sycasey said:

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BearlySane88 said:

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sycasey said:

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DiabloWags said:

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FROM NATE SILVER:



Trump Approval Rating: Latest Polls | Silver Bulletin

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Rule of thumb: if the poll is from Rasmussen or Trafalgar, chances are it's the lone outlier with sunnier results for Trump.

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Then the same can be said for every left leaning poll lol. What's your point?

What about cnn and pew which showed polling for Biden at dismal numbers? Should we discredit those too?

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No, I think Biden legitimately had poor approval at the end of his term.

Take an average of all the polls, as Nate Silver does. That's the best snapshot.

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Biden had poor approval almost his entire presidency. After Afghanistan, it was all bad.

The snapshot is good in theory if you have the same number of left leaning and right leaning polls represented

BearlySane88 said:

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sycasey said:

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BearlySane88 said:

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sycasey said:

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DiabloWags said:

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FROM NATE SILVER:



Trump Approval Rating: Latest Polls | Silver Bulletin

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Rule of thumb: if the poll is from Rasmussen or Trafalgar, chances are it's the lone outlier with sunnier results for Trump.

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Then the same can be said for every left leaning poll lol. What's your point?

What about cnn and pew which showed polling for Biden at dismal numbers? Should we discredit those too?

---

No, I think Biden legitimately had poor approval at the end of his term.

Take an average of all the polls, as Nate Silver does. That's the best snapshot.

---

Biden had poor approval almost his entire presidency. After Afghanistan, it was all bad.

The snapshot is good in theory if you have the same number of left leaning and right leaning polls represented

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Yeah, that's the point of creating an average of all the polls.

sycasey said:

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BearlySane88 said:

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sycasey said:

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BearlySane88 said:

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sycasey said:

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DiabloWags said:

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FROM NATE SILVER:



Trump Approval Rating: Latest Polls | Silver Bulletin

---

Rule of thumb: if the poll is from Rasmussen or Trafalgar, chances are it's the lone outlier with sunnier results for Trump.

---

Then the same can be said for every left leaning poll lol. What's your point?

What about cnn and pew which showed polling for Biden at dismal numbers? Should we discredit those too?

---

No, I think Biden legitimately had poor approval at the end of his term.

Take an average of all the polls, as Nate Silver does. That's the best snapshot.

---

Biden had poor approval almost his entire presidency. After Afghanistan, it was all bad.

The snapshot is good in theory if you have the same number of left leaning and right leaning polls represented

---

Yeah, that's the point of creating an average of all the polls.

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Yes, I understand that. My critic is that if you average 10 left leaning polls and 5 right leaning polls, the end result is skewed left. I don't know the answer, is it an even split left/right in his average?

To be fair, I put little weight in polls either way. They are a barometer but they certainly never tell the whole story. Data analysis is as flawed as it is beautiful

BearlySane88 said:

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sycasey said:

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BearlySane88 said:

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sycasey said:

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BearlySane88 said:

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sycasey said:

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DiabloWags said:

---

FROM NATE SILVER:



Trump Approval Rating: Latest Polls | Silver Bulletin

---

Rule of thumb: if the poll is from Rasmussen or Trafalgar, chances are it's the lone outlier with sunnier results for Trump.

---

Then the same can be said for every left leaning poll lol. What's your point?

What about cnn and pew which showed polling for Biden at dismal numbers? Should we discredit those too?

---

No, I think Biden legitimately had poor approval at the end of his term.

Take an average of all the polls, as Nate Silver does. That's the best snapshot.

---

Biden had poor approval almost his entire presidency. After Afghanistan, it was all bad.

The snapshot is good in theory if you have the same number of left leaning and right leaning polls represented

---

Yeah, that's the point of creating an average of all the polls.

---

Yes, I understand that. My critic is that if you average 10 left leaning polls and 5 right leaning polls, the end result is skewed left. I don't know the answer, is it an even split left/right in his average?

To be fair, I put little weight in polls either way. They are a barometer but they certainly never tell the whole story. Data analysis is as flawed as it is beautiful

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Models like Nate Silver's tend to weight polls depending on past performance. So if a poll tends to overvalue Republicans then he will weight that accordingly. No model will be perfect but he makes a good faith effort IMO and is usually very close.

sycasey said:

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Take an average of all the polls, as Nate Silver does. That's the best snapshot.

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Except when most polls skew left, and therefore, incorrect.

In wet, rainy conditions the much maligned JAKE MOODY kicks the game winner on the road to put the Chicago BEARS back on top with their 3rd straight win

FG's of 48, 47, 41, and 38.

Bears 25
Commanders 24

Another ...

"Meanwhile in Italy

"The 400 Year Old Monastery of Bernaga has just been burned to ashes & now lies in ruins.

"Thankfully all the Nuns escaped the blaze.

"All these fires can't simply be by accident - they keep on happening almost daily."

LOSER.

🚨BREAKING

THE WHALE WHO MADE $191M SHORTING MINUTES BEFORE TRUMP’S CHINA TARIFF NEWS…

🚨 JUST DOUBLED HIS POSITION — NOW SITTING ON A $500M $BTC SHORT

INCOMING NUKE? 👀 https://t.co/247k844S3L pic.twitter.com/GXFGLbViyc

— AlΞx Wacy 🌐 (@wacy_time1) October 14, 2025

> Let's start the celebration off with a hypocritical Land Acknowledgement!

had to look it up, huh, thanks BC..
> A land acknowledgement is a formal statement that acknowledges the indigenous peoples of the land. It may be in written form, or be spoken at the beginning of public events. The custom of land acknowledgement is present in Canada, Australia, and New Zealand, and more recently in the United States. Wikipedia

unfollowing "Tony" <click>

Letitia James niece / tenant on the lame. Opps.

https://instagr.am/p/DPxKT2PDtvY