Alternatives

5,446 Views | 34 Replies | Last: 5 yr ago by wraptor347
3146gabby
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Apologies if this has been discussed ad naseum in other posts - right now there are so many on the Fox Hire.

Whatever you think about JK, the news flow about Jones/Fox, etc., what were the viable alternatives to Fox, given the reality of Cal [grades, etc. etc.] and realistically would or would not come here?

As a late 1960s grad my suffering is long-standing too and understand the frustration on this board, but on to more factual matters and the options before JK:

Kidd: minimally logical concerns about his coaching acumen, some personal stuff.

Musselman: previous behavior concerns; coaching mid level; at UNR had much easier entrance requirements and therefore easier recruiting

Turner: mid major, some concerns about the Queen matter

DeC: may have been the best, but also mid major where recruiting much easier.

Others? Who were they and the rationale for them?

Putting aside all the anger, someone please explain how the above are worlds better than Fox.

I am certainly not saying Fox is a great or even good hire - who knows until the games begin, but within the context of the options available what were the alternatives.
tsubamoto2001
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They would have all been better because none of them have failed as high major coaches yet. Harping on a coach not having Power Conference experience is silly, IMO. No one knows how good they'd be, obviously. But it's a better play than taking someone that's already failed.

Even with Kidd having no college experience, he would have put butts in seats. This program is losing fans and deteriorating and we hired a Jerod Haase looking dude. The Fox hire doesn't excite anybody, maybe you, I guess.

Come on, defending this hire is a bad look.
bearchamp
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Is putting butts in the seats the paramount issue for Cal sports? Is putting butts in the seats a long-term or short-term objective? I am very impressed with the omniscience of so many on this board who know that the hiring of Fox is a failure already.
Bobodeluxe
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Wait, are you being sarcastic?
evanluck
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We all want to feel better about the Fox hire. Most of us were disappointed because many of us were following the build up to the coaching change on this and other internet sites and were basically sold on Kidd or Decuire or Turner.

So the disappointment that everyone feels is largely related to expectations. The other major complaints are expressing dissatisfaction with the hiring process which many argue was rushed, not sufficiently thorough and over-reliant on a search firm which many argue has an agenda of placing clients that are harder to place / currently out of work.

My attempt to feel better about the Fox hire is all about choosing a narrative that perceives his experience at Georgia not in a vacuum but in the context of Georgia. Everyone who is pissed about Fox is basically calling him a mediocre Power 6 coach because he had a .500 in conference record in the SEC when he was at Georgia. They then argue that Georgia has none of the limiting issues that Cal has with recruiting and how can someone who was unable to recruit and win consistently at Georgia going to be good at Cal.

The people who think that Fox has a chance at doing something good at Cal have basically chosen to adopt this line of thinking. Fox is an above-reproach, play-by-the-rules college coach who cares about graduating his kids, teaching them the fundamentals of the game, and staying within the lines when it comes to recruiting. This was actually a disadvantage at Georgia because the SEC has more programs who are willing to pay for players and the environment at Georgia probably under-valued a guy who was trying to win without cheating.

Cal has a better chance of being successful with this kind of coach because we have fewer teams that pay for players in our conference and we have a more unique brand/college experience to attract players that are skilled and are willing to commit to a school just for the value of the education. We also have an administration that is more likely to be patient with a coach who is prioritizing winning within the confines of the rules of the NCAA and trying to create successful true student athletes.

Also if you view Fox's experience through the historical context of basketball at Georgia, you would correctly acknowledge that he won more than any coach ever did at Georgia and it was his winning that created a standard and an expectation that he was unable to sustain and eventually resulted in his dismissal. In other words, .500 basketball at Georgia only became unacceptable after he showed them that they could win 20+ games and go to the NCAA tournament.

With all this logic, I can see how Knowlton arrived at the decision to hire Fox and how Fox seemed like a surer bet/better fit than Decuire, Turner or Kidd.

Nothing that I've seen from Fox so far makes me doubt the positives that he reportedly brings to the table. Fox was never touted as a slick talker/expert relational coach. So his press conference (which I thought was fine) and the clip of him talking to the players the first time (which I thought was awkward at best) did not surprise me or change my willingness to be patient to see him get to a place where his strengths as a coach can be leveraged. His strength seems to be his ability to teach basketball. We need that desperately. Many have been crying for the Monty days where we had a coach that was fielding a fundamentally sound team. He could be that guy. If he gets a staff who understands how to leverage the uniqueness of Cal from a recruiting standpoint, he could be successful here.

Go Bears!

Life is good, and it is even better when the Bears win!
bearchamp
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Some sarcasm, some thoughts.
BearlyCareAnymore
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bearchamp said:

Is putting butts in the seats the paramount issue for Cal sports? Is putting butts in the seats a long-term or short-term objective? I am very impressed with the omniscience of so many on this board who know that the hiring of Fox is a failure already.
If Cal could put 5000 more butts in seats a game and increase donations by changing our name to the Washington Generals and losing to the Harlem Globetrotters every night, they'd do it.
smokeyrover
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3146gabby said:

Apologies if this has been discussed ad naseum in other posts - right now there are so many on the Fox Hire.

Whatever you think about JK, the news flow about Jones/Fox, etc., what were the viable alternatives to Fox, given the reality of Cal [grades, etc. etc.] and realistically would or would not come here?

As a late 1960s grad my suffering is long-standing too and understand the frustration on this board, but on to more factual matters and the options before JK:

Kidd: minimally logical concerns about his coaching acumen, some personal stuff.

Musselman: previous behavior concerns; coaching mid level; at UNR had much easier entrance requirements and therefore easier recruiting

Turner: mid major, some concerns about the Queen matter

DeC: may have been the best, but also mid major where recruiting much easier.

Others? Who were they and the rationale for them?

Putting aside all the anger, someone please explain how the above are worlds better than Fox.

I am certainly not saying Fox is a great or even good hire - who knows until the games begin, but within the context of the options available what were the alternatives.
The fansite generated lists had other names, but who knows if they were even under consideration.

Criteria seemed to be academic/rules oriented with previous major conference HC experience.

I'm guessing Knowlton's list of 40 candidates supplied by the search firm CSA included fired coaches like Kevin Stallings, Chris Mooney, Billy Kennedy, and Tim Miles . Perhaps there were guys like Herb Sendek and Tommy Amaker on there, but it doesn't seem like CSA is too involved with hires that place mid-major guys at major conference jobs.
bearchamp
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I suppose some zealots would "do it", but why? The mission of the University is education, not basketball. In real terms, what does the sale of 5,000 seats do to impact the mission?
BearlyCareAnymore
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bearchamp said:

I suppose some zealots would "do it", but why? The mission of the University is education, not basketball. In real terms, what does the sale of 5,000 seats do to impact the mission?


The mission of the university is education. That doesn't mean it is the mission of the football and basketball programs. If it were, we wouldn't have football and basketball teams.

The mission of the football and basketball programs is to fund the athletic department. How does that help education? By stopping the athletic department from constantly needing to be financially baled out from the general fund.

Cal's coaching hires are almost always low risk from a financial perspective. They are either cheap, like Jones, or they are perceived to be low risk in that they are high floor low ceiling like Fox, so revenue will theoretically be stable.

I think you have an idealistic view if you think Cal isn't about milking as much revenue as it can from revenue sports with as little investment and risk as possible
socaltownie
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Look I founded #teamhope so I am not really interested in playing this game.

However, forced to choose, and understanding the remarkable DUMB trash talk that borders on homophobic, Turner checked off all the boxes that JK said he wanted EXCEPT for P5 experience.

There is just no way someone coaching at ANY UC isn't going to understand the importance of academics, has proven that the most discriminating consumer (coach and NBA star Dads) trust him as a coach and has built up the anteater program in interesting ways. He may not interview well - I have been surprised he hasn't been tapped yet for some of the open positions. Maybe his wife really IS committed to Irvine.
stu
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evanluck said:

Nothing that I've seen from Fox so far makes me doubt the positives that he reportedly brings to the table.
Do you think one of those positives is an excellent fit with Cal and Berkeley? Does any of his extensive experience indicate so?
3146gabby
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My post was not a defense of anything; it was an attempt to say "ok u dislike the hire, u say JK is x,y, or z (or as one poster said "..is JK intentionally trying to ruin Cal BB") then tell us objectively what the alternatives were & show me they r so much better as to justify the vitriol here. I am happy to b convinced with evidence
bearchamp
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I agree that the current situation is that Cal has opted for athletics as an entertainment business model, but that is not necessary. Cal could do away with scholarships and expensive coaches and the athletic budget would be miniscule compared to the current obligations. Every endeavor of the University should be viewed through the prism of its mission. Sports are often touted as providing educational benefit, although "big time' commercial sports are not. The educational benefits of sport are for the participants, not the fans. Cal sports could choose to embrace that model rather than the commercial model. The non-revenue generating sports are in the non-commercial mode. Swimming doesn't seem to have a problem without "putting butts in the seats". Cal primarily needs to "milk" sports revenue to support the very expensive "revenue" sports. Crew is self-funded. Aquatics is self- funded. Maybe golf and tennis (I really don't know except that I have heard they are trying to get self-funded). My point here is that "big time" is not inevitable, it is a choice. By the way, my daughter attended a tiny D-III school: it had both football and basketball and put very few "butts"in the seats.
socaltownie
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bearchamp said:

I agree that the current situation is that Cal has opted for athletics as an entertainment business model, but that is not necessary. Cal could do away with scholarships and expensive coaches and the athletic budget would be miniscule compared to the current obligations. Every endeavor of the University should be viewed through the prism of its mission. Sports are often touted as providing educational benefit, although "big time' commercial sports are not. The educational benefits of sport are for the participants, not the fans. Cal sports could choose to embrace that model rather than the commercial model. The non-revenue generating sports are in the non-commercial mode. Swimming doesn't seem to have a problem without "putting butts in the seats". Cal primarily needs to "milk" sports revenue to support the very expensive "revenue" sports. Crew is self-funded. Aquatics is self- funded. Maybe golf and tennis (I really don't know except that I have heard they are trying to get self-funded). My point here is that "big time" is not inevitable, it is a choice. By the way, my daughter attended a tiny D-III school: it had both football and basketball and put very few "butts"in the seats.
is that true? Are aquatics and crew truly fully self funded including a share of AD overhead. Source with data to check.

Honestly I find that VERY hard to believe. Football and BB make a huge "net" (especially when we discount the idiocy of how they account for scholarships).
bearchamp
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AD overhead gets into a real can of worms as the AD pays for facilities that are not uniquely "athletic department" assets. And I will step back, those sports are often referred to as "self funded",but I have never audited the books to verify.
evanluck
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stu said:

evanluck said:

Nothing that I've seen from Fox so far makes me doubt the positives that he reportedly brings to the table.
Do you think one of those positives is an excellent fit with Cal and Berkeley? Does any of his extensive experience indicate so?
What do we mean when we say a coach and Cal are a good fit?

The first seems to be that the coach understands how the University values academics and sees that as an asset rather than a burden. (seems like Fox checks this box and his ability to articulate it in his interview may have been what made him stand out against the other final candidates).

The second would be that the coach wants to run a clean program (Fox checks this box).

The third would be that he understands the bureaucracy of UC and how even the premiere athletic programs need to work within that bureaucracy to get things done (Doesn't check this box, probably thinks he understands, but definitely doesn't check this box as well as someone who was an assistant at Cal like Decuire or is currently coaching at another UC like Turner).

Fourth would be West Coast recruiting ties (Fox doesn't check this box but could compensate with assistant hires)

Finally the fourth depending on who you believe is that the coach believes that they can win at Cal and win at the highest level (Every coach will say that he believes this. Fox has said so. Whether he truly believes it would be something more easily assessed in an interview.).

His colleagues that seem to think he is a great fit at Cal are some on the ones advancing the narrative that he was an awkward fit at Georgia and that a coach with his emphasis on ethics would do much better at Cal.
BearlyCareAnymore
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bearchamp said:

I agree that the current situation is that Cal has opted for athletics as an entertainment business model, but that is not necessary. Cal could do away with scholarships and expensive coaches and the athletic budget would be miniscule compared to the current obligations. Every endeavor of the University should be viewed through the prism of its mission. Sports are often touted as providing educational benefit, although "big time' commercial sports are not. The educational benefits of sport are for the participants, not the fans. Cal sports could choose to embrace that model rather than the commercial model. The non-revenue generating sports are in the non-commercial mode. Swimming doesn't seem to have a problem without "putting butts in the seats". Cal primarily needs to "milk" sports revenue to support the very expensive "revenue" sports. Crew is self-funded. Aquatics is self- funded. Maybe golf and tennis (I really don't know except that I have heard they are trying to get self-funded). My point here is that "big time" is not inevitable, it is a choice. By the way, my daughter attended a tiny D-III school: it had both football and basketball and put very few "butts"in the seats.
To be clear, I wasn't talking about how things could be or should be. I was talking about how they are.

Football has significant net revenue even taking into account the stadium debt. Basketball does a little better than break even. Football is extensively funding non-revenue sports. Most are not self funded and as socal points out, self-funded is a question of definition.

I'd rather Cal not view things that way. It has made them incredibly risk averse in revenue sports which comes pretty close to dooming us to sucking or at best reaching slightly above mediocre.
BeachedBear
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evanluck said:

stu said:

evanluck said:

Nothing that I've seen from Fox so far makes me doubt the positives that he reportedly brings to the table.
Do you think one of those positives is an excellent fit with Cal and Berkeley? Does any of his extensive experience indicate so?
What do we mean when we say a coach and Cal are a good fit?

The first seems to be that the coach understands how the University values academics and sees that as an asset rather than a burden. (seems like Fox checks this box and his ability to articulate it in his interview may have been what made him stand out against the other final candidates).

The second would be that the coach wants to run a clean program (Fox checks this box).

The third would be that he understands the bureaucracy of UC and how even the premiere athletic programs need to work within that bureaucracy to get things done (Doesn't check this box, probably thinks he understands, but definitely doesn't check this box as well as someone who was an assistant at Cal like Decuire or is currently coaching at another UC like Turner).

Fourth would be West Coast recruiting ties (Fox doesn't check this box but could compensate with assistant hires)

Finally the fourth depending on who you believe is that the coach believes that they can win at Cal and win at the highest level (Every coach will say that he believes this. Fox has said so. Whether he truly believes it would be something more easily assessed in an interview.).

His colleagues that seem to think he is a great fit at Cal are some on the ones advancing the narrative that he was an awkward fit at Georgia and that a coach with his emphasis on ethics would do much better at Cal.

Good points. Diving into your last para-sentence: One of the oddities of the Fox hire is that those colleagues (Van Gundy, Brad Stevens, Geno Auriemma, etc) that mentioned Fox was a good fit for Cal . . . They don't strike me as being familiar with Cal.
stu
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I also wonder if Fox is OK with Telegraph Avenue or if he'd rather hide in Danville.
Eastern Oregon Bear
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stu said:

I also wonder if Fox is OK with Telegraph Avenue or if he'd rather hide in Danville.
What difference does it make where the coach lives? Has any Cal coach lived on Telegraph?
stu
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Eastern Oregon Bear said:

What difference does it make where the coach lives? Has any Cal coach lived on Telegraph?
I didn't say anything about where the coach might live. I'm wondering about his attitude toward Berkeley, specifically the campus area.
mcdbear
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Eastern Oregon Bear said:

stu said:

I also wonder if Fox is OK with Telegraph Avenue or if he'd rather hide in Danville.
What difference does it make where the coach lives? Has any Cal coach lived on Telegraph?
Wherever he chooses to live I can attest he is a good neighbor. Lived across the street from him for years and yard was always maintained. He even used to shovel his elderly neighbors driveway during storms. Not sure how he will do as a coach but he will be an attribute to any neighborhood.
k9dog1
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tsubamoto2001 said:

"They would have all been better because none of them have failed as high major coaches yet. "

I doubt that. Kidd and Musclehead(jk) might have been able to recruit here notwithstanding the weird admission standards we seem to have these days. But Turner and TD, no chance. And I don't think either of them are the second coming of "insert your God of all coaches name", so making up for the lack of talent would not be matched by coaching skill. Just my opinion but this job has gone downhill since the departure of Braun and or Monty.
tsubamoto2001
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It's funny that some people on here keep trying argue something that logically is not arguable.

Not true on DeCuire and Turner. Assuming they wouldn't be able to recruit at a satisfactory level is far fetched, IMO. DeCuire recruited well for Cal and identified the right prospects. Monty not being able close was not his fault. Also, you don't have their level of success at the mid-major level without being able to recruit well for that level, and part of that is player evaluation, which is being able to find talent that isn't obvious to everyone. On the other hand, we have actual evidence that Fox did not recruit well as an SEC head coach.

k9dog1 said:

tsubamoto2001 said:

"They would have all been better because none of them have failed as high major coaches yet. "

I doubt that. Kidd and Musclehead(jk) might have been able to recruit here notwithstanding the weird admission standards we seem to have these days. But Turner and TD, no chance. And I don't think either of them are the second coming of "insert your God of all coaches name", so making up for the lack of talent would not be matched by coaching skill. Just my opinion but this job has gone downhill since the departure of Braun and or Monty.

bearmanpg
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3146gabby said:

Apologies if this has been discussed ad naseum in other posts - right now there are so many on the Fox Hire.

Whatever you think about JK, the news flow about Jones/Fox, etc., what were the viable alternatives to Fox, given the reality of Cal [grades, etc. etc.] and realistically would or would not come here?

As a late 1960s grad my suffering is long-standing too and understand the frustration on this board, but on to more factual matters and the options before JK:

Kidd: minimally logical concerns about his coaching acumen, some personal stuff.

Musselman: previous behavior concerns; coaching mid level; at UNR had much easier entrance requirements and therefore easier recruiting

Turner: mid major, some concerns about the Queen matter

DeC: may have been the best, but also mid major where recruiting much easier.

Others? Who were they and the rationale for them?

Putting aside all the anger, someone please explain how the above are worlds better than Fox.

I am certainly not saying Fox is a great or even good hire - who knows until the games begin, but within the context of the options available what were the alternatives.


I would argue that recruiting to Missoula is tougher than recruiting to Berkeley....at Missoula, you have to ID talent for that level and also have to convince kids of a higher level to commit to that level....At Berkeley, you pretty much know the top 100-200 kids every year that you have to try and recruit and you have the P5 reputation to lean on (not to say Pac 12 is knocking any recruits socks off)....
calgo430
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fox is not a recruiter. he hired trent johnson to help. that makes the hire palatable but still questionable.
KenBurnski
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I'm not really seeing how Trent Johnson's presence matters. Didn't we have guys on staff the last couple of years who were supposed to be recruit whisperers? These recruiting specialists never seem to have much impact once they actually arrive on campus. Are high school players buzzing about Trent Johnson? I guess I'm still just in the "very confused" phase.
k9dog1
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tsubamoto2001 said:

It's funny that some people on here keep trying argue something that logically is not arguable.

Not true on DeCuire and Turner. Assuming they wouldn't be able to recruit at a satisfactory level is far fetched, IMO. DeCuire recruited well for Cal and identified the right prospects. Monty not being able close was not his fault. Also, you don't have their level of success at the mid-major level without being able to recruit well for that level, and part of that is player evaluation, which is being able to find talent that isn't obvious to everyone. On the other hand, we have actual evidence that Fox did not recruit well as an SEC head coach.

k9dog1 said:

tsubamoto2001 said:

"They would have all been better because none of them have failed as high major coaches yet. "

I doubt that. Kidd and Musclehead(jk) might have been able to recruit here notwithstanding the weird admission standards we seem to have these days. But Turner and TD, no chance. And I don't think either of them are the second coming of "insert your God of all coaches name", so making up for the lack of talent would not be matched by coaching skill. Just my opinion but this job has gone downhill since the departure of Braun and or Monty.


Those are fair points just don't know that I believe in your opinion as you obviously don't believe in mine, but that's ok we can agree to disagree.

Having recruited at Montana or UC Irvine isn't the same as recruiting in the Pac-12 and with us having the limitations we have makes it even tougher. Just don't know how anyone could assume they would be successful as opposed to mediocre or maybe worse, but hey just my opinion.

Do you have inside information that it was Monty who was sabotaging all the great recruits TD found? I get it that he was totally not interested in recruiting while here but bit of a stretch to blame him for something he never did much of if any, just saying(and yes I realize the HC is responsible for everything).

As far as Fox is concerned, I wasn't advocating for him. I'm with you on that topic 100%.

Go Bears!
boredom
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Is Johnson even a good recruiter? He had three major conference gigs.

He was at LSU from 2008 - 2012. I would assume that the 2009 - 2011 recruiting classes are his. According to the 247 rankings LSU finished 13th, 7th, and 9th in the SEC. That's... not good.

He was at furd from 2004-2008 so the 2005-2007 classes are the relevant ones. He finished 9th, 2nd, and dead last in conference. The one good finish was because of the Lopez twins who were going to furd anyway.

He most recently was at TCU from 2012-2016. Looking at the 2013-2015 classes: 6th, dead last, 8th. Yikes.

He was a major conference coach for over a decade. He managed to not screw up the Lopez twins' desire to go to furd. Otherwise he was consistently in the bottom of his conference in recruiting rankings. And this guy is the silver bullet to Fox being a bad recruiter?
KoreAmBear
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boredom said:

Is Johnson even a good recruiter? He had three major conference gigs.

He was at LSU from 2008 - 2012. I would assume that the 2009 - 2011 recruiting classes are his. According to the 247 rankings LSU finished 13th, 7th, and 9th in the SEC. That's... not good.

He was at furd from 2004-2008 so the 2005-2007 classes are the relevant ones. He finished 9th, 2nd, and dead last in conference. The one good finish was because of the Lopez twins who were going to furd anyway.

He most recently was at TCU from 2012-2016. Looking at the 2013-2015 classes: 6th, dead last, 8th. Yikes.

He was a major conference coach for over a decade. He managed to not screw up the Lopez twins' desire to go to furd. Otherwise he was consistently in the bottom of his conference in recruiting rankings. And this guy is the silver bullet to Fox being a bad recruiter?
Yah not sure if people are seeing that he was a good recruiter rather than he had some good coaching seasons, including a good season and Sweet 16 of course with the Lopez twins. He seems to have some gravitas as a former head coach. I thought Marty Wilson would have that too, but that didn't work too well. I dunno.
3146gabby
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What the back/forth about the +/- of Kidd, Turner, DeC seems to underscore is the reality here - there no slam dunk choice (or even close).

Putting aside all the micro-matters it is hard to see a convincing argument that a Kidd or DeC or Turner hire would not have generated similar anguish.

Putting up a matrix of all those +/-s I just don't see an argument that the Fox hire was a total screw up.



PtownBear1
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The reason I personally was so bothered by the Fox hire is that mediocrity sustains when it comes to Cal football/basketball. Whether right or wrong, I get the sense that the administration feels like football and basketball are just some annoying part of their job that they need performed just well enough to keep the masses off their backs and avoid major financial loss.

Had we hired someone with a seemingly higher floor and lower ceiling, it would be exciting for a season or two, but if it didn't work out, we could move on. But with Fox's perceived low floor (due to ample experience and defensive acumen) and middling ceiling (due to the inability to recruit), we could be looking at middling P12 seasons for the next decade. I doubt Cal is ever going to fire anyone that's middle of the league absent outside issues.

That said, this will be the last negative post I make about the Fox hire as what's done is done. I'm going to hang to the hope that Fox has learned from his shortcomings at Georgia and will assemble a staff of aggressive recruiters and figure out how to get top players.
Big C
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boredom said:

Is Johnson even a good recruiter? He had three major conference gigs.

He was at LSU from 2008 - 2012. I would assume that the 2009 - 2011 recruiting classes are his. According to the 247 rankings LSU finished 13th, 7th, and 9th in the SEC. That's... not good.

He was at furd from 2004-2008 so the 2005-2007 classes are the relevant ones. He finished 9th, 2nd, and dead last in conference. The one good finish was because of the Lopez twins who were going to furd anyway.

He most recently was at TCU from 2012-2016. Looking at the 2013-2015 classes: 6th, dead last, 8th. Yikes.

He was a major conference coach for over a decade. He managed to not screw up the Lopez twins' desire to go to furd. Otherwise he was consistently in the bottom of his conference in recruiting rankings. And this guy is the silver bullet to Fox being a bad recruiter?
Just thought of something bad and, as they say, misery loves company, so I thought I'd share:

What if Trent Johnson is coming on board because he was also in tight with that *&^%$#@ search firm?
oski003
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BALLS.
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