The Economy

13,717 Views | 313 Replies | Last: 1 day ago by bear2034
concordtom
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DiabloWags said:

Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDP NOW just fell off a cliff for Q1.

From 2.3% to - 1.5%

Atlanta Fed now sees U.S. economy contracting 1.5% in first quarter, first decline in three years - MarketWatch

GDPNow - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta







Wow
DiabloWags
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Biggest decline in consumer spending in 4 years!
socaltownie
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You didn't read the article on the right did you? It is worth it.
bear2034
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Which article are you referring to?
socaltownie
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The politico one on the righthand side that talks about why the disconnect between why some thought 2023 and 2024 macro numbers were good and a lot of people said bad. Talks about labor force participation and a recasting of cpi. Some things just rhetoric but a good piece.
DiabloWags
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Atlanta Fed GDP estimate for Q1 headed even lower today.
Now looking for a contraction of - 2.8%

The ISM Manufacturing PMI index declined another 0.6% in February.
The ISM New Orders Index plunged 6.5% to 48.6%


Atlanta Fed's GDPNow now predicts U.S. economy will contract nearly 3% in Q1 By Investing.com
DiabloWags
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What a difference just 4 days make.



DiabloWags
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I bet this is gonna be Sleep Joe's fault somehow.
bearister
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A lot of people have been saying that Musk is having his talking pet crater the economy so that the techno billionaires can swoop in and purchase everything in the country worth owning.

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Cal88
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As in 2008?
DiabloWags
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DEMOCRACY IS DONE: THE RISE OF CORPORATE MONARCHY

by Shane Almgren

(6) DEMOCRACY IS DONE: THE RISE OF CORPORATE... - The Trumpland Diary | Facebook

DiabloWags
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TARIFFS are BULLISH.

MAGA!!!


DiabloWags
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The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow bounced back a tad to -2.6% today on wholesale trade data from -2.8% on Monday. Next economic report will be Retail Sales and Inventories on March17th.

That number is going to be very telling.

Can you say TRUMPCESSION?

GDPNow - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

bear2034
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Liberal tears.
bear2034
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Biden's economy was a lie.
bear2034
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Heading in the right direction.
DiabloWags
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Now for a reality check . . .

The actual non-farm payroll number was lower than had been expected (161,000)
And the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.1%

Statistics released Wednesday showed that private sector job creation slowed in February. Economists predicted private companies would add 148,000 jobs in February, but the figure was just 77,000.

Job seekers are struggling at the moment, a report published by the Labor Department Thursday found. Continuing jobless claims - which measures the number of people out of work for extended periods - were pushing a three-year high in January.

Cal88
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I would expect unemployment to trend down with lower immigration levels.
DiabloWags
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Now Trump and his Administration wants to change how GDP is calculated.
Shocker.

Trump officials want to measure the economy's health in a way that may hide DOGE cuts

"It seems like a strange place to start to say, hey, we're going to have the greatest economy in the history of the globe, but we're going to have to measure it differently because you can't see it," Doug Holtz-Eakin, president of the American Action Forum, said in a recent episode of Yahoo Finance's Capitol Gains podcast.

"That's not a great sales job," he added.
DiabloWags
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So much for the "wealth" effect powering consumer spending.
That key growth driver got thrown out the window with the Orange Buffoon's tariffs.

bearister
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chazzed
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Cal88 said:

I would expect unemployment to trend down with lower immigration levels.
Plenty of hard labor, low-paying jobs will become available, anyway.
bearister
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Trump and the techno oligarchs are buying low today knowing when Trump backs off tariffs they will make a killing.
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DiabloWags
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DOW JONES - 1,046 POINTS

There goes that consumer spending driver by the Top 10% who account for roughly HALF of this country's spending.

The wealth effect is being vaporized by a MORON.

But he'll blame it on Biden.


chazzed
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It's amusing seeing the multitude of ways MAGA clowns are trying to justify this immediate downturn.


DiabloWags
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Yup.

And GOP leaders are now hearing about it from their constituents.
Just ask Rand Paul in Kentucky.

"I have every major industry in Kentucky lobbying me against them: the cargo shippers, the farmers, the bourbon manufacturers, the homebuilders, the home sellers you name it fence manufacturers," Paul told The Hill.

"The bourbon industry says they're still hurt from the retaliatory tariffs" during Trump's first term, he said. "So do the farmers."

He said the federal government had to pay $20 billion to $30 billion in the "last administration" to farmers to mitigate the economic impact of tariffs.

"It shows the fallacy of believing in a policy of tariffs if you immediately have to borrow a bunch of money and give it to the people your hurt," he said. "There need to be Republicans who are still extolling the benefits of international trade."

MAGA NEVER FELT SO GOOD!

Republicans worry Donald Trump's tariffs could harm economy

DiabloWags
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I heard the Biden Crime Family was doing a lot of SELLING in the stock market today.
They and the globalists are trying to make Trump look bad!
bear2034
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If you don't sell, the losses will remain unrealized!
bear2034
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Remember when the Biden/Kamala admin proposed taxing unrealized gains?
DiabloWags
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bear2034 said:

Remember when the Biden/Kamala admin proposed taxing unrealized gains?


Remember when BITCOIN was at $100,000
bear2034
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DiabloWags said:

bear2034 said:

Remember when the Biden/Kamala admin proposed taxing unrealized gains?
Remember when BITCOIN was at $100,000
Multiple 30% drops are normal on the way to Valhalla.
DiabloWags
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bear2034 said:

Multiple 30% drops are normal on the way to Valhalla.


Good luck with that.
Eastern Oregon Bear
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DiabloWags said:

bear2034 said:

Multiple 30% drops are normal on the way to Valhalla.


Good luck with that.

Heh. He thinks he's going to Valhalla.
bearister
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bearister said:

Trump and the techno oligarchs are buying low today knowing when Trump backs off tariffs they will make a killing.


"Recessions can benefit the 1% by boosting their wealth through a rebounding stockmarket…..billionaires recovered losses in weeks during 2020, per NPR. They also gain from tax code changes favoring the rich and can buy undervalued assets cheap during downturns. Meanwhile, the middle class gets hammered by falling home equity, as Pew Research shows. Harsh truth: economic pain for most is a jackpot for
the elite."

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Cal88
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DiabloWags said:

bear2034 said:

Remember when the Biden/Kamala admin proposed taxing unrealized gains?


Remember when BITCOIN was at $100,000


Up 12% ytd, and up 1,465% over 5 years.
 
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