US Inflation - it could be worse

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DiabloWags
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OdontoBear66 said:

DiabloWags said:

OdontoBear66 said:



The average Joe may be a tad smarter than you think...e.g. Only 6% think Putin is responsible for the price of gas going up.

Are they smart enough to blame our good "friends" the Saudi's and OPEC+ for that?

Or do they just listen to the talking heads at Faux News and parrot the typical Biden bashing narrative of
"He closed down the Keystone Pipeline, blah, blah, blah " - - - too dumb to know that the first 3 phases of Keystone have been open and in service for quite some time.



Has nothing to do with media. Biden and fellow Dems have wanted to reduce carbon emissions in the US and decreasing extraction of fossil fuels is a big part of that policy. We were either energy independent or close to same when he came in. It is noble for all of us to reduce our carbon footprint, but when alternate energy systems can backfill the loss of energy. We are just not there yet. All for it. But when you decrease supply you increase demand and price.

Then you increase energy source/dependence with someone's who you are at odds with, whether it be the Saudi's, Russia, Iran, is just weird. If oil comes out of the ground and we in the US use it, what difference does it make if we buy it abroad, or extract it ourselves. Until we can depend on alt sources, the current policy seems crazy to me. But the bent of the current administration is to not be energy independent, and then walk it back as we move to alt sources.

Unfortunately, your understanding of how the oil market works is very poor and just not accurate.

Not only is crude oil a global commodity that is priced at the margin which Unit2 so eloquently points out, the United States is still pumping the same 11.6 million barrels per day that it was pumping under the Trump Administration in Q-1 of 2019, pre-covid and three years ago. So your claim that a decrease in supply has lead to an increase in price is terribly erroneous.

Moreover, the claim that we were energy "independent" under Trump is not an accurate claim either.
Quite simply put, "energy independence" is a political phrase, not a literal phrase.
It's a term for the low IQ simpletons that watch Faux News.

For example, from the beginning of Trump's term to the end, the U.S. very much relied on oil and gas from abroad. In fact in 2020, the U.S. imported about 7.9 million barrels per day of crude oil and petroleum products. The times in which the U.S. produced more crude than we consumed, were (as Unit2) pointed out, the result of decreased demand due to covid.

One of the reasons that we import crude is because there is a mismatch between many of the refineries in the U.S. that were designed to handle heavy crude oil, and the lighter crude that is produced in the U.S. through fracking.

Even when the U.S.was a net exporter of oil, our oil market remains tightly integrated into the world market for oil. Our refineries will import low cost crude from abroad, and turn it into higher-value petroleum products, and then export some of those products.

Dont even get me started on how the fracking business in the Permian Basin has changed over the years, to one in which producers are no longer drilling for the sake of showing drillilng growth to investors. Wall Street got tired of the fracking community generating over $200 Billion in red ink since 2010 and stopped financing the industry. As a result, frackers had to change their BUSINESS MODEL. They had to become capital expense conscious and more conservative with their cash and balance sheets, showing investors that they could become cash flow positive and return some of that cash to investors.

As for importing Russian crude, we did a lot of that when Trump was in office.
We imported 137 million barrels in 2018, 190 million in 2019, and 198 million in 2020.

Unfortunately, the Ron DeSantis' (FL) and Joni Ernst's (IA)of the political world "spin" quite the opposite narrative to the typical Faux News viewer who eats up the claim that:

"We were, before Biden took office, for the first time in any of our lifetimes, actually energy independent. Putin didn't matter. Now, they're importing millions of barrels of oil from Russia."

Biden's choices when he first came into office "put us in this tenuous position with energy independence in the United States. Instead of being an exporter of energy, we became a consumer of Russian oil."










Unit2Sucks
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DiabloWags said:

OdontoBear66 said:

DiabloWags said:

OdontoBear66 said:



The average Joe may be a tad smarter than you think...e.g. Only 6% think Putin is responsible for the price of gas going up.

Are they smart enough to blame our good "friends" the Saudi's and OPEC+ for that?

Or do they just listen to the talking heads at Faux News and parrot the typical Biden bashing narrative of
"He closed down the Keystone Pipeline, blah, blah, blah " - - - too dumb to know that the first 3 phases of Keystone have been open and in service for quite some time.



Has nothing to do with media. Biden and fellow Dems have wanted to reduce carbon emissions in the US and decreasing extraction of fossil fuels is a big part of that policy. We were either energy independent or close to same when he came in. It is noble for all of us to reduce our carbon footprint, but when alternate energy systems can backfill the loss of energy. We are just not there yet. All for it. But when you decrease supply you increase demand and price.

Then you increase energy source/dependence with someone's who you are at odds with, whether it be the Saudi's, Russia, Iran, is just weird. If oil comes out of the ground and we in the US use it, what difference does it make if we buy it abroad, or extract it ourselves. Until we can depend on alt sources, the current policy seems crazy to me. But the bent of the current administration is to not be energy independent, and then walk it back as we move to alt sources.

Unfortunately, your understanding of how the oil market works is very poor and just not accurate.

Not only is crude oil a global commodity that is priced at the margin which Unit2 so eloquently points out, the United States is still pumping the same 11.6 million barrels per day that it was pumping under the Trump Administration in Q-1 of 2019, pre-covid and three years ago. So your claim that a decrease in supply has lead to an increase in price is terribly erroneous.

Moreover, the claim that we were energy "independent" under Trump is not an accurate claim either.
Quite simply put, "energy independence" is a political phrase, not a literal phrase.
It's a term for the low IQ simpletons that watch Faux News.

For example, from the beginning of Trump's term to the end, the U.S. very much relied on oil and gas from abroad. In fact in 2020, the U.S. imported about 7.9 million barrels per day of crude oil and petroleum products. The times in which the U.S. produced more crude than we consumed, were (as Unit2) pointed out, the result of decreased demand due to covid.

One of the reasons that we import crude is because there is a mismatch between many of the refineries in the U.S. that were designed to handle heavy crude oil, and the lighter crude that is produced in the U.S. through fracking.

Even when the U.S.was a net exporter of oil, our oil market remains tightly integrated into the world market for oil. Our refineries will import low cost crude from abroad, and turn it into higher-value petroleum products, and then export some of those products.

Dont even get me started on how the fracking business in the Permian Basin has changed over the years, to one in which producers are no longer drilling for the sake of showing drillilng growth to investors. Wall Street got tired of the fracking community generating over $200 Billion in red ink since 2010 and stopped financing the industry. As a result, frackers had to become capital expense conscious and more conservative with their cash and balance sheets. Even with the

As for importing Russian crude, we did a lot of that when Trump was in office.
We imported 137 million barrels in 2018, 190 million in 2019, and 198 million in 2020.

Unfortunately, the Ron DeSantis' (FL) and Joni Ernst's (IA)of the political world "spin" quite the opposite narrative to the typical Faux News viewer who eats up the claim that:

"We were, before Biden took office, for the first time in any of our lifetimes, actually energy independent. Putin didn't matter. Now, they're importing millions of barrels of oil from Russia."

Biden's choices when he first came into office "put us in this tenuous position with energy independence in the United States. Instead of being an exporter of energy, we became a consumer of Russian oil.
I obviously concur. The reason conservatives make the arguments they do is at least two fold. Obviously job one is attacking Democrats and progressives. Check. Job two is to procure more subsidies for fossil fuel suppliers who happen to be big Republican donors/lobbyists. Check.
DiabloWags
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Unit2Sucks said:


I obviously concur. The reason conservatives make the arguments they do is at least two fold. Obviously job one is attacking Democrats and progressives. Check. Job two is to procure more subsidies for fossil fuel suppliers who happen to be big Republican donors/lobbyists. Check.

Sadly, much of our country is financially and economically illiterate.
Just reading the WSJ every day could go a long way to improving people's understanding of how things work.

We see it happening every day here on Bearinsider, where people that have no clue how the economy or oil markets work, make erroneous claims that are based off of an underlying assumption that correlation implies causation.

And invariably, a thread that has a topic about inflation or the economy or taxation, winds up becoming a discussion on wealth inequality and racism. - - - It never fails.

I'm starting to think that a degree from Cal isnt worth that much.


Unit2Sucks
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DiabloWags said:

Unit2Sucks said:


I obviously concur. The reason conservatives make the arguments they do is at least two fold. Obviously job one is attacking Democrats and progressives. Check. Job two is to procure more subsidies for fossil fuel suppliers who happen to be big Republican donors/lobbyists. Check.

Sadly, much of our country is financially and economically illiterate.
Just reading the WSJ every day could go a long way to improving people's understanding of how things work.
Only if you stay away from the partisan hacks that make up a lot of the WSJ opinion section. Sadly, a lot of the comments we see in BI parrot talking points from the WSJ.

To wit:

Quote:

Deregulation and U.S. Energy Independence

Fracking and an end to the oil-export ban turned America into a global powerhouse.

The U.S. in 2019 became a net exporter of energy and achieved energy independence. Once at the mercy of hostile foreign governments that used energy supply as a cudgel, the U.S. is now the third-largest energy exporter in the worlda stunning reversal that has driven down prices for American consumers and created more than 10 million jobs in domestic energy.

Technological innovation and broad deregulation are responsible for transforming the U.S. into a global energy powerhouse. The development by American oil and gas companies of new horizontal drilling techniques and the perfection of the process of hydraulic fracturing were key elements in this turnaround. Inventing and adding additional energy supply options reduced the need for oil and gas supply to provide for domestic energy uses, freeing more up for exports.

DiabloWags
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Unit2Sucks said:

DiabloWags said:



Sadly, much of our country is financially and economically illiterate.
Just reading the WSJ every day could go a long way to improving people's understanding of how things work.
Only if you stay away from the partisan hacks that make up a lot of the WSJ opinion section. Sadly, a lot of the comments we see in BI parrot talking points from the WSJ.


Yes, the Editorial Section is not my cup of tea.
But I do enjoy reading Peggy Noonan and how she taps into history to provide context for her well thought out presentations.

Case in point:

Nixon believed the election was stolen. President Dwight D. Eisenhower and Senate Minority Leader Everett Dirksen wanted him to challenge the results. Nixon thought it could take months and might not succeed, but his thoughts went deeper than that. In the Cold War, the nuclear age, unity at home and abroad was needed. Young democracies looked up to us. If they thought our elections could be stolen it would hurt the world's morale.


The New York Herald Tribune had launched an investigative series, but Nixon talked the reporter into stopping it: "Our country cannot afford the agony of a constitutional crisis."

In Evan Thomas's brisk "Being Nixon: A Man Divided," he reports that the GOP wise man Bryce Harlow urged Nixon to challenge, but Nixon said no: "It'd tear the country to pieces. You can't do that."

So he didn't. On Jan. 6, 1961, Nixon presided over the formal certification of his opponent's election. "This is the first time in 100 years that a candidate for the presidency announced the result of an election in which he was defeated and announced the victory of his opponent," he said. "In our campaigns, no matter how hard-fought they may be, no matter how close the election may turn out to be, those who lose accept the verdict and support those who win."

For once his colleagues gave that complicated man his due, with a standing ovation that wouldn't stop until Nixon took a second bow.

History went on and took its turns. Nixon came back and won the presidency in 1968. But when you read all this you wonder:

Why can't self-professed patriots love America like that nowmaturely, protectively? And: How important it is to know something of history, to know it so well you can almost trust it. Instead of just feeling what you feel and making a hash of things.



Peggy Noonan Columns, pieces and posts


DiabloWags
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PCE was announced for March today:

+ 6.6%

Meanwhile, Personal Spending growth roared at + 1.1%, even though personal income growth slowed.



dajo9
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DiabloWags
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Net Farm income for 2022
Estimated down $5 billion from 2021.

https://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/farm-economy/farm-sector-income-finances/farm-sector-income-forecast/

Direct Government farm payments are forecast at $11.7 billion in 2022, a $15.5 billion (57.0 percent) decrease from 2021 forecast levels.

Total production expenses, including those associated with operator dwellings, are forecast to increase by $20.1 billion (5.1 percent) in 2022 to $411.6 billion.

Prices for feed and fertilizer have skyrocketed.


wifeisafurd
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Unit2Sucks said:

The President's budget has become a joke over the decades. It's essentially gamesmanship. Biden is hoping that signalling a wealth tax will make him more popular with everyone who isn't loaded, even though you have millions of poor and middle class white people who for whatever reason think that taxing rich people is a mistake.

Biden and his team know very well that his budget isn't going to be the starting point and that his wealth tax doesn't have the support. He didn't genuinely believe that he was going to get it through. He wanted to be able to say "I tried to make the wealthiest in our country pay their fair share, but Republicans got in the way again." It probably won't work but what does he have to lose? Fox News was going to skewer him anyway. Congress controls the purse strings and they will have a lot of mouths to feed that can only be done by spending money.


No one power is ever going to want to balance the budget. That's reality. Just like no one runs for student body president on an austerity platform, no US president is ever going to say "I'm taxing you more and giving you less." No democrat, no republican, no one ever. The only way we balance the budget is by accident, like what's happened in California and it won't be for long.

Our deficit will go down, because it has to without the CARES act and other spending bills repeating, but it will still be historically high. The only hope is for interest rates to come back down because we're going to be royally screwed if we have to pay high interest rates on debt that is growing faster than GDP with no end in sight.





Wow, tell it like it is Unit 2!
Anarchistbear
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DiabloWags said:

Net Farm income for 2022
Estimated down $5 billion from 2021.

https://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/farm-economy/farm-sector-income-finances/farm-sector-income-forecast/

Direct Government farm payments are forecast at $11.7 billion in 2022, a $15.5 billion (57.0 percent) decrease from 2021 forecast levels.

Total production expenses, including those associated with operator dwellings, are forecast to increase by $20.1 billion (5.1 percent) in 2022 to $411.6 billion.

Prices for feed and fertilizer have skyrocketed.





Russia and China are major fertilizer exporters. Ukraine is a major feed exporter. Ripple effects as other countries limit exports.
DiabloWags
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Anarchistbear said:

DiabloWags said:

Net Farm income for 2022
Estimated down $5 billion from 2021.

https://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/farm-economy/farm-sector-income-finances/farm-sector-income-forecast/

Direct Government farm payments are forecast at $11.7 billion in 2022, a $15.5 billion (57.0 percent) decrease from 2021 forecast levels.

Total production expenses, including those associated with operator dwellings, are forecast to increase by $20.1 billion (5.1 percent) in 2022 to $411.6 billion.

Prices for feed and fertilizer have skyrocketed.





Russia and China are major fertilizer exporters. Ukraine is a major feed exporter. Ripple effects as other countries limit exports.


Duh.
Im aware of who the world's biggest potash producers are, including Canada.

Anarchistbear
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DiabloWags said:

Anarchistbear said:

DiabloWags said:

Net Farm income for 2022
Estimated down $5 billion from 2021.

https://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/farm-economy/farm-sector-income-finances/farm-sector-income-forecast/

Direct Government farm payments are forecast at $11.7 billion in 2022, a $15.5 billion (57.0 percent) decrease from 2021 forecast levels.

Total production expenses, including those associated with operator dwellings, are forecast to increase by $20.1 billion (5.1 percent) in 2022 to $411.6 billion.

Prices for feed and fertilizer have skyrocketed.





Russia and China are major fertilizer exporters. Ukraine is a major feed exporter. Ripple effects as other countries limit exports.


Duh.
Im aware of who the world's biggest potash producers are, including Canada.




I would never have guessed you knew anything about fertilizer except for bull ****.
DiabloWags
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Anarchistbear said:

DiabloWags said:

Anarchistbear said:

DiabloWags said:

Net Farm income for 2022
Estimated down $5 billion from 2021.

https://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/farm-economy/farm-sector-income-finances/farm-sector-income-forecast/

Direct Government farm payments are forecast at $11.7 billion in 2022, a $15.5 billion (57.0 percent) decrease from 2021 forecast levels.

Total production expenses, including those associated with operator dwellings, are forecast to increase by $20.1 billion (5.1 percent) in 2022 to $411.6 billion.

Prices for feed and fertilizer have skyrocketed.





Russia and China are major fertilizer exporters. Ukraine is a major feed exporter. Ripple effects as other countries limit exports.


Duh.
Im aware of who the world's biggest potash producers are, including Canada.




I would never have guessed you knew anything about fertilizer except for bull ****.

And you're the guy that still hasnt figured out that Tesla workers in China returned to the Tesla factory and are living inside the factory. You're not the sharpest tool in the shed.


going4roses
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How (are) you gonna win when you ain’t right within…
DiabloWags
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The Democratic Party is on the verge of totally losing the Hispanic voter.

In polls, their #1 concern is INFLATION.

They dont care about immigration or Ukraine.
They care about the cost of living skyrocketing.

And while they dont necessarily blame the Biden Administration for the surge in fuel, food, and consumer goods prices, not too mention rent/housing. . . they dont feel very confident that the Biden Administration knows how to handle it.

"A Quinnipiac University Poll published April 13th found that just 26% of Hispanic voters approved of Biden's job performance."

In Arizona and Colorado, Latino voters warn Democrats over inflation (nbcnews.com)


going4roses
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Hispanics that identify as white or white passing. A
Bka the racist ones

Fully assimilated better yet capitulated to the European way

Colonialism is not merely pilgrim settlements on foreign lands, Colonialism is a Mode of Production reinforced and maintained by a Superstructure that enslaves the productive forces of indigenous people towards producing & reproducing life/quality of life to the European Nation.
How (are) you gonna win when you ain’t right within…
oski003
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going4roses said:

Hispanics that identify as white or white passing. A
Bka the racist ones

Fully assimilated better yet capitulated to the European way

Colonialism is not merely pilgrim settlements on foreign lands, Colonialism is a Mode of Production reinforced and maintained by a Superstructure that enslaves the productive forces of indigenous people towards producing & reproducing life/quality of life to the European Nation.
It could be just Hispanics that work hard and achieve success and aren't enslaved by "the European Nation."

If you know someone of any race who is talented and a hard-worker and needs a job in L.A., feel free to send me a PM.
Anarchistbear
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going4roses said:

Hispanics that identify as white or white passing. A
Bka the racist ones

Fully assimilated better yet capitulated to the European way

Colonialism is not merely pilgrim settlements on foreign lands, Colonialism is a Mode of Production reinforced and maintained by a Superstructure that enslaves the productive forces of indigenous people towards producing & reproducing life/quality of life to the European Nation.


Why wouldn't they identify as white, especially as they are mostly white? They don't want to identify as a "person of color" because that's a phony meaningless category that also assigns them to the bottom of the economic heap.
Anarchistbear
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DiabloWags said:

The Democratic Pary is on the verge of totally losing the Hispanic voter.

In polls, their #1 concern is INFLATION.

They dont care about immigration or Ukraine.
They care about the cost of living skyrocketing.

And while they dont necessarily blame the Biden Administration for the surge in fuel, food, and consumer goods prices, not too mention rent/housing. . . they dont feel very confident that the Biden Administration knows how to handle it.

"A Quinnipiac University Poll published April 13th found that just 26% of Hispanic voters approved of Biden's job performance."

In Arizona and Colorado, Latino voters warn Democrats over inflation (nbcnews.com)





I hate the categorization of " Hispanics" as a monolith but it's not too surprising - many came here for economic opportunity and while they value social programs they also can be culturally conservative on families, schools, religion, abortion which means they are going to be more influenced by economic matters not some whining about "our democracy is at stake" on social media. . Too me it's not unlike other immigrants- Irish, Italians- who were treated as non whites when they arrived and a couple of generations later, moved up and out, live in the suburbs and are no longer a prime constituent of the Democrats. The goal is always to be more American and less a category.
going4roses
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Bull shyte
How (are) you gonna win when you ain’t right within…
going4roses
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I'm sorry did i say anything about person of color ? Nope
How (are) you gonna win when you ain’t right within…
DiabloWags
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Anarchistbear said:



I hate the categorization of " Hispanics" as a monolith but it's not too surprising - many came here for economic opportunity and while they value social programs they also can be culturally conservative on families, schools, religion, abortion which means they are going to be more influenced by economic matters not some whining about "our democracy is at stake" on social media. . Too me it's not unlike other immigrants- Irish, Italians- who were treated as non whites when they arrived and a couple of generations later, moved up and out, live in the suburbs and are no longer a prime constituent of the Democrats. The goal is always to be more American and less a category.


Excellent point.
helltopay1
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You will notice ( for those of you who don't wear blinders) that the MSM rarely mentions inflation. They are covering for Biden, of course. When a recession hits ( two consecutive quarters of zero growth) it will not be mentioned by the MSM. Have to minimize the November losses, don't you see?????
helltopay1
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26%???????Why so high?????
helltopay1
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Roses...Stop whining and get a job!!!!!!or volunteer at your local hospital...
going4roses
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helltopay1 said:

Roses...Stop whining and get a job!!!!!!or volunteer at your local hospital...


Hmm why would you assume I don't have job or a career for that matter ? Huh say it don't be a sissy

Just want me to shut up that bad ? Sorry I know you wish you could own me like a chattel slave but you do not so stop wishing/behaving/acting like it
How (are) you gonna win when you ain’t right within…
dajo9
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helltopay1 said:

You will notice ( for those of you who don't wear blinders) that the MSM rarely mentions inflation. They are covering for Biden, of course. When a recession hits ( two consecutive quarters of zero growth) it will not be mentioned by the MSM. Have to minimize the November losses, don't you see?????


This is hilarious. All the MSM talks about economically is inflation. They never talk about record job growth or deficit reduction or large GDP gains. Just inflation.

When Obama was President, the MSM only talked about a slow recovery despite the fact Obama's 2nd term saw strong economic growth and set trendlines that would become record-breaking. The MSM narrative only changed the day Trump became President and then the MSM only talked about economic strength.
helltopay1
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"Was blind, but now, can see." Dajo-----"was blind, and, still am."
BearForce2
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calbear93
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dajo9 said:

helltopay1 said:

You will notice ( for those of you who don't wear blinders) that the MSM rarely mentions inflation. They are covering for Biden, of course. When a recession hits ( two consecutive quarters of zero growth) it will not be mentioned by the MSM. Have to minimize the November losses, don't you see?????


This is hilarious. All the MSM talks about economically is inflation. They never talk about record job growth or deficit reduction or large GDP gains. Just inflation.

When Obama was President, the MSM only talked about a slow recovery despite the fact Obama's 2nd term saw strong economic growth and set trendlines that would become record-breaking. The MSM narrative only changed the day Trump became President and then the MSM only talked about economic strength.
I guess all those "business" and "economic" classes never thought that the Fed is always balancing unemployment with inflation. When fiscal and monetary policies have resulted in 1.6 open positions for each unemployed person, that is not something to be proud of. Flooding the market with cash and having fiscal policies to flood demand when supply is limited is not a great accomplishment. People like you never understand that harm that inflation does to the poor and the inevitable recession that results from runaway inflation.

But you are the expert who called a cap of equity in 2017 and celebrated that inflation was transitory. What do I know.
DiabloWags
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calbear93 said:



I guess all those "business" and "economic" classes never thought that the Fed is always balancing unemployment with inflation. When fiscal and monetary policies have resulted in 1.6 open positions for each unemployed person, that is not something to be proud of. Flooding the market with cash and having fiscal policies to flood demand when supply is limited is not a great accomplishment. People like you never understand that harm that inflation does to the poor and the inevitable recession that results from runaway inflation.

But you are the expert who called a cap of equity in 2017 and celebrated that inflation was transitory. What do I know.

True.

I've mentioned this ad naseum about how INFLATION crushes the lower classes given rising food, fuel, and rents relative to their income. - - - But the liberals here like Dajo, Bearister, Calpoly, and Going4Racism dont want to hear it. They're too busy "cheerleading" the rising wage part of the equation, thinking that's moving the needle.

That's absurd.

dajo9
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calbear93 said:

dajo9 said:

helltopay1 said:

You will notice ( for those of you who don't wear blinders) that the MSM rarely mentions inflation. They are covering for Biden, of course. When a recession hits ( two consecutive quarters of zero growth) it will not be mentioned by the MSM. Have to minimize the November losses, don't you see?????


This is hilarious. All the MSM talks about economically is inflation. They never talk about record job growth or deficit reduction or large GDP gains. Just inflation.

When Obama was President, the MSM only talked about a slow recovery despite the fact Obama's 2nd term saw strong economic growth and set trendlines that would become record-breaking. The MSM narrative only changed the day Trump became President and then the MSM only talked about economic strength.
I guess all those "business" and "economic" classes never thought that the Fed is always balancing unemployment with inflation. When fiscal and monetary policies have resulted in 1.6 open positions for each unemployed person, that is not something to be proud of. Flooding the market with cash and having fiscal policies to flood demand when supply is limited is not a great accomplishment. People like you never understand that harm that inflation does to the poor and the inevitable recession that results from runaway inflation.

But you are the expert who called a cap of equity in 2017 and celebrated that inflation was transitory. What do I know.
You can't get over the fact I made a killing buying long term U.S. Treasuries in 2017 and then rolling them into equities at the nadir of the Covid collapse in 2020. Beat out the buy-and-hold standard as I outlined on these boards with trade dates and assets traded.

Inflation is far better than economic collapse. Trump and Biden both knew that and acted accordingly. Only a fool would have argued against fiscal policy expansion during Covid. I guess that's you. The Fed, as usual, put too much money in the economy, waited too long to react, and now will retract too strongly. You'll continue to make up things about how people you don't like view the Fed.
calbear93
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dajo9 said:

calbear93 said:

dajo9 said:

helltopay1 said:

You will notice ( for those of you who don't wear blinders) that the MSM rarely mentions inflation. They are covering for Biden, of course. When a recession hits ( two consecutive quarters of zero growth) it will not be mentioned by the MSM. Have to minimize the November losses, don't you see?????


This is hilarious. All the MSM talks about economically is inflation. They never talk about record job growth or deficit reduction or large GDP gains. Just inflation.

When Obama was President, the MSM only talked about a slow recovery despite the fact Obama's 2nd term saw strong economic growth and set trendlines that would become record-breaking. The MSM narrative only changed the day Trump became President and then the MSM only talked about economic strength.
I guess all those "business" and "economic" classes never thought that the Fed is always balancing unemployment with inflation. When fiscal and monetary policies have resulted in 1.6 open positions for each unemployed person, that is not something to be proud of. Flooding the market with cash and having fiscal policies to flood demand when supply is limited is not a great accomplishment. People like you never understand that harm that inflation does to the poor and the inevitable recession that results from runaway inflation.

But you are the expert who called a cap of equity in 2017 and celebrated that inflation was transitory. What do I know.
You can't get over the fact I made a killing buying long term U.S. Treasuries in 2017 and then rolling them into equities at the nadir of the Covid collapse in 2020. Beat out the buy-and-hold standard as I outlined on these boards with trade dates and assets traded.

Inflation is far better than economic collapse. Trump and Biden both knew that and acted accordingly. Only a fool would have argued against fiscal policy expansion during Covid. I guess that's you. The Fed, as usual, put too much money in the economy, waited too long to react, and now will retract too strongly. You'll continue to make up things about how people you don't like view the Fed.
Sure you did. I mean you have proven yourself the oracle of BI with your pinpoint accurate predictions. How could we doubt that you are not some financial genius who outsmarts Wall Street and are secretly a billionaire.
dajo9
How long do you want to ignore this user?
calbear93 said:

dajo9 said:

calbear93 said:

dajo9 said:

helltopay1 said:

You will notice ( for those of you who don't wear blinders) that the MSM rarely mentions inflation. They are covering for Biden, of course. When a recession hits ( two consecutive quarters of zero growth) it will not be mentioned by the MSM. Have to minimize the November losses, don't you see?????


This is hilarious. All the MSM talks about economically is inflation. They never talk about record job growth or deficit reduction or large GDP gains. Just inflation.

When Obama was President, the MSM only talked about a slow recovery despite the fact Obama's 2nd term saw strong economic growth and set trendlines that would become record-breaking. The MSM narrative only changed the day Trump became President and then the MSM only talked about economic strength.
I guess all those "business" and "economic" classes never thought that the Fed is always balancing unemployment with inflation. When fiscal and monetary policies have resulted in 1.6 open positions for each unemployed person, that is not something to be proud of. Flooding the market with cash and having fiscal policies to flood demand when supply is limited is not a great accomplishment. People like you never understand that harm that inflation does to the poor and the inevitable recession that results from runaway inflation.

But you are the expert who called a cap of equity in 2017 and celebrated that inflation was transitory. What do I know.
You can't get over the fact I made a killing buying long term U.S. Treasuries in 2017 and then rolling them into equities at the nadir of the Covid collapse in 2020. Beat out the buy-and-hold standard as I outlined on these boards with trade dates and assets traded.

Inflation is far better than economic collapse. Trump and Biden both knew that and acted accordingly. Only a fool would have argued against fiscal policy expansion during Covid. I guess that's you. The Fed, as usual, put too much money in the economy, waited too long to react, and now will retract too strongly. You'll continue to make up things about how people you don't like view the Fed.
Sure you did. I mean you have proven yourself the oracle of BI with your pinpoint accurate predictions. How could we doubt that you are not some financial genius who outsmarts Wall Street and are secretly a billionaire.


I only posted the trades here in real time, lol
calbear93
How long do you want to ignore this user?
dajo9 said:

calbear93 said:

dajo9 said:

calbear93 said:

dajo9 said:

helltopay1 said:

You will notice ( for those of you who don't wear blinders) that the MSM rarely mentions inflation. They are covering for Biden, of course. When a recession hits ( two consecutive quarters of zero growth) it will not be mentioned by the MSM. Have to minimize the November losses, don't you see?????


This is hilarious. All the MSM talks about economically is inflation. They never talk about record job growth or deficit reduction or large GDP gains. Just inflation.

When Obama was President, the MSM only talked about a slow recovery despite the fact Obama's 2nd term saw strong economic growth and set trendlines that would become record-breaking. The MSM narrative only changed the day Trump became President and then the MSM only talked about economic strength.
I guess all those "business" and "economic" classes never thought that the Fed is always balancing unemployment with inflation. When fiscal and monetary policies have resulted in 1.6 open positions for each unemployed person, that is not something to be proud of. Flooding the market with cash and having fiscal policies to flood demand when supply is limited is not a great accomplishment. People like you never understand that harm that inflation does to the poor and the inevitable recession that results from runaway inflation.

But you are the expert who called a cap of equity in 2017 and celebrated that inflation was transitory. What do I know.
You can't get over the fact I made a killing buying long term U.S. Treasuries in 2017 and then rolling them into equities at the nadir of the Covid collapse in 2020. Beat out the buy-and-hold standard as I outlined on these boards with trade dates and assets traded.

Inflation is far better than economic collapse. Trump and Biden both knew that and acted accordingly. Only a fool would have argued against fiscal policy expansion during Covid. I guess that's you. The Fed, as usual, put too much money in the economy, waited too long to react, and now will retract too strongly. You'll continue to make up things about how people you don't like view the Fed.
Sure you did. I mean you have proven yourself the oracle of BI with your pinpoint accurate predictions. How could we doubt that you are not some financial genius who outsmarts Wall Street and are secretly a billionaire.


I only posted the trades here in real time, lol
Sure you did. Should we revive that embarrassing thread for you? I don't think you come across the way you think you do here, but that may just be me.
 
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