The Economy

37,416 Views | 752 Replies | Last: 8 hrs ago by bearister
oski003
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DiabloWags said:

Trumpanzees have reading comprehension stuck at the 6th grade level.

GAAP and non-GAAP earnings per diluted share were $1.08 and $1.05, respectively.

NVIDIA Announces Financial Results for Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 | NVIDIA Newsroom







Will even demented clowns admit it was an earnings beat, and it dropped for other reasons (just like Tesla which has since gone up up up)? Whether or not RH was off by a penny doesn't matter here, at all. Non-demented traders have a better grasp of things than demented dogs who can't learn new tricks.
movielover
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movielover
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movielover
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MSN: "GDP Gains Show Tariffs Not Hurting Prices Or Consumer Spending, Says Bessent"
DiabloWags
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movielover said:

MSN: "GDP Gains Show Tariffs Not Hurting Prices Or Consumer Spending, Says Bessent"


One of the most idiotic statements ever by Bessent.

And he's allegedly one of the "smarter" guys in the room - - - but sadly is now a Trump STOOGE.

Trump's tariffs didn't really kick in in Q2.
Due to TACO.

For the first half of the year, GDP has grown at about 2.1%
Yawn.

Whatever happened to your 4 - 5% GDP estimate?
lol





Cal88
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Coffee prices are going to spike as a result of the combination of tariffs on Brazil and Trump playing hardball with them, they're cutting off the US and diverting their production to China. A bit similar to what happened with soybeans, where China substituted its imports from the US to Brazil.
DiabloWags
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Cal88 said:

Coffee prices are going to spike as a result of the combination of tariffs on Brazil and Trump playing hardball with them, they're cutting off the US and diverting their production to China. A bit similar to what happened with soybeans, where China substituted its imports from the US to Brazil.



Correct.

They spiked 14.5% in July from a year ago and that's before the 50% tariffs on imports from Brazil.

Prices were already heading up from adverse weather conditions which lead to a 39% surge in 2024 from average levels a year earlier.

My favorite blend at Peet's Coffee is at $24 a pound.




76BearsFly
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The neutral PCE numbers militate toward a reduction in rates by the Fed. That, in turn, will produce positive housing industry expansion and lending activity at long last. Wages will be going up as deportation of illegal aliens impacts the work force. Glad I kept my powder dry and bought the nice dips over the past year; quarters 3 and 4 going to be great!!
dajo9
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Fascist Keynesianism should also help the economy as billions are funded to thugs, who otherwise have little of value to offer society, to roam our streets in masks and disrupt the more productive parts of our society.
DiabloWags
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76BearsFly said:

The neutral PCE numbers militate toward a reduction in rates by the Fed. That, in turn, will produce positive housing industry expansion and lending activity at long last. Wages will be going up as deportation of illegal aliens impacts the work force. Glad I kept my powder dry and bought the nice dips over the past year; quarters 3 and 4 going to be great!!


Core PCE is still well above the Fed's target at 2.9%

If Powell and the Fed "cave" in to Trump's relentless pressure to lower rates, you're not going to like what happens to the long end of the curve and the ultimate impact on stocks.

One would have to be on drugs to think that there is evidence of "restrictive" monetary policy (rates too high) given where the unemployment rate is, where the S&P 500 is trading, where meme stocks are trading, and where Bitcoin is trading.


PAC-10-BEAR
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DiabloWags
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Another reason NOT to lower rates.

The nowcasts of third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and second-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth increased from 2.2 percent and 4.4 percent, respectively, to 2.3 percent and 6.1 percent, while the nowcast of the contribution of net exports to third-quarter real GDP growth increased from -0.36 percentage points to 0.59 percentage points.
movielover
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"Exciting news! Private sector wages in the U.S. just shot up by a staggering 0.7%! This clearly indicates a super strong labor market, with experts confidently pinning it at around 5% annualized growth!"
DiabloWags
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movielover said:

"Exciting news! Private sector wages in the U.S. just shot up by a staggering 0.7%! This clearly indicates a super strong labor market, with experts confidently pinning it at around 5% annualized growth!"


Another reason NOT to lower rates.
Eastern Oregon Bear
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DiabloWags said:

Cal88 said:

Coffee prices are going to spike as a result of the combination of tariffs on Brazil and Trump playing hardball with them, they're cutting off the US and diverting their production to China. A bit similar to what happened with soybeans, where China substituted its imports from the US to Brazil.



Correct.

They spiked 14.5% in July from a year ago and that's before the 50% tariffs on imports from Brazil.

Prices were already heading up from adverse weather conditions which lead to a 39% surge in 2024 from average levels a year earlier.

My favorite blend at Peet's Coffee is at $24 a pound.



Now that Dr Pepper owns Peet's, I hear they will rebrand it as Sulawesi-Kalosi Zero Sugar.

I buy my coffee from a roaster near Seattle, 1 pound of Brazilian and 1 pound of Sumatran each month. The prices are similar to what you quoted. I'm waiting to see how the tariff hammer will raise the prices. I may have to find cheaper coffees.
Cal88
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Eastern Oregon Bear said:

DiabloWags said:

Cal88 said:

Coffee prices are going to spike as a result of the combination of tariffs on Brazil and Trump playing hardball with them, they're cutting off the US and diverting their production to China. A bit similar to what happened with soybeans, where China substituted its imports from the US to Brazil.



Correct.

They spiked 14.5% in July from a year ago and that's before the 50% tariffs on imports from Brazil.

Prices were already heading up from adverse weather conditions which lead to a 39% surge in 2024 from average levels a year earlier.

My favorite blend at Peet's Coffee is at $24 a pound.




Now that Dr Pepper owns Peet's, I hear they will rebrand it as Sulawesi-Kalosi Zero Sugar.

I buy my coffee from a roaster near Seattle, 1 pound of Brazilian and 1 pound of Sumatran each month. The prices are similar to what you quoted. I'm waiting to see how the tariff hammer will raise the prices. I may have to find cheaper coffees.



Unless things change, you might not even be able to buy Brazilian coffee any more starting next year with the 50% import tariffs kicking in on new inventory. Indonesian tariffs stand at 19% right now, Wags' $24 pound of Sulawesi will get closer to $30.

I'm a tea drinker, mostly oolongs from China, darjeeling from India, prices have already been going up steadily the last couple of decades as local demand for higher-end teas has increased, same with Chinese antiques.
DiabloWags
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Eastern Oregon Bear said:

DiabloWags said:

Cal88 said:

Coffee prices are going to spike as a result of the combination of tariffs on Brazil and Trump playing hardball with them, they're cutting off the US and diverting their production to China. A bit similar to what happened with soybeans, where China substituted its imports from the US to Brazil.



Correct.

They spiked 14.5% in July from a year ago and that's before the 50% tariffs on imports from Brazil.

Prices were already heading up from adverse weather conditions which lead to a 39% surge in 2024 from average levels a year earlier.

My favorite blend at Peet's Coffee is at $24 a pound.




Now that Dr Pepper owns Peet's, I hear they will rebrand it as Sulawesi-Kalosi Zero Sugar.

I buy my coffee from a roaster near Seattle, 1 pound of Brazilian and 1 pound of Sumatran each month. The prices are similar to what you quoted. I'm waiting to see how the tariff hammer will raise the prices. I may have to find cheaper coffees.



I remember when Peet's did their IPO at like $8 a share in 2001.
Raised $26 million.

In 2012, it got acquired privately by a German conglomerate called JDE (JAB Holding Co.) at around $73.50
And then it got spun out again as an IPO for $2.5 Billion.

Mind-blowing acquisition by Dr. Pepper for $18 BILLION!

Peet's Coffee parent company sold for $18 billion to Keurig Dr. Pepper - Los Angeles Times


bearister
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