Political polls. Trump approval thread

9,426 Views | 140 Replies | Last: 8 hrs ago by DiabloWags
PAC-10-BEAR
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In reply to chazzed • 5:48p, 4/22/26
I declare the poll bull shat.
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DiabloWags
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In reply to PAC-10-BEAR • 8:26p, 4/22/26
PAC-10-BEAR said:
I declare the poll bull shat.


You're gonna LOVE November!
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BearlySane88
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11:58a, 4/23/26


This is from one of the top three private polling firms as rated by 538
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PAC-10-BEAR
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In reply to DiabloWags • 12:18p, 4/23/26
DiabloWags said:
PAC-10-BEAR said:
I declare the poll bull shat.

You're gonna LOVE November!

You're going to HATE November!

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DiabloWags
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In reply to PAC-10-BEAR • 12:25p, 4/23/26
Wanna make a friendly bet?
Or should I not waste my time making such an offer and going right to a platform that will take my bet?

2026 Midterm Elections predictions & odds | Polymarket



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PAC-10-BEAR
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In reply to DiabloWags • 12:28p, 4/23/26
DiabloWags said:
Wanna make a friendly bet?
Or should I not waste my time making such an offer and going right to a platform that will take my bet?

Go to Polymarket or Kalshi.
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chazzed
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In reply to PAC-10-BEAR • 5:29p, 4/23/26
PAC-10-BEAR said:
I declare the poll bull shat.

We hope the majority of decision-makers in the GOP believe the same thing. Republicans should double down and continue bending the knee to 47.
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PAC-10-BEAR
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In reply to chazzed • 6:04p, 4/23/26
chazzed said:
PAC-10-BEAR said:
I declare the poll bull shat.

We hope the majority of decision-makers in the GOP believe the same thing. Republicans should double down and continue bending the knee to 47.

I think Kamala is still up 4 points in Iowa in the latest poll. : )
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Cal88
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2:59p, 4/25/26
Some people are still in denial.

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Cal88
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12:15p, 4/28/26



You'd have to go back to Herbert Hoover for those kind of numbers, and the economic fallout from the Iran war could get a lot worse still.
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chazzed
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In reply to Cal88 • 11:09a, 4/29/26
Yeah, it will take a few months for the effects of this ill-advised war to be fully felt.
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chazzed
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11:11a, 4/29/26
It seems that 47 is reaching new lows every week.

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Cal88
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1:42p, 4/29/26
Reports of Trump being popular with Catholics are bogus.


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chazzed
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6:17p, 5/1/26
Stay the course, 47.

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sycasey
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6:48p, 5/1/26
Hispanic voters have long been swingy. Anyone who thinks they have a permanent majority there is fooling themselves.
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PAC-10-BEAR
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In reply to chazzed • 7:01p, 5/1/26
chazzed said:
Stay the course, 47.

According to your graphic notes, the Feb 2025 survey sampled 148 Hispanic Trump voters with an effective sample size of 95.
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chazzed
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In reply to sycasey • 9:39p, 5/1/26
sycasey said:
Hispanic voters have long been swingy. Anyone who thinks they have a permanent majority there is fooling themselves.

You're right. I don't think it's permanent. As long as Hispanics see how unhinged the GOP has become--because Republican politicians don't stand up to Trump--the midterns will go well. And the havoc that this GOP war will wreak on the economy will last quite a while.
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PAC-10-BEAR
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In reply to chazzed • 1:04a, 5/2/26
chazzed said:
sycasey said:
Hispanic voters have long been swingy. Anyone who thinks they have a permanent majority there is fooling themselves.

You're right. I don't think it's permanent. As long as Hispanics see how unhinged the GOP has become--because Republican politicians don't stand up to Trump--the midterns will go well. And the havoc that this GOP war will wreak on the economy will last quite a while.

We are an eternity away from November. In 2024, the Democrats didn't overthrow Biden until summertime?
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SBGold
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6:54a, 5/2/26
Some good new info from Wags on Trump polling:

https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/trump-approval-rating-low-inflation-143518385.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall&guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly9iZWFyaW5zaWRlci5jb20v&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAMTCjjvyh_EgB2ZqME6cKHY159oQ7MXHfMq8mF4dctgS0UWauSEWhWp6izrCmJlQE91dig9MRNd1jZ6f0wnAOeGGuDbv1EhasD7GPCW4ECptgcwKgcKWsXDpNTLyE4z8g6IFnzfLF1XQPhVDWK6FknoU52kWr-5jQ7zILD94xJkD

Ouch, scale broken

VOITE BLUE AND VOTE GAVIN
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Cal88
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6:57a, 5/2/26
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Anarchistbear
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7:39a, 5/2/26


The Chief explains cognitive tests, and we thought it was just reading the hands on a clock
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BearlySane88
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In reply to Anarchistbear • 7:39a, 5/2/26
Biden's might have been
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PAC-10-BEAR
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5:34p, 5/2/26
Biden could have also gotten away with a Nazi tattoo on his chest.
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DiabloWags
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7:39a, 5/5/26
One of our fellow alums claims that prices are up "a little bit"
He must be in the minority.

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DiabloWags
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7:42a, 5/5/26








Two-thirds of Americans say country is headed in the wrong direction: ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos poll - ABC News
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DiabloWags
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10:04a, 5/5/26
From these polling numbers, apparently the AFFORDABILITY CRISIS is not a myth.

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BearlySane88
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10:37a, 5/5/26


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DiabloWags
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In reply to BearlySane88 • 10:48a, 5/5/26






April 2026 National Poll: Democrats Hold 10-Point Midterm Advantage over Republicans - Emerson Polling
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sycasey
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In reply to BearlySane88 • 11:06a, 5/5/26
BearlySane88 said:

Dems hit a high with this under Obama, then saw the numbers slip gradually post-Trump. But if you look all the way back to GW Bush then you'll see that Republicans used to do those kinds of numbers in the past too. The Hispanic vote is just very swingy, not as loyally Dem as the Black vote.

Part of that, of course, is that "Hispanic" describes a number of different nationalities and cultural identities who don't all agree with each other.
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PAC-10-BEAR
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In reply to sycasey • 11:57a, 5/5/26
It looks to me since Trump entered the political arena, Hispanics increasingly voted Republican.
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PAC-10-BEAR
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11:58a, 5/5/26
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sycasey
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In reply to PAC-10-BEAR • 12:00p, 5/5/26
PAC-10-BEAR said:
It looks to me since Trump entered the political arena, Hispanics increasingly voted Republican.

And when Obama entered they swung heavily to the Dems. As I said: swingy.
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Aunburdened
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In reply to PAC-10-BEAR • 12:02p, 5/5/26
PAC-10-BEAR said:

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PAC-10-BEAR
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In reply to sycasey • 3:17p, 5/5/26
sycasey said:
PAC-10-BEAR said:
It looks to me since Trump entered the political arena, Hispanics increasingly voted Republican.

And when Obama entered they swung heavily to the Dems. As I said: swingy.

Not much of a "swing" to Obama. Hispanics overwhelmingly voted Democrat for decades.
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sycasey
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In reply to PAC-10-BEAR • 4:40p, 5/5/26
PAC-10-BEAR said:
sycasey said:
PAC-10-BEAR said:
It looks to me since Trump entered the political arena, Hispanics increasingly voted Republican.

And when Obama entered they swung heavily to the Dems. As I said: swingy.

Not much of a "swing" to Obama. Hispanics overwhelmingly voted Democrat for decades.

As I said, George W. Bush got numbers similar to Trump's in 2024.
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