Unit2Sucks said:
dajo9 said:
Some Russian soldiers are smarter than the Generals
Russia's attempting to take another Pyrrhic victory in Avdiivka. They are throwing wave after wave of meat and taking massive losses. Reportedly the goal is to deliver another Bakhmut like victory to support Putin's re-election in early 2024. Given that they have nothing to show for the war, any false win is something that Putin can build propaganda off. The fact that they will sacrifice thousands of young men for another small town with no strategic value is irrelevant to their ultimate aims.
In other news, ATACMS continuing to make an impact and as you would expect Russia will continue to lie about it.
Less than 20% of the ATACMS have been getting through, but that is still enough to create some damage on Russian installations and generate dramatic footage. Their overall impact however has been very limited as their numbers are relatively small, and unlikely to get larger given the looming war in the middle east, which is now the neocons' top priority.
My assessment of the situation in Avdiivka, posted earlier this week, is correct, it is corroborated by Ropcke, a pro-Ukrainian German journalist:
U2S' info bubble will have you believe that Ukraine is winning in Avdiivka, and that it is the Russians (in red) who are being trapped in this battle:
Ukraine has 20,000 troops in and around the city of Avdiivka, now surrounded by Russian positions. The Russians have around 35,000 troops in that ring around the city.
The Russians have managed to surround Ukrainian positions from 3 sides, and to put the Ukrainian main supply road under fire range - this is a carbon copy of the Bakhmut situation. The roads are even more important now in the mud season, the fields are going to become impassable for heavy vehicles.
The video I have posted of the pink-haired Ukrainian medic who has made an emotional appeal about Ukraine taking more losses this week than she has seen the last 4 months was actually from Avdiivka, and the heavily depleted 47th Battalion is being continuously replenished by Ukraine.
Like Bakhmut, Avdiivka will fall soon enough, probably in early winter. At which point that will be declared to be a Pyrrhic Russian victory, when in fact Ukraine is taking far heavier losses by virtue of being surrounded and using less than a fifth as much ammunition in its artillery duels with Russia. The difference now as well vs earlier this year is that Russia is now heavily using guided bombs in a stepped-up air campaign.
Arestovich, who used to be one of Zelensky's closest advisers only a year ago, makes a sobering assessment of the situation, asserting that the loss of Avdiivka would be a heavy blow to the Zelensky regime. That is why they are now throwing the kitchen sink into the situation trying to break the Russian vice over the city.
"The political elites in the young post-Soviet republics built a system where power is property, and there is no responsibility for actions or inactions that destroy the state and society from within.
The consequence of this is the impunity of officials and politicians for systemic corruption, for reducing the economy by 2.5 times, for wasting the army, and also for the fact that now we are losing cities according to the same scheme.
The prospect of losing Avdiivka after the loss of Popasna, Severodonetsk, Lisichansk and Bakhmut is a death sentence for the System."
