movielover said:
??Minsk said that Prigozhin accepted Lukashenka's proposal to stop the movement of the Wagner PMC. So it's all over as I thought it would be at the end of the day! Sorry guys from the Western press or propaganda have to think of a new story! https://t.co/RhvOJ8QISh pic.twitter.com/kkHlNwcBNQ
— sonja van den ende (@SonjaEnde) June 24, 2023
That, historically has been the shelf life of many notable right-wing military coups. They usually start on Fridays and end the next Monday. The 1961 military coup against French president Charles de Gaulle, led by some generals who wanted no compromise with Algeria, started on a Saturday and was swept a few days later, while the 2016 Turkish coup against Erdogan started on Friday and was over by Monday.
In all these cases, the fatal flaw is the lack of popular support for these coups, as well as the lack of support among the military at large. Prigozhin commands about 4k-5k troops in the columns currently operating in Russia, he has no support among the Russian army, nor with the Russian people at large and the political establishment. He might have support among some other oligarchs, including many expatriates.
I predict this Prigozhin-led coup attempt will not last long, he's not viewed favorably by the majority of Russians, being an unstable oligarch turned loose cannon warlord. The manner and timing in which he conducted this coup undermines his attempt because it amounts to treason from the perspective of the average Russian, it nullifies any goodwill earned from Wagner's strong performance in Bakhmut.