The Economy

34,427 Views | 685 Replies | Last: 4 hrs ago by bearister
DiabloWags
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oski003 said:

DiabloWags said:

oski003 said:

DiabloWags said:

oski003 said:

DiabloWags said:

oski003 said:

movielover said:

Amusa@amuse: The Fed's Empty Safety Net: Powell's Reckless Gamble With US Liquidity

"The Federal Reserve's Reverse Repurchase Agreement (RRP) facility is not a household phrase, yet for years it has quietly functioned as a critical stabilizer for America's financial system. At its peak in 2022, this overnight cash lot held more than $2.5 trillion, money parked by large institutions in exchange for ultra-safe Treasury collateral, ready to be drawn down during periods of market stress. Today, that cushion has all but vanished. The RRP balance stands at just $57.49 billion, the lowest since 2021. This is not a natural development. It is the result of a conscious policy choice by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, whose refusal to cut interest rates has rendered the facility's yield uncompetitive, driving liquidity out of the Fed's reach and into riskier corners of the market....

"...For two years, this tool served as a shock absorber. As the Fed shrank its balance sheet through quantitative tightening, trillions flowed out of RRP rather than out of bank reserves. The ride was smooth because the buffer was deep. Now, with that buffer nearly empty, every additional dollar drained from the system will come directly from bank reserves. In mechanical terms, Powell has taken the suspension system off the car while still barreling down a pothole-ridden road."

"...The cost of his stubbornness is not confined to abstract market plumbing. It is hammering American families. Mortgage rates above 7% have priced millions out of the housing market. Car loans at historically high rates have put reliable transportation out of reach for many working families. Business credit has grown costlier, slowing investment and job creation. By keeping rates artificially high, Powell is not just draining the RRP; he is draining opportunity from the real economy...."

"...It is difficult to ignore the political undertone. Not a single economist employed by the Federal Reserve has made a political contribution to a Republican candidate in over 25 years, and almost everyone at the Fed is a staunch Democrat firmly opposed to Trump's agenda. By holding rates high deep into the first year of President Trump's second term, Powell's Fed is creating economic headwinds that act as a de facto rebuke of the administration's pro-growth agenda. Whether deliberate or not, the effect is the same: a central bank using monetary conditions to undermine the elected government's policies."






Powell was going to lower rates a few weeks ago but he PACO'd.


Sure he was.
Our mascot is DELUSIONAL.

Owned again.
Too easy.




If you didn't have dementia, you'd remember that you already "roasted" me when I posted that.


No dementia.

I just had to share with everyone here one more time HOW BIG OF A PATHETIC LIAR YOU ARE when you claimed that Powell was going to lower rates.

Why do you LIE so much?
Do you LIE to your wife too?




I don't lie to my wife. She isn't a demented moron. Thnx.


So why do you LIE here?



I don't. Why do you LIE here?

In all HONESTY, I find it very FUNNY that you would get so HYSTERICAL over a JOKE about Powell.


You're LYING AGAIN.

https://bearinsider.com/forums/6/topics/125946/replies/2527509


oski003
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DiabloWags said:

oski003 said:

DiabloWags said:

oski003 said:

DiabloWags said:

oski003 said:

DiabloWags said:

oski003 said:

movielover said:

Amusa@amuse: The Fed's Empty Safety Net: Powell's Reckless Gamble With US Liquidity

"The Federal Reserve's Reverse Repurchase Agreement (RRP) facility is not a household phrase, yet for years it has quietly functioned as a critical stabilizer for America's financial system. At its peak in 2022, this overnight cash lot held more than $2.5 trillion, money parked by large institutions in exchange for ultra-safe Treasury collateral, ready to be drawn down during periods of market stress. Today, that cushion has all but vanished. The RRP balance stands at just $57.49 billion, the lowest since 2021. This is not a natural development. It is the result of a conscious policy choice by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, whose refusal to cut interest rates has rendered the facility's yield uncompetitive, driving liquidity out of the Fed's reach and into riskier corners of the market....

"...For two years, this tool served as a shock absorber. As the Fed shrank its balance sheet through quantitative tightening, trillions flowed out of RRP rather than out of bank reserves. The ride was smooth because the buffer was deep. Now, with that buffer nearly empty, every additional dollar drained from the system will come directly from bank reserves. In mechanical terms, Powell has taken the suspension system off the car while still barreling down a pothole-ridden road."

"...The cost of his stubbornness is not confined to abstract market plumbing. It is hammering American families. Mortgage rates above 7% have priced millions out of the housing market. Car loans at historically high rates have put reliable transportation out of reach for many working families. Business credit has grown costlier, slowing investment and job creation. By keeping rates artificially high, Powell is not just draining the RRP; he is draining opportunity from the real economy...."

"...It is difficult to ignore the political undertone. Not a single economist employed by the Federal Reserve has made a political contribution to a Republican candidate in over 25 years, and almost everyone at the Fed is a staunch Democrat firmly opposed to Trump's agenda. By holding rates high deep into the first year of President Trump's second term, Powell's Fed is creating economic headwinds that act as a de facto rebuke of the administration's pro-growth agenda. Whether deliberate or not, the effect is the same: a central bank using monetary conditions to undermine the elected government's policies."






Powell was going to lower rates a few weeks ago but he PACO'd.


Sure he was.
Our mascot is DELUSIONAL.

Owned again.
Too easy.




If you didn't have dementia, you'd remember that you already "roasted" me when I posted that.


No dementia.

I just had to share with everyone here one more time HOW BIG OF A PATHETIC LIAR YOU ARE when you claimed that Powell was going to lower rates.

Why do you LIE so much?
Do you LIE to your wife too?




I don't lie to my wife. She isn't a demented moron. Thnx.


So why do you LIE here?



I don't. Why do you LIE here?

In all HONESTY, I find it very FUNNY that you would get so HYSTERICAL over a JOKE about Powell.


You're LYING AGAIN.

https://bearinsider.com/forums/6/topics/125946/replies/2527509




You are acting like a dementia riddled convalescent patient AGAIN.
DiabloWags
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Q2 GDPNow at 2.5%

Housing starts released tomorrow.

GDPNow - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
movielover
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Libs at the Fed purposefully keeping rates high to stifle the Trump economy.

Why is the Fed Democrat dominated?
DiabloWags
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movielover said:

Libs at the Fed purposefully keeping rates high to stifle the Trump economy.

Why is the Fed Democrat dominated?


Why do you operate from such a terribly poor knowledge base that engages in "conspiracy" theories?
Once again, you show that you have no idea what you're talking about.

Case in Point:

The spread between investment grade corporate bonds and U.S. Treasuries just shrunk to only 73 basis points last Friday, the lowest since 1998.

It's pretty weird that credit spreads are at a three-decade low at a time when you and the Orange Buffoon think that benchmark interest rates are still too high, even with inflation remaining well above the central bank's 2% target.

I guess you couldn't care any less about INFLATION heading higher.

Pro tip: Stick to topics that have nothing to do with the economy.


movielover
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The rich pay more taxes under Trump.

https://www.facebook.com/LeadershipInstitute/videos/1221324355798084/?mibextid=9drbnH&s=yWDuG2&fs=e
DiabloWags
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GDPNow for Q3 at 2.3%

Whatever happened to those forecasts by the MAGA MORONS for 4 - 5% ???

You just can't fix stupid.

Lmfao.


GDPNow - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
movielover
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When will she add Bud Light to the menu?

DiabloWags
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CBRL has had a massive run since April.
From $34 to $72.

More than doubling.
Time for a pullback, like the rest of the market.

But feel free to keep "parroting" that MUSE character.
He's a funny guy.



oski003
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84% chance of September rate cut. Near a lock but Powell might PACO.
DiabloWags
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oski003 said:

84% chance of September rate cut. Near a lock but Powell might PACO.


Wrong.
It's actually 89.2%

FedWatch - CME Group
movielover
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DiabloWags
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They were clearly marketing a simpler, smaller, logo to a YOUNGER CROWD who uses mobile devices.
The simpler logo shows up better in digital content.

Duh.
oski003
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DiabloWags said:

oski003 said:

84% chance of September rate cut. Near a lock but Powell might PACO.


Wrong.
It's actually 89.2%

FedWatch - CME Group


Your post above is a clear example that shows what is wrong with you. You are a terrible person. All my attacks on you were always in response to how you treat others.
sycasey
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I can't believe the Cracker Barrel logo is a major issue now.
movielover
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Market up 900?
Eastern Oregon Bear
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sycasey said:

I can't believe the Cracker Barrel logo is a major issue now.
MAGA thrives on manufactured outrage. Companies change their logos all the time but somehow this one is an egregious slap in the face because a few influencers said so.
sycasey
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Eastern Oregon Bear said:

sycasey said:

I can't believe the Cracker Barrel logo is a major issue now.

MAGA thrives on manufactured outrage. Companies change their logos all the time but somehow this one is an egregious slap in the face because a few influencers said so.

I mean, I think the new logo is kind of boring but it's Cracker Barrel, who gives a s***?
bearister
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movielover said:

Market up 900?


……and I'm sure Trump and his inner circle had no clue that was going to happen today.
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Eastern Oregon Bear
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sycasey said:

Eastern Oregon Bear said:

sycasey said:

I can't believe the Cracker Barrel logo is a major issue now.

MAGA thrives on manufactured outrage. Companies change their logos all the time but somehow this one is an egregious slap in the face because a few influencers said so.

I mean, I think the new logo is kind of boring but it's Cracker Barrel, who gives a s***?
Not me. There aren't any within 300-500 miles of me and I wasn't that impressed when I've eaten there in the past. It's a slightly better Denny's with a cheesy cheap gift shop. To be fair, it was probably 20 or more years ago when I last ate at a Cracker Barrel.
bearister
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The closest Cracker Barrel to me is 400 miles away in the high desert country of Victorville, CA., only a 6 hour drive.



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