Eastern Oregon Bear said:
Only 27%? Oh well, no big deal then.
If the TV weatherman said there's a 50% chance of rain, does it mean it will either rain or it won't?
The Economy
204,362 Views |
2461 Replies |
Last: 6 hrs ago by Cal88
If the TV weatherman said there's a 50% chance of rain, does it mean it will either rain or it won't?
5 straight weeks of higher mortgage rates.
This is how you MAGA!
This is how you MAGA!
Well, duh, yes.PAC-10-BEAR said:Eastern Oregon Bear said:
Only 27%? Oh well, no big deal then.
If the TV weatherman said there's a 50% chance of rain, does it mean it will either rain or it won't?
Every forecast means it will either rain or it won't. Sometimes it's an 80% chance of rain and 20% chance of no rain. Sometimes it's a 99.9% chance of no rain and a 0.1% of rain. Sometimes it's a 50% chance of rain and a 50% chance of no rain.
17% chance aliens are confirmed this year. https://t.co/gPm515fLEu
— Polymarket (@Polymarket) March 31, 2026
How does 17% chance make you feel?
BREAKING: The US economy adds 178,000 jobs in March, crushing expectations of 65,000.
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 3, 2026
The unemployment rate fell to 4.3%, below expectations of 4.4%.
This marks the biggest monthly job addition since March 2025.
A much stronger than expect jobs report amid the Iran War.
Trump wants $1.5 Trillion DoD Budget for 2027
Gee, let's just jack it up by $445 Billion.
This would be a record. Not even Reagan's military build up came close.
This will add another $7 Trillion to the National Debt from 2027 - 2036.
The stupidity continues.
Gee, I wonder what "other" programs get cut by the GOP in order to make this request happen.
Gee, let's just jack it up by $445 Billion.
This would be a record. Not even Reagan's military build up came close.
This will add another $7 Trillion to the National Debt from 2027 - 2036.
The stupidity continues.
Gee, I wonder what "other" programs get cut by the GOP in order to make this request happen.
PAC-10-BEAR said:17% chance aliens are confirmed this year. https://t.co/gPm515fLEu
— Polymarket (@Polymarket) March 31, 2026
How does 17% chance make you feel?
Makes me feel that there are a lot of dumb people out there who will buy into silly government psyops straight out of the National Inquirer.
GM sales fell 9.7% in Q1.
Steepest drop in almost 4 years.
Overall, U.S. new vehicle sales are exipected to fall 7% in the first quarter.
MAGA!
Steepest drop in almost 4 years.
Overall, U.S. new vehicle sales are exipected to fall 7% in the first quarter.
MAGA!
DiabloWags said:
Trump wants $1.5 Trillion DoD Budget for 2027
Gee, let's just jack it up by $445 Billion.
This would be a record. Not even Reagan's military build up came close.
This will add another $7 Trillion to the National Debt from 2027 - 2036.
The stupidity continues.
Gee, I wonder what "other" programs get cut by the GOP in order to make this request happen.
Ask and ye shall receive.
A closer look at Trump's 2027 budget pic.twitter.com/WTmx5q5Tzd
— FactPost (@factpostnews) April 3, 2026
Yesterday, the March Manufacturing PMI report came out from the Institute of Supply Management (ISM)
It showed economic expansion for a third consecutive month to a reading of 52.7%
Up from 52.4% in February.
Here's the big problem:
Inflation expectations are soaring.
March
It showed economic expansion for a third consecutive month to a reading of 52.7%
Up from 52.4% in February.
Here's the big problem:
Inflation expectations are soaring.
March
Cal88 said:PAC-10-BEAR said:17% chance aliens are confirmed this year. https://t.co/gPm515fLEu
— Polymarket (@Polymarket) March 31, 2026
How does 17% chance make you feel?
Makes me feel that there are a lot of dumb people out there who will buy into silly government psyops straight out of the National Inquirer.
If you feel strongly about this, you may be able to monetize your instincts in the online gambling markets.
I believe Trump's chances of beating Hillary and winning the 2016 election were just as unlikely.
Not to worry. Republicans have a suggestion for the many Americans struggling in this economy.
GOP Rep. Jeff Van Drew to Americans struggling with rising costs:
— The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) April 3, 2026
"Better just keep breaking your back and working hard, maybe get yet another job." pic.twitter.com/IWeoG5SeqP
Thank You President Trump!
DiabloWags said:
Thank You President Trump!
Stop ordering toilet paper through Amazon.
PAC-10-BEAR said:DiabloWags said:
Thank You President Trump!
Stop ordering toilet paper through Amazon.
Wags consistently shows he only knows how to find the most expensive goods
I'm sure the U.S. consumer is so very happy to learn this.
How stupid does he think Americans are?
How stupid does he think Americans are?
BearlySane88 said:PAC-10-BEAR said:DiabloWags said:
Thank You President Trump!
Stop ordering toilet paper through Amazon.
Wags consistently shows he only knows how to find the most expensive goods
He only uses dijon toilet paper
I work the trades. One of Trump new rules to use only American lumber on federally funded projects has paid off huge in Wisconsin. Sawmills are reopening to meet the demand. I’m seeing a lot of help wanted in all the right places. Steel plants parts / supply manufacturing…
— Dream big America (@dwillyjpox) April 3, 2026
Too bad mortgage rates are at the highest levels since last September. Theyve gone up 5 consecutive weeks. Gee, I wonder why?
30 year fixed: 6.45
This is how you MAGA.
Thank You President Trump!
30 year fixed: 6.45
This is how you MAGA.
Thank You President Trump!
movielover said:I work the trades. One of Trump new rules to use only American lumber on federally funded projects has paid off huge in Wisconsin. Sawmills are reopening to meet the demand. I’m seeing a lot of help wanted in all the right places. Steel plants parts / supply manufacturing…
— Dream big America (@dwillyjpox) April 3, 2026
Huge for my buddies in the industry as well. They have seen sales and wages increase
Thank You President Trump for Sending Aluminum Prices to the Moon!
+83% from a year ago.
We are so very blessed to have an economic genius in the Oval Office.
Your aluminum tariff is working like a charm.
Our aluminum smelting capacity went to nearly zero decades ago, given soaring electricity costs.
Duh.
MAGA for MORONS!
+83% from a year ago.
We are so very blessed to have an economic genius in the Oval Office.
Your aluminum tariff is working like a charm.
Our aluminum smelting capacity went to nearly zero decades ago, given soaring electricity costs.
Duh.
MAGA for MORONS!
DiabloWags said:
5 straight weeks of higher mortgage rates.
This is how you MAGA!
Sinking into the abyss.
So much for the Trump "cheerleaders" and their 6% forecast for 2026.
Whatever happened to Howard Lutnick?
Did he lose his pom-poms?
GDPNow - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
So much for the Trump "cheerleaders" and their 6% forecast for 2026.
Whatever happened to Howard Lutnick?
Did he lose his pom-poms?
GDPNow - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
If GDP goes negative, what then?
concordtom said:
If GDP goes negative, what then?
It will be Biden's fault.
I'd be surprised if Q3 GDP comes up positive.
DiabloWags said:concordtom said:
If GDP goes negative, what then?
It will be Biden's fault.
Obama
Or
Hillary
Or
Bernie
Or
Pocahontas
Or
…. Take your pick
Still sinking at a rate that we just haven't seen in awhile.
From 2.7% to 1.3% in just 25 days.
From 2.7% to 1.3% in just 25 days.
BREAKING: The S&P 500 is now set to open above 6,800, trading just 2.9% away from a new record high.
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 8, 2026
The index has added +$1.6 TRILLION today. pic.twitter.com/NS5Ph9L7Fr
TACO trade wins again
Censorship has always been a tool of the fascist
dajo9 said:
TACO trade wins again
He's so good at it.
I can only imagine that all of our dear Trumper friends are boasting about this even though they don't
have any money invested in the equity market. They only "post" about the market on a big up day like this because they follow some "dude" on Twitter who has followed the market since he graduated from college in 2020.
They only have "interest" in the stock market when it supports their political bias.
But given their dearth of posts here about it, it's clear that they have NO SKIN in the GAME.
It's why I didn't reposition my portfolio. I'm generally a buy and hold investor with very occasional macro trades. I just held out for TACOs this time.
Censorship has always been a tool of the fascist
In my long account, I've been in 55% cash with my single biggest position making up 45% of my equity exposure.
Not the typical investor, nor typical for someone my age.
But it has worked for me.
Not the typical investor, nor typical for someone my age.
But it has worked for me.
DiabloWags said:
In my long account, I've been in 55% cash with my single biggest position making up 45% of my equity exposure.
Not the typical investor, nor typical for someone my age.
But it has worked for me.
Well, you are far more active than me. And I never short. I did once and I couldn't stomach the margins. Hard enough to invest without that. Good luck.
Censorship has always been a tool of the fascist
Featured Stories
See All
Saturday Spring Practice Notes
by Joaquin Ruiz
Cal Establishes Dedicated Basketball Practice Facility
by Cal Athletics