Debt-Ceiling Standoff

19,772 Views | 221 Replies | Last: 2 yr ago by Eastern Oregon Bear
DiabloWags
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Talks broke off on Friday.

Sounds like they are world's apart and there are no plans to schedule meeting up again this weekend.

Not good.

Debt-Ceiling Talks Head Into Weekend https://www.wsj.com/articles/debt-ceiling-talks-head-into-weekend-with-spending-cuts-in-focus-7850afef
"Cults don't end well. They really don't."
Unit2Sucks
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I think there is a pretty good chance that no deal happens. Maybe I'm just over-indexing on the fact that both sides know the alternative is to just ignore the debt ceiling (which also happens to be the best answer for this country).

Here's a good article talking about how ridiculous this entire charade is.

Quote:

But if he can't use bond sales to balance the equation, then how is he supposed to balance it?

As discussed already, he can't refuse to do spending that Congress has directed him to do. He also can't unilaterally raise taxes or sell off public assets like the USPS or federal lands. The return on federal assets is not something that you can just dial up through executive fiat as it depends on market conditions. Lastly, the right to engage in seigniorage (i.e. money creation) is something that the Federal Reserve has, but not something the Treasury is generally regarded as having.

So, if you approach this issue conventionally, you are forced to conclude that, when the debt limit is hit, it is literally impossible for the president to follow the law, that Congress has essentially passed a set of laws that direct the president to do X and not-X at the same time.

All of the unconventional approaches to this conundrum work by finding authority for the president to do one of the financing activities that he appears to not be allowed to do. So far, this search for authority has primarily focused on the last two financing streams in the equation above: seigniorage and bond sales.
If the fake debt ceiling isn't lifted by congress, does Biden really have any choice?


LudwigsFountain
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DiabloWags said:

wifeisafurd said:


You are absolutely wrong and uninformed, unless there is a conspiracy to show costs paid by the supplemental insurer and not medicare in the monthly statements I get from both medicare and AARP. Do you have any evidence why medicare and the carrier, who operates solely based on premiums not taxpayer money, would choose this cost allocation? Do you even understand the purpose of supplemental insurance?

Let's start again, the providers of my surgery, hospital, doctors, labs, etc. sent bills adding up to over a $1 million. Medicare chopped the bills down and made payments to about a remainder of $200K. Supplemental insurance then made a further cut down based on its contracts with the providers, and paid the rest, other than around $2K, which I had to pay.

You clearly have no idea how the medicare system works.

He clearly doesnt know how it works.

Anyone that has had the slightest bit of experience with medical billing knows that he's clearly wrong and doesnt know what he's talking about.



As a retired hospital CFO I feel compelled to weigh in.

Medicare supplements pay for the deductibles and coinsurance amounts that Medicare imposes. In my experience they have no impact on the amount Medicare pays. In simple terms, Medicare pays a prescribed amount for the service less any deductible and coinsurance amounts that apply. If you have supplemental coverage it pays for the deductibles and coinsurance. If not you do.

This for basic Medicare. Medicare Advantage (Kaiser for example) is different. In these plans, the monthly Part B premium you pay to the government (usually withheld from your Social Security benefit) goes to the plan. The benefits, restrictions and out of pocket costs vary by plan.
DiabloWags
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I think that there isnt just a lot of pressure on Kevin McCarthy, but Hakeem Jeffries the House Minority Leader, as well.

Democratic support will be crucial to the bill's success, because a number of conservatives say they wont vote for anything less than the House GOP bill.

So the majority of votes to pass this in the House is going to have to come from the Democratic side.
That means that Hakeem Jeffries will be critical when it comes to negotiating some kind of "compromise" with progressives that dont want to see any spending cuts.

Social Security, Medicare, SNAP at Risk As Soon As 10 Days: Analysis (businessinsider.com)

"Cults don't end well. They really don't."
Goldener Bar
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Let's see who on this forum can accurately explain what's wrong with Kevin McCarthy's second sentence here.


dajo9
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Biden has already lost. By engaging in negotiations and showing a willingness to be blackmailed by Republicans, his endeavor here is already a failure - just like Obama before him. Biden should have used the trillion dollar coin to end this situation months ago and made it a non-issue. Now that he has put Republicans in control, it's just a matter of how far Biden retreats to the detriment of the economy.
calbear93
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dajo9 said:

Biden has already lost. By engaging in negotiations and showing a willingness to be blackmailed by Republicans, his endeavor here is already a failure - just like Obama before him. Biden should have used the trillion dollar coin to end this situation months ago and made it a non-issue. Now that he has put Republicans in control, it's just a matter of how far Biden retreats to the detriment of the economy.
Using a trillion dollar coin would have been held up in court for so long that it would not have mattered. It would be a question of who has the legal authority to tax and spend, and the Supreme Court would not have resolved this in time.

And Biden not engaging would have been derelict in duty. That would be no better than play chicken with the livelihood of all Americans like the Freedom Caucus is doing. He might as well resign if that would have been his position as the top leader in America. No, he needs to engage and try to deliver for America in the face of economic terrorist in the Republican party and compromise so that enough sane folks in Congress can get to yes.
Unit2Sucks
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calbear93 said:

dajo9 said:

Biden has already lost. By engaging in negotiations and showing a willingness to be blackmailed by Republicans, his endeavor here is already a failure - just like Obama before him. Biden should have used the trillion dollar coin to end this situation months ago and made it a non-issue. Now that he has put Republicans in control, it's just a matter of how far Biden retreats to the detriment of the economy.
Using a trillion dollar coin would have been held up in court for so long that it would not have mattered. It would be a question of who has the legal authority to tax and spend, and the Supreme Court would not have resolved this in time.

And Biden not engaging would have been derelict in duty. That would be no better than play chicken with the livelihood of all Americans like the Freedom Caucus is doing. He might as well resign if that would have been his position as the top leader in America. No, he needs to engage and try to deliver for America in the face of economic terrorist in the Republican party and compromise so that enough sane folks in Congress can get to yes.
I agree that Biden has lost the messaging war. He's letting McCarthy beat the drum for his counter-factual narrative. Trump increased spending every year in office (much of it related to the pandemic, but he spent more every year even excluding COVID) and the GOP passed a 2017 tax cut which is adding trillions to the debt.

As we roll out of the pandemic, we've seen government spending reduce each year but the additional debt from the 2017 tax cuts still have an impact.

Biden never should have allowed this to develop. I believe that the democratic leadership thought that this would be a winning issue for the democrats but they screwed it up and it's just bad for everyone. Biden should step up now, announce that the US won't default and take McCarthy's power away. This negotiation is a sham - if the GOP wants to change the laws, they should go through the normal process, they shouldn't hold us all hostage so that they can get a pointless win.
calbear93
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Unit2Sucks said:

calbear93 said:

dajo9 said:

Biden has already lost. By engaging in negotiations and showing a willingness to be blackmailed by Republicans, his endeavor here is already a failure - just like Obama before him. Biden should have used the trillion dollar coin to end this situation months ago and made it a non-issue. Now that he has put Republicans in control, it's just a matter of how far Biden retreats to the detriment of the economy.
Using a trillion dollar coin would have been held up in court for so long that it would not have mattered. It would be a question of who has the legal authority to tax and spend, and the Supreme Court would not have resolved this in time.

And Biden not engaging would have been derelict in duty. That would be no better than play chicken with the livelihood of all Americans like the Freedom Caucus is doing. He might as well resign if that would have been his position as the top leader in America. No, he needs to engage and try to deliver for America in the face of economic terrorist in the Republican party and compromise so that enough sane folks in Congress can get to yes.
I agree that Biden has lost the messaging war. He's letting McCarthy beat the drum for his counter-factual narrative. Trump increased spending every year in office (much of it related to the pandemic, but he spent more every year even excluding COVID) and the GOP passed a 2017 tax cut which is adding trillions to the debt.

As we roll out of the pandemic, we've seen government spending reduce each year but the additional debt from the 2017 tax cuts still have an impact.

Biden never should have allowed this to develop. I believe that the democratic leadership thought that this would be a winning issue for the democrats but they screwed it up and it's just bad for everyone. Biden should step up now, announce that the US won't default and take McCarthy's power away. This negotiation is a sham - if the GOP wants to change the laws, they should go through the normal process, they shouldn't hold us all hostage so that they can get a pointless win.
At the end of the day, I think McCarthy knows the country cannot default. But without asking for help from the Democrats, they cannot get there, and he cannot stay in power if he asks for help.

This isn't some secret. Biden needed to show some diplomacy that was his strength in the senate and as VP, but his game theory on how this will play out was just horrible, and we are days away from a catastrophic event. The morons who think defaulting will not be an issue will realize what idiots they are, Trump will claim that Biden does not know how to lead, idiots will compare the economy during Biden and during Trump and not attribute this to the terrorist act of the Freedom Caucus but instead Trump will win again, and the rest of the country will have to pay an outrageous tuition to educate the MAGA idiots.

Where was that game theory?
Unit2Sucks
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calbear93 said:

Unit2Sucks said:

calbear93 said:

dajo9 said:

Biden has already lost. By engaging in negotiations and showing a willingness to be blackmailed by Republicans, his endeavor here is already a failure - just like Obama before him. Biden should have used the trillion dollar coin to end this situation months ago and made it a non-issue. Now that he has put Republicans in control, it's just a matter of how far Biden retreats to the detriment of the economy.
Using a trillion dollar coin would have been held up in court for so long that it would not have mattered. It would be a question of who has the legal authority to tax and spend, and the Supreme Court would not have resolved this in time.

And Biden not engaging would have been derelict in duty. That would be no better than play chicken with the livelihood of all Americans like the Freedom Caucus is doing. He might as well resign if that would have been his position as the top leader in America. No, he needs to engage and try to deliver for America in the face of economic terrorist in the Republican party and compromise so that enough sane folks in Congress can get to yes.
I agree that Biden has lost the messaging war. He's letting McCarthy beat the drum for his counter-factual narrative. Trump increased spending every year in office (much of it related to the pandemic, but he spent more every year even excluding COVID) and the GOP passed a 2017 tax cut which is adding trillions to the debt.

As we roll out of the pandemic, we've seen government spending reduce each year but the additional debt from the 2017 tax cuts still have an impact.

Biden never should have allowed this to develop. I believe that the democratic leadership thought that this would be a winning issue for the democrats but they screwed it up and it's just bad for everyone. Biden should step up now, announce that the US won't default and take McCarthy's power away. This negotiation is a sham - if the GOP wants to change the laws, they should go through the normal process, they shouldn't hold us all hostage so that they can get a pointless win.
At the end of the day, I think McCarthy knows the country cannot default. But without asking for help from the Democrats, they cannot get there, and he cannot stay in power if he asks for help.

This isn't some secret. Biden needed to show some diplomacy that was his strength in the senate and as VP, but his game theory on how this will play out was just horrible, and we are days away from a catastrophic event. The morons who think defaulting will not be an issue will realize what idiots they are, Trump will claim that Biden does not know how to lead, idiots will compare the economy during Biden and during Trump and not attribute this to the terrorist act of the Freedom Caucus but instead Trump will win again, and the rest of the country will have to pay an outrageous tuition to educate the MAGA idiots.

Where was that game theory?
Can't disagree. To me the only offramp that will work is to just ignore the debt ceiling. Everything else is worse for America both short and long-term. We should never have another debt ceiling crisis and rather than convince the GOP to stop, this will only embolden them to lean more heavily into this as terrorists are wont to do.
dajo9
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calbear93 said:

dajo9 said:

Biden has already lost. By engaging in negotiations and showing a willingness to be blackmailed by Republicans, his endeavor here is already a failure - just like Obama before him. Biden should have used the trillion dollar coin to end this situation months ago and made it a non-issue. Now that he has put Republicans in control, it's just a matter of how far Biden retreats to the detriment of the economy.
Using a trillion dollar coin would have been held up in court for so long that it would not have mattered. It would be a question of who has the legal authority to tax and spend, and the Supreme Court would not have resolved this in time.

And Biden not engaging would have been derelict in duty. That would be no better than play chicken with the livelihood of all Americans like the Freedom Caucus is doing. He might as well resign if that would have been his position as the top leader in America. No, he needs to engage and try to deliver for America in the face of economic terrorist in the Republican party and compromise so that enough sane folks in Congress can get to yes.
The law is clear the Treasury can mint platinum coins. No reason for Biden to let an economic crisis take place because the Courts are discussing, or even if they object. No doubt the Courts will want time to rewrite all the legislation on this issue in accordance with their views. They probably already have something written up for them by the Federalist Society. Biden's duty is to the American people that elected him, not to preserve a tainted, corrupted, unanswerable Court.
dajo9
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Unit2Sucks said:

calbear93 said:

Unit2Sucks said:

calbear93 said:

dajo9 said:

Biden has already lost. By engaging in negotiations and showing a willingness to be blackmailed by Republicans, his endeavor here is already a failure - just like Obama before him. Biden should have used the trillion dollar coin to end this situation months ago and made it a non-issue. Now that he has put Republicans in control, it's just a matter of how far Biden retreats to the detriment of the economy.
Using a trillion dollar coin would have been held up in court for so long that it would not have mattered. It would be a question of who has the legal authority to tax and spend, and the Supreme Court would not have resolved this in time.

And Biden not engaging would have been derelict in duty. That would be no better than play chicken with the livelihood of all Americans like the Freedom Caucus is doing. He might as well resign if that would have been his position as the top leader in America. No, he needs to engage and try to deliver for America in the face of economic terrorist in the Republican party and compromise so that enough sane folks in Congress can get to yes.
I agree that Biden has lost the messaging war. He's letting McCarthy beat the drum for his counter-factual narrative. Trump increased spending every year in office (much of it related to the pandemic, but he spent more every year even excluding COVID) and the GOP passed a 2017 tax cut which is adding trillions to the debt.

As we roll out of the pandemic, we've seen government spending reduce each year but the additional debt from the 2017 tax cuts still have an impact.

Biden never should have allowed this to develop. I believe that the democratic leadership thought that this would be a winning issue for the democrats but they screwed it up and it's just bad for everyone. Biden should step up now, announce that the US won't default and take McCarthy's power away. This negotiation is a sham - if the GOP wants to change the laws, they should go through the normal process, they shouldn't hold us all hostage so that they can get a pointless win.
At the end of the day, I think McCarthy knows the country cannot default. But without asking for help from the Democrats, they cannot get there, and he cannot stay in power if he asks for help.

This isn't some secret. Biden needed to show some diplomacy that was his strength in the senate and as VP, but his game theory on how this will play out was just horrible, and we are days away from a catastrophic event. The morons who think defaulting will not be an issue will realize what idiots they are, Trump will claim that Biden does not know how to lead, idiots will compare the economy during Biden and during Trump and not attribute this to the terrorist act of the Freedom Caucus but instead Trump will win again, and the rest of the country will have to pay an outrageous tuition to educate the MAGA idiots.

Where was that game theory?
Can't disagree. To me the only offramp that will work is to just ignore the debt ceiling. Everything else is worse for America both short and long-term. We should never have another debt ceiling crisis and rather than convince the GOP to stop, this will only embolden them to lean more heavily into this as terrorists are wont to do.
This proposal to ignore the debt ceiling is far more radical than my answer to follow the law and mint a coin. But it is a better solution than the current path.
Unit2Sucks
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dajo9 said:

Unit2Sucks said:

calbear93 said:

Unit2Sucks said:

calbear93 said:

dajo9 said:

Biden has already lost. By engaging in negotiations and showing a willingness to be blackmailed by Republicans, his endeavor here is already a failure - just like Obama before him. Biden should have used the trillion dollar coin to end this situation months ago and made it a non-issue. Now that he has put Republicans in control, it's just a matter of how far Biden retreats to the detriment of the economy.
Using a trillion dollar coin would have been held up in court for so long that it would not have mattered. It would be a question of who has the legal authority to tax and spend, and the Supreme Court would not have resolved this in time.

And Biden not engaging would have been derelict in duty. That would be no better than play chicken with the livelihood of all Americans like the Freedom Caucus is doing. He might as well resign if that would have been his position as the top leader in America. No, he needs to engage and try to deliver for America in the face of economic terrorist in the Republican party and compromise so that enough sane folks in Congress can get to yes.
I agree that Biden has lost the messaging war. He's letting McCarthy beat the drum for his counter-factual narrative. Trump increased spending every year in office (much of it related to the pandemic, but he spent more every year even excluding COVID) and the GOP passed a 2017 tax cut which is adding trillions to the debt.

As we roll out of the pandemic, we've seen government spending reduce each year but the additional debt from the 2017 tax cuts still have an impact.

Biden never should have allowed this to develop. I believe that the democratic leadership thought that this would be a winning issue for the democrats but they screwed it up and it's just bad for everyone. Biden should step up now, announce that the US won't default and take McCarthy's power away. This negotiation is a sham - if the GOP wants to change the laws, they should go through the normal process, they shouldn't hold us all hostage so that they can get a pointless win.
At the end of the day, I think McCarthy knows the country cannot default. But without asking for help from the Democrats, they cannot get there, and he cannot stay in power if he asks for help.

This isn't some secret. Biden needed to show some diplomacy that was his strength in the senate and as VP, but his game theory on how this will play out was just horrible, and we are days away from a catastrophic event. The morons who think defaulting will not be an issue will realize what idiots they are, Trump will claim that Biden does not know how to lead, idiots will compare the economy during Biden and during Trump and not attribute this to the terrorist act of the Freedom Caucus but instead Trump will win again, and the rest of the country will have to pay an outrageous tuition to educate the MAGA idiots.

Where was that game theory?
Can't disagree. To me the only offramp that will work is to just ignore the debt ceiling. Everything else is worse for America both short and long-term. We should never have another debt ceiling crisis and rather than convince the GOP to stop, this will only embolden them to lean more heavily into this as terrorists are wont to do.
This proposal to ignore the debt ceiling is far more radical than my answer to follow the law and mint a coin. But it is a better solution than the current path.
My thought is that Biden tells McCarthy there won't be a negotiation and that the plan is to just blow up the debt ceiling entirely be ignoring it. When McCarthy criticizes the move (which he will), Biden can let McCarthy know that he has the power to pass a clean debt ceiling increase, like has happened dozens of times under GOP presidents. Does anyone think that if Biden ignores the debt limit that McCarthy is going to demand we default on our debt?

Biden needs to flip this around rather than allowing the GOP to continue operating as terrorists.
calbear93
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Unit2Sucks said:

dajo9 said:

Unit2Sucks said:

calbear93 said:

Unit2Sucks said:

calbear93 said:

dajo9 said:

Biden has already lost. By engaging in negotiations and showing a willingness to be blackmailed by Republicans, his endeavor here is already a failure - just like Obama before him. Biden should have used the trillion dollar coin to end this situation months ago and made it a non-issue. Now that he has put Republicans in control, it's just a matter of how far Biden retreats to the detriment of the economy.
Using a trillion dollar coin would have been held up in court for so long that it would not have mattered. It would be a question of who has the legal authority to tax and spend, and the Supreme Court would not have resolved this in time.

And Biden not engaging would have been derelict in duty. That would be no better than play chicken with the livelihood of all Americans like the Freedom Caucus is doing. He might as well resign if that would have been his position as the top leader in America. No, he needs to engage and try to deliver for America in the face of economic terrorist in the Republican party and compromise so that enough sane folks in Congress can get to yes.
I agree that Biden has lost the messaging war. He's letting McCarthy beat the drum for his counter-factual narrative. Trump increased spending every year in office (much of it related to the pandemic, but he spent more every year even excluding COVID) and the GOP passed a 2017 tax cut which is adding trillions to the debt.

As we roll out of the pandemic, we've seen government spending reduce each year but the additional debt from the 2017 tax cuts still have an impact.

Biden never should have allowed this to develop. I believe that the democratic leadership thought that this would be a winning issue for the democrats but they screwed it up and it's just bad for everyone. Biden should step up now, announce that the US won't default and take McCarthy's power away. This negotiation is a sham - if the GOP wants to change the laws, they should go through the normal process, they shouldn't hold us all hostage so that they can get a pointless win.
At the end of the day, I think McCarthy knows the country cannot default. But without asking for help from the Democrats, they cannot get there, and he cannot stay in power if he asks for help.

This isn't some secret. Biden needed to show some diplomacy that was his strength in the senate and as VP, but his game theory on how this will play out was just horrible, and we are days away from a catastrophic event. The morons who think defaulting will not be an issue will realize what idiots they are, Trump will claim that Biden does not know how to lead, idiots will compare the economy during Biden and during Trump and not attribute this to the terrorist act of the Freedom Caucus but instead Trump will win again, and the rest of the country will have to pay an outrageous tuition to educate the MAGA idiots.

Where was that game theory?
Can't disagree. To me the only offramp that will work is to just ignore the debt ceiling. Everything else is worse for America both short and long-term. We should never have another debt ceiling crisis and rather than convince the GOP to stop, this will only embolden them to lean more heavily into this as terrorists are wont to do.
This proposal to ignore the debt ceiling is far more radical than my answer to follow the law and mint a coin. But it is a better solution than the current path.
My thought is that Biden tells McCarthy there won't be a negotiation and that the plan is to just blow up the debt ceiling entirely be ignoring it. When McCarthy criticizes the move (which he will), Biden can let McCarthy know that he has the power to pass a clean debt ceiling increase, like has happened dozens of times under GOP presidents. Does anyone think that if Biden ignores the debt limit that McCarthy is going to demand we default on our debt?

Biden needs to flip this around rather than allowing the GOP to continue operating as terrorists.
I just don't see relying on the 14th amendment as a viable path. The Republicans are not going to not litigate, and I suspect an injunction would be granted since not preventing it would make the issue moot and damage to Congress permanent. It is the credibility and the credit-worthiness that would be devastating to our country while this is being litigated.

The terrorists can talk about needing to rein in expenses, but what would be our debt costs when we need to roll over our debt and people ask for more interest to compensate for the risk? How much bigger deficit would that bring about?

Deadbeats.
Cal88
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calbear93
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Cal88 said:


I suspect you think we could save even more by outsourcing our government function to Russia. We may have to pay our pro rata portion of Putin's slush fund but we can save on Congress, White House, Supreme Court expenses.
Unit2Sucks
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calbear93 said:

Unit2Sucks said:

dajo9 said:

Unit2Sucks said:

calbear93 said:

Unit2Sucks said:

calbear93 said:

dajo9 said:

Biden has already lost. By engaging in negotiations and showing a willingness to be blackmailed by Republicans, his endeavor here is already a failure - just like Obama before him. Biden should have used the trillion dollar coin to end this situation months ago and made it a non-issue. Now that he has put Republicans in control, it's just a matter of how far Biden retreats to the detriment of the economy.
Using a trillion dollar coin would have been held up in court for so long that it would not have mattered. It would be a question of who has the legal authority to tax and spend, and the Supreme Court would not have resolved this in time.

And Biden not engaging would have been derelict in duty. That would be no better than play chicken with the livelihood of all Americans like the Freedom Caucus is doing. He might as well resign if that would have been his position as the top leader in America. No, he needs to engage and try to deliver for America in the face of economic terrorist in the Republican party and compromise so that enough sane folks in Congress can get to yes.
I agree that Biden has lost the messaging war. He's letting McCarthy beat the drum for his counter-factual narrative. Trump increased spending every year in office (much of it related to the pandemic, but he spent more every year even excluding COVID) and the GOP passed a 2017 tax cut which is adding trillions to the debt.

As we roll out of the pandemic, we've seen government spending reduce each year but the additional debt from the 2017 tax cuts still have an impact.

Biden never should have allowed this to develop. I believe that the democratic leadership thought that this would be a winning issue for the democrats but they screwed it up and it's just bad for everyone. Biden should step up now, announce that the US won't default and take McCarthy's power away. This negotiation is a sham - if the GOP wants to change the laws, they should go through the normal process, they shouldn't hold us all hostage so that they can get a pointless win.
At the end of the day, I think McCarthy knows the country cannot default. But without asking for help from the Democrats, they cannot get there, and he cannot stay in power if he asks for help.

This isn't some secret. Biden needed to show some diplomacy that was his strength in the senate and as VP, but his game theory on how this will play out was just horrible, and we are days away from a catastrophic event. The morons who think defaulting will not be an issue will realize what idiots they are, Trump will claim that Biden does not know how to lead, idiots will compare the economy during Biden and during Trump and not attribute this to the terrorist act of the Freedom Caucus but instead Trump will win again, and the rest of the country will have to pay an outrageous tuition to educate the MAGA idiots.

Where was that game theory?
Can't disagree. To me the only offramp that will work is to just ignore the debt ceiling. Everything else is worse for America both short and long-term. We should never have another debt ceiling crisis and rather than convince the GOP to stop, this will only embolden them to lean more heavily into this as terrorists are wont to do.
This proposal to ignore the debt ceiling is far more radical than my answer to follow the law and mint a coin. But it is a better solution than the current path.
My thought is that Biden tells McCarthy there won't be a negotiation and that the plan is to just blow up the debt ceiling entirely be ignoring it. When McCarthy criticizes the move (which he will), Biden can let McCarthy know that he has the power to pass a clean debt ceiling increase, like has happened dozens of times under GOP presidents. Does anyone think that if Biden ignores the debt limit that McCarthy is going to demand we default on our debt?

Biden needs to flip this around rather than allowing the GOP to continue operating as terrorists.
I just don't see relying on the 14th amendment as a viable path. The Republicans are not going to not litigate, and I suspect an injunction would be granted since not preventing it would make the issue moot and damage to Congress permanent. It is the credibility and the credit-worthiness that would be devastating to our country while this is being litigated.

The terrorists can talk about needing to rein in expenses, but what would be our debt costs when we need to roll over our debt and people ask for more interest to compensate for the risk? How much bigger deficit would that bring about?

Deadbeats.
Paying our debts is the only viable path. Anything else is less good. Unless Biden takes credible steps in that direction, we are screwed.

Congress passes spending laws and the executive must execute those laws faithfully. The idea that some law in 1917 overrides subsequent spending laws doesn't make a ton of sense to me. The idea that congress passes spending laws in 2019 that can only be faithfully executed if a different congress passes a different law in 2023 doesn't make a ton of sense to me.

This should have been dealt with a long time ago, but as I have repeatedly stated, both sides played politics because they thought this was a good issue for them. While I do blame the GOP 100% for creating this problem, I blame Biden for waiting far too long to blow the whole thing up. He should have announced in December (or whenever McCarthy made his first terrorist demand) that we would no longer be pretending that the debt ceiling is binding and that his job as the executive is to faithfully execute the laws as congress has passed them which means he would continue to spend the appropriations required and that, per the US constitution, we would always pay our bills. That would have given us plenty of time to settle the markets and would have put pressure on the terrorists to pass a clean debt ceiling increase if they wanted to pretend to preserve this for a future terrorist action with another administration.

But instead, here we are. Negotiating with terrorists to the detriment of our country now and in the future.
Cal88
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calbear93 said:

Cal88 said:


I suspect you think we could save even more by outsourcing our government function to Russia. We may have to pay our pro rata portion of Putin's slush fund but we can save on Congress, White House, Supreme Court expenses.

No, but starting another trillion dollar war halfway around the world is really going to help balance the budget.
dajo9
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Unit2Sucks said:

dajo9 said:

Unit2Sucks said:

calbear93 said:

Unit2Sucks said:

calbear93 said:

dajo9 said:

Biden has already lost. By engaging in negotiations and showing a willingness to be blackmailed by Republicans, his endeavor here is already a failure - just like Obama before him. Biden should have used the trillion dollar coin to end this situation months ago and made it a non-issue. Now that he has put Republicans in control, it's just a matter of how far Biden retreats to the detriment of the economy.
Using a trillion dollar coin would have been held up in court for so long that it would not have mattered. It would be a question of who has the legal authority to tax and spend, and the Supreme Court would not have resolved this in time.

And Biden not engaging would have been derelict in duty. That would be no better than play chicken with the livelihood of all Americans like the Freedom Caucus is doing. He might as well resign if that would have been his position as the top leader in America. No, he needs to engage and try to deliver for America in the face of economic terrorist in the Republican party and compromise so that enough sane folks in Congress can get to yes.
I agree that Biden has lost the messaging war. He's letting McCarthy beat the drum for his counter-factual narrative. Trump increased spending every year in office (much of it related to the pandemic, but he spent more every year even excluding COVID) and the GOP passed a 2017 tax cut which is adding trillions to the debt.

As we roll out of the pandemic, we've seen government spending reduce each year but the additional debt from the 2017 tax cuts still have an impact.

Biden never should have allowed this to develop. I believe that the democratic leadership thought that this would be a winning issue for the democrats but they screwed it up and it's just bad for everyone. Biden should step up now, announce that the US won't default and take McCarthy's power away. This negotiation is a sham - if the GOP wants to change the laws, they should go through the normal process, they shouldn't hold us all hostage so that they can get a pointless win.
At the end of the day, I think McCarthy knows the country cannot default. But without asking for help from the Democrats, they cannot get there, and he cannot stay in power if he asks for help.

This isn't some secret. Biden needed to show some diplomacy that was his strength in the senate and as VP, but his game theory on how this will play out was just horrible, and we are days away from a catastrophic event. The morons who think defaulting will not be an issue will realize what idiots they are, Trump will claim that Biden does not know how to lead, idiots will compare the economy during Biden and during Trump and not attribute this to the terrorist act of the Freedom Caucus but instead Trump will win again, and the rest of the country will have to pay an outrageous tuition to educate the MAGA idiots.

Where was that game theory?
Can't disagree. To me the only offramp that will work is to just ignore the debt ceiling. Everything else is worse for America both short and long-term. We should never have another debt ceiling crisis and rather than convince the GOP to stop, this will only embolden them to lean more heavily into this as terrorists are wont to do.
This proposal to ignore the debt ceiling is far more radical than my answer to follow the law and mint a coin. But it is a better solution than the current path.
My thought is that Biden tells McCarthy there won't be a negotiation and that the plan is to just blow up the debt ceiling entirely be ignoring it. When McCarthy criticizes the move (which he will), Biden can let McCarthy know that he has the power to pass a clean debt ceiling increase, like has happened dozens of times under GOP presidents. Does anyone think that if Biden ignores the debt limit that McCarthy is going to demand we default on our debt?

Biden needs to flip this around rather than allowing the GOP to continue operating as terrorists.
McCarthy will posture for the media but a conservative court will file a case in court. A strong response from public opinion or the market could settle things either way. Otherwise it will go to the Courts while the economy crumbles.
dajo9
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Cal88 said:

calbear93 said:

Cal88 said:


I suspect you think we could save even more by outsourcing our government function to Russia. We may have to pay our pro rata portion of Putin's slush fund but we can save on Congress, White House, Supreme Court expenses.

No, but starting another trillion dollar war halfway around the world is really going to help balance the budget.
Is it possible for you to keep your divide America - Russian propaganda out of this thread?
Unit2Sucks
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dajo9 said:

Unit2Sucks said:

dajo9 said:

Unit2Sucks said:

calbear93 said:

Unit2Sucks said:

calbear93 said:

dajo9 said:

Biden has already lost. By engaging in negotiations and showing a willingness to be blackmailed by Republicans, his endeavor here is already a failure - just like Obama before him. Biden should have used the trillion dollar coin to end this situation months ago and made it a non-issue. Now that he has put Republicans in control, it's just a matter of how far Biden retreats to the detriment of the economy.
Using a trillion dollar coin would have been held up in court for so long that it would not have mattered. It would be a question of who has the legal authority to tax and spend, and the Supreme Court would not have resolved this in time.

And Biden not engaging would have been derelict in duty. That would be no better than play chicken with the livelihood of all Americans like the Freedom Caucus is doing. He might as well resign if that would have been his position as the top leader in America. No, he needs to engage and try to deliver for America in the face of economic terrorist in the Republican party and compromise so that enough sane folks in Congress can get to yes.
I agree that Biden has lost the messaging war. He's letting McCarthy beat the drum for his counter-factual narrative. Trump increased spending every year in office (much of it related to the pandemic, but he spent more every year even excluding COVID) and the GOP passed a 2017 tax cut which is adding trillions to the debt.

As we roll out of the pandemic, we've seen government spending reduce each year but the additional debt from the 2017 tax cuts still have an impact.

Biden never should have allowed this to develop. I believe that the democratic leadership thought that this would be a winning issue for the democrats but they screwed it up and it's just bad for everyone. Biden should step up now, announce that the US won't default and take McCarthy's power away. This negotiation is a sham - if the GOP wants to change the laws, they should go through the normal process, they shouldn't hold us all hostage so that they can get a pointless win.
At the end of the day, I think McCarthy knows the country cannot default. But without asking for help from the Democrats, they cannot get there, and he cannot stay in power if he asks for help.

This isn't some secret. Biden needed to show some diplomacy that was his strength in the senate and as VP, but his game theory on how this will play out was just horrible, and we are days away from a catastrophic event. The morons who think defaulting will not be an issue will realize what idiots they are, Trump will claim that Biden does not know how to lead, idiots will compare the economy during Biden and during Trump and not attribute this to the terrorist act of the Freedom Caucus but instead Trump will win again, and the rest of the country will have to pay an outrageous tuition to educate the MAGA idiots.

Where was that game theory?
Can't disagree. To me the only offramp that will work is to just ignore the debt ceiling. Everything else is worse for America both short and long-term. We should never have another debt ceiling crisis and rather than convince the GOP to stop, this will only embolden them to lean more heavily into this as terrorists are wont to do.
This proposal to ignore the debt ceiling is far more radical than my answer to follow the law and mint a coin. But it is a better solution than the current path.
My thought is that Biden tells McCarthy there won't be a negotiation and that the plan is to just blow up the debt ceiling entirely be ignoring it. When McCarthy criticizes the move (which he will), Biden can let McCarthy know that he has the power to pass a clean debt ceiling increase, like has happened dozens of times under GOP presidents. Does anyone think that if Biden ignores the debt limit that McCarthy is going to demand we default on our debt?

Biden needs to flip this around rather than allowing the GOP to continue operating as terrorists.
McCarthy will posture for the media but a conservative court will file a case in court. A strong response from public opinion or the market could settle things either way. Otherwise it will go to the Courts while the economy crumbles.


Do you think McCarthy and the GOP will publicly lobby for Biden to default on our debt after congress chose not to sign a clean debt ceiling increase? I don't. I think he will privately grumble but publicly the only thing to do is to support it while it "plays out in the courts".

The GOP passively cheers against the US economy whenever a democrat is in thr White House but hard to imagine them loudly and continuously calling for a recession which is what they would be doing by demanding Biden default.

Right now the GOP has taken America hostage and threatened to execute us. Biden should call their bluff because he has no other cards left to play.
calbear93
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Unit2Sucks said:

dajo9 said:

Unit2Sucks said:

dajo9 said:

Unit2Sucks said:

calbear93 said:

Unit2Sucks said:

calbear93 said:

dajo9 said:

Biden has already lost. By engaging in negotiations and showing a willingness to be blackmailed by Republicans, his endeavor here is already a failure - just like Obama before him. Biden should have used the trillion dollar coin to end this situation months ago and made it a non-issue. Now that he has put Republicans in control, it's just a matter of how far Biden retreats to the detriment of the economy.
Using a trillion dollar coin would have been held up in court for so long that it would not have mattered. It would be a question of who has the legal authority to tax and spend, and the Supreme Court would not have resolved this in time.

And Biden not engaging would have been derelict in duty. That would be no better than play chicken with the livelihood of all Americans like the Freedom Caucus is doing. He might as well resign if that would have been his position as the top leader in America. No, he needs to engage and try to deliver for America in the face of economic terrorist in the Republican party and compromise so that enough sane folks in Congress can get to yes.
I agree that Biden has lost the messaging war. He's letting McCarthy beat the drum for his counter-factual narrative. Trump increased spending every year in office (much of it related to the pandemic, but he spent more every year even excluding COVID) and the GOP passed a 2017 tax cut which is adding trillions to the debt.

As we roll out of the pandemic, we've seen government spending reduce each year but the additional debt from the 2017 tax cuts still have an impact.

Biden never should have allowed this to develop. I believe that the democratic leadership thought that this would be a winning issue for the democrats but they screwed it up and it's just bad for everyone. Biden should step up now, announce that the US won't default and take McCarthy's power away. This negotiation is a sham - if the GOP wants to change the laws, they should go through the normal process, they shouldn't hold us all hostage so that they can get a pointless win.
At the end of the day, I think McCarthy knows the country cannot default. But without asking for help from the Democrats, they cannot get there, and he cannot stay in power if he asks for help.

This isn't some secret. Biden needed to show some diplomacy that was his strength in the senate and as VP, but his game theory on how this will play out was just horrible, and we are days away from a catastrophic event. The morons who think defaulting will not be an issue will realize what idiots they are, Trump will claim that Biden does not know how to lead, idiots will compare the economy during Biden and during Trump and not attribute this to the terrorist act of the Freedom Caucus but instead Trump will win again, and the rest of the country will have to pay an outrageous tuition to educate the MAGA idiots.

Where was that game theory?
Can't disagree. To me the only offramp that will work is to just ignore the debt ceiling. Everything else is worse for America both short and long-term. We should never have another debt ceiling crisis and rather than convince the GOP to stop, this will only embolden them to lean more heavily into this as terrorists are wont to do.
This proposal to ignore the debt ceiling is far more radical than my answer to follow the law and mint a coin. But it is a better solution than the current path.
My thought is that Biden tells McCarthy there won't be a negotiation and that the plan is to just blow up the debt ceiling entirely be ignoring it. When McCarthy criticizes the move (which he will), Biden can let McCarthy know that he has the power to pass a clean debt ceiling increase, like has happened dozens of times under GOP presidents. Does anyone think that if Biden ignores the debt limit that McCarthy is going to demand we default on our debt?

Biden needs to flip this around rather than allowing the GOP to continue operating as terrorists.
McCarthy will posture for the media but a conservative court will file a case in court. A strong response from public opinion or the market could settle things either way. Otherwise it will go to the Courts while the economy crumbles.


Do you think McCarthy and the GOP will publicly lobby for Biden to default on our debt after congress chose not to sign a clean debt ceiling increase? I don't. I think he will privately grumble but publicly the only thing to do is to support it while it "plays out in the courts".

The GOP passively cheers against the US economy whenever a democrat is in thr White House but hard to imagine them loudly and continuously calling for a recession which is what they would be doing by demanding Biden default.

Right now the GOP has taken America hostage and threatened to execute us. Biden should call their bluff because he has no other cards left to play.
I absolutely think one or more of the Freedom Caucus member will file for an injunction stopping the treasury from borrowing more for funding irrespective of what McCarthy does if the treasury borrows despite the debt ceiling. The courts will find standing and will grant that injunction. Not seeing that as a viable path.

I don't think calling the bluff after having done so for so long will work. We need to find a way out for McCarthy even if we don't want to so that we don't crash as a country.
BearHunter
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DiabloWags
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A Monmouth University Poll released today showed 51% of the respondents want to see a clean bill to raise the debt ceiling. The poll was conducted from May 18 - 23 among 981 adults. Margin of error: 5.6 percentage points.

Twice as many in new survey favor clean debt deal (aol.com)
"Cults don't end well. They really don't."
calbear93
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BearHunter said:


America and our economy are the ones that will need to hold against the raging morons from the Freedom Caucus who would sacrifice our entire country if they can get a political sound byte.
DiabloWags
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Interestingly enough, back in 2011 when negotiations over the debt-ceiling grew contentious, it was then house speaker John Boehner that wound up negotiating with VP Joe Biden. The Obama/Biden Administration negotiated in good faith but congressional Republicans' (the Tea Party) recklessness caused a historic blow to our economy and a first ever credit downgrade. This is why the Administration didnt negotiate in 2013 or after.

The Tea Party was willing to selfishly "flex" its muscles at the risk of the good credit rating of the U.S. Govt.
These people are literally domestic terrorists.



"Cults don't end well. They really don't."
Cal88
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dajo9 said:

Cal88 said:

calbear93 said:

Cal88 said:


I suspect you think we could save even more by outsourcing our government function to Russia. We may have to pay our pro rata portion of Putin's slush fund but we can save on Congress, White House, Supreme Court expenses.

No, but starting another trillion dollar war halfway around the world is really going to help balance the budget.
Is it possible for you to keep your divide America - Russian propaganda out of this thread?

In you wonky universe, the guns vs butter debate is "Russian propaganda".
wifeisafurd
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There doesn't seem to be much to debate on the debt ceiling. It is really dumb idea that famous right wing conservative Bernie Sanders, provided an editorial on Fox News of all places:

Biden must resist Republican debt ceiling demands. Here's ...Fox Newshttps://www.foxnews.com opinion biden-must-resi...

BearHunter
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calbear93 said:


America and our economy are the ones that will need to hold against the raging morons from the Freedom Caucus who would sacrifice our entire country if they can get a political sound byte.
Goldener Bar
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wifeisafurd said:

There doesn't seem to be much to debate on the debt ceiling. It is really dumb idea that famous right wing conservative Bernie Sanders, provided an editorial on Fox News of all places:

Biden must resist Republican debt ceiling demands. Here's ...Fox Newshttps://www.foxnews.com opinion biden-must-resi...
Why does anyone pay attention to Bernie Sanders anymore? He is the definition of all hat, no cattle.

Even more importantly, why does anyone still pay attention to this dog and pony show about the debt ceiling when we all know how it's going to end?
wifeisafurd
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Goldener Bar said:

wifeisafurd said:

There doesn't seem to be much to debate on the debt ceiling. It is really dumb idea that famous right wing conservative Bernie Sanders, provided an editorial on Fox News of all places:

Biden must resist Republican debt ceiling demands. Here's ...Fox Newshttps://www.foxnews.com opinion biden-must-resi...
Why does anyone pay attention to Bernie Sanders anymore? He is the definition of all hat, no cattle.

Even more importantly, why does anyone still pay attention to this dog and pony show about the debt ceiling when we all know how it's going to end?
That may be the point, it is all so obvious that adults can't let this happen, that Fox has Bernie Sanders lecturing the politicians.
DiabloWags
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Goldener Bar said:


Why does anyone pay attention to Bernie Sanders anymore? He is the definition of all hat, no cattle.

Even more importantly, why does anyone still pay attention to this dog and pony show about the debt ceiling when we all know how it's going to end?

Ummmm..... because we really dont know the "path" in how it gets there.

2011 saw the first ever credit downgrade in U.S. history.
And many times, the equity market has had to go into a steep decline of nearly 20% in order to force Congress to do their job.
"Cults don't end well. They really don't."
BearHunter
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DiabloWags said:

A Monmouth University Poll released today showed 51% of the respondents want to see a clean bill to raise the debt ceiling. The poll was conducted from May 18 - 23 among 981 adults. Margin of error: 5.6 percentage points.

Twice as many in new survey favor clean debt deal (aol.com)



A CNN Poll revealed 60% of respondents want to see debt ceiling raised only if spending is cut.
wifeisafurd
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BearHunter said:

DiabloWags said:

A Monmouth University Poll released today showed 51% of the respondents want to see a clean bill to raise the debt ceiling. The poll was conducted from May 18 - 23 among 981 adults. Margin of error: 5.6 percentage points.

Twice as many in new survey favor clean debt deal (aol.com)



A CNN Poll revealed 60% of respondents want to see debt ceiling raised only if spending is cut.
And 100% of the 60% also would say they want the spending cuts to impact someone else, if only asked. This is all so predictable.
calbear93
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dajo9 said:

calbear93 said:

dajo9 said:

Biden has already lost. By engaging in negotiations and showing a willingness to be blackmailed by Republicans, his endeavor here is already a failure - just like Obama before him. Biden should have used the trillion dollar coin to end this situation months ago and made it a non-issue. Now that he has put Republicans in control, it's just a matter of how far Biden retreats to the detriment of the economy.
Using a trillion dollar coin would have been held up in court for so long that it would not have mattered. It would be a question of who has the legal authority to tax and spend, and the Supreme Court would not have resolved this in time.

And Biden not engaging would have been derelict in duty. That would be no better than play chicken with the livelihood of all Americans like the Freedom Caucus is doing. He might as well resign if that would have been his position as the top leader in America. No, he needs to engage and try to deliver for America in the face of economic terrorist in the Republican party and compromise so that enough sane folks in Congress can get to yes.
The law is clear the Treasury can mint platinum coins. No reason for Biden to let an economic crisis take place because the Courts are discussing, or even if they object. No doubt the Courts will want time to rewrite all the legislation on this issue in accordance with their views. They probably already have something written up for them by the Federalist Society. Biden's duty is to the American people that elected him, not to preserve a tainted, corrupted, unanswerable Court.
I don't think you are thinking about an injunction that will be surely be issued when a representative with clear standing seeks protection by the courts.

So not sure what expertise makes you think the law is clear when there is clear debate and even doubt by the White House itself.
 
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