New York City race for Mayor

96,172 Views | 840 Replies | Last: 3 days ago by dajo9
BearlySane88
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Cal88 said:

BearlySane88 said:

Cal88 said:

BearlySane88 said:

Cal88 said:

BearlySane88 said:

Cal88 said:

Zohran looking good 100 days into his tenure.



Net favorables

Brooklyn (+28)
Manhattan (+29)
Bronx (+33)
Queens (+12)
Staten Island (-27)
White: (+8)
Black (+53)
Latino (+29)
Age 18-29 (+42)
Age 30-44 (+23)
Age 45-59 (+3)
Age 60+ (+21)
Men (+16)
Women (+27)




So 48% is good for a democrat less than a year into his term? Interesting lol

Spending 10x more on a grocery store that takes 3 years to build will really do wonders for his numbers. He's already had to back track numerous campaign promises that he can't keep


If you win a football game by a score of 48 to 30, that would be considered a solid win by everyone, except for people with an extraordinary amount of BAD FAITH.

We'll see how his grocery program performs in a year or two.


What a terrible, terrible analogy and an absolute cope job.

0% logic and reasoning

His ONE grocery store isn't supposed to be built for 3 years and it's going to cost a ridiculous price. That's socialism for ya

100% they voted for it


Trump would kill for a +18 favorability rating. Only a complete moron would double down on the notion that a 48% favorable / 30% unfavorable is a bad poll ratio in US politics. Though for some people on this board, doubling down on stupid is their main hobby.

What is the total budget for that grocery, and what percentage of the city budget does that represent, and how does it compare to a municipal food bank project, or a public library for that matter.

Meanwhile, it's pretty amusing to see all the MDS people keep obsessing over him while he's kicking @ss at Gracie Mansion.

How is the sharia law coming along in Gotham? teehee.


There hadn't been a post about him in 5 days, hardly an obsession


You know that there is a whole cottage industry in the internet dedicated to bring him down, I mean his opponent received $20M+. There are at least 4 threads dedicated to Mamdani on this board the last year alone...


20 mil, sounds real cottage
movielover
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Cal88
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movielover said:




Amuse is ragebaiting. That HMO CEO shot by Luigi M. was not anywhere near his home, he was going to a conference at a hotel:

Quote:

UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson was shot and killed in a "brazen, targeted attack" outside the Hilton Hotel in Midtown Manhattan on the morning of December 4, 2024. The 50-year-old executive was walking to an investor conference when a gunman fired at him


The addresses of high profile people like the Citadel hedge fund billionaire Griffin usually are public knowledge.

Griffin is worth $50 billion, if anything getting an extra $50 grand from him to finance daycare is exactly what the people who voted for Mamdani wanted.

In a K-shaped economy, the people at the very top like Griffin, Bezos or Musk will pay and promote shills like "amuse" to push an agenda that vilifies any attempt to rectify the fact that the majority of wealth created in the past several decades has been captured by the top earners.Any criticism of crony capitalism will get labelled as "Marxist".


Aunburdened
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BearlySane88 said:



movielover
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If that was my goal, to open a subsidized grocery store, do something quick, logical, basic. Offer 500 or 1,000 limited items. Find great deals to offer. Security and insurance will be a big deal in most poorer areas. Three years? Costs will only go higher.
movielover
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First 60 - 90 seconds shows the state of some New York streets.

An unrelated post from a realtor claimed a rush on properties in New Jersey, Monmouth County, her clients bid $150,000 over list and lost out. Claims a NY exodus.

https://www.facebook.com/reel/1924115024878904/?mibextid=9drbnH
movielover
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Three stock exchanges to have a Texas branch.

Goldman Sachs CEO FINALLY Speaks On Why He Is Moving Thousands Of New York Jobs To Texas

"Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon has laid bare the brutal truth behind shifting thousands of high-paying New York jobs to Texas. What started as quiet internal whispers has exploded into a half-billion-dollar bet that the Big Apple's golden era is fading fast while the Lone Star State surges ahead. The stark choice handed to veteran executivesrelocate or leavereveals a deeper economic reckoning few saw coming."
Cal88
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Enjoy Dallas, Dave.

Maybe it was the grocery store that is going to do Mamdani in?

DiabloWags
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movielover said:

Three stock exchanges to have a Texas branch.

Goldman Sachs CEO FINALLY Speaks On Why He Is Moving Thousands Of New York Jobs To Texas

"Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon has laid bare the brutal truth behind shifting thousands of high-paying New York jobs to Texas. What started as quiet internal whispers has exploded into a half-billion-dollar bet that the Big Apple's golden era is fading fast while the Lone Star State surges ahead. The stark choice handed to veteran executivesrelocate or leavereveals a deeper economic reckoning few saw coming."


Few saw coming?

Not true at all.

The Dallas- Fort Worth area has been an up and coming financial servicesc center going back nearly 10 years.
PAC-10-BEAR
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movielover
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Oopsie.

Cal88
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oski003
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Cal88 said:





Also, wasn't the city deficit reduced by a state bailout?

Cal88
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oski003 said:

Cal88 said:





Also, wasn't the city deficit reduced by a state bailout?




FYI NYC accounts for 60% of NY State budget, the majority of NY State budget comes from NYC, so the state pitching in to cover part of the NYC deficit would be expected.
movielover
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They're fleeing Cali, different tax structure? The billionaires tax is allegedly 'one time', and allegedly only '5%', but supposedly they can confiscate up to 50% of new IPO shares? Hence the exit.

Progressives unable to cut, be efficient, or find fraud. Newsom cut oversight. We just learned his wife has been paid over $3 Million.
Cal88
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movielover
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Officials claim approximately 500,000 illegal immigrants in New York City, probably much more than that.
PAC-10-BEAR
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movielover
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Forty percent of New York City's population is foreign born. Not just second and third generation immigrants. Foreign born. Almost half the city wasn't born in this country.
Anarchistbear
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movielover said:


Forty percent of New York City's population is foreign born. Not just second and third generation immigrants. Foreign born. Almost half the city wasn't born in this country.


Trump voters

https://www.cato.org/blog/naturalized-immigrants-probably-voted-republican-2024
sycasey
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movielover said:


Forty percent of New York City's population is foreign born. Not just second and third generation immigrants. Foreign born. Almost half the city wasn't born in this country.

The actual number is around 37% or 38%, per studies.

https://cmsny.org/publications/data-briefing-on-new-york-city-immigrants/

Also, I suspect NYC has historically been like this. It's where a lot of immigrants first arrive. Is this supposed to scare everyone?
movielover
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Likely undercount illegal immigrants.
wifeisafurd
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Not to rain on parades, but the "pied--terre" property tax on non-residents has not gotten legislative approval,

Mandami was able to close the budget deficit he inherited by a $4 billion infusion from the State (which may mean the end of the "pied--terre" property tax). To get rid ot the rest of the inherited deficit, Mamdami deployed a pension funding gimmick that will pass higher costs on to future budgets by extending the pension debt payment target, delaying projected full funding by five years. This will reduce annual costs today, but the interest on the city's pension debt will cost taxpayers more in the long term, and adversely hurt the City's bond rating. For those of you with government pensions, you should think on the idea of not having your pension funded.

While the short-term budget gap has been eliminated, long-term structural deficits remain. Projections indicate an out-year budget hole of roughly $7.1 billion for Fiscal Year 2028, potentially ballooning to nearly $9.8 billion by 2030. It also means unless Mamdami can find new net revenue sources, he is not in a position to finance his many promised speeding objectives.


wifeisafurd
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oski003 said:

Cal88 said:





Also, wasn't the city deficit reduced by a state bailout?



The rest of the deficit was covered by delaying pension funding programs so they will go unfunded for five years. Nice F-U to City workers.
Aunburdened
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sycasey
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movielover said:

Likely undercount illegal immigrants.

Yes, and I'm sure that NYC has long had a lot of illegal immigrants too. Is the suggestion that the current number is far higher than the historical norm? What is that norm?
movielover
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Yes.
sycasey
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movielover said:

Yes.

Okay, so what was the historical norm of foreign-born in NYC?
movielover
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sycasey said:

movielover said:


Forty percent of New York City's population is foreign born. Not just second and third generation immigrants. Foreign born. Almost half the city wasn't born in this country.

The actual number is around 37% or 38%, per studies.

https://cmsny.org/publications/data-briefing-on-new-york-city-immigrants/

Also, I suspect NYC has historically been like this. It's where a lot of immigrants first arrive. Is this supposed to scare everyone?


1980 - 23%
1990 - 28%
2000 - 35%
2026 - 40%

https://www.nyc.gov/assets/planning/download/pdf/data-maps/nyc-population/historical-population/1790-2000_nyc_total_foreign_birth.pdf
movielover
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^^ As POTUS is making DC Beautiful Again. Over twenty public fountains were inoperable?!
Cal88
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movielover said:

First 60 - 90 seconds shows the state of some New York streets.

An unrelated post from a realtor claimed a rush on properties in New Jersey, Monmouth County, her clients bid $150,000 over list and lost out. Claims a NY exodus.

https://www.facebook.com/reel/1924115024878904/?mibextid=9drbnH


So NYC housing prices are coming down? That guy keeps delivering.
movielover
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Conservative Staten Island seeks to break away from NYC Socialism.
dajo9
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Cal88 said:

movielover said:

First 60 - 90 seconds shows the state of some New York streets.

An unrelated post from a realtor claimed a rush on properties in New Jersey, Monmouth County, her clients bid $150,000 over list and lost out. Claims a NY exodus.

https://www.facebook.com/reel/1924115024878904/?mibextid=9drbnH


So NYC housing prices are coming down? That guy keeps delivering.

That's been going on for years in New Jersey
Anarchistbear
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movielover said:

Conservative Staten Island seeks to break away from NYC Socialism.


Cops and heroin users to secede
wifeisafurd
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The "pied--terre" property tax on non-residents finally got legislative approval and will only apply to NYC .

It is not what Mandami asked for, but is a compromise. It is imposed on second homes (valued at $1 million or more and will take effect in two different phases.

In the first two years the tax years 2026-2027 and 2027-2028 condos and co-ops valued at more than $1 million by the city's Department of Finance will be subject to the tax. Properties worth between $1 million and $3 million will face a 4% annual tax; properties valued at $3 million to $5 million will face a 5.25% tax; and those above $5 million will face a 6.5% tax. While the tax seems large relative to current rates when say compared to CA, experts say the city's antiquated assessment and valuation system dramatically undervalues properties, reducing the burden. City valuations can often be 10% or less of the true market value.

The City is required over the next two years to update valuations and the tax according to the budget documents. Starting in the 2028-2029 tax year, the property values will be based on comparable sales. Since valuations will skyrocket, the tax rates will fall to compensate.

After the valuation adjustments, properties worth between $5 million and $15 million will be subject to a surcharge tax rate of 0.8%; properties between $15 million and $25 million will be taxed at 1.05%; and properties over $25 million will be taxed at 1.3% surcharge, according to the budget plan. So the ongoing run tax increases will be between .8% to1.05%.

Mandami, who seems to suffer from Trump proclivity for exaggeration, claims the tax will add $500 million in annual revenue, which sounds like a lot, but with NYC having around a $ 115 Billion annual budget, represents far less than 1% of the budget, before Mamdami's proposed increases for promised programs. The New York City Treasure indicates only an expected $340 million annual bump is expected due to anticipated sales of property by
non-residents to residents, and somewhat from a price depression in luxury properties in general.

The small revenue production from this tax versus the size of NYC's budget and budget deficits seems to suggest
that this may be a narrow political victory for Mandami that supports his political agenda, but does next to nothing in terms of substantive financial impact. NYC seems to be great a turning out politicians who overstate their accomplishments.

The residential property surcharge is not applied to boats, nor would it apply to the non-resident wealthy whose primary residences are luxury boats and have a residence in New York City (e.g. David Geffen and Larry Ellison).


 
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