ClayK said:
So look at the Warriors withiout KD (and calf strains are serious injuries with recovery time measured in weeks, not days):
Starters:
Curry
Thompson
Iguodala
Green
Looney
Bench:
Livingston
Jerebko
Bogut (unplayable against Houston because of pick-and-roll)
The starting lineup has two guys who can score, and that's not enough, really. Of course, one or both could go off in one of the last two games and maybe win it that way -- but the same could be said of Harden, Paul or Gordon.
The bench has nothing, and when Klay or Steph sit, there is no offense to speak of.
If Durant is out for the next series, then really the hope would be to somehow sneak past Houston and go down with guns blazing against Denver or Portland. But without Cousins and Durant, the Warriors simply don't have enough weapons to win a seven-game series.
The depth issue isn't as much of a problem IF the warriors can get to the next round.
Guys who are completely unplayable against Houston can be playable against either Denver/Portland. Cook is easily the best shooter off the bench, and his defensive issues aren't nearly as pronounced when he's not getting ISO'd every possession against Harden. Bogut is probably an asset against either Kanter/Jokic. And I think you get better play out of Livingston, Jerebko, Mckinnie just because the difference between Houston and Denver/Portland is huge.
for instance, you worry that only two guys can score in the dubs starting lineup? Well look at portland's starting lineup. they only have two guys as well, and I'd take Green/Iggy over Harkless/Aminu every single time.
the point being, Denver and portland are the two worst teams left in the playoffs. they would both get destroyed by the three remaining teams in the east. and i'd be completely shocked if the dubs aren't still favored over either Denver/portland even without KD.
so the hope is this. somehow, some way, get one more game against Houston (which won't be easy, obviously). then, get by a much easier team in the conference finals. the dubs should be able to use their bench against either denver/portland because they simply aren't as good as houston.
and then once the Finals rolls around, hopefully they get at least two guys back (between KD, cousins, jones).
its not going to be easy. but its do-able.
And just FYI. As of this morning, Dubs are still the favorite to win the title (at +140)