dimitrig said:
golden sloth said:
Eh! I still dont think everything reopens until June/ July, or it reopens for a brief period before being shut down again. There is a reasonable fear of the second spike, and I think a lot of people are over eager to jump the gun on this, leading governors to delay reopening the economy.
The governors and others can say whatever they want but it is the people that will decide. I think it is only recently that people became fearful enough, although I still see people wandering around outside like everything is normal. The numbers will start to get better and that will cause some optimism but do you see yourself doing the following (masks or no masks) any time soon? :
1. Sitting on an airplane next to a bunch of strangers?
2. Going to a play, movie, sporting event? Concert? Cruise? Casino? Even whale watching?
3. Going to the gym or playing a team sport? Even hiking, climbing, biking will be impacted.
4. Going to a bar or restaurant?
5. Allowing your child back into a classroom or daycare?
6. Sitting in a cubicle at work and having to use shared facilities (restroom, cafeteria, conference rooms)?
7. Going out to shop at retail stores for non-essentials?
8. Visiting a day spa or even a barber?
9. Spending time at a hotel?
We are still very, very far from people being comfortable with those activities. At least I am. Some of it can be made up for in other ways such as online sales or teleconferencing. Some of it won't be. The prediction that the economy will return to 80% of normal sounds right, which means a 20% loss short-term. That is massive. When people hear "reopening the economy" are they thinking "a return to normal" or "a START of a long, slow return to normal?"
I can only speak for myself, and I'm in good health and in my 30s so I'm not a high risk candidate. The reason I have been social distancing is to protect others in case I'm a carrier. Nonetheless, here is my response to your statements:
1. I cant wait to travel again and I'll probably hop on a plane within a month after lockdown ends. I figure prices will be cheap and traffic will be light, meaning if you are willing accept the risk it is a great time to travel. Particularly if you want to see those really crowded tourist attractions with space to actually move.
2. I dont do plays, movies, concerts, etc. Anyway so this doesn't apply.
3. I cant wait to start playing soccer again.
4. I want to go to a bar, but they aren't fun until there are other people around, so I'll have to wait and see on this.
5. Dont have kids.
6. I hate working from home, and am eager to be in the office and eating with my lunch buddies everyday.
7. I dont retail shop, I shop online and I am eagerly waiting when I can start receiving deliveries again.
8. I need a haircut in a bad way, but I'm also lazy about those things, so although I'm not against the barber, I may not do it immediately.
9. If I travel I'd stay at a hotel, I dont have any issues with it. Again I'm not high risk, so I'm not overly concerned.
Point being, i think 'the people' are going to have a wide array of responses. Some will stay home, others will go out, some will be in the middle, we aren't going to have some sort of unified response from 'the people'.