jyamada;842487783 said:
Regarding "settled science":
Please provide examples of any global warming/climate change advocates who have used the term "settled science".
Is Dajo9 considered a global warming/climate change advocate?
jyamada;842487783 said:
Regarding "settled science":
Please provide examples of any global warming/climate change advocates who have used the term "settled science".
TummyoftheGB;842487800 said:
Finally, some much-needed action….Congressional appropriations bill contains targeted cuts to climate change research at the National Science Foundation. Because, you know, the U.S. Reps are not scientists, but they know junk science when they hear about it through reliable sources (such as the Bearinsider Forum). What's especially ironic is that almost none of my climate science colleagues are especially political--we're not, as a discipline, advocating any particular solution. Some of us favor nuclear, some favor sequestration, some favor (rapid) conversion to solar, some favor emphasis on efficiency. But I guess the messenger must be shot, regardless.
By the way, I don't have the time and energy to correct all the complete and utter falsehoods that are being thrown out by the OP and those that have agreed in this thread. I guess that's what they're hoping for. I will say that they are on the tin foil hat level of "we staged the moon landing".
68great;842487868 said:
good point. Lest we forget while a number of posters on this board are wringing their hands over Solyndra, China is going full bore on solar energy. They are throwing buckets of money into becoming the world leader in solar and alternate energy. Why? Are the leaders of China just plain fools? NO! They will control the economy of tomorrow. The US will control the economy of yesterday. Guess which one will win.
I for one do not want the US to concede the alternate energy market to China. We need to develop the technologies and the markets to keep the US relevant in the new economy.
China is not timid about investing in this technology since they know that it will be profitable in the long run.
Quote:
New Electric Production Capability Added in China During 2013
The new year brought some deserved celebration of the advance of renewable energy in China, as the government announced nearly 8 gigawatts of wind power additions and 3.6 gigawatts of new solar installed during 2013. But as I’ve previously pointed out, it is important to keep this laudable progress in perspective compared to the still staggeringly large annual increase in new China coal power capacity.
Not everyone did so. In a January 4 article entitled “China Roars Ahead with Renewables,” for example, The Ecologist magazine claimed: “Reports of China opening a huge new coal fired power station every week belie the reality – China is the new global powerhouse for renewable energy…It means that the growth of its electric power system – that underpins the entire modernization and industrialization of the country – is now being powered more by renewables than by fossil fuels.” The report concluded, “These results reveal just how strongly China is swinging behind renewables as its primary energy resource…”
Unfortunately, this rosy picture is not justified by the numbers. Once again, in 2013, coal was the big winner. As the graph below shows, when adjusted for capacity factor (the amount of energy each gigawatt of capacity puts out in a year), it’s clear that new fossil energy output in China, most of it coal, exceeded new wind energy by six times and solar by 27 times:
Quote:
Similarly exaggerated is the article’s claim that this trend “will have a dramatic impact on China’s carbon emissions, slowing their growth and hastening the year when they will actually start falling.” Given the relative youth of China’s coal plants – the vast majority of them have been built since 1990 – they are unlikely to be bulldozed anytime soon. If their carbon is not abated, they will be emitting for another half century, with a carbon overhang of centuries.
In case you’re in any doubt about the longevity of this trend, Reuters carried a story three days later entitled “China Approves Massive New Coal Capacity Despite Pollution Fears” that delivered some sobering facts (emphasis added):
China approved the construction of more than 100 million tonnes of new coal production capacity in 2013 – six times more than a year earlier and equal to 10 percent of U.S. annual usage . . . The scale of the increase, which only includes major mines, reflects Beijing’s aim to put 860 million tonnes of new coal production capacity into operation over the five years to 2015, more than the entire annual output of India.
As we showed in a previous post, even under the most aggressive renewable development scenarios, roughly two thirds of China’s power in 2030 will come from fossil energy, the vast majority of it coal.
Much as one might wish that wind and solar (and for some, nuclear) were sending Chinese coal into the sunset, the facts suggest otherwise. Until we scale up carbon capture and storage, these ongoing China coal trends will continue to be an unmitigated climate disaster.
wifeisafurd;842487867 said:
Your misread the number. The .2 is based on all domestic emissions. That means, for example, I take away your computer since it runs on electricity, I close all schools, I take away all sporting events, all travel, anything that runs on power derived from fossil fuels, likely your job, and I could go on. What your not getting is what is being proposed by the Feds will have just a marginal impact at best of that .2 The concept that the earth getting warm in not a good measure for global warning makes me even more skeptical of an agenda. If you want to say carbon emissions in the environment are unhealthy, that is another thing all together. I get that, but than becomes from a regulatory standpoint a balancing act, and is real different from global warming.
The concept of abstraction is interesting since the whole concept of global warming is based on abstracts and modeling with assumptions. The scientists look at today's world trends and predict. That is why you see such a wide variance in predicted temperatures. Your dismissing the IPCC is going where I don't know any scientist that believes in global warming goes - these are the big names in the area. To now dismiss their work as an abstraction strikes me as dismissing essentially all the science out there. No one knows exactly what the impact of global warming will be, and to insist upon that strikes me as something I expect out of non-believers, not skeptics or believers.
In terms of global emissions, i know people like to point at China and the US because they are the two biggest emitters, but what about the other 2/3 of the world emissions? You gonna get a treaty with Russia, whose primary resource is oil and kill their economy?
GB54;842487876 said:
China derives 1% of its energy from renewables; 69% from coal, 18% from oil. Full bore is mostly a Potemkin village at this stage
http://www.eia.gov/countries/cab.cfm?fips=ch
68great;842487888 said:
Of Course its main sources of energy right now are coal and oil. I did not say they were not. Why, becaue China wants to grow right now.
But it is looking beyond the "right now" to the future and it is preparing to dominate the age of alternate energy.
The US is already well set up to take advantage of the "right now" energy economy. It needs to prepare for the future.
As we dither and debate about whther there is global warming and whehter Man is accelerating the global warming and what oh what are we to do.
We will be left behind in the future.
GB54;842487894 said:
There is no reason to suppose that China by its actions or investments is better planned for the future than we are. Quite the contrary we have a much more diversified energy mix. 10% of our energy mix comes from renewables as opposed to 1% from China, so we are leading not them.
68great;842487914 said:
Here are two small examples.
Let's say that some one in the US wants to buy solar panels. US manufacturers are being under cut by Chinese made solar panels since the Chinese government gives financial support to these manufacturers. The current Republican controlled Congress does not want another Solyndra so it stops supporting US manufacturefs of solar panels. Guess what, guys. In a few years the manufacturing market for solar panels is controlled by which country. yes, it's name begins with a "C" and we don't mean Cal. So will the US have the lead in this facet of alternate energy.
I understand that China is getting into supporting the electric vehicles and is setting up huge plants for Tesla in China. Soon thereafter we in the US will be buying the electric cars made in China.
But not to worry, the US is the best of the best and we will always maintain the leadership of the world in all things. So lets not talk about implementing national alternate energy initiatives. Let's forever debate whether Global Warming is real and, if so, whether man has added to it.
oski003;842487916 said:
Or how about this... China is powering its solar panel manufacturing with coal plants (and child labor). My mind is blown!
68great;842487914 said:
Here are two small examples.
Let's say that some one in the US wants to buy solar panels. US manufacturers are being under cut by Chinese made solar panels since the Chinese government gives financial support to these manufacturers. The current Republican controlled Congress does not want another Solyndra so it stops supporting US manufacturefs of solar panels. Guess what, guys. In a few years the manufacturing market for solar panels is controlled by which country. yes, it's name begins with a "C" and we don't mean Cal. So will the US have the lead in this facet of alternate energy.
I understand that China is getting into supporting the electric vehicles and is setting up huge plants for Tesla in China. Soon thereafter we in the US will be buying the electric cars made in China.
But not to worry, the US is the best of the best and we will always maintain the leadership of the world in all things. So lets not talk about implementing national alternate energy initiatives. Let's forever debate whether Global Warming is real and, if so, whether man has added to it.
68great;842487868 said:
good point. Lest we forget while a number of posters on this board are wringing their hands over Solyndra, China is going full bore on solar energy. They are throwing buckets of money into becoming the world leader in solar and alternate energy. Why? Are the leaders of China just plain fools? NO! They will control the economy of tomorrow. The US will control the economy of yesterday. Guess which one will win.
I for one do not want the US to concede the alternate energy market to China. We need to develop the technologies and the markets to keep the US relevant in the new economy.
China is not timid about investing in this technology since they know that it will be profitable in the long run.
FCBear;842487990 said:
Some of you questioning Big Science need to get with the program...or a re-education camp...
NYCGOBEARS;842487993 said:
Someone please wake me when The Rapture comes.
FCBear;842488000 said:
It's more of a Rupture...
Cal_Fan2;842487782 said:
I already made my thought known on the "blob" thread which run close to yours but I also agree there are many extreme right wingers who sound foolish or down right stupid on this subject as well, but I digress. I mentioned the nuclear power in that thread and that is what really burns me. I have gone to certain lengths to admit some/several/many on the right do fabricate/ignore science but it really isn't the majority. The majority are doing things for political reasons, but the same guys here who vilify the right ignore the hypocrisy of the left also. 65% of those same AAAS scientists who believe in AGW also say we should be building more nuclear plants. Even Obama wants more natural gas. Just over the weekend when I simpleton like me is still reading up on these things, I read several articles from enviros that don't want either nuclear OR natural gas....WTF?....I mean, now it is the psychology of nuclear power being bad and methane is almost as bad as CO2. This is what gets me.
GB54;842487894 said:
There is no reason to suppose that China by its actions or investments is better planned for the future than we are. Quite the contrary we have a much more diversified energy mix. 10% of our energy mix comes from renewables as opposed to 1% from China, so we are leading not them.
68great;842487914 said:
Here are two small examples.
Let's say that some one in the US wants to buy solar panels. US manufacturers are being under cut by Chinese made solar panels since the Chinese government gives financial support to these manufacturers. The current Republican controlled Congress does not want another Solyndra so it stops supporting US manufacturefs of solar panels. Guess what, guys. In a few years the manufacturing market for solar panels is controlled by which country. yes, it's name begins with a "C" and we don't mean Cal. So will the US have the lead in this facet of alternate energy.
I understand that China is getting into supporting the electric vehicles and is setting up huge plants for Tesla in China. Soon thereafter we in the US will be buying the electric cars made in China.
But not to worry, the US is the best of the best and we will always maintain the leadership of the world in all things. So lets not talk about implementing national alternate energy initiatives. Let's forever debate whether Global Warming is real and, if so, whether man has added to it.
NYCGOBEARS;842488005 said:
Only for Michelle Bachmann.
FCBear;842488031 said:
Sexist microagression...you might set off triggers...
Cal_Fan2;842488041 said:
Get out of here you commie bastard....or bring donuts....whatever.
BerlinerBaer;842488024 said:
I'm a big fan of nuclear power. We really need to invest in new nuke technology, as it really can be clean if done right. The plants running in this country are all 60 year old dinosaurs. We can and should do better.
Ah, but an authoritarian government need only say "make it so" and a portion of its GDP will be directed toward whatever it wants. Here, we have to go through congress. They lack the economy. We lack the political will. I don't know what's worse.
Yes, the US needs to subsidize solar panel makers if it wants to compete, but why on earth would we want to subsidize plain 'ol silicon? They are too energy intensive to produce. Even the wafers made for computers are manufactured in Asia nowadays.
Instead, save the cash and spend it on research. Perovskites are very interesting materials that may be the replacement for Si.
I don't see your Tesla point. Still an American company, regardless of where their factories are.
NYCGOBEARS;842488005 said:
Only for Michelle Bachmann.
JimSox;842488079 said:
As the song says, "We're having a heat wave." Lots of 'em! (And rainstorms, too.)
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/04/28/science/new-study-links-weather-extremes-to-global-warming.html?ref=science&_r=0
GB54;842487887 said:
I don't understand what you are doing here WIAF-The US currently produces 19% of global carbon dioxide. Over the next 15 years that will reduce to about 15-16%-why not talk in this language as opposed to a temperature rise language which is not only another "model but relatively useless as a lingua franca
sycasey;842487493 said:
That doesn't even make sense. Government regulation would probably impact everyone, that's the whole point. What arguments do you hear "affluent liberals" making that would have the government enacting environmental policies that do not impact them? Specifics please.
I'm only one guy, so there's only so much I can do. I live in an apartment building, so I can't really use solar panels. The last time I needed to buy a car I decided to buy a hybrid. I take public transit to work.
Well, in this country we have one very large political party that essentially takes the position that global warming doesn't exist. Given that, it's very hard to get any significant government action to happen in the first place. So come back and ask me when it actually happens.
Also, any actions that have been taken in recent years (for example, the Obama administration's efforts to invest in renewable energy) would not bear any fruit for many years. So again, check back with me in a decade or so. There are no quick fixes.
The UN thinks we should do nothing about global warming? That's news to me. Where did you get that?
But it does appear your position is "Let's do nothing" so thanks for clarifying that at least.
wifeisafurd;842488224 said:
Most hard core environmentalists believe the only action is a worldwide carbon tax, and while they may be right, its not going to happen any time soon. You can go on the internet to find out why.
sycasey;842488238 said:
I would agree with that. I mean, in theory it would be great, but probably not practical.
BearGoggles;842487692 said:
You really discredit yourself by quoting the 97% figure that has been thrown out there in a very misleading way. http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamestaylor/2013/05/30/global-warming-alarmists-caught-doctoring-97-percent-consensus-claims/
There is absolutely no consensus - much less scientific proof - of the amount of human contributions to climate change or even the amount of climate change itself (due to data disagreements).
If as you say the IPCC outlined several possible outcomes (I believe you), why did we only hear about one of them? The very worst one? This is the chicken little syndrome I referred to. It is no longer science, but advocacy. And that is a big part of the problem. Let's discuss all the possibilities, rather than only very worst one. Instead, we're told that we must accept the very worst outcome (unsupported by prior predictions) as settled. Of course, the very worst outcome also supports the need for more government $$ for these very same "scientists" - they have a financial and political stake too.
I have no idea how or why you can claim I don't want to know the truth. Just because I don't blindly accept "your truth" - which you must admit is not based on a proven scientific model - that doesn't mean I don't want to know the answer (i.e., to what extent humans are causing climate change and what that means for future climate). Unlike you, I don't pretend to know. The reason (some) conservatives jumped on the duke study is because of people who claim the matter is 97% "settled" and beyond discussion or debate.
I have kids and, like you, care about their future (yes, non-progressives love our children too and even think about their future. We also think about humanity in general.). Here are things that concern me far more than global warning (in no particular order).
1. Poverty - domestic and worldwide. Cheap energy helps mitigate this by the way. http://www.realclearscience.com/articles/2013/07/08/climate_change_isnt_worlds_biggest_problem_106585.html
2. Healthcare - quality and cost, not just universal coverage
3. The mounting national debt and generational theft that is taking money from my children as we speak. What happens when bond interest rates return to historical norms?
4. The rising cost of higher education.
5. The lagging economy, particularly poor job growth and wage stagnation.
6. Our country's decaying infrastructure.
7. Chinese expansionism.
8. Cancer
9. Instability in Pakistan
10.Iran with a nuclear weapon.
11. Iran's expansionism in the middle east
12. Russian aggression and expansionism.
Each of the problems above is a far greater threat (if not actuality) than global warming. Yet progressives are obsessed with fossil fuels. Yes - I know we can multi-task. But the climate alarmism - which is not supported by current scientific understanding - receives disproportionate attention. I'm sure you do care about your children - and I submit that the above are far more threatening to them than climate change.
FCBear;842488392 said:
If you can't stand evolution then get out of the environment.....I'm excited for GW....
Cal_Fan2;842487801 said:
I know YOU do, and I agree with YOU about moving forward on renewables regardless of who is right or how fast climate change is progressing. But I wasn't writing to you sycasey, I'm writing to all the posters who are bashing others for their beliefs. Fine, bash away, but answer my question (not you sycasey) about what fuels we can use now or use as a bridge. I'd like them to address what many on the left say about these issues since they seem to want to speak for everyone on the right....count me in as one of the ones that want to make changes with YOU sycasey towards a cleaner and vibrant tomorrow....
Bobodeluxe;842488396 said:
Bush?
FCBear;842488400 said:
I'm always excited for Bush...
wifeisafurd;842488398 said:
I guess I am going to jump in. One thing that pissed me off about the EPA global warming landfill guidelines is it attacks one of those things we in California like to think are renewables. Most Cali County Sanitation Districts trap gases from landfills (so they are not released) and pipe them into Gas to Energy facilities which maintain emission levels well below those required by the various Air Quality Management District and most other renewable sources of energy, and are huge providers of alternatives to SCE and PG&E. This is important since we are channeling people to using electric cars, etc. that electricity be produced by less fossil fuels. Nevertheless, because of the new Federal rules equated these facilities with a landfill since they are physically placed at a landfill, they are shutting down unless our Senators get a fix, and there will instead be methane emitted into the atmosphere. So if renewables are going to part of the focus, I hope someone with greater brain capacity is administering the government side of the effort in the future.
burritos;842488354 said:
Why even try? Humans only react to crisis.