Unit2Sucks;842852983 said:
Perhaps you can muster a defense where Cal88 hasn't even bothered.
Hold my beer.
sycasey;842852940 said:
If you've gotten wise to Cal88's strategy, you may have figured this out already, but just to go over this.
Here he is comparing a survey done by credentialed scientists from NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) to an informal survey done by "Kenneth Richard," which is an Internet alias for a climate denier named Rick Cina. Does he have any credentials in climate science? No.
http://notrickszone.com/2016/12/16/current-solar-cycle-weakest-in-2-centuries-and-grant-fosters-far-fetched-model-claims/comment-page-1/#comment-1154323
The blog is run by Pierre Gosselin, who is also not a credentialed scientist:
http://notrickszone.com/about-pierre-gosselin/#sthash.BY4WyEPc.dpbs
However, he has been known to misrepresent claims about global climate change and the scientific consensus surrounding it before:
http://blog.hotwhopper.com/2016/07/wuwt-shows-that-999-of-recent-papers.html
I also do not purport to be a climate scientist, so I wouldn't expect anyone to take my interpretations of scientific papers more seriously than NOAA either. However, just in looking at the quotes from the papers provided in Cal88's link, I already see some things that look pretty questionable as support for "global cooling." Some of them only actually describe temperature changes in the Northern Hemisphere (which is not "global," as you might have guessed). Some of them only describe temperature changes over a certain number of years but do not necessarily predict that the cooling trend will continue. Some of them are really just papers that express doubts about the effect of CO2 on global temperature changes (which I and the sources I link to already acknowledge was still not clear in the 1970s, much clearer now) and don't mention global cooling. Cal88, of course, is lumping these in with the others in an attempt to prove a "global cooling" scientific consensus at the time.
So just looking at those examples already has me skeptical that this guy is not on the level. The fact that he publishes under a pseudonym on a site called "No Tricks Zone" also seems fishy. And the fact that he admits himself that he does not have any formal education in the sciences makes me think that he is probably not qualified to review scientific papers and determine what they are saying about global climate change.
So again, this comes down to who you want to believe: actual credentialed scientists or bloggers who post under fake names?
This is the equivalent of Cumberland frantically trying to to work the ref down by 176 pts to Georgia Tech in the 4th quarter.
Because the score here is 220-44 Sy, 220 scientific papers on global cooling versus 44 on global warming in the 1960s/70s period studied. An 83.3% to 16.7% blowout.
And here you are Sy, nitpicking about how the northern hemisphere, with 90% of the world population and over 2/3 of the land mass is [U]NOT[/U] indicative of global temperature, no siree!
You're telling us that we should believe Connolley, the Climate Scientist[SUP][/SUP] from NOAA, who somehow could only manage to find SEVEN scientific papers about global cooling in the period he studied, and not believe that shady blogger who somehow managed to find and list 213 additional published scientific studies on global cooling just from that 1965-79 period,
neatly presented and repertoried on his blog (LINK)?
Maybe Connolley, the Climate Scientist[SUP][/SUP] from NOAA, doesn't believe that the National Academy of Science actually exists, because they've published a study in 1975 stating that " Since the 1940’s, mean temperatures have declined and are now nearly halfway back to the 1880 levels.There seems little doubt that the present period of unusual warmth will eventually give way to a time of colder climate". That 1975 study was left out from his survey of 1970s studies.
Or maybe Connolley, the Climate Scientist[SUP][/SUP] from NOAA, doesn't actually believe that the Central Intelligence Agency actually exists, because they've published a study in 1974 stating that "22 out of 27 forecasting methods examined predicted a cooling trend through the remainder of this century". That 1974 study was left out from his survey of 1970s studies.
OK, so you can forgive Connolley for missing those two studies, and maybe even the other 210 sicentific studies on global cooling from 1965-79 he's managed to miss on top of these two studies... But when Connolley, the Climate Scientist[SUP][/SUP] from NOAA doesn't even mention the 1974 publication from NOAA, an article in their official quarterly review that states the following:
"Some climatologists think that the present cooling trend may be the start of a slide into another period of major glaciation, popularly called an “ice age.”, well then you know that the guy is really full of it.
Even when he and Peterson get called for their con job trying to hide the fact of the scientific consensus on global cooling in the 1960s/70s by claiming there were only 7 studies on global cooling instead of hundreds, they don't bother to retract that rigged survey of theirs, because they know that they can get away with this kind of gross manipulation, I mean everyone knows that those deniers are a fishy bunch.