BearGreg said:
Several factors to ground this discussion:
1.) The Regents do have to approve this decision
2.) Cal has to create an outcome that manages the Stadium Debt and the ongoing need for revenue (both direct and the large indirect amounts) that come from Cal participating in big time college athletics
3.) If the Regents approve UCLA leaving for the B10, it is very hard to imagine it happening without Cal. If not, hard to imagine the Regents approving UCLA leaving.
4.) There is no middle ground here for Cal. A diminished P12 will starve it of the capital needed to pay off the Stadium, maintain an athletic presence beyond the sports that have evergreen funding (e.g. aquatics, rugby, crew), and fulfill Title IX
5.) The Regents will understand points 2 and 4 well and will act accordingly
6.) Perhaps more importantly, the B10, FOX, and ESPN are all about eyeballs and revenue. Why wouldn't they want the Bay Area? It's one of the six largest in the US. These are the same entities that decided to add Maryland and Rutgers to the B10 not long ago
1. I have no knowledge, so will accept as fact.
2. Maybe its time to step back from "big time" athletics (many faculty, staff, students and parents would concur). My point is that big time athletics is no longer a guarantee. Not sure the Regents care.
3. All about the Benjamins. If UCLA can double/triple (?) their budget, put some money back to teh academic side of the house, and the BiG is adamant to not take Cal, The Regents will not say no.
4. Stadium is sunk cost. The Regents/Cal will have to eat it (and perhaps charge UCLA an 'exit' fee to help offset their leaving).
5. They care about expenses, yes, but do they care about big time sports?
6. This is my biggest disagreement with you. Not sure the BA college sports viewing audience is as big as you think. And don't forget, much of the BiG is in the eastern time zone, so the west night time kickoff doesn't work for it.