The Official Russian Invasion of Ukraine Thread

921,576 Views | 10135 Replies | Last: 1 day ago by Cal88
dajo9
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Cal88 said:

This.




That is hyperbole
dajo9
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dimitrig said:


Russia was not in an existential war prior to invading Ukraine but they might find themselves in one before this is over if they continue down the path they are headed.

Their invasion has given those who would like to see Russia diminished an excuse for sure, but it was Russia who thought this was a good idea. If they had stayed on their side of the border massing troops and waging a proxy war in Ukraine like they had been we'd be worried about the threat they posed and willing to negotiate.

Instead, they invaded and proved themselves as the imperialists we feared which only justifies Ukraine's concerns and those of Finland, Poland, and the Baltics. In the process they also exposed that their military is not quite as capable as it appeared on paper. It is almost laughable how poorly it has performed. It has left most of the real fighting to the Wagner group, which may cease to exist when the dust finally clears.

This is all Russia's doing. No one forced their hand. They just made a really bad miscalculation. If they want to give NATO reasons to get involved openly militarily then they should keep doing what they are doing.




Russia is not in an existential war. But Putin is.
dimitrig
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dajo9 said:

dimitrig said:


Russia was not in an existential war prior to invading Ukraine but they might find themselves in one before this is over if they continue down the path they are headed.

Their invasion has given those who would like to see Russia diminished an excuse for sure, but it was Russia who thought this was a good idea. If they had stayed on their side of the border massing troops and waging a proxy war in Ukraine like they had been we'd be worried about the threat they posed and willing to negotiate.

Instead, they invaded and proved themselves as the imperialists we feared which only justifies Ukraine's concerns and those of Finland, Poland, and the Baltics. In the process they also exposed that their military is not quite as capable as it appeared on paper. It is almost laughable how poorly it has performed. It has left most of the real fighting to the Wagner group, which may cease to exist when the dust finally clears.

This is all Russia's doing. No one forced their hand. They just made a really bad miscalculation. If they want to give NATO reasons to get involved openly militarily then they should keep doing what they are doing.




Russia is not in an existential war. But Putin is.


Probably true, and he is going to lose it.

dajo9
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Cal88 said:

The timing was forced on Russia because of things Ukraine was doing within its own borders to Russians right across the border in the Donbass.

And Crimea, which is difficult for Russia to defend without a land bridge, would have been next.

And you haven't addressed the third issue of a government driven by nationalistc ideology in which Russians are their enemy wanted to acquire nuclear weapons, and has the full capability to build them.


You and Putin are stuck in World War I thinking - having to declare war because of mobilizations.
golden sloth
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dimitrig said:

dajo9 said:

dimitrig said:


Russia was not in an existential war prior to invading Ukraine but they might find themselves in one before this is over if they continue down the path they are headed.

Their invasion has given those who would like to see Russia diminished an excuse for sure, but it was Russia who thought this was a good idea. If they had stayed on their side of the border massing troops and waging a proxy war in Ukraine like they had been we'd be worried about the threat they posed and willing to negotiate.

Instead, they invaded and proved themselves as the imperialists we feared which only justifies Ukraine's concerns and those of Finland, Poland, and the Baltics. In the process they also exposed that their military is not quite as capable as it appeared on paper. It is almost laughable how poorly it has performed. It has left most of the real fighting to the Wagner group, which may cease to exist when the dust finally clears.

This is all Russia's doing. No one forced their hand. They just made a really bad miscalculation. If they want to give NATO reasons to get involved openly militarily then they should keep doing what they are doing.




Russia is not in an existential war. But Putin is.


Probably true, and he is going to lose it.




He already has. He chose to launch his country into a military quagmire and a forever war. His only chance for success was quick war. That did not happen. History and his people will never forgive him.
Cal88
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MinotStateBeav said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:


Thank you for confirming that you have always accepted Russia's version of events from the beginning.

I don't accept any government version prima facie, unlike you.

Arestovich above is right about the root cause of the Donbass rebellion, as are the referendum and polls on Crimea. It is NATO's version that is wrong in these key cases.

Another recent example - the Russian government's version of events on the Patriot missile incident in Kiev also turned out to be right. The US and Ukrainian version of having intercepted Kinzhal hypersonics, whose diameter is over 1m wide, buttressed by a flimsy theatrical exhibit by leading government official/Kiev mayor Klitschko, is ridiculously false, it would have made Baghdad Bob blush.


He's holding up the interior part of the kinzhal where the explosives are held in the missile. It actually is/was a kinzhal they shot down.


That is not how it works. missiles don't have cores that are less than 1/3 the outside diameter, it doesn't make sense from an engineering and design perspective, you would just make a smaller missile instead. The nose of that thing is steel 2 inches thick, super heavy, would require a lot of bracing to hold it together in a missile that flies at mach 7 and could take 15g-20gs, That wouldn't fly, both literally and figuratively.

That thing Klitsch is holding is actually the main front section of a Russian 500kg bunker buster (hence the unusually thick nose), the BetAB 500 ShP, or a model very close to it:

https://cat-uxo.com/explosive-hazards/aircraft-bombs/betab-500-shp-aircraft-bomb
tequila4kapp
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Eastern Oregon Bear said:

Cal88 said:

I've just painstakingly explained why the Kiev regime has lost all legitimacy over the Donbass, based on the facts outlined above.

At the inception of Ukraine in 1991, its borders were largely artificial, a result of arbitrary Soviet policies, the pink area was ceded by Lenin, and Crimea by Khrushchev.

These borders might have worked had Ukraine maintained a multicultural government tolerant of its large minority populations, just as Canada, Switzerland or Spain have been successfully held together by governments that fully respect their linguistic and cultural minorities' rights.



This is how Ukraine should be viewed, from a European perspective. It is harder to comprehend this from an American cultural framework, because the borders in N. America have been set in stone for many generations now. Eastern Europe in particular has had a very malleable border structure over its modern history due to it being very nationally and ethnically diverse, and being in the crossroads of many wars between local powers.
If Donbass has been considered a part of Ukraine since 1922 (more than a century) even by the USSR that created those borders, then I don't think you can claim Donbass belongs to Russia.
You are too American to understand the meaning of malleable, Comrade.
dimitrig
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tequila4kapp said:

Eastern Oregon Bear said:

Cal88 said:

I've just painstakingly explained why the Kiev regime has lost all legitimacy over the Donbass, based on the facts outlined above.

At the inception of Ukraine in 1991, its borders were largely artificial, a result of arbitrary Soviet policies, the pink area was ceded by Lenin, and Crimea by Khrushchev.

These borders might have worked had Ukraine maintained a multicultural government tolerant of its large minority populations, just as Canada, Switzerland or Spain have been successfully held together by governments that fully respect their linguistic and cultural minorities' rights.



This is how Ukraine should be viewed, from a European perspective. It is harder to comprehend this from an American cultural framework, because the borders in N. America have been set in stone for many generations now. Eastern Europe in particular has had a very malleable border structure over its modern history due to it being very nationally and ethnically diverse, and being in the crossroads of many wars between local powers.
If Donbass has been considered a part of Ukraine since 1922 (more than a century) even by the USSR that created those borders, then I don't think you can claim Donbass belongs to Russia.
You are too American to understand the meaning of malleable, Comrade.


Greeks are still sore about losing Constantinople and the rest of what was eastern Greece to the Turks. A large Greek population still lives there. If Greece decided to invade Turkey, which I am sure they would do if they could, they would still be subject to international criticism and rightly so. Holding a grudge for hundreds of years doesn't give one the right to invade a sovereign nation.

tequila4kapp
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dimitrig said:

tequila4kapp said:

Eastern Oregon Bear said:

Cal88 said:

I've just painstakingly explained why the Kiev regime has lost all legitimacy over the Donbass, based on the facts outlined above.

At the inception of Ukraine in 1991, its borders were largely artificial, a result of arbitrary Soviet policies, the pink area was ceded by Lenin, and Crimea by Khrushchev.

These borders might have worked had Ukraine maintained a multicultural government tolerant of its large minority populations, just as Canada, Switzerland or Spain have been successfully held together by governments that fully respect their linguistic and cultural minorities' rights.



This is how Ukraine should be viewed, from a European perspective. It is harder to comprehend this from an American cultural framework, because the borders in N. America have been set in stone for many generations now. Eastern Europe in particular has had a very malleable border structure over its modern history due to it being very nationally and ethnically diverse, and being in the crossroads of many wars between local powers.
If Donbass has been considered a part of Ukraine since 1922 (more than a century) even by the USSR that created those borders, then I don't think you can claim Donbass belongs to Russia.
You are too American to understand the meaning of malleable, Comrade.
Greeks are still sore about losing Constantinople and the rest of what was eastern Greece to the Turks. A large Greek population still lives there. If Greece decided to invade Turkey, which I am sure they would do if they could, they would still be subject to international criticism and rightly so. Holding a grudge for hundreds of years doesn't give one the right to invade a sovereign nation.
I was thinking about this last night. If every single thing offered by some in this thread about Nazis and Donbass being filled with Russians was true, does that create an imperative that justifies the war? Simple answer: not even close.

Imagine if Mexico decided America was being unjust to Mexicans in Texas, that Texas was really Mexico, the border was just a concept, Mexican people don't want to be subjugated by Texans, etc. etc etc. Per the logic of some in this thread Mexico would be justified and right to invade to take it back.
Cal88
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That border "was just a concept" in the 19th century, when the US acquired all of the southwest from Mexico.

The basic borders have been set in north America for two centuries now, so the concept of immutable borders is very much anchored in the American perspective.

That however did not apply to countries like Yugoslavia, Kosovo, Sudan, Iraq, Libya or Syria which were recently formally or de facto partitioned through US/NATO military intervention.

In eastern Europe, the borders have constantly shifted in the last several centuries. Cities like Lviv changed hands several times, often violently so with populations being ethnically cleansed. You have national affiliations that do not follow the borders. In France and Spain for example, a native of Bayonne will more readily identify with one from Bilbao than from Paris or Marseille, the Basque national identity prevailing, and predating the formation of France or Spain as nations.



This is a concept that is very common in the old world, particularly in Africa, but also in Europe, and the Donbass and Crimea are prime examples. A lot of these issues were addressed in the post-war "Wilsonian" redrawing of the central and eastern European maps, but many issues were still left unresolved.


Cal88
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As a follow-up on the case of Ukraine in the context of national identities and borders, the best analysis and presentation of the Ukrainian context I have read was from Rhode Island prof. Nicolai Petro, whom I have presented on this thread several months ago:

Quote:

The Tragedy of Ukraine: What Classical Greek Tragedy Can Teach Us About Conflict Resolution

by Nicolai N. Petro

The conflict in Ukraine has deep domestic roots. A third of the population, primarily in the East and South, regards its own Russian cultural identity as entirely compatible with a Ukrainian civic identity. The state's reluctance to recognize this ethnos as a legitimate part of the modern Ukrainian nation, has created a tragic cycle that entangles Ukrainian politics.
https://www.amazon.com/Tragedy-Ukraine-Classical-Resolution-Contemporary-ebook/dp/B0BL1CXG8P


"Written mostly before Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, the book The Tragedy of Ukraine: What Classical Greek Tragedy Can Teach Us About Conflict Resolution is an illuminating read for anyone wishing to know how we arrived at the existential crossroads that threatens WWIII. This is the book for those hungry for an historical understanding of Ukraine's seething internal conflictwestern hypernationalism versus eastern cultural diversity that made Ukraine vulnerable to a geopolitical power struggle, a pawn in the cruel hands of both Russia and the United States.

Author Nicolai Petro served as former President H.W. Bush's State Department Assistant Policy Advisor on the Soviet Union and a temporary attach in Moscow. He now teaches at the University of Rhode Island, a professor of comparative international politics, peace studies and non-violence.

Petro is not a megaphone for neoconservatives apoplectic the US lost in Vietnam and Afghanistan, and are thus even more determined to weaken Russia to then fight China in omnicidal madness for a unipolar world. Nor is he an icon of the Left calling for solidarity among the working classes of Ukraine and Russia to overthrow the privatizing capitalists stashing their spoils in Swiss bank accounts before unmooring their yachts. Petro, aside from being an academic, writer and researcher, is a devotee of Greek tragedy, a lover of literature, arguing the lessons taught in plays like Orestes and Antigone point the way to social healing and harmony through catharsis release of emotion, as well as dialogue and compassion for "The Other" as co-sufferer and co-citizen."

https://www.counterpunch.org/2023/01/06/the-tragedy-of-ukraine/
tequila4kapp
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Cal88 said:

That border "was just a concept" in the 19th century, when the US acquired all of the southwest from Mexico.

The basic borders have been set in north America for two centuries now, so the concept of immutable borders is very much anchored in the American perspective.

That however did not apply to countries like Yugoslavia, Kosovo, Sudan, Iraq, Libya or Syria which were recently formally or de facto partitioned through US/NATO military intervention.

In eastern Europe, the borders have constantly shifted in the last several centuries. Cities like Lviv changed hands several times, often violently so with populations being ethnically cleansed. You have national affiliations that do not follow the borders. In France and Spain for example, a native of Bayonne will more readily identify with one from Bilbao than from Paris or Marseille, the Basque national identity prevailing, and predating the formation of France or Spain as nations.



This is a concept that is very common in the old world, particularly in Africa, but also in Europe, and the Donbass and Crimea are prime examples. A lot of these issues were addressed in the post-war "Wilsonian" redrawing of the central and eastern European maps, but many issues were still left unresolved.
Do you realize that you are saying means malleable borders all future wars in that region are justified? Lines on a map aren't to be restricted so hostility toward others in the pursuit of land grabs is okay. Your recitation of history may be right but the conclusion you wish to draw form it is pure hogwash. Civilized nations seek to resolve disputes peacefully; use of force should be a last resort. Truly, this just isn't that hard. Russia was wrong to invade Ukraine.
calbear93
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tequila4kapp said:

dimitrig said:

tequila4kapp said:

Eastern Oregon Bear said:

Cal88 said:

I've just painstakingly explained why the Kiev regime has lost all legitimacy over the Donbass, based on the facts outlined above.

At the inception of Ukraine in 1991, its borders were largely artificial, a result of arbitrary Soviet policies, the pink area was ceded by Lenin, and Crimea by Khrushchev.

These borders might have worked had Ukraine maintained a multicultural government tolerant of its large minority populations, just as Canada, Switzerland or Spain have been successfully held together by governments that fully respect their linguistic and cultural minorities' rights.



This is how Ukraine should be viewed, from a European perspective. It is harder to comprehend this from an American cultural framework, because the borders in N. America have been set in stone for many generations now. Eastern Europe in particular has had a very malleable border structure over its modern history due to it being very nationally and ethnically diverse, and being in the crossroads of many wars between local powers.
If Donbass has been considered a part of Ukraine since 1922 (more than a century) even by the USSR that created those borders, then I don't think you can claim Donbass belongs to Russia.
You are too American to understand the meaning of malleable, Comrade.
Greeks are still sore about losing Constantinople and the rest of what was eastern Greece to the Turks. A large Greek population still lives there. If Greece decided to invade Turkey, which I am sure they would do if they could, they would still be subject to international criticism and rightly so. Holding a grudge for hundreds of years doesn't give one the right to invade a sovereign nation.
I was thinking about this last night. If every single thing offered by some in this thread about Nazis and Donbass being filled with Russians was true, does that create an imperative that justifies the war? Simple answer: not even close.

Imagine if Mexico decided America was being unjust to Mexicans in Texas, that Texas was really Mexico, the border was just a concept, Mexican people don't want to be subjugated by Texans, etc. etc etc. Per the logic of some in this thread Mexico would be justified and right to invade to take it back.
Can we just give Texas back to avoid a dispute?

Just kidding. I agree with you 100%. The arguments made are just silly when extended to other countries.

By the way, I really enjoy visiting Austin and San Antonio, but it would be nice to be able to deport Cruz, Beto and Sark.
Cal88
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tequila4kapp said:

Cal88 said:

That border "was just a concept" in the 19th century, when the US acquired all of the southwest from Mexico.

The basic borders have been set in north America for two centuries now, so the concept of immutable borders is very much anchored in the American perspective.

That however did not apply to countries like Yugoslavia, Kosovo, Sudan, Iraq, Libya or Syria which were recently formally or de facto partitioned through US/NATO military intervention.

In eastern Europe, the borders have constantly shifted in the last several centuries. Cities like Lviv changed hands several times, often violently so with populations being ethnically cleansed. You have national affiliations that do not follow the borders. In France and Spain for example, a native of Bayonne will more readily identify with one from Bilbao than from Paris or Marseille, the Basque national identity prevailing, and predating the formation of France or Spain as nations.



This is a concept that is very common in the old world, particularly in Africa, but also in Europe, and the Donbass and Crimea are prime examples. A lot of these issues were addressed in the post-war "Wilsonian" redrawing of the central and eastern European maps, but many issues were still left unresolved.
Do you realize that you are saying means malleable borders all future wars in that region are justified? Lines on a map aren't to be restricted so hostility toward others in the pursuit of land grabs is okay. Your recitation of history may be right but the conclusion you wish to draw form it is pure hogwash. Civilized nations seek to resolve disputes peacefully; use of force should be a last resort. Truly, this just isn't that hard. Russia was wrong to invade Ukraine.

NATO contributed a great deal to creating the conditions which made this war inevitable, by design, with the goal of creating another Afghanistan-like situation for Russia in its western underbelly, in order to weaken Russia, using Ukraine.

Of course the narrative that will be sold to the public is framed in a simplistic good vs bad, big vs small, crazy dictator that can't help but invade his neighbors.

That much is clear if you care to do a bit of research on the subject, you will see that this plan is clearly outlined in works like Brzezinski's Grand Chessboard, or in a recent Rand whitepaper on EE policy, or jf you just listen to a 5min presentations from foremost policy analysts like Mearsheimer, Sachs or Chomsky.

"We must condemn those who wage war, but even more so, those that make it inevitable"
Montesquieu
dimitrig
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Cal88 said:

tequila4kapp said:

Cal88 said:

That border "was just a concept" in the 19th century, when the US acquired all of the southwest from Mexico.

The basic borders have been set in north America for two centuries now, so the concept of immutable borders is very much anchored in the American perspective.

That however did not apply to countries like Yugoslavia, Kosovo, Sudan, Iraq, Libya or Syria which were recently formally or de facto partitioned through US/NATO military intervention.

In eastern Europe, the borders have constantly shifted in the last several centuries. Cities like Lviv changed hands several times, often violently so with populations being ethnically cleansed. You have national affiliations that do not follow the borders. In France and Spain for example, a native of Bayonne will more readily identify with one from Bilbao than from Paris or Marseille, the Basque national identity prevailing, and predating the formation of France or Spain as nations.



This is a concept that is very common in the old world, particularly in Africa, but also in Europe, and the Donbass and Crimea are prime examples. A lot of these issues were addressed in the post-war "Wilsonian" redrawing of the central and eastern European maps, but many issues were still left unresolved.
Do you realize that you are saying means malleable borders all future wars in that region are justified? Lines on a map aren't to be restricted so hostility toward others in the pursuit of land grabs is okay. Your recitation of history may be right but the conclusion you wish to draw form it is pure hogwash. Civilized nations seek to resolve disputes peacefully; use of force should be a last resort. Truly, this just isn't that hard. Russia was wrong to invade Ukraine.

NATO contributed a great deal to creating the conditions which made this war inevitable, by design, with the goal of creating another Afghanistan-like situation for Russia in its western underbelly, in order to weaken Russia, using Ukraine.

Of course the narrative that will be sold to the public is framed in a simplistic good vs bad, big vs small, crazy dictator that can't help but invade his neighbors.

That much is clear if you care to do a bit of research on the subject, you will see that this plan is clearly outlined in works like Brzezinski's Grand Chessboard, or in a recent Rand whitepaper on EE policy, or jf you just listen to a 5min presentations from foremost policy analysts like Mearsheimer, Sachs or Chomsky.

"We must condemn those who wage war, but even more so, those that make it inevitable"
Montesquieu

So Putin was manipulated into doing exactly what NATO wanted him to do, despite it not being in the best interests of Russia?

Why did he play along with it?

tequila4kapp
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Cal88 said:

tequila4kapp said:

Cal88 said:

That border "was just a concept" in the 19th century, when the US acquired all of the southwest from Mexico.

The basic borders have been set in north America for two centuries now, so the concept of immutable borders is very much anchored in the American perspective.

That however did not apply to countries like Yugoslavia, Kosovo, Sudan, Iraq, Libya or Syria which were recently formally or de facto partitioned through US/NATO military intervention.

In eastern Europe, the borders have constantly shifted in the last several centuries. Cities like Lviv changed hands several times, often violently so with populations being ethnically cleansed. You have national affiliations that do not follow the borders. In France and Spain for example, a native of Bayonne will more readily identify with one from Bilbao than from Paris or Marseille, the Basque national identity prevailing, and predating the formation of France or Spain as nations.



This is a concept that is very common in the old world, particularly in Africa, but also in Europe, and the Donbass and Crimea are prime examples. A lot of these issues were addressed in the post-war "Wilsonian" redrawing of the central and eastern European maps, but many issues were still left unresolved.
Do you realize that you are saying means malleable borders all future wars in that region are justified? Lines on a map aren't to be restricted so hostility toward others in the pursuit of land grabs is okay. Your recitation of history may be right but the conclusion you wish to draw form it is pure hogwash. Civilized nations seek to resolve disputes peacefully; use of force should be a last resort. Truly, this just isn't that hard. Russia was wrong to invade Ukraine.

NATO contributed a great deal to creating the conditions which made this war inevitable, by design, with the goal of creating another Afghanistan-like situation for Russia in its western underbelly, in order to weaken Russia, using Ukraine.

Of course the narrative that will be sold to the public is framed in a simplistic good vs bad, big vs small, crazy dictator that can't help but invade his neighbors.

That much is clear if you care to do a bit of research on the subject, you will see that this plan is clearly outlined in works like Brzezinski's Grand Chessboard, or in a recent Rand whitepaper on EE policy, or jf you just listen to a 5min presentations from foremost policy analysts like Mearsheimer, Sachs or Chomsky.

"We must condemn those who wage war, but even more so, those that make it inevitable"
Montesquieu
No offense intended but I find your thinking in this area to be way out there.
tequila4kapp
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dimitrig said:

Cal88 said:

tequila4kapp said:

Cal88 said:

That border "was just a concept" in the 19th century, when the US acquired all of the southwest from Mexico.

The basic borders have been set in north America for two centuries now, so the concept of immutable borders is very much anchored in the American perspective.

That however did not apply to countries like Yugoslavia, Kosovo, Sudan, Iraq, Libya or Syria which were recently formally or de facto partitioned through US/NATO military intervention.

In eastern Europe, the borders have constantly shifted in the last several centuries. Cities like Lviv changed hands several times, often violently so with populations being ethnically cleansed. You have national affiliations that do not follow the borders. In France and Spain for example, a native of Bayonne will more readily identify with one from Bilbao than from Paris or Marseille, the Basque national identity prevailing, and predating the formation of France or Spain as nations.



This is a concept that is very common in the old world, particularly in Africa, but also in Europe, and the Donbass and Crimea are prime examples. A lot of these issues were addressed in the post-war "Wilsonian" redrawing of the central and eastern European maps, but many issues were still left unresolved.
Do you realize that you are saying means malleable borders all future wars in that region are justified? Lines on a map aren't to be restricted so hostility toward others in the pursuit of land grabs is okay. Your recitation of history may be right but the conclusion you wish to draw form it is pure hogwash. Civilized nations seek to resolve disputes peacefully; use of force should be a last resort. Truly, this just isn't that hard. Russia was wrong to invade Ukraine.

NATO contributed a great deal to creating the conditions which made this war inevitable, by design, with the goal of creating another Afghanistan-like situation for Russia in its western underbelly, in order to weaken Russia, using Ukraine.

Of course the narrative that will be sold to the public is framed in a simplistic good vs bad, big vs small, crazy dictator that can't help but invade his neighbors.

That much is clear if you care to do a bit of research on the subject, you will see that this plan is clearly outlined in works like Brzezinski's Grand Chessboard, or in a recent Rand whitepaper on EE policy, or jf you just listen to a 5min presentations from foremost policy analysts like Mearsheimer, Sachs or Chomsky.

"We must condemn those who wage war, but even more so, those that make it inevitable"
Montesquieu

So Putin was manipulated into doing exactly what NATO wanted him to do, despite it not being in the best interests of Russia?

Why did he play along with it?
In spite of Brezinski predicting it in 1988.
And NATO - surely aware of Brezinski's work - opted to implement said policy over the next 23 years, culminating (finally) in Putin succumbing to their wily plan. Makes perfect sense.
sycasey
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dimitrig said:

Cal88 said:

tequila4kapp said:

Cal88 said:

That border "was just a concept" in the 19th century, when the US acquired all of the southwest from Mexico.

The basic borders have been set in north America for two centuries now, so the concept of immutable borders is very much anchored in the American perspective.

That however did not apply to countries like Yugoslavia, Kosovo, Sudan, Iraq, Libya or Syria which were recently formally or de facto partitioned through US/NATO military intervention.

In eastern Europe, the borders have constantly shifted in the last several centuries. Cities like Lviv changed hands several times, often violently so with populations being ethnically cleansed. You have national affiliations that do not follow the borders. In France and Spain for example, a native of Bayonne will more readily identify with one from Bilbao than from Paris or Marseille, the Basque national identity prevailing, and predating the formation of France or Spain as nations.



This is a concept that is very common in the old world, particularly in Africa, but also in Europe, and the Donbass and Crimea are prime examples. A lot of these issues were addressed in the post-war "Wilsonian" redrawing of the central and eastern European maps, but many issues were still left unresolved.
Do you realize that you are saying means malleable borders all future wars in that region are justified? Lines on a map aren't to be restricted so hostility toward others in the pursuit of land grabs is okay. Your recitation of history may be right but the conclusion you wish to draw form it is pure hogwash. Civilized nations seek to resolve disputes peacefully; use of force should be a last resort. Truly, this just isn't that hard. Russia was wrong to invade Ukraine.

NATO contributed a great deal to creating the conditions which made this war inevitable, by design, with the goal of creating another Afghanistan-like situation for Russia in its western underbelly, in order to weaken Russia, using Ukraine.

Of course the narrative that will be sold to the public is framed in a simplistic good vs bad, big vs small, crazy dictator that can't help but invade his neighbors.

That much is clear if you care to do a bit of research on the subject, you will see that this plan is clearly outlined in works like Brzezinski's Grand Chessboard, or in a recent Rand whitepaper on EE policy, or jf you just listen to a 5min presentations from foremost policy analysts like Mearsheimer, Sachs or Chomsky.

"We must condemn those who wage war, but even more so, those that make it inevitable"
Montesquieu

So Putin was manipulated into doing exactly what NATO wanted him to do, despite it not being in the best interests of Russia?

Why did he play along with it?
Everything in this war is going exactly as Russia's leaders planned it.

But also, they totally got duped into it by NATO.
calbear93
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Cal88 said:





That much is clear if you care to do a bit of research on the subject, you will see that this plan is clearly outlined in works like Brzezinski's Grand Chessboard, or in a recent Rand whitepaper on EE policy, or jf you just listen to a 5min presentations from foremost policy analysts like Mearsheimer, Sachs or Chomsky.

I think if you play Ozzy Osbourne's record backwards, you can also find Ozzy whispering that plan as well.
Cal88
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tequila4kapp said:

dimitrig said:

Cal88 said:

tequila4kapp said:

Cal88 said:

That border "was just a concept" in the 19th century, when the US acquired all of the southwest from Mexico.

The basic borders have been set in north America for two centuries now, so the concept of immutable borders is very much anchored in the American perspective.

That however did not apply to countries like Yugoslavia, Kosovo, Sudan, Iraq, Libya or Syria which were recently formally or de facto partitioned through US/NATO military intervention.

In eastern Europe, the borders have constantly shifted in the last several centuries. Cities like Lviv changed hands several times, often violently so with populations being ethnically cleansed. You have national affiliations that do not follow the borders. In France and Spain for example, a native of Bayonne will more readily identify with one from Bilbao than from Paris or Marseille, the Basque national identity prevailing, and predating the formation of France or Spain as nations.



This is a concept that is very common in the old world, particularly in Africa, but also in Europe, and the Donbass and Crimea are prime examples. A lot of these issues were addressed in the post-war "Wilsonian" redrawing of the central and eastern European maps, but many issues were still left unresolved.
Do you realize that you are saying means malleable borders all future wars in that region are justified? Lines on a map aren't to be restricted so hostility toward others in the pursuit of land grabs is okay. Your recitation of history may be right but the conclusion you wish to draw form it is pure hogwash. Civilized nations seek to resolve disputes peacefully; use of force should be a last resort. Truly, this just isn't that hard. Russia was wrong to invade Ukraine.

NATO contributed a great deal to creating the conditions which made this war inevitable, by design, with the goal of creating another Afghanistan-like situation for Russia in its western underbelly, in order to weaken Russia, using Ukraine.

Of course the narrative that will be sold to the public is framed in a simplistic good vs bad, big vs small, crazy dictator that can't help but invade his neighbors.

That much is clear if you care to do a bit of research on the subject, you will see that this plan is clearly outlined in works like Brzezinski's Grand Chessboard, or in a recent Rand whitepaper on EE policy, or jf you just listen to a 5min presentations from foremost policy analysts like Mearsheimer, Sachs or Chomsky.

"We must condemn those who wage war, but even more so, those that make it inevitable"
Montesquieu

So Putin was manipulated into doing exactly what NATO wanted him to do, despite it not being in the best interests of Russia?

Why did he play along with it?
In spite of Brezinski predicting it in 1988.
And NATO - surely aware of Brezinski's work - opted to implement said policy over the next 23 years, culminating (finally) in Putin succumbing to their wily plan. Makes perfect sense.

1997 actually, well after the dissolution of the USSR, when Russia was at its military, economic and political nadir.

A decade later Dick Cheney also called for the dismemberment/partition of Russia. US foreign policy since then has been in a straight neoconservative pursuit, across all administrations from Dubya on, with somewhat of a small pause under Trump, though his administration with people like Bolton and Pompeo was full on on board with the neocon vision.

What you perceive as "out there" or obtuse is straight up geopolitics and realpolitik, as presented by analysts like Mearsheimer, as opposed to the Star Wars Hollywood narrative with Palputin vs Luke Zelensky.
calbear93
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Cal88 said:

tequila4kapp said:

dimitrig said:

Cal88 said:

tequila4kapp said:

Cal88 said:

That border "was just a concept" in the 19th century, when the US acquired all of the southwest from Mexico.

The basic borders have been set in north America for two centuries now, so the concept of immutable borders is very much anchored in the American perspective.

That however did not apply to countries like Yugoslavia, Kosovo, Sudan, Iraq, Libya or Syria which were recently formally or de facto partitioned through US/NATO military intervention.

In eastern Europe, the borders have constantly shifted in the last several centuries. Cities like Lviv changed hands several times, often violently so with populations being ethnically cleansed. You have national affiliations that do not follow the borders. In France and Spain for example, a native of Bayonne will more readily identify with one from Bilbao than from Paris or Marseille, the Basque national identity prevailing, and predating the formation of France or Spain as nations.



This is a concept that is very common in the old world, particularly in Africa, but also in Europe, and the Donbass and Crimea are prime examples. A lot of these issues were addressed in the post-war "Wilsonian" redrawing of the central and eastern European maps, but many issues were still left unresolved.
Do you realize that you are saying means malleable borders all future wars in that region are justified? Lines on a map aren't to be restricted so hostility toward others in the pursuit of land grabs is okay. Your recitation of history may be right but the conclusion you wish to draw form it is pure hogwash. Civilized nations seek to resolve disputes peacefully; use of force should be a last resort. Truly, this just isn't that hard. Russia was wrong to invade Ukraine.

NATO contributed a great deal to creating the conditions which made this war inevitable, by design, with the goal of creating another Afghanistan-like situation for Russia in its western underbelly, in order to weaken Russia, using Ukraine.

Of course the narrative that will be sold to the public is framed in a simplistic good vs bad, big vs small, crazy dictator that can't help but invade his neighbors.

That much is clear if you care to do a bit of research on the subject, you will see that this plan is clearly outlined in works like Brzezinski's Grand Chessboard, or in a recent Rand whitepaper on EE policy, or jf you just listen to a 5min presentations from foremost policy analysts like Mearsheimer, Sachs or Chomsky.

"We must condemn those who wage war, but even more so, those that make it inevitable"
Montesquieu

So Putin was manipulated into doing exactly what NATO wanted him to do, despite it not being in the best interests of Russia?

Why did he play along with it?
In spite of Brezinski predicting it in 1988.
And NATO - surely aware of Brezinski's work - opted to implement said policy over the next 23 years, culminating (finally) in Putin succumbing to their wily plan. Makes perfect sense.

1997 actually, well after the dissolution of the USSR, when Russia was at its military, economic and political nadir.

A decade later Dick Cheney also called for the dismemberment/partition of Russia. US foreign policy since then has been in a straight neoconservative pursuit, across all administrations from Dubya on, with somewhat of a small pause under Trump, though his administration with people like Bolton and Pompeo was full on on board with the neocon vision.

What you perceive as "out there" or obtuse is straight up geopolitics and realpolitik, as presented by analysts like Mearsheimer, as opposed to the Star Wars Hollywood narrative with Palputin vs Luke Zelensky.
I think we need to separate our foot faults from Putin's separate and overriding desire to rebuild the USSR.

Putin viewed Gorbachev as a failure and has always believed that USSR should have remained as a world power.

We allowed that narrative to flourish when NATO bombed Yugoslavia, namely Serbia that was a close ally of Russia. We exerted our might and ignored borders to bomb another country, most likely against international laws.

That made Russia feel powerless and fear what continued growth of Western might would mean for Russia's future and legacy.

I can recognize the error in NATO's actions in Yugoslavia, even if the ethnic war was horrific, without excusing Russia's actions in Ukraine. NATO did not take over areas of Yugoslavia, target civilians, or take military actions during a time of peace. And it was 25 years ago.
sycasey
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calbear93 said:

Cal88 said:

tequila4kapp said:

dimitrig said:

Cal88 said:

tequila4kapp said:

Cal88 said:

That border "was just a concept" in the 19th century, when the US acquired all of the southwest from Mexico.

The basic borders have been set in north America for two centuries now, so the concept of immutable borders is very much anchored in the American perspective.

That however did not apply to countries like Yugoslavia, Kosovo, Sudan, Iraq, Libya or Syria which were recently formally or de facto partitioned through US/NATO military intervention.

In eastern Europe, the borders have constantly shifted in the last several centuries. Cities like Lviv changed hands several times, often violently so with populations being ethnically cleansed. You have national affiliations that do not follow the borders. In France and Spain for example, a native of Bayonne will more readily identify with one from Bilbao than from Paris or Marseille, the Basque national identity prevailing, and predating the formation of France or Spain as nations.



This is a concept that is very common in the old world, particularly in Africa, but also in Europe, and the Donbass and Crimea are prime examples. A lot of these issues were addressed in the post-war "Wilsonian" redrawing of the central and eastern European maps, but many issues were still left unresolved.
Do you realize that you are saying means malleable borders all future wars in that region are justified? Lines on a map aren't to be restricted so hostility toward others in the pursuit of land grabs is okay. Your recitation of history may be right but the conclusion you wish to draw form it is pure hogwash. Civilized nations seek to resolve disputes peacefully; use of force should be a last resort. Truly, this just isn't that hard. Russia was wrong to invade Ukraine.

NATO contributed a great deal to creating the conditions which made this war inevitable, by design, with the goal of creating another Afghanistan-like situation for Russia in its western underbelly, in order to weaken Russia, using Ukraine.

Of course the narrative that will be sold to the public is framed in a simplistic good vs bad, big vs small, crazy dictator that can't help but invade his neighbors.

That much is clear if you care to do a bit of research on the subject, you will see that this plan is clearly outlined in works like Brzezinski's Grand Chessboard, or in a recent Rand whitepaper on EE policy, or jf you just listen to a 5min presentations from foremost policy analysts like Mearsheimer, Sachs or Chomsky.

"We must condemn those who wage war, but even more so, those that make it inevitable"
Montesquieu

So Putin was manipulated into doing exactly what NATO wanted him to do, despite it not being in the best interests of Russia?

Why did he play along with it?
In spite of Brezinski predicting it in 1988.
And NATO - surely aware of Brezinski's work - opted to implement said policy over the next 23 years, culminating (finally) in Putin succumbing to their wily plan. Makes perfect sense.

1997 actually, well after the dissolution of the USSR, when Russia was at its military, economic and political nadir.

A decade later Dick Cheney also called for the dismemberment/partition of Russia. US foreign policy since then has been in a straight neoconservative pursuit, across all administrations from Dubya on, with somewhat of a small pause under Trump, though his administration with people like Bolton and Pompeo was full on on board with the neocon vision.

What you perceive as "out there" or obtuse is straight up geopolitics and realpolitik, as presented by analysts like Mearsheimer, as opposed to the Star Wars Hollywood narrative with Palputin vs Luke Zelensky.
I think we need to separate our foot faults from Putin's separate and overriding desire to rebuild the USSR.

Putin viewed Gorbachev as a failure and has always believed that USSR should have remained as a world power.

We allowed that narrative to flourish when NATO bombed Yugoslavia, namely Serbia that was a close ally of Russia. We exerted our might and ignored borders to bomb another country, most likely against international laws.

That made Russia feel powerless and fear what continued growth of Western might would mean for Russia's future and legacy.

I can recognize the error in NATO's actions in Yugoslavia, even if the ethnic war was horrific, without excusing Russia's actions in Ukraine. NATO did not take over areas of Yugoslavia, target civilians, or take military actions during a time of peace. And it was 25 years ago.

So much of the argument here boils down to something like "NATO slapped Russia's friend in the face 20 years ago, therefore Russia was justified in pulling out an automatic rifle and shooting up a post office."
Cal88
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dimitrig said:

Cal88 said:



NATO contributed a great deal to creating the conditions which made this war inevitable, by design, with the goal of creating another Afghanistan-like situation for Russia in its western underbelly, in order to weaken Russia, using Ukraine.

Of course the narrative that will be sold to the public is framed in a simplistic good vs bad, big vs small, crazy dictator that can't help but invade his neighbors.

That much is clear if you care to do a bit of research on the subject, you will see that this plan is clearly outlined in works like Brzezinski's Grand Chessboard, or in a recent Rand whitepaper on EE policy, or jf you just listen to a 5min presentations from foremost policy analysts like Mearsheimer, Sachs or Chomsky.

"We must condemn those who wage war, but even more so, those that make it inevitable"
Montesquieu

So Putin was manipulated into doing exactly what NATO wanted him to do, despite it not being in the best interests of Russia?

Why did he play along with it?

Quote:

Everything in this war is going exactly as Russia's leaders planned it.

But also, they totally got duped into it by NATO.

The alternative of not going to war with Ukraine for Russia would have been to have Crimea militarily reconquered by Ukraine, among other bad outcomes for them, a huge, unacceptable political disaster from their perspective. Crimea would have been hard to defend without the Donbass/Sea of Azov land bridge. Also Crimea and the Donbass are not Afghanistan, they are populated by ethnic Russians, and Crimea is vital to them as a warm water port, so they were always going to step up to defend it.

Still, Russia's commitment in this war has so far been somewhat restrained, "Special Military Operation", as opposed to full-on war, mass mobilization and wartime economy mode, because they are aware of the political risks of going all in.

So far Russia has withstood the economic consequences with surprising ease, NATO's expectations of the Russian economy collapsing from their "shock and awe" series of sanctions hasn't materialized. in fact Russia might be the strongest economy in Europe right now in terms of inflation, unemployment, energy/input costs and debt position. Russia is also winning the diplomatic war, outside of the West + 5 Eyes + Japan/SK, doing well in the rest of the world with key players like China, India, Brazil, Turkey, Saudi etc ramping up Russian trade. Their trade with all these countries cited is now at an all time high.

Militarily, despite all the noise in the MSM, Russia is also winning the war of attrition, though their progress on paper is slow. The main aspect here, the body count and military hardware inventory, which heavily favor Russia, has been kept hidden both from the general public and from Ukraine itself. The complete takeover of Bakhmut next week might start to impact and tilt the PR war.
Cal88
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calbear93 said:



I think we need to separate our foot faults from Putin's separate and overriding desire to rebuild the USSR.

Putin viewed Gorbachev as a failure and has always believed that USSR should have remained as a world power.

We allowed that narrative to flourish when NATO bombed Yugoslavia, namely Serbia that was a close ally of Russia. We exerted our might and ignored borders to bomb another country, most likely against international laws.

That made Russia feel powerless and fear what continued growth of Western might would mean for Russia's future and legacy.

Putin doesn't want to rebuilt the USSR, he's perfectly happy with the important former soviet states being at the very least neutral. Russia doesn't have a pressing need for lebensraum, it's a gigantic underpopulated country that already is the richest in the world by a wide margin in terms of natural resources.

What Russia and Putin fear most of all is a return of the 1990s, which were catastrophic for that country, a decade with a failed state, 40% of the population below the poverty line, rampant crime, alcoholism, inflation and a general state of abject misery and societal collapse. During that time, Putin moonlighted as a cab driver in St Petersburg because his KGB officer salary got devalued.

That was basically a time when western-backed oligarchs stripped the country of its assets and parked its capital in London, NY, Monaco etc. Those were the good times, for Nuland, McFaul, Summers et al, who dream of another run at the Russian open buffet, the plan being regime change and ultimately the partitioning/dismemberment of Russia.



Quote:

I can recognize the error in NATO's actions in Yugoslavia, even if the ethnic war was horrific, without excusing Russia's actions in Ukraine. NATO did not take over areas of Yugoslavia, target civilians, or take military actions during a time of peace. And it was 25 years ago.

The bombing of Serbia was fairly ruthless, months on end, with extensive use of depleted uranium. That was 25 years ago, but Libya was only a few years ago and is still a mess, and 1/3 of Syria is still being occupied and its oil stolen.
Unit2Sucks
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Russian shills have been reporting low grade Russian propaganda for days now pretending that Russia destroyed Ukraine's patriot system. Some even claimed they destroyed 5 of the 4 systems UFA has! Obviously they aren't burdened in the slightest by reality.



Meanwhile in reality one system appears to have been slightly damaged by falling debris but remains operational.

After years of propaganda about those hypersonic misses, our decades old Patriot tech, used by barely trained UFA forces, were easily able to take them out.

This is why there is no point engaging with Putin shills. They will continue to shamelessly promote the firehose of falsehoods without consequence.


Cal88
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^ The stakes are high here, we are talking tens of billions, possibly hundreds, in Patriot system contracts for Raytheon in Europe, the Middle East and Pacific Rim, so the narrative of the Patriot system that couldn't stop homemade drones and subsonic missiles over Saudi Arabia in 2018-20 now has become an invincible weapon system, dropping Russian mach 7 hypersonic missiles like flies...

Here's the firehose of falsehoods/low-grade Russian propaganda roundup from the Russian shills at Foreign Policy magazine, NBC News and Irwin Kristol's Center of National Interest:

Patriot Missiles Are Made in America and Fail Everywhere
The evidence is in: the missile defense system that the United States and its allies rely on is a lemon.

https://foreignpolicy.com/2018/03/28/patriot-missiles-are-made-in-america-and-fail-everywhere/

Why U.S. Patriot missiles failed to stop drones and cruise missiles attacking Saudi oil sites
https://www.nbcnews.com/think/opinion/trump-sending-troops-saudi-arabia-shows-short-range-air-defenses-ncna1057461

Why Did American Patriot Missiles Fail To Stop the Houthi's Attacks?
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/reboot/why-did-american-patriot-missiles-fail-stop-houthis-attacks-197764
Quote:

But one thing is clear. The attack revealed the limits of Saudi Arabia's seemingly sophisticated Patriot air-defense system. Riyadh in recent years has spent billions of dollars building up six battalions of U.S.-made Patriot surface-to-air missiles and associated radars. The Patriots didn't stop the recent attack.

And it wasn't the first time Saudi Arabia's Patriots have failed. At least five Patriots apparently missed, malfunctioned or otherwise failed when Saudi forces tried to intercept a barrage of rockets targeting Riyadh on March 25, 2018.

Houthi forces fired at least seven rockets at Saudi Arabia that night. The Saudi military launched Patriot Advanced Capability-2 missiles in an attempt to destroy the Houthi rockets in mid-air. The Saudis claimed seven of the Patriots struck their targets.

One man reportedly died after being struck by metal fragments. It's unclear whether the fragments came from a malfunctioning Patriot, a successful intercept or a Houthi rockets striking the ground.

But amateur videos that appeared online in the aftermath of the missile skirmish indicate that many of the Patriots exploded in mid-air or veered off course. The errant missiles invoked memories of similar failures involving American-operated Patriots during the 1991 Gulf War and the 2003 invasion of Iraq.

"It's nothing but an unbroken trail of disasters with this weapon system," said Theodore Postol, an MIT physicist and prominent critic of U.S. missile defenses.

Riyadh seems to realize it needs better missile defenses. "Saudi Arabia has been in talks to acquire the same S-400 advanced air-defense system that Turkey recently bought from Russia," Marc Champion wrote for Bloomberg.
Quote:

The Russian weapon, though little tested in combat, has technical advantages over U.S. Patriots. It has a range of 400 kilometers (250 miles), versus the Patriot's 160 kilometers, can destroy targets moving twice as fast and can be mounted for action in five minutes, compared with an hour for a Patriot battery. ...


US-Made Missile Defenses Spectacularly Failed in Saudi Arabia

"It's nothing but an unbroken trail of disasters with this weapon system."
https://www.vice.com/en/article/8xkgw4/patriot-missile-saudi-arabia-yemen

Quote:

The Saudi military launched Patriot Advanced Capability-2 missiles in an attempt to destroy the Houthi rockets in mid-air. The Saudis claimed seven of the Patriots struck their targets.

One man reportedly died after being struck by metal fragments. It's unclear whether the fragments came from a malfunctioning Patriot, a successful intercept or a Houthi rockets striking the ground.

Amateur videos that appeared online in the aftermath of the missile skirmish indicate that many of the Patriotswhich are manufactured by US firm Raytheonexploded in mid-air or veered off course.

The same thing happened during the 1991 Gulf War, said Postol, a former Pentagon science advisor. "It seems in 25 years they haven't fixed it."

The Patriot flies a straight trajectory for the first four seconds after launch, during which time the missile accelerates past the sound barrier. The missile has a habit of malfunctioning during those initial seconds in the air. Of the apparent five separate Patriot launches that appear in videos from Riydah, two seem to have ended in premature explosions during the acceleration phase, Postol pointed out.

After four seconds in the air, a Patriot begins maneuvering and searching for a signal from the ground-based radar that helps to guide it. Three of the Saudi Patriots appear to have malfunctioned during this phase of flight. "They suddenly went downward and exploded," Postol said.

The failures over Saudi Arabia last weekend could point to a design flaw that critics such as Postol have been trying for decades to fix. "In the Gulf War of 1991, we definitely saw Patriots take off, turn around and dive to ground in both Saudi Arabia and in Israel," Postol told me.

"When we reported what we saw in videos from Israel, Raytheon claimed this only occured in Israel because the Israelis didn't know what they were doing. Then we uncovered videos of the missiles doing the same thing in Saudi Arabia."




The stakes are also high here because if the Patriots continue to fail, it will preempt NATO from escalating into sending F-16s, which would be sitting ducks on the runways of Ukraine without proper AA protection.
Cal88
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The Battle of Bakhmut is nearly over, 99% of the city is under Wagner control. Ukraine has made some significant gains on the outskirts of the city at a very high cost to their personnel, allowing a more orderly withdrawal of remaining forces. Even if those are still under Russian fire, they've averted a more disastrous scenario where their remaining few thousand troops in the city proper could have been completely surrounded.





Holding on to the city and pouring massive resources into gaining ground on the outskirts has mobilized and used up part of the military resources that would have been used in their Spring/Summer offensive. Reportedly, there is a rift between the Ukrainian military leader Zaluzhny and the #2 Syrsky who has led Ukrainian forces in and around Bakhmut, with the former wanting to write off that city and move on, and the latter wanting to throw more of his men into the Bakhmut fire pit. Last week was one of the bloodiest in the entire war for Ukraine, with 4-digit daily losses.

Unit2Sucks
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Today's morning update.

Bakhmut still a mess for Russia. Their propaganda is now focused on micro-progress - even mentioning every building they clear. There is still of course lots of finger-pointing between Wagner and the military for this debacle and Russian information channels are flabbergasted at the maneuvers the UFA can pull off. UFA is focused on flanking the territory while Wagner is making progress in the center.





Russia's most sophisticated efforts seem to be in how it prevents Russians from understanding the actual costs of the war because Putin knows if he loses the support his propaganda generates, he's finished.

ChrisO has two related threads - the first is on how poor Russia's field medicine is and the second is about a secret hospital in Moscow used by Wagner.



[lots more to this thread for anyone who wants to dig in]




Something to keep in mind in case you are starting to believe shills who pretend Russia is reasonable and is interested in "negotiating" peace. Putin won't stop until all of Ukraine is destroyed since he doesn't believe it has any right to exist and never did.



Bonus tweet - I guess now that we've seen how ineffective the overhyped Kinzhals were in attacking Kyiv, it could explain why several of their developers were arrested for treason over the past year. I doubt Putin has room in prison to scapegoat everyone involved in the debacle he's created in Ukraine.





Cal88
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Unit2Sucks said:

Today's morning update.

Bakhmut still a mess for Russia. Their propaganda is now focused on micro-progress - even mentioning every building they clear. There is still of course lots of finger-pointing between Wagner and the military for this debacle and Russian information channels are flabbergasted at the maneuvers the UFA can pull off. UFA is focused on flanking the territory while Wagner is making progress in the center.



blah blah blah

The tentative at spin here has become painfully contrived...

The reason they have focused on these individual building blocks, named Domino, is that they are the last row of buildings in the city of Bakhmut, 99% of which is now under Russian control!

I see that none of your dubious sources have addressed or denied that basic fact, they are just saying that the Russians' progress has been too slow, ignoring the fact that clearing out large concrete apartment block complexes one by one is not something that can be done overnight.





The rest of the post is filler, talks about Russian casualties without ever noticing that Ukrainian losses are much higher, and the facilities to treat their wounded are lacking. But most of all the Ukrainians are not treating or retrieving their wounded, which has resulted in an unusually high percentage of KIA to wounded.

Cal88
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Latest update from col. MacGregor: 1,600 Ukrainian KIA in the last 24hrs, and over 300,000 Ukrainian soldiers KIAs to date.



I guess this debate has unfortunately turned very partisan, but I wish people could step back and try to find out what is really going on there. If they did, they would understand that a cease fire and negotiations towards a final settlement is the only way out if you truly care about Ukraine.

You need to watch this video above.
sycasey
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Cal88 said:

I guess this debate has unfortunately turned very partisan,
It's one of the more remarkably non-partisan topics we've had in Off Topic. Conservatives and liberals alike coming together to tell you why you're wrong.
Cal88
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sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

I guess this debate has unfortunately turned very partisan,
It's one of the more remarkably non-partisan topics we've had in Off Topic. Conservatives and liberals alike coming together to tell you why you're wrong.

Liz Cheney conservatives and Clinton liberals.

The other point, more importantly, is that the majority of people have a very distorted picture of what is actually going on in Ukraine now, and for the last decade. If people knew, we would be on the same page.
bearister
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"In October 2011, during the Arab Spring revolutions, Putin spent hours watching the gruesome smartphone footage of longterm Russian ally, Colonel Gadaffi, who was sodomized with a bayonet before being shot."

Why Putin Is Right to Fear for His Life | Time


https://time.com/6280869/vladimir-putin-russia-assassination/

*Putin will do whatever it takes to place Koko the Monkey and his F Troop at the helm of USS America in 2024. His very existence depends on it. I'm confident he can pull it off.
Cancel my subscription to the Resurrection
Send my credentials to the House of Detention
I got some friends inside
golden sloth
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Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

I guess this debate has unfortunately turned very partisan,
It's one of the more remarkably non-partisan topics we've had in Off Topic. Conservatives and liberals alike coming together to tell you why you're wrong.

Liz Cheney conservatives and Clinton liberals.

The other point, more importantly, is that the majority of people have a very distorted picture of what is actually going on in Ukraine now, and for the last decade. If people knew, we would be on the same page.


Translation: if everyone just thought like me they'd agree.

And no, the reason why nobody agrees with you is because you have a distorted picture of what is going on, which is why you are nearly always wrong.
BearHunter
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sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

I guess this debate has unfortunately turned very partisan,
It's one of the more remarkably non-partisan topics we've had in Off Topic. Conservatives and liberals alike coming together to tell you why you're wrong.
There were two conservatives on this board and they were kicked out by the left wing mob.
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