MinotStateBeav said:
Cal88 said:
" The sooner we recognize this hard truththat there's no military solution to the conflict with Iranthe better off the United States will be.
Sheer military force cannot reopen the Strait of Hormuz without escalating the war and sucking us into another endless, bloody quagmire that delivers zero benefit to our people.
We can't get rid of the emboldened government in Tehran, regardless of how many leaders we kill. If we try we will end up with a government or failed state, worse than what we have now.
The inevitable reality is this: we will have to cut a deal with Iran. We can be pragmatic and do it now on our own terms, or we can keep listening to the same neocons and the Israeli government who got us into this mess, only to cut the same deal after we've lost even more.
Recognizing that we have hit the point of diminishing returns and pulling out now is not weakness. It is strengthand it's the right thing to do for the American people."
I dunno, a little over a month ago, people said the US wouldn't be able to deal with all these advanced russian and chinese air defense. How did that go? People think Iran has infinity time are delulu when they won't be able to make payroll to pay off all these Iranian fighters. The Iranian people are also going to start getting highly agitated.
The Chinese have already spotted Iran several billions to stabilize their economy. If we can spot Argentina $40 billion to shore up their currency, what makes you think that China, with its $1.2 Trillion
annual trade surplus can't throw some spare change in their direction?
Militarily speaking, most of the US/Israeli air attacks have been carried with long-range air to ground and cruise missiles, whose inventory has diminished. Further attacks will have to be carried at closer range, deeper into Iranian territory, at greater risk.
The other difficult military aspect is that any ground war would have to have a logistical supply chain that would be based well within the range of Iranian short and medium range missiles, and they have lots of them.
