socaltownie said:
Lets put this into the category of wishful thinking.....
I read over the weekend something in the sub-genre of "Trump is actually a genius" that this is designed to force Powell into an emergency rate cut. Perhaps multiple over the course of the next 12 months. This, in turn, sets things up for a rebound that would be starting to get robust about 2028 (term three!!!) Or lets call it the reverse Paul Volker stragegy - short term pain.
Do you think the Fed panics? I don't see it cause there are inflation hawks right now on the policy committee and I think May's CPI will SUCK with the impact of the tariffs starting to be seen but no relief (yet) from consumer demand destruction.
Our friend ChatGPT:
**Jerome Powell's current term as Chair of the Federal Reserve** runs through **May 15, 2026**.Here's the breakdown:
- He was first appointed as Chair by President **Donald Trump** in **2018**.
- President **Joe Biden re-nominated** him in **2022**, and he was confirmed by the Senate.
- A **Fed Chair term lasts 4 years**, and Powell's **second term as Chair** began in **May 2022**.
Powell can still serve on the Federal Reserve Board after his chairmanship ends, since his **term as a Board member** runs through **January 31, 2028**, unless he resigns or is reappointed again as Chair.
As of now (April 2025), the **Federal Reserve Board of Governors** consists of **seven members**, each appointed by the President and confirmed by the Senate to serve staggered **14-year terms**. Here's the current lineup:
---
### **Federal Reserve Board of Governors (as of April 2025):**
| **Name** | **Position** | **Term Ends** | **Appointed By** |
|-----------------------------|-------------------------------|--------------------|-------------------------|
| **Jerome Powell** | Chair |
May 15, 2026 (Chair) / Jan 31, 2028 (Governor) | Trump (Governor, 2012), Chair by Trump (2018), reappointed Chair by Biden (2022) |
| **Philip Jefferson** | Vice Chair | Sept 7, 2036 | Biden (2022) |
| **Michael S. Barr** | Vice Chair for Supervision | Jan 31, 2032 | Biden (2022) |
| **Lisa Cook** | Governor | Jan 31, 2034 | Biden (2022) |
| **Adriana Kugler** | Governor |
Jan 31, 2026 | Biden (2023) |
| **Christopher Waller** | Governor | Jan 31, 2030 | Trump (2020) |
| **Michelle Bowman** | Governor | Jan 31, 2034 | Trump (2018), reappointed by Biden (2020) |
---
### Notes:
- The **Chair** and **Vice Chairs** are selected from among the Governors.
- Terms are **staggered**, expiring every two years to ensure continuity.
- A governor can serve beyond their term **until a successor is appointed and confirmed.**
- All seven positions are currently **filled**, which hasn't always been the case in past years.
Here are the **approximate ages** of the current Federal Reserve Board of Governors as of **April 2025**:
---
### **Federal Reserve Board of Governors Ages (April 2025)**
| **Name** | **Date of Birth** | **Approx. Age** |
|-------------------------|----------------------|------------------|
| **Jerome Powell** | Feb 4, 1953 | **72 years old** |
| **Philip Jefferson** | 1961 (exact date not public) | **63-64 years old** |
| **Michael S. Barr** | Jan 19, 1965 | **60 years old** |
| **Lisa Cook** | 1964 (exact date not public) | **60-61 years old** |
| **Adriana Kugler** | 1969 (exact date not public) | **55-56 years old** |
| **Christopher Waller** | 1959 | **65-66 years old** |
| **Michelle Bowman** | May 25, 1971 | **53 years old** |
---
the Federal Reserve Governors can lean more hawkish (favoring higher rates to fight inflation) or dovish (favoring lower rates to support employment and growth). Here's a general view of where each currently stands, based on public statements, past votes, and economic philosophy:
Federal Reserve Board of Governors Policy Leanings (as of 2025)
Name General Leaning Notes
Jerome Powell (Chair) Centrist / Slightly Hawkish Tries to balance growth and inflation; has leaned hawkish since inflation surged in 20212022 but is more flexible now.
Philip Jefferson (Vice Chair) Dovish / Pragmatic Known for emphasis on employment and equity; generally favors a cautious approach to tightening.
Michael S. Barr (Vice Chair for Supervision) Moderate / Slightly Hawkish Focuses on financial stability and regulation, but has supported rate hikes when needed.
Lisa Cook Dovish Prioritizes full employment and economic inclusion; typically favors accommodative policy.
Adriana Kugler Dovish Labor economist; stresses job market health and reducing inequality.
Christopher Waller Hawkish Outspoken proponent of rate hikes to combat inflation; market-moving statements.
Michelle Bowman Hawkish Strong on fighting inflation and critical of over-accommodation; often votes for higher rates.
Summary:
Dovish-leaning (favoring lower rates): Jefferson, Cook, Kugler
Centrist or mixed: Powell, Barr
Hawkish-leaning (favoring higher rates): Waller, Bowman
If the positions are staggered every two years then how did Biden get to a point so many?
Excellent observation and you're right to be curious. On paper, the **Fed Board of Governors has 7 seats**, each with a **14-year staggered term**, expiring every **even-numbered year** (e.g., 2024, 2026, etc.). That means **one seat opens every two years**, in theory.
But in **practice**, vacancies often arise **sooner** due to:
1. **Early resignations or retirements**
2. **Unfilled seats** that previous administrations didn't fill
3. **Promotions to Chair or Vice Chair** (which require re-confirmation)
4. **Reappointments** to new 14-year terms
---
### **How Biden got to appoint so many**
When President **Joe Biden** took office in **January 2021**, the Fed Board was **understaffed** only 5 of 7 seats were filled, and several terms were nearing expiration. Here's how things unfolded:
#### **1. Lisa Cook**
- Seat was **vacant** for years (since 2015)
- Appointed and confirmed in 2022
#### **2. Philip Jefferson**
- Filled the seat vacated by **Richard Clarida** (who resigned in early 2022)
- Appointed in 2022
#### **3. Michael S. Barr**
- Filled the role of **Vice Chair for Supervision**, after Biden's first nominee Sarah Bloom Raskin withdrew
- Appointed in 2022
#### **4. Adriana Kugler**
- Filled the seat vacated by **Lael Brainard**, who became Director of the National Economic Council in 2023
- Confirmed in 2023
#### **5. Reappointed Jerome Powell as Chair**
- Though originally appointed by Trump, Biden reappointed him in 2022
#### **6. Reappointed Michelle Bowman**
- Bowman was originally nominated by Trump but reappointed by Biden in 2020 when her term expired
---
### Summary
So while only **one new term opens every 2 years**, Biden was able to nominate **4 entirely new members** and **reappoint 2 others** due to **vacancies, resignations, and expiring terms**.
It's not uncommon for presidents to fill multiple seats during one term if the timing aligns with turnover and Biden's term coincided with a lot of reshuffling at the Fed.
Would you like to see how that compares to how many Trump or Obama appointed during their terms?