way the rest of modern Europe operates.

The Spanish government can no longer repress the use and promotion of the Basque language in Basque country, nor can the federal government of Canada butt into the Quebec educational system and their promotion of French culture. Those are basic precepts of any large modern democracy, yet somehow they don't apply to Ukraine.

The notion that Russia is going to roll into Poland or other EE countries if we don't stop them in Ukraine is ridiculous. The only country they will invade is Lithuania, if that country actively blockades the Kaliningrad enclave, breaking established conventions, or perhaps other Baltic countries if they actively repress their Russian minorities. Those countries however face zero invasion risk if they apply normal modern European standards pertaining to the protection of cultural and ethnic minorities.
I disagree with your tone deaf accusation. It's a complex region culturally and historically; these events are complex. On the whole I believe Putin overwhelmingly wants to reestablish the prior Soviet land mass and acquire with it additional geopolitical power and influence, as well as solidify his historical and political legacy. It is true there is a Nazi element in eastern Ukraine. It is true there are large Russian populations in Crimea and eastern Ukraine. It is true there are NATO implications. But on the whole I see those elements as convenient factoids which give cover - ie, they are pretextual - to Putin's overarching true objectives.

Pretty sensible response, it is true that Russia, much like China is trying to establish its sphere of influence in its backyard, carving out its own Monroe Doctrine. But for Russia, thei primary focus is on its Russian population outside of Russia, which in the Donbass, was being ethnically cleansed by the Kiev government. Donetsk, the largest city in the Donbass has been under continuous Ukrainian bombing since 2014, even today, and that bombing is on Donetsk proper, it has primarily been a terror campaign that didn't target military installations.

Russia already is the richest country in the world in terms of natural resources, the last two decades were the first time in their modern history that they had the time, stability and breathing space to rebuild their economy. They're not as hungry for land expansion as say nazi Germany or Israel have been, and they're not into world dominance with 850 bases overseas, Russia being an incredibly vast country with huge natural wealth and a sparse, highly educated population.

US long-term plans for Russia, as clearly outlined by the leading figure of American geopolitics, Zbignew Brzezinski, call for a dismemberment of Russia and economic domination along the lines of what took place in the 1990s under Boris Yeltsin, who was pretty much put in power with the help of the US.




Map from Zbigniew Brzezinski's 1997 landmark book The Grand Chessboard , illustrating plans to break up Russia.

Brzezinski also identified Ukraine as Russia's Achille's heel.
sycasey
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Cal88 said:

Quote:

sycasey said:

I wonder what could have happened in 2014 that caused Ukraine to ask for more defense help . . .


Color revolution, and overthrow of a democratically-elected government, aka the Maidan Coup. Same pattern as in other coups, going back to the overthrow of Mossadegh and Arbenz in Iran and Guatemala in the early 50s, or very recently to the assassination of Haitian president Jovenel Mose, or the overthrow of the Guatemalan democratically-elected government, also in 2014, engineered by Hillary Clinton's State Dept.




https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_Ukrainian_presidential_election
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Ukrainian_presidential_election

The main difference between the Ukraine coup and the other ones in places like Latin America or the Middle East is that this a feel-good coup, one where we are the good guys, with Russia as the perfect villain we've been conditioned to hate since the late 40s.

You look at the language of guys like Unit2 and their characterization of Russia as a sh!1hole or a "Mongolia" (which is a slur against both Russia and Mongolia), that kind of language and attitude is the result of a combination of narrow-minded jingoism and complete cultural and geographical ignorance about the rest of the world.
No, the correct answer is: "Russia invaded and occupied part of Ukraine's territory."
movielover
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Wasn't NATO also hoping to put long range missiles in Eastern Ukraine?

They never mention how Putin always moves while weak American presidents are in charge (Obama, Biden). Trump allegedly told Putin, "You invade Ukraine, I bomb Moscow." President Trump also sent Javelin missiles to Ukraine (Obama sent pillows). Blinken saw Russia manning troops at the border, why didn't they act more swiftly? Their strategy was to consult w CCP China. Really?

It sometimes seems they wanted the invasion. Scott Ritter claims France and Germany are once again talking up a European defense alliance, something Putin was asking for.

If Russia improves moving natural resources to
China, there's a win-win for them.
Cal88
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sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

People on here are tone deaf with regards to the basic realities in this conflict, for instance, the fact that Crimea is a Russian province, has always been, since the late 1700s, and its annexation to Russia reflects the freewill of its overwhelmingly Russian native population. I've provided the basic facts from wiki and other sources, yet that reality doesn't even register. This is a conflict based on narratives, not facts, it's almost useless to argue in that kind of broken cognitive framework.
Also, what the hell are you talking about here? Russia lost Crimea with the breakup of the USSR in 1991. So no, it has not "always been" a Russian province. What is this revisionist history?

If you want a Wiki link, here you go:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimea_in_the_post-Soviet_era_(1991-2014)

I'm not sure where ignorance stops and disingenuousness starts here, it's probably a combination of the two. In any case, it's a tiresome process, and the reason why I don't answer every query or bad spin on this thread, but here we go again, quoting my posts above:

Crimea had been part of Russia from 1783, when the Russian Empire annexed it a decade after defeating Ottoman forces in the Battle of Kozludzha, until 1954, when the Soviet government transferred Crimea from the Russian Soviet Socialist Republic to the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic for purely arbitrary Soviet Socialist political reasons.

There hasn't been any armed resistance to the Russian annexation, because it was very broadly popular. If anything Crimeans were very pissed at Ukraine for cutting off their water supply, a move done out of pure spite as the water from the canal supplying Crimea was just diverted off into the Black Sea. Ukraine also cut off electricity. It's ironic that today the tables are turned. Here is Zelensky in his pre-presidential comedian days mocking Crimeans being cut off of their water supply:



Do you think Crimeans, who are over 3/4 Russian, really like the Kiev regime who cut off their water, and a president who made fun of their misery, and want to impose on them the use of a foreign language, or that they yearn to integrate the poorest, most corrupt country in Europe, with a GDP per capita equivalent to that of Namibia and El Salvador, 3 times lower that that of Russia? Ukrainian is as foreign to Crimea as Catalan would be to Madrid, or Occitan to Parisians.

Crimea is a breadbasket with a mild climate and a thriving agriculture and wine country that ground down to a halt after Ukraine cut off their water. Russia restored their water access, they also invested heavily into Crimea's infrastructure with a large new modern airport (Russia's busiest airport outside of Moscow and St. Petersburg), the $4 billion Kerch bridge and ports along with a tourism infrastructure, the region has been thriving economically under the Russian economic umbrella.

https://www.tourism-review.com/tourism-in-crimea-reports-huge-success-news12203
sycasey
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Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

People on here are tone deaf with regards to the basic realities in this conflict, for instance, the fact that Crimea is a Russian province, has always been, since the late 1700s, and its annexation to Russia reflects the freewill of its overwhelmingly Russian native population. I've provided the basic facts from wiki and other sources, yet that reality doesn't even register. This is a conflict based on narratives, not facts, it's almost useless to argue in that kind of broken cognitive framework.
Also, what the hell are you talking about here? Russia lost Crimea with the breakup of the USSR in 1991. So no, it has not "always been" a Russian province. What is this revisionist history?

If you want a Wiki link, here you go:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimea_in_the_post-Soviet_era_(1991-2014)

Crimea had been part of Russia from 1783, when the Russian Empire annexed it a decade after defeating Ottoman forces in the Battle of Kozludzha, until 1954, when the Soviet government transferred Crimea from the Russian Soviet Socialist Republic to the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic for purely arbitrary Soviet Socialist political reasons.
I notice you skipped over what happened in 1991, which is when Crimea was no longer part of Russia or the USSR. Apology accepted.
Cal88
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sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

People on here are tone deaf with regards to the basic realities in this conflict, for instance, the fact that Crimea is a Russian province, has always been, since the late 1700s, and its annexation to Russia reflects the freewill of its overwhelmingly Russian native population. I've provided the basic facts from wiki and other sources, yet that reality doesn't even register. This is a conflict based on narratives, not facts, it's almost useless to argue in that kind of broken cognitive framework.
Also, what the hell are you talking about here? Russia lost Crimea with the breakup of the USSR in 1991. So no, it has not "always been" a Russian province. What is this revisionist history?

If you want a Wiki link, here you go:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimea_in_the_post-Soviet_era_(1991-2014)

Crimea had been part of Russia from 1783, when the Russian Empire annexed it a decade after defeating Ottoman forces in the Battle of Kozludzha, until 1954, when the Soviet government transferred Crimea from the Russian Soviet Socialist Republic to the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic for purely arbitrary Soviet Socialist political reasons.
I notice you skipped over what happened in 1991, which is when Crimea was no longer part of Russia or the USSR. Apology accepted.

And you skipped the 200+ years before that, and the decades after that, including the census and many polls where Crimeans voted consistently and overwhelmingly to join Russia by scores of over 85%.

Or addressed the basic demography of Crimea, here it is once again:

sycasey
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Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

People on here are tone deaf with regards to the basic realities in this conflict, for instance, the fact that Crimea is a Russian province, has always been, since the late 1700s, and its annexation to Russia reflects the freewill of its overwhelmingly Russian native population. I've provided the basic facts from wiki and other sources, yet that reality doesn't even register. This is a conflict based on narratives, not facts, it's almost useless to argue in that kind of broken cognitive framework.
Also, what the hell are you talking about here? Russia lost Crimea with the breakup of the USSR in 1991. So no, it has not "always been" a Russian province. What is this revisionist history?

If you want a Wiki link, here you go:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimea_in_the_post-Soviet_era_(1991-2014)

Crimea had been part of Russia from 1783, when the Russian Empire annexed it a decade after defeating Ottoman forces in the Battle of Kozludzha, until 1954, when the Soviet government transferred Crimea from the Russian Soviet Socialist Republic to the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic for purely arbitrary Soviet Socialist political reasons.
I notice you skipped over what happened in 1991, which is when Crimea was no longer part of Russia or the USSR. Apology accepted.

And you skipped the 200+ years before that,
I don't need to worry about that. You said Crimea had "always been" part of Russia. All I need is one period of time to disprove that claim.
Cal88
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sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

People on here are tone deaf with regards to the basic realities in this conflict, for instance, the fact that Crimea is a Russian province, has always been, since the late 1700s, and its annexation to Russia reflects the freewill of its overwhelmingly Russian native population. I've provided the basic facts from wiki and other sources, yet that reality doesn't even register. This is a conflict based on narratives, not facts, it's almost useless to argue in that kind of broken cognitive framework.
Also, what the hell are you talking about here? Russia lost Crimea with the breakup of the USSR in 1991. So no, it has not "always been" a Russian province. What is this revisionist history?

If you want a Wiki link, here you go:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimea_in_the_post-Soviet_era_(1991-2014)

Crimea had been part of Russia from 1783, when the Russian Empire annexed it a decade after defeating Ottoman forces in the Battle of Kozludzha, until 1954, when the Soviet government transferred Crimea from the Russian Soviet Socialist Republic to the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic for purely arbitrary Soviet Socialist political reasons.
I notice you skipped over what happened in 1991, which is when Crimea was no longer part of Russia or the USSR. Apology accepted.

And you skipped the 200+ years before that,
I don't need to worry about that. You said Crimea had "always been" part of Russia. All I need is one period of time to disprove that claim.

Disingenuously pedantic, as if the Russian Crimeans just vaporized in 1991. What did vaporize then was all political and economic institutions in Russia with that country plunging in a complete meltdown, with a large proportion of Russians going into abject poverty. Since then, their economy has been stable, and that of Crimea has never been better, especially with their water access having been restored, while the economy of Ukraine has regressed considerably, falling to third world levels.

Big C
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movielover said:

Wasn't NATO also hoping to put long range missiles in Eastern Ukraine?

They never mention how Putin always moves while weak American presidents are in charge (Obama, Biden). Trump allegedly told Putin, "You invade Ukraine, I bomb Moscow." President Trump also sent Javelin missiles to Ukraine (Obama sent pillows). Blinken saw Russia manning troops at the border, why didn't they act more swiftly? Their strategy was to consult w CCP China. Really?

It sometimes seems they wanted the invasion. Scott Ritter claims France and Germany are once again talking up a European defense alliance, something Putin was asking for.

If Russia improves moving natural resources to
China, there's a win-win for them.

YES!!! Thank you for pointing out that, when it came to Putin/Russia, President Trump had Big. Hanging. Balls. A lot of people have not been aware of that! And to think, he even threatened Putin, all the while knowing Putin has that "pee tape"! But President Trump never cared about himself, only his country! Somebody needs to write a sequel to "Profiles in Courage": Maybe Trump is on the cover!
sycasey
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Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

People on here are tone deaf with regards to the basic realities in this conflict, for instance, the fact that Crimea is a Russian province, has always been, since the late 1700s, and its annexation to Russia reflects the freewill of its overwhelmingly Russian native population. I've provided the basic facts from wiki and other sources, yet that reality doesn't even register. This is a conflict based on narratives, not facts, it's almost useless to argue in that kind of broken cognitive framework.
Also, what the hell are you talking about here? Russia lost Crimea with the breakup of the USSR in 1991. So no, it has not "always been" a Russian province. What is this revisionist history?

If you want a Wiki link, here you go:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimea_in_the_post-Soviet_era_(1991-2014)

Crimea had been part of Russia from 1783, when the Russian Empire annexed it a decade after defeating Ottoman forces in the Battle of Kozludzha, until 1954, when the Soviet government transferred Crimea from the Russian Soviet Socialist Republic to the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic for purely arbitrary Soviet Socialist political reasons.
I notice you skipped over what happened in 1991, which is when Crimea was no longer part of Russia or the USSR. Apology accepted.

And you skipped the 200+ years before that,
I don't need to worry about that. You said Crimea had "always been" part of Russia. All I need is one period of time to disprove that claim.

Disingenuously pedantic, as if the Russian Crimeans just vaporized in 1991. What did vaporize then was all political and economic institutions in Russia with that country plunging in a complete meltdown, with a large proportion of Russians going into abject poverty. Since then, their economy has been stable, and that of Crimea has never been better, especially with their water access having been restored, while the economy of Ukraine has regressed considerably, falling to third world levels.


If you want to argue that Crimeans are better off under Russian rule, that's a different claim. Don't argue that Crimea was "always" part of Russia.

Personally, I don't believe any of the elections held after the 2014 Russian invasion can be trusted. If they could hold an open referendum without an occupying army present, then I would more willingly respect the Crimeans' will.
golden sloth
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sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

People on here are tone deaf with regards to the basic realities in this conflict, for instance, the fact that Crimea is a Russian province, has always been, since the late 1700s, and its annexation to Russia reflects the freewill of its overwhelmingly Russian native population. I've provided the basic facts from wiki and other sources, yet that reality doesn't even register. This is a conflict based on narratives, not facts, it's almost useless to argue in that kind of broken cognitive framework.
Also, what the hell are you talking about here? Russia lost Crimea with the breakup of the USSR in 1991. So no, it has not "always been" a Russian province. What is this revisionist history?

If you want a Wiki link, here you go:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimea_in_the_post-Soviet_era_(1991-2014)

Crimea had been part of Russia from 1783, when the Russian Empire annexed it a decade after defeating Ottoman forces in the Battle of Kozludzha, until 1954, when the Soviet government transferred Crimea from the Russian Soviet Socialist Republic to the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic for purely arbitrary Soviet Socialist political reasons.
I notice you skipped over what happened in 1991, which is when Crimea was no longer part of Russia or the USSR. Apology accepted.

And you skipped the 200+ years before that,
I don't need to worry about that. You said Crimea had "always been" part of Russia. All I need is one period of time to disprove that claim.

Disingenuously pedantic, as if the Russian Crimeans just vaporized in 1991. What did vaporize then was all political and economic institutions in Russia with that country plunging in a complete meltdown, with a large proportion of Russians going into abject poverty. Since then, their economy has been stable, and that of Crimea has never been better, especially with their water access having been restored, while the economy of Ukraine has regressed considerably, falling to third world levels.


If you want to argue that Crimeans are better off under Russian rule, that's a different claim. Don't argue that Crimea was "always" part of Russia.

Personally, I don't believe any of the elections held after the 2014 Russian invasion can be trusted. If they could hold an open referendum without an occupying army present, then I would more willingly respect the Crimeans' will.


Similarly, any of the annexation referendums in the four different oblasts from a few months ago are complete shams and should be disregarded.
movielover
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He knew how to handle Putin and Xi.

When Trump was in his first few months as POTUS, he had Chairman Xi and his family to Mar-a-lago. There, his granddaughter sang a song in perfect Madarin. Beautiful.

Then during dinner, President Trump gave the command to drop a bomb down some terrorist holes in the Middle East, right during dinner with Chairman Xi!

At the time, it was viewed as being very disrespectful to the Chinese PM. I was against it.

In retrospect, I believe it was a brilliant move, showing that he is decisive and unpredictable. I'm sure Putin was well aware of this.

P.S. One of the missile lauches we did during the Trump presidency was from a submarine thousands of miles away. It might have been when he was trading barbs with Chairman Kim. A deft way of demonstrating our military capabilities.
Big C
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movielover said:

He knew how to handle Putin and Xi.

When Trump was in his first few months as POTUS, he had Chairman Xi and his family to Mar-a-lago. There, his granddaughter sang a song in perfect Madarin. Beautiful.

Then during dinner, President Trump gave the command to drop a bomb down some terrorist holes in the Middle East, right during dinner with Chairman Xi!

At the time, it was viewed as being very disrespectful to the Chinese PM. I was against it.

In retrospect, I believe it was a brilliant move, showing that he is decisive and unpredictable. I'm sure Putin was well aware of this.

P.S. One of the missile lauches we did during the Trump presidency was from a submarine thousands of miles away. It might have been when he was trading barbs with Chairman Kim. A deft way of demonstrating our military capabilities.

Trump was obviously a genius getting what he wanted from people and was able to transfer that to international diplomacy. The only reason I can figure that some pundits said that Trump was sorta like Putin's b**** is that they were radical, undocumented Socialists trying to advance their leftist agenda. Sad.
DiabloWags
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Big C said:

movielover said:

He knew how to handle Putin and Xi.

When Trump was in his first few months as POTUS, he had Chairman Xi and his family to Mar-a-lago. There, his granddaughter sang a song in perfect Madarin. Beautiful.

Then during dinner, President Trump gave the command to drop a bomb down some terrorist holes in the Middle East, right during dinner with Chairman Xi!

At the time, it was viewed as being very disrespectful to the Chinese PM. I was against it.

In retrospect, I believe it was a brilliant move, showing that he is decisive and unpredictable. I'm sure Putin was well aware of this.

P.S. One of the missile lauches we did during the Trump presidency was from a submarine thousands of miles away. It might have been when he was trading barbs with Chairman Kim. A deft way of demonstrating our military capabilities.

Trump was obviously a genius getting what he wanted from people and was able to transfer that to international diplomacy. The only reason I can figure that some pundits said that Trump was sorta like Putin's b**** is that they were radical, undocumented Socialists trying to advance their leftist agenda. Sad.

Hahahahahaaaa!

Kind of weird that Trump chose to believe Putin more than our own intelligence agencies.




"Cults don't end well. They really don't."
tequila4kapp
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I wouldn't cry if this thread could just be a place where we argue amongst ourselves about Putin and leave the Trump stuff to one of the other million threads about him.
movielover
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Putin's pretty robust for 70, and his secret wife Alina Kabaeva is 39.
juarezbear
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Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

People on here are tone deaf with regards to the basic realities in this conflict, for instance, the fact that Crimea is a Russian province, has always been, since the late 1700s, and its annexation to Russia reflects the freewill of its overwhelmingly Russian native population. I've provided the basic facts from wiki and other sources, yet that reality doesn't even register. This is a conflict based on narratives, not facts, it's almost useless to argue in that kind of broken cognitive framework.
Also, what the hell are you talking about here? Russia lost Crimea with the breakup of the USSR in 1991. So no, it has not "always been" a Russian province. What is this revisionist history?

If you want a Wiki link, here you go:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimea_in_the_post-Soviet_era_(1991-2014)

Crimea had been part of Russia from 1783, when the Russian Empire annexed it a decade after defeating Ottoman forces in the Battle of Kozludzha, until 1954, when the Soviet government transferred Crimea from the Russian Soviet Socialist Republic to the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic for purely arbitrary Soviet Socialist political reasons.
I notice you skipped over what happened in 1991, which is when Crimea was no longer part of Russia or the USSR. Apology accepted.

And you skipped the 200+ years before that,
I don't need to worry about that. You said Crimea had "always been" part of Russia. All I need is one period of time to disprove that claim.

Disingenuously pedantic, as if the Russian Crimeans just vaporized in 1991. What did vaporize then was all political and economic institutions in Russia with that country plunging in a complete meltdown, with a large proportion of Russians going into abject poverty. Since then, their economy has been stable, and that of Crimea has never been better, especially with their water access having been restored, while the economy of Ukraine has regressed considerably, falling to third world levels.




Hey 88 - If you could wave a magic wand, what would you want the world order to look like?
juarezbear
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movielover said:

Putin's pretty robust for 70, and his secret wife Alina Kabaeva is 39.


pretty much any 70 multi-billionaire could have a 39 year old hottie for a girlfriend. There are plenty of rich sides in LA with hot Russian side pieces driving around the city in G Wagons, and they aren't even the richest man in the world which Putin probably is given that he takes a price of any commerce taking place in Russia.
Unit2Sucks
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What I find most galling from the Putin cheerleaders and apologists is that they pretend that Ukraine's history of corruption is unrelated to Putin. Look at the whole Yanukovych saga (great article here that I posted previously). The last thing Putin wants is a Ukraine that he can't influence through corruption which is why he invaded in 2014.

The ghoulish cheerleaders would love to gaslight you into believing that corruption started with Zelensky but the reality is that corruption was endemic to the soviet union and that Putin has governed by corruption his entire career. There are lots of reasons he can't allow a free Ukraine to thrive, but among them are the fact that it would destabilize Russia if his people realized that there was another way to live.

It's also impossible to ignore the number of connections between the prior presidential administration and Russia/Ukraine. If the timing of the US presidential administrations is the reason Putin invaded in 2021 and not 2017, it doesn't speak well for Trump - it means Putin thought he could corruptly influence our country. I can't imagine anyone thinking that the GOP modified its 2016 platform in order to reduce aid to Ukraine because it independently developed that policy position without outside influence. Just 4 years prior, the GOP believed Russia to be our biggest foe. Trump worked hard to use corruption in Ukraine to help get re-elected in 2020 and I'm sure Putin was aware of it. Putin got exactly what he wanted out of 45 but 45's loss in 2020 meant he no longer had a friendly/captive and very incompetent US administration.

So sure, if you want to get bogged down in a point by point battle with Putin cheerleaders who are flooding the zone with risible BS, by all means go ahead. But they are pushing a fiction and there is no need to legitimize their position by pretending that it was honestly arrived at. The Putin cheerleaders have been wrong at every step. If you were a betting person, you would do well betting the opposite of what they have said to date. I have no doubt that you would make money betting against them in the future. But I would suggest that it would be even better to just ignore them entirely and let this thread be grounded in reality.

The reality is that Russia is an international pariah and corrupt state. It's not a democracy and it's government doesn't reflect the will of the people. It's not our friend and is not good for the world. It's the bad guy here and there's nothing wrong with recognizing that. Ukraine has a history of corruption and plenty of issues to deal with, but Russia is responsible for much of it (and the USSR before that) and none of that means that we and the rest of the West can't recognize Russia's 100% culpability for this war.

tl; dr anyone who isn't willing to acknowledge that Putin is a bad guy and that Russia is in the wrong here is not worth engaging in civil discourse.
DiabloWags
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juarezbear said:

movielover said:

Putin's pretty robust for 70, and his secret wife Alina Kabaeva is 39.


pretty much any 70 multi-billionaire could have a 39 year old hottie for a girlfriend. There are plenty of rich sides in LA with hot Russian side pieces driving around the city in G Wagons, and they aren't even the richest man in the world which Putin probably is given that he takes a price of any commerce taking place in Russia.

People like movielover are easily impressed.
And duped.

He still thinks that Donald Trump was the "Law & Order" President.
lol

"Cults don't end well. They really don't."
Cal88
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juarezbear said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

People on here are tone deaf with regards to the basic realities in this conflict, for instance, the fact that Crimea is a Russian province, has always been, since the late 1700s, and its annexation to Russia reflects the freewill of its overwhelmingly Russian native population. I've provided the basic facts from wiki and other sources, yet that reality doesn't even register. This is a conflict based on narratives, not facts, it's almost useless to argue in that kind of broken cognitive framework.
Also, what the hell are you talking about here? Russia lost Crimea with the breakup of the USSR in 1991. So no, it has not "always been" a Russian province. What is this revisionist history?

If you want a Wiki link, here you go:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimea_in_the_post-Soviet_era_(1991-2014)

Crimea had been part of Russia from 1783, when the Russian Empire annexed it a decade after defeating Ottoman forces in the Battle of Kozludzha, until 1954, when the Soviet government transferred Crimea from the Russian Soviet Socialist Republic to the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic for purely arbitrary Soviet Socialist political reasons.
I notice you skipped over what happened in 1991, which is when Crimea was no longer part of Russia or the USSR. Apology accepted.

And you skipped the 200+ years before that,
I don't need to worry about that. You said Crimea had "always been" part of Russia. All I need is one period of time to disprove that claim.

Disingenuously pedantic, as if the Russian Crimeans just vaporized in 1991. What did vaporize then was all political and economic institutions in Russia with that country plunging in a complete meltdown, with a large proportion of Russians going into abject poverty. Since then, their economy has been stable, and that of Crimea has never been better, especially with their water access having been restored, while the economy of Ukraine has regressed considerably, falling to third world levels.




Hey 88 - If you could wave a magic wand, what would you want the world order to look like?

If we can get through this decade to a multipolar world (which is the natural state of the world) without a nuclear conflagration, it would be totally awesome.

We're basically in a Thucydides Trap hinge period, dead on, for the rest of this decade.
Cal88
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Unit2Sucks said:

What I find most galling from the Putin cheerleaders and apologists is that they pretend that Ukraine's history of corruption is unrelated to Putin. Look at the whole Yanukovych saga (great article here that I posted previously). The last thing Putin wants is a Ukraine that he can't influence through corruption which is why he invaded in 2014.

The ghoulish cheerleaders would love to gaslight you into believing that corruption started with Zelensky but the reality is that corruption was endemic to the soviet union and that Putin has governed by corruption his entire career. There are lots of reasons he can't allow a free Ukraine to thrive, but among them are the fact that it would destabilize Russia if his people realized that there was another way to live.

It's also impossible to ignore the number of connections between the prior presidential administration and Russia/Ukraine. If the timing of the US presidential administrations is the reason Putin invaded in 2021 and not 2017, it doesn't speak well for Trump - it means Putin thought he could corruptly influence our country. I can't imagine anyone thinking that the GOP modified its 2016 platform in order to reduce aid to Ukraine because it independently developed that policy position without outside influence. Just 4 years prior, the GOP believed Russia to be our biggest foe. Trump worked hard to use corruption in Ukraine to help get re-elected in 2020 and I'm sure Putin was aware of it. Putin got exactly what he wanted out of 45 but 45's loss in 2020 meant he no longer had a friendly/captive and very incompetent US administration.

So sure, if you want to get bogged down in a point by point battle with Putin cheerleaders who are flooding the zone with risible BS, by all means go ahead. But they are pushing a fiction and there is no need to legitimize their position by pretending that it was honestly arrived at. The Putin cheerleaders have been wrong at every step. If you were a betting person, you would do well betting the opposite of what they have said to date. I have no doubt that you would make money betting against them in the future. But I would suggest that it would be even better to just ignore them entirely and let this thread be grounded in reality.

The reality is that Russia is an international pariah and corrupt state. It's not a democracy and it's government doesn't reflect the will of the people. It's not our friend and is not good for the world. It's the bad guy here and there's nothing wrong with recognizing that. Ukraine has a history of corruption and plenty of issues to deal with, but Russia is responsible for much of it (and the USSR before that) and none of that means that we and the rest of the West can't recognize Russia's 100% culpability for this war.

tl; dr anyone who isn't willing to acknowledge that Putin is a bad guy and that Russia is in the wrong here is not worth engaging in civil discourse.

Zelensky's net worth is somewhere in the mid to high nine figures. He's right up there as the richest comedian of all time with Seinfeld, and he's not nearly as funny as Jerry.

Ukraine has been the European hub for all sorts of sordid traffics, arms, women, children, babies, human organs, drugs, with most of the money being siphoned off by oligarchs. Russia has reined in its oligarchs, taken back its national resources stolen from them in the neoliberal "shock doctrine" 1990s, nationalizing its oil and gas industries. Other eastern blocks like Hungary and Poland have also done considerable progress in reducing corruption. Ukraine has not.

This level of corruption is the main reason why only 30% of weapon shipments to Ukraine are making it to the front, most of it is sold off on the black market and ends up fuelling wars in Africa, the Middle East etc. Here's the recent testimony of a British volunteer fighter in a Ukrainian brigade, he states that in their military convoy, two trucks loaded with munitions and various weapons like Javelins simply vanished, and that's in an area where there is a military checkpoint every few miles...

movielover
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Sounds worse than Mexico.

A former friend once built housing in the Middle East. He used to say, "A deal is a deal only in America". ... then his wife tried to shaft me.
movielover
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Unit2Sucks
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LOL Russia's military is a joke. The Guardian posted some intercepts of phone calls that Ukraine provided them and they are about as you would expect unless you are dumb enough to fall for Putin's BS.

Excerpts:
Quote:

"No one feeds us anything, mum," he complained. "Our supply is ****, to be honest. We draw water from puddles, then we strain it and drink it."

"Where are the missiles that Putin boasted about?" he asked. "There is a high-rise building right in front of us. Our soldiers can't hit it. We need one Caliber cruise missile and that's it."

"Reinforcements: no; communication: no", responded a soldier to questions from the grieving parent about the status of the men who had survived a Ukrainian onslaught. "They said we weren't allowed to retreat. Otherwise, we may be shot."

In a third intercept from 26 October a soldier in the Donetsk region tells his wife how he had fled with three others from the bloodshed and was contemplating surrender. "I'm in a sleeping bag, all wet, coughing, generally ****ed up," he said. "We were all allowed to be slaughtered." The soldier's wife declined to comment when approached by this newspaper.
Even Putin is now publicly acknowledging that things aren't going as well as his propaganda (and his BI cheerleaders) would attempt to have you believe. Will that change their messaging? Of course not.

Quote:

Vladimir Putin has made a rare admission of his country's military challenges in the 10-month-old war in Ukraine as Volodymyr Zelenskiy visited a key city in eastern Ukraine that Moscow has failed to capture despite months of relentless shelling.

In a video message to Russia's security services, Putin said the situation in the four Russian-occupied Ukrainian regions was "extremely complicated", and urged security agencies to intensify their efforts to identify "traitors, spies and diversionists".

Putin's speech once again highlighted Moscow's growing acknowledgement that the war in Ukraine is not going to plan. Earlier this month, the Russian leader said the conflict in Ukraine could turn into a "long-term process", after Moscow was forced to abandon some of the territories it annexed illegally in September, notably fleeing the city of Kherson.

oski003
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Unit2Sucks said:

LOL Russia's military is a joke. The Guardian posted some intercepts of phone calls that Ukraine provided them and they are about as you would expect unless you are dumb enough to fall for Putin's BS.

Excerpts:
Quote:

"No one feeds us anything, mum," he complained. "Our supply is ****, to be honest. We draw water from puddles, then we strain it and drink it."

"Where are the missiles that Putin boasted about?" he asked. "There is a high-rise building right in front of us. Our soldiers can't hit it. We need one Caliber cruise missile and that's it."

"Reinforcements: no; communication: no", responded a soldier to questions from the grieving parent about the status of the men who had survived a Ukrainian onslaught. "They said we weren't allowed to retreat. Otherwise, we may be shot."

In a third intercept from 26 October a soldier in the Donetsk region tells his wife how he had fled with three others from the bloodshed and was contemplating surrender. "I'm in a sleeping bag, all wet, coughing, generally ****ed up," he said. "We were all allowed to be slaughtered." The soldier's wife declined to comment when approached by this newspaper.
Even Putin is now publicly acknowledging that things aren't going as well as his propaganda (and his BI cheerleaders) would attempt to have you believe. Will that change their messaging? Of course not.

Quote:

Vladimir Putin has made a rare admission of his country's military challenges in the 10-month-old war in Ukraine as Volodymyr Zelenskiy visited a key city in eastern Ukraine that Moscow has failed to capture despite months of relentless shelling.

In a video message to Russia's security services, Putin said the situation in the four Russian-occupied Ukrainian regions was "extremely complicated", and urged security agencies to intensify their efforts to identify "traitors, spies and diversionists".

Putin's speech once again highlighted Moscow's growing acknowledgement that the war in Ukraine is not going to plan. Earlier this month, the Russian leader said the conflict in Ukraine could turn into a "long-term process", after Moscow was forced to abandon some of the territories it annexed illegally in September, notably fleeing the city of Kherson.




Russia needs to put their soldiers up in Holiday Inns while fighting a war. Morale would be much better.
Unit2Sucks
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oski003 said:

Unit2Sucks said:

LOL Russia's military is a joke. The Guardian posted some intercepts of phone calls that Ukraine provided them and they are about as you would expect unless you are dumb enough to fall for Putin's BS.

Excerpts:
Quote:

"No one feeds us anything, mum," he complained. "Our supply is ****, to be honest. We draw water from puddles, then we strain it and drink it."

"Where are the missiles that Putin boasted about?" he asked. "There is a high-rise building right in front of us. Our soldiers can't hit it. We need one Caliber cruise missile and that's it."

"Reinforcements: no; communication: no", responded a soldier to questions from the grieving parent about the status of the men who had survived a Ukrainian onslaught. "They said we weren't allowed to retreat. Otherwise, we may be shot."

In a third intercept from 26 October a soldier in the Donetsk region tells his wife how he had fled with three others from the bloodshed and was contemplating surrender. "I'm in a sleeping bag, all wet, coughing, generally ****ed up," he said. "We were all allowed to be slaughtered." The soldier's wife declined to comment when approached by this newspaper.
Even Putin is now publicly acknowledging that things aren't going as well as his propaganda (and his BI cheerleaders) would attempt to have you believe. Will that change their messaging? Of course not.

Quote:

Vladimir Putin has made a rare admission of his country's military challenges in the 10-month-old war in Ukraine as Volodymyr Zelenskiy visited a key city in eastern Ukraine that Moscow has failed to capture despite months of relentless shelling.

In a video message to Russia's security services, Putin said the situation in the four Russian-occupied Ukrainian regions was "extremely complicated", and urged security agencies to intensify their efforts to identify "traitors, spies and diversionists".

Putin's speech once again highlighted Moscow's growing acknowledgement that the war in Ukraine is not going to plan. Earlier this month, the Russian leader said the conflict in Ukraine could turn into a "long-term process", after Moscow was forced to abandon some of the territories it annexed illegally in September, notably fleeing the city of Kherson.




Russia needs to put their soldiers up in Holiday Inns while fighting a war. Morale would be much better.
Yes, I'm sure this is just typical gripes from soldiers who don't know how lucky they are to be fighting Putin's virtuous war.

Maybe they will find some fentanyl in their Halloween candy to help pass the time between foraging for food and bandaids and reading wikipedia printouts to learn how to operate their obsolete weaponry.
tequila4kapp
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It's a tragic situation. Putin's dictatorial willingness to kill anyone who publicly questions him creates an environment where he only hears what he wants to hear. That leads to him receiving crap intelligence and believing this will be a quick war where Ukrainians welcome the liberators. Massive corruption that never gets exposed for fear of consequences (death) means soldiers aren't equipped properly. And the end result is regular people at the bottom of the food chain become fodder and suffer.
oski003
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Unit2Sucks said:

oski003 said:

Unit2Sucks said:

LOL Russia's military is a joke. The Guardian posted some intercepts of phone calls that Ukraine provided them and they are about as you would expect unless you are dumb enough to fall for Putin's BS.

Excerpts:
Quote:

"No one feeds us anything, mum," he complained. "Our supply is ****, to be honest. We draw water from puddles, then we strain it and drink it."

"Where are the missiles that Putin boasted about?" he asked. "There is a high-rise building right in front of us. Our soldiers can't hit it. We need one Caliber cruise missile and that's it."

"Reinforcements: no; communication: no", responded a soldier to questions from the grieving parent about the status of the men who had survived a Ukrainian onslaught. "They said we weren't allowed to retreat. Otherwise, we may be shot."

In a third intercept from 26 October a soldier in the Donetsk region tells his wife how he had fled with three others from the bloodshed and was contemplating surrender. "I'm in a sleeping bag, all wet, coughing, generally ****ed up," he said. "We were all allowed to be slaughtered." The soldier's wife declined to comment when approached by this newspaper.
Even Putin is now publicly acknowledging that things aren't going as well as his propaganda (and his BI cheerleaders) would attempt to have you believe. Will that change their messaging? Of course not.

Quote:

Vladimir Putin has made a rare admission of his country's military challenges in the 10-month-old war in Ukraine as Volodymyr Zelenskiy visited a key city in eastern Ukraine that Moscow has failed to capture despite months of relentless shelling.

In a video message to Russia's security services, Putin said the situation in the four Russian-occupied Ukrainian regions was "extremely complicated", and urged security agencies to intensify their efforts to identify "traitors, spies and diversionists".

Putin's speech once again highlighted Moscow's growing acknowledgement that the war in Ukraine is not going to plan. Earlier this month, the Russian leader said the conflict in Ukraine could turn into a "long-term process", after Moscow was forced to abandon some of the territories it annexed illegally in September, notably fleeing the city of Kherson.




Russia needs to put their soldiers up in Holiday Inns while fighting a war. Morale would be much better.
Yes, I'm sure this is just typical gripes from soldiers who don't know how lucky they are to be fighting Putin's virtuous war.

Maybe they will find some fentanyl in their Halloween candy to help pass the time between foraging for food and bandaids and reading wikipedia printouts to learn how to operate their obsolete weaponry.


War is crappy. I can imagine there is drug use going on amongst soldiers. Good observation.
Unit2Sucks
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tequila4kapp said:

It's a tragic situation. Putin's dictatorial willingness to kill anyone who publicly questions him creates an environment where he only hears what he wants to hear. That leads to him receiving crap intelligence and believing this will be a quick war where Ukrainians welcome the liberators. Massive corruption that never gets exposed for fear of consequences (death) means soldiers aren't equipped properly. And the end result is regular people at the bottom of the food chain become fodder and suffer.
Absolutely, but that's not the whole story. Putin and his military are very much intentionally and knowingly sacrificing their own troops. Here's one article but there are countless others that are consistent. I've read recently that they are purposefully advancing troops in maneuvers that will get them killed in order to pinpoint Ukrainian defenses. Here's an article from before the war that shows that it's not a new strategy.

Despite all of the cheerleading about the hundreds of thousands of new cannon fodder, it's clearly not enough given the way Russia is sacrificing it's own men and they need far more. They've even resorted to gruesome ads to recruit people.





And they're feeding their population ridiculous propaganda, shown in the video below.



So while I agree that Putin's fascism is leading to a yes-men culture that caused him to be surprised at how challenging this war would be, he also doesn't care about the impact it has on anyone, not the least of which are the Russian people. That's why it's absolutely bonkers when his cheerleaders here and elsewhere pretend that Putin cares one iota about Russian-speaking people in Ukraine. If he doesn't care about actual Russians, why would he care about the ones who live elsewhere?

The cheerleaders will never answer these questions because they can't criticize Putin and there's no way to acknowledge reality without doing so. Instead they resort to obviously false propaganda.
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