"Latest estimate: 4.0 percent November 03, 2025
"The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2025 is 4.0 percent on November 3, up from 3.9 percent on October 27. After this morning's Manufacturing ISM Report on Business from the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcast of third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth increased from 4.4 percent to 4.6 percent."
https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow
"The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2025 is 4.0 percent on November 3, up from 3.9 percent on October 27. After this morning's Manufacturing ISM Report on Business from the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcast of third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth increased from 4.4 percent to 4.6 percent."
https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow