The Official Russian Invasion of Ukraine Thread

862,139 Views | 9883 Replies | Last: 1 day ago by sycasey
Eastern Oregon Bear
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movielover said:

A cross dresser acquaintance who has relatives in England says canned goods are already being hard to come by / rationed.
Hmmm… Do I respond with

"Hey! Why did you need to throw in an unnecessary mention of cross dressing here?"

or

"Do you have many cross dressing friends?"
LACalFan
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movielover
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Putin became President in 2000. 2000 - 2014 - no problems w Ukraine.

Big C
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movielover said:

Col McGregor - Not Good Strategy

Many good general points.

- Elon Musk providing the valuable Starlink system to Ukraine
- Ukraine started out with 600k trained troops
- delves into George Soros a bit, and the billionaire funding two Nazi regimes
- brief mention of Victoria Nuland
- Taiwan and China




George Soros, lol...
Cal88
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dimitrig
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Cal88 said:




I am sure this invasion by Russia will win the hearts and minds of the Ukrainians.


Unit2Sucks
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The pro Kremlin crowd will never examine the ghoulish destruction they cheerlead for because the propaganda tends to gloss over it.

Quote:

The successful Ukrainian defense and the Russian losses are good news for Ukraine. Every bit of optimism, however, must be tempered by two realities. First, Ukraine remains outnumbered and potentially outgunned by a much larger Russian Federation. The Ukrainians have survived this far through a combination of excellent strategy, the resilience of its people and their leaders, an infusion of highly lethal Western weapons, the courage of the men and women on the front lines, and a mind-boggling amount of Russian incompetence and stupidity.

The second reality, however, is that the Russians don't really care about losses. They are willing to sacrifice their own men by the truckload. We are all rightly appalled by the damage the Kremlin is willing to inflict on Ukraine and its people in its unprovoked aggression, but Putin's cruelty extends to his fellow citizens: He is sending untrained, under-provisioned, and poorly armed men to their death literally to try to plug the holes in his lines with human meatwhich is what one of their own commanders has reportedly called them. The Russian president hates Ukrainians, but he and his senior officers seem to hate their own men nearly as much.

Meanwhile, on New Year's Evewith so many Russian soldiers only hours from being killed in their bunksPutin's minions hosted a televised party that defies description. Performers put on cheesy song-and-dance numbers seemingly lifted from 1970s Soviet pop culture while Russian officers (whose gaudy dress uniforms looked like they were stolen from the palace guards of a James Bond villain) looked on with forced smiles. Parts of the telecast looked as if they had been shot elsewhere and then chroma-keyed into the production, adding a shiny gloss of unreality to the whole mess. One of the hosts, decked out in a red velvet tux, even chortled a cartoonishly evil threat into the camera: "Like it or not, Russia is enlarging!"


https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2023/01/russias-depraved-decadence/672632/
bearister
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How Russian raw recruits are losing to Ukraine's modern tech



https://mol.im/a/11611463
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oski003
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Unit2Sucks said:

The pro Kremlin crowd will never examine the ghoulish destruction they cheerlead for because the propaganda tends to gloss over it.

Quote:

The successful Ukrainian defense and the Russian losses are good news for Ukraine. Every bit of optimism, however, must be tempered by two realities. First, Ukraine remains outnumbered and potentially outgunned by a much larger Russian Federation. The Ukrainians have survived this far through a combination of excellent strategy, the resilience of its people and their leaders, an infusion of highly lethal Western weapons, the courage of the men and women on the front lines, and a mind-boggling amount of Russian incompetence and stupidity.

The second reality, however, is that the Russians don't really care about losses. They are willing to sacrifice their own men by the truckload. We are all rightly appalled by the damage the Kremlin is willing to inflict on Ukraine and its people in its unprovoked aggression, but Putin's cruelty extends to his fellow citizens: He is sending untrained, under-provisioned, and poorly armed men to their death literally to try to plug the holes in his lines with human meatwhich is what one of their own commanders has reportedly called them. The Russian president hates Ukrainians, but he and his senior officers seem to hate their own men nearly as much.

Meanwhile, on New Year's Evewith so many Russian soldiers only hours from being killed in their bunksPutin's minions hosted a televised party that defies description. Performers put on cheesy song-and-dance numbers seemingly lifted from 1970s Soviet pop culture while Russian officers (whose gaudy dress uniforms looked like they were stolen from the palace guards of a James Bond villain) looked on with forced smiles. Parts of the telecast looked as if they had been shot elsewhere and then chroma-keyed into the production, adding a shiny gloss of unreality to the whole mess. One of the hosts, decked out in a red velvet tux, even chortled a cartoonishly evil threat into the camera: "Like it or not, Russia is enlarging!"


https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2023/01/russias-depraved-decadence/672632/


In all fairness, Movielover's and Cal88's posts are against this destruction. You wrongly feel that they cheer for this destruction, and they feel your cheerleading of the Ukranian war effort escalates the destruction. I am not saying you are right or wrong as far as the best way to protect US interests while also doing what is right and humane, but I feel you are misinterpreting what they are actually cheerleading.
movielover
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dimitrig said:

Cal88 said:




I am sure this invasion by Russia will win the hearts and minds of the Ukrainians.




Who failed to fulfill the Minsk Accords?

Who spent the last number of years training and outfitting hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian men as soldiers?

Who started the war with a vastly larger military (men)?

For decades, wasn't Russia promised that NATO wouldn't move eastward?

I support sticking with the Minsk Accords (I'm not an expert on them), NATO not threatening Russia, and the Deep State / State Department not focusing on our 1985 opponent.

I support not killing hundreds of thousands of young men, millions fleeing war, and destroying Ukraine so that bureaucrats, politicians, and contractors don't make billions off the bloodshed.

Further, instead of creating more chaos, confront our real enemies: China, fentanyl, porous southern border, drug cartels, and Antifa. We could shut down Antifa in 6 months if we were serious, but they appear to serve the political goals of the Far Left. And China appears to be conducting modern-day opium wars against us while Nero plays his fiddle.

movielover
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Well said.
movielover
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Why did Putin not touch Ukraine from 2000 to 2014? It was almost a non issue. Why the change?
sycasey
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movielover said:

Why did Putin not touch Ukraine from 2000 to 2014? It was almost a non issue. Why the change?
Because they basically had leaders who were under his thumb before then. After Yanukovych got tossed in favor of much less Russia-friendly government, Putin got aggressive.
movielover
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Leaders under his thumb (definition):

1. Not training 400,000 military troops for conflict with Russia
2. Not moving NATO into eastern Ukraine
3. Not threatening to attack Russia
4. Not threatening to weaken Russia
5. Not blowing up an undersea export energy pipeline
6. Not working with Victoria Nuland to overthrow a Ukranian election [edited]
7. Not putting bio weapons labs in Ukraine
Cal88
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sycasey
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movielover said:

6. Not working with Victoria Nuland to overthrow a Russia election

Very telling that you call it a "Russia" election when it's a Ukrainian election you're talking about. I see which side you're on.
Cal88
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sycasey said:

movielover said:

Why did Putin not touch Ukraine from 2000 to 2014? It was almost a non issue. Why the change?
Because they basically had leaders who were under his thumb before then. After Yanukovych got tossed in favor of much less Russia-friendly government, Putin got aggressive.

That's the "Putin is a bad hombre" school of geopolitics.

Basic facts, explained in a few chronological maps:

2004


2010

2012


2014


WaPo "This is the one map you need to understand Ukraine's crisis"
By Max Fisher
January 24, 2014 at 1:45 p.m. EST


https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2014/01/24/this-is-the-one-map-you-need-to-understand-ukraines-crisis/

CNN 2014 "A Divided Ukraine"


https://www.cnn.com/interactive/2014/02/world/ukraine-divided/

Unit2Sucks
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Another potential data point that says Putin is terminally ill - I hope it's true. Even if it's not true, I love it - Ukraine has no reason not to fight Putin's ridiculous propaganda with its own and this is a great angle to attack Putin and his perceived (although far diminished) strength. If people in Russia think Putin has cancer they will be more emboldened to oppose him.

The quote in the tweet is wrong though because Budanov clearly says he thinks the war ends before Putin dies of cancer.



There are other interesting quotes from the interview including Budanov saying people should expect Ukraine to strike within Russia. I don't think there is any point to that as it will only help Putin. First - Putin couldn't care less about Russian casualties. As I have posted over and over and should be abundantly clear, he and the Kremlin have no issue providing human meat for this war. They aren't trying to protect anyone other than themselves. But if Ukraine does begin to strike in Russian territory (not Crimea, but actual Russia), it might actually cause Russians to want to fight this war, which until now hasn't been the case. Seems like there is limited benefit to shifting the theater for Ukraine.



And also this:


sycasey
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Yeah, there are cultural divides in a lot of countries, including the United States. That doesn't mean that if Alaska doesn't vote for Joe Biden that Russia gets to invade there too.
Cal88
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sycasey said:

Yeah, there are cultural divides in a lot of countries, including the United States. That doesn't mean that if Alaska doesn't vote for Joe Biden that Russia gets to invade there too.

The cultural divide in Ukraine is nothing like that in the US, not even close. If nearly half of the US spoke German since the late 1700s, you might start to approximate the divide in Ukraine.

The USA is a remarkably homogeneous newly settled country, with a highly mobile population, compared to all other large countries, especially those from the old world, where people from the other side of the river or mountain can have a very distinct ethno-linguistic background.

That lack of cultural perspective is one of the main reasons people don't seem to grasp the basic dynamics in post-Soviet and Maidan Coup Ukraine.
sycasey
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Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Yeah, there are cultural divides in a lot of countries, including the United States. That doesn't mean that if Alaska doesn't vote for Joe Biden that Russia gets to invade there too.

The cultural divide in Ukraine is nothing like that in the US, not even close. If nearly half of the US spoke German since the late 1700s, you might start to approximate the divide in Ukraine.

The USA is a remarkably homogeneous newly settled country, with a highly mobile population, compared to all other large countries, especially those from the old world.

That lack of cultural perspective is one of the main reasons people don't seem to grasp the basic dynamics in post-Soviet and Maidan Coup Ukraine.

No matter how many times the "dynamics" are explained to me, they still don't justify a military invasion.
Cal88
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sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Yeah, there are cultural divides in a lot of countries, including the United States. That doesn't mean that if Alaska doesn't vote for Joe Biden that Russia gets to invade there too.

The cultural divide in Ukraine is nothing like that in the US, not even close. If nearly half of the US spoke German since the late 1700s, you might start to approximate the divide in Ukraine.

The USA is a remarkably homogeneous newly settled country, with a highly mobile population, compared to all other large countries, especially those from the old world.

That lack of cultural perspective is one of the main reasons people don't seem to grasp the basic dynamics in post-Soviet and Maidan Coup Ukraine.

No matter how many times the "dynamics" are explained to me, they still don't justify a military invasion.

From the perspective of a detached academic or a realist geopolitician, those dynamics explain the war.

Whether you approve of them or not, they are crucial in understanding the course of events, and in reaching a realistic settlement that will stop the carnage.
sycasey
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Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Yeah, there are cultural divides in a lot of countries, including the United States. That doesn't mean that if Alaska doesn't vote for Joe Biden that Russia gets to invade there too.

The cultural divide in Ukraine is nothing like that in the US, not even close. If nearly half of the US spoke German since the late 1700s, you might start to approximate the divide in Ukraine.

The USA is a remarkably homogeneous newly settled country, with a highly mobile population, compared to all other large countries, especially those from the old world.

That lack of cultural perspective is one of the main reasons people don't seem to grasp the basic dynamics in post-Soviet and Maidan Coup Ukraine.

No matter how many times the "dynamics" are explained to me, they still don't justify a military invasion.

From the perspective of a detached academic or a realist geopolitician, those dynamics explain the war.

Right, they point to Putin being a bad hombre.
bearister
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sycasey said:


Right, they point to Putin being a bad hombre.





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Cal88
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How about those 3 amigos?

sycasey
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Cal88 said:

How about those 3 amigos?


Iraq was a massive f***-up and we should never forgive Bush for that. Even given that, it's not like the US actually wanted to annex Iraq as official territory or something. It's not the same as what Putin is doing in Ukraine.

The rest are relatively limited actions that don't come anywhere close to the wholesale invasion happening in Ukraine right now. Your deflections are pathetic.
Cal88
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sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

How about those 3 amigos?


Iraq was a massive f***-up and we should never forgive Bush for that. Even given that, it's not like the US actually wanted to annex Iraq as official territory or something. It's not the same as what Putin is doing in Ukraine.

The rest are relatively limited actions that don't come anywhere close to the wholesale invasion happening in Ukraine right now. Your deflections are pathetic.

"Relatively limited actions" that have resulted in the deaths of millions of civilians. Putin's might be a bad hombre but his body count is not in the same league.



This table doesn't include the lists of coups and regime changes, which is longer, and goes all the way back to the 19th century. Here's one summary:



The US did rearrange its neighborhood back in the 19th century, and that went well beyond Mexico, with the 1893 military invasion and overthrow of the Hawaiian monarchy. It's a neighborhood that stretched halfway around the world, all the way to Guam.


Here's just a short list of post-war coups and military interventions in Latin America alone:



and the rest:


A map of countries where the United States has militarily intervened / credit: Congressional Research Service

The United States launched at least 251 military interventions between 1991 and 2022.
This is according to a report by the Congressional Research Service, a U.S. government institution that compiles information on behalf of Congress.
The report documented another 218 U.S. military interventions between 1798 and 1990.
That makes for a total of 469 U.S. military interventions since 1798 that have been acknowledged by the Congress.



"Relatively limited actions"...


Big C
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sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

How about those 3 amigos?


Iraq was a massive f***-up and we should never forgive Bush for that. Even given that, it's not like the US actually wanted to annex Iraq as official territory or something. It's not the same as what Putin is doing in Ukraine.

The rest are relatively limited actions that don't come anywhere close to the wholesale invasion happening in Ukraine right now. Your deflections are pathetic.

I don't know. We get to invade any country, any time we want, even under false pretenses for the purposes of regime change (Iraq, pretty much also Vietnam... haven't looked closely enough to see if there are any more)?

Putin's invasion of Ukraine might be the most egregious (again, I don't know, how many people died in Vietnam?) and I am in no way whatsoever supporting him or his actions (and we are right to be supporting Ukraine). But while I like to think that my own country is "the good guys" -- and in this situation we are -- a look at our history tells me that we are not always so good.

And there was a time in each of our invasions where they were strongly supported by the American people, largely because of government propaganda. (Barbara Lee: profile in courage)

I think the United States is a great country that has also proven to have had great flaws.
sycasey
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Big C said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

How about those 3 amigos?


Iraq was a massive f***-up and we should never forgive Bush for that. Even given that, it's not like the US actually wanted to annex Iraq as official territory or something. It's not the same as what Putin is doing in Ukraine.

The rest are relatively limited actions that don't come anywhere close to the wholesale invasion happening in Ukraine right now. Your deflections are pathetic.

I don't know. We get to invade any country, any time we want, even under false pretenses for the purposes of regime change (Iraq, pretty much also Vietnam... haven't looked closely enough to see if there are any more)?

Putin's invasion of Ukraine might be the most egregious (again, I don't know, how many people died in Vietnam?) and I am in no way whatsoever supporting him or his actions (and we are right to be supporting Ukraine). But while I like to think that my own country is "the good guys" -- and in this situation we are -- a look at our history tells me that we are not always so good.

There was a time in each of our invasions where they were strongly supported by the American people, largely because of government propaganda. (Barbara Lee: profile in courage)

I think the United States is a great country that has also proven to have had great flaws.

And again: I generally do not support such actions by the US. But people like Cal88 are only using them as a way to deflect and distract from what Putin and his ilk are doing, to act like it's all fair and equivalent. No it isn't.

Just look at what he did above: posts a picture of Clinton, Bush, and Obama and then follows up with graphics detailing US military operations in the 60s, 70s, and 80s. What does any of that have to do with those guys? Nothing, it is just a big distraction and smokescreen.
dajo9
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Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Yeah, there are cultural divides in a lot of countries, including the United States. That doesn't mean that if Alaska doesn't vote for Joe Biden that Russia gets to invade there too.

The cultural divide in Ukraine is nothing like that in the US, not even close. If nearly half of the US spoke German since the late 1700s, you might start to approximate the divide in Ukraine.

The USA is a remarkably homogeneous newly settled country, with a highly mobile population, compared to all other large countries, especially those from the old world, where people from the other side of the river or mountain can have a very distinct ethno-linguistic background.

That lack of cultural perspective is one of the main reasons people don't seem to grasp the basic dynamics in post-Soviet and Maidan Coup Ukraine.


You try to make so much of language. It means nothing. My mother in law grew up in Switzerland and speaks German. She hates the "krauts" (her word, not mine). There can be a lot of reasons why people in Europe learn a language of a country they don't like - or grow not to like.
dajo9
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sycasey said:

Big C said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

How about those 3 amigos?


Iraq was a massive f***-up and we should never forgive Bush for that. Even given that, it's not like the US actually wanted to annex Iraq as official territory or something. It's not the same as what Putin is doing in Ukraine.

The rest are relatively limited actions that don't come anywhere close to the wholesale invasion happening in Ukraine right now. Your deflections are pathetic.

I don't know. We get to invade any country, any time we want, even under false pretenses for the purposes of regime change (Iraq, pretty much also Vietnam... haven't looked closely enough to see if there are any more)?

Putin's invasion of Ukraine might be the most egregious (again, I don't know, how many people died in Vietnam?) and I am in no way whatsoever supporting him or his actions (and we are right to be supporting Ukraine). But while I like to think that my own country is "the good guys" -- and in this situation we are -- a look at our history tells me that we are not always so good.

There was a time in each of our invasions where they were strongly supported by the American people, largely because of government propaganda. (Barbara Lee: profile in courage)

I think the United States is a great country that has also proven to have had great flaws.

And again: I generally do not support such actions by the US. But people like Cal88 are only using them as a way to deflect and distract from what Putin and his ilk are doing, to act like it's all fair and equivalent. No it isn't.

Just look at what he did above: posts a picture of Clinton, Bush, and Obama and then follows up with graphics detailing US military operations in the 60s, 70s, and 80s. What does any of that have to do with those guys? Nothing, it is just a big distraction and smokescreen.


Yes his propaganda memes are so bad. He's got that picture with Bill Clinton and the others claiming 11 million dead. His next post shows the very modest foreign interventions under Clinton. How many millions were killed by the U.S. in the 1994 Haiti intervention?

Many, many, many thousands more of civilians were killed during Trump compared to Clinton. The Clinton Presidency was the most peaceful period for America in my life (up until Biden).
tequila4kapp
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sycasey said:

Big C said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

How about those 3 amigos?


Iraq was a massive f***-up and we should never forgive Bush for that. Even given that, it's not like the US actually wanted to annex Iraq as official territory or something. It's not the same as what Putin is doing in Ukraine.

The rest are relatively limited actions that don't come anywhere close to the wholesale invasion happening in Ukraine right now. Your deflections are pathetic.

I don't know. We get to invade any country, any time we want, even under false pretenses for the purposes of regime change (Iraq, pretty much also Vietnam... haven't looked closely enough to see if there are any more)?

Putin's invasion of Ukraine might be the most egregious (again, I don't know, how many people died in Vietnam?) and I am in no way whatsoever supporting him or his actions (and we are right to be supporting Ukraine). But while I like to think that my own country is "the good guys" -- and in this situation we are -- a look at our history tells me that we are not always so good.

There was a time in each of our invasions where they were strongly supported by the American people, largely because of government propaganda. (Barbara Lee: profile in courage)

I think the United States is a great country that has also proven to have had great flaws.

And again: I generally do not support such actions by the US. But people like Cal88 are only using them as a way to deflect and distract from what Putin and his ilk are doing, to act like it's all fair and equivalent. No it isn't.

Just look at what he did above: posts a picture of Clinton, Bush, and Obama and then follows up with graphics detailing US military operations in the 60s, 70s, and 80s. What does any of that have to do with those guys? Nothing, it is just a big distraction and smokescreen.
Don't forget the 1890s…
dajo9
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These guys got millions killed and all the Republicans on this board loved them both and stlll try to lecture us about what is right after decades being wrong.
Cal88
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dajo9 said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Yeah, there are cultural divides in a lot of countries, including the United States. That doesn't mean that if Alaska doesn't vote for Joe Biden that Russia gets to invade there too.

The cultural divide in Ukraine is nothing like that in the US, not even close. If nearly half of the US spoke German since the late 1700s, you might start to approximate the divide in Ukraine.

The USA is a remarkably homogeneous newly settled country, with a highly mobile population, compared to all other large countries, especially those from the old world, where people from the other side of the river or mountain can have a very distinct ethno-linguistic background.

That lack of cultural perspective is one of the main reasons people don't seem to grasp the basic dynamics in post-Soviet and Maidan Coup Ukraine.


You try to make so much of language. It means nothing. My mother in law grew up in Switzerland and speaks German. She hates the "krauts" (her word, not mine). There can be a lot of reasons why people in Europe learn a language of a country they don't like - or grow not to like.

You have very little understanding of European national, ethnic and linguistic identity dynamics. The US is its own universe, it is very naive to transpose your particular framework onto the old world.

Switzerland has its own national identity, and they have been the example of a country with different linguistic communities coming together over the last several centuries to form a very united nation. Bern would never contemplate imposing German on the Valais or Ticino the way Kiev has been imposing Galician language and culture on the east and south of Ukraine, not in a million years.
dajo9
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Cal88 said:

dajo9 said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Yeah, there are cultural divides in a lot of countries, including the United States. That doesn't mean that if Alaska doesn't vote for Joe Biden that Russia gets to invade there too.

The cultural divide in Ukraine is nothing like that in the US, not even close. If nearly half of the US spoke German since the late 1700s, you might start to approximate the divide in Ukraine.

The USA is a remarkably homogeneous newly settled country, with a highly mobile population, compared to all other large countries, especially those from the old world, where people from the other side of the river or mountain can have a very distinct ethno-linguistic background.

That lack of cultural perspective is one of the main reasons people don't seem to grasp the basic dynamics in post-Soviet and Maidan Coup Ukraine.


You try to make so much of language. It means nothing. My mother in law grew up in Switzerland and speaks German. She hates the "krauts" (her word, not mine). There can be a lot of reasons why people in Europe learn a language of a country they don't like - or grow not to like.

You have very little understanding of European national, ethnic and linguistic identity dynamics. The US is its own universe, it is very naive to transpose your particular framework onto the old world.

Switzerland has its own national identity, and they have been the example of a country with different linguistic communities coming together over the last several centuries to form a very united nation. Bern would never contemplate imposing German on the Valais or Ticino the way Kiev has been imposing Galician language and culture on the east and south of Ukraine, not in a million years.
Yeah, that's why I was referencing my mother in law who grew up in Switzerland. Fact is - you just make stuff up.

Switzerland and Germany are responsible for millions of deaths in WWII
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