I don't think these chances really change much regardless of who is President.movielover said:
Meanwhile, there is a 100% chance Harris and the NeoCons will keep us in war with Russia, and maybe a 25% chance we go to war somewhere in the middle east. Maybe higher. And maybe a 5% chance we go to war w North Korea, and a 2% chance of nuclear war.
Kamala Harris for President
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Last: 11 days ago by bear2034
dajo9 said:
Harris rally tonight had 2.5 million viewers while Dementia Donold rally had 15k viewers
https://www.threads.net/@demsmight/post/DBkksRsR16z?xmt=AQGzLcKsTC-n8dFyKts6bvrZKte6xak86sMNm_HEdlX18A
LIES.
1.45 Million views just on YouTube in one hour.
Joe Rogan on Spotify has 14.5 Million followers, 3x the next biggest podcast.
Citizens will watch on multiple platforms.
movielover said:dajo9 said:
Harris rally tonight had 2.5 million viewers while Dementia Donold rally had 15k viewers
https://www.threads.net/@demsmight/post/DBkksRsR16z?xmt=AQGzLcKsTC-n8dFyKts6bvrZKte6xak86sMNm_HEdlX18A
LIES.
1.45 Million views just on YouTube in one hour.
Joe Rogan on Spotify has 14.5 Million followers, 3x the next biggest podcast.
Citizens will watch on multiple platforms.
Since when do you call a podcast a rally, dopey?
tequila4kapp said:In my area she is now running ads with alleged Republicans saying they can't vote Republican this time (this theme has been used by other Ds in our region). The ad this morning went away from Trump the Fascist and instead painted Trump as the rich guy only helping the rich. It demonstrated to me how Harris just doesn't have much to run on. Trump is essentially an economic populist, not a Reagan Republican. And most people feel like these last 4 years have been economically hard.sycasey said:
But that said, electorally I think all the possible juice has already been squeezed out of that turnip. The people still deciding (those lonely few) probably care more about other stuff, so I don't think it's a great closing argument. Though I guess there is still time to make another one.
Sorry, my fellow lefties, but this illustrates Trump's genius: A New York City billionaire is President for four years, during which time, he cuts taxes for the rich and eviscerates corporate regulations that protect the working class. And yet there are educated people who believe he is an economic populist. If that is so easy to accomplish, let's see you do it!
faux populist masquerading as a populist
sycasey said:I don't think these chances really change much regardless of who is President.movielover said:
Meanwhile, there is a 100% chance Harris and the NeoCons will keep us in war with Russia, and maybe a 25% chance we go to war somewhere in the middle east. Maybe higher. And maybe a 5% chance we go to war w North Korea, and a 2% chance of nuclear war.
President Trump will end the war in Ukraine. This is clear, while the NeoCons are attempting to prefund the war (and destruction of Ukraine) for years.
Real Wages rose under Trump for the first time in decades, and we had low inflation.
Blue collar wages rose more quickly than white collar wages.
Blue collar wages rose more quickly than white collar wages.
If this polling is close to accurate then Dementia Donold is cooked and Vice President Harris will have a comfortable victory. It would mean Republicans and / or Unaffiliateds are voting in material numbers for Harris. She has the momentum. She has the enthusiasm. She has American values.
Marist polling of early voters:
— Blank Slate (@blankslate2017) October 24, 2024
AZ: Harris 55 Trump 44
NC: Harris 55 Trump 43
GA: Harris 54 Trump 45.
It strikes me as a little surprising given the composition of the EV thus far in those states. Suggests that EV Indies are voting Dem.
dajo9 said:
If this polling is close to accurate then Dementia Donold is cooked and Vice President Harris will have a comfortable victory. It would mean Republicans and / or Unaffiliateds are voting in material numbers for Harris. She has the momentum. She has the enthusiasm. She has American values.Marist polling of early voters:
— Blank Slate (@blankslate2017) October 24, 2024
AZ: Harris 55 Trump 44
NC: Harris 55 Trump 43
GA: Harris 54 Trump 45.
It strikes me as a little surprising given the composition of the EV thus far in those states. Suggests that EV Indies are voting Dem.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/kamala-harris-dealt-triple-swing-state-polling-blow/ar-AA1sWkQl
This shows Trump ahead. Weird.
We can disagree with Trump's tariffs, but they were generally used as a tool to protect US manufacturing.Big C said:
Sorry, my fellow lefties, but this illustrates Trump's genius: A New York City billionaire is President for four years, during which time, he cuts taxes for the rich and eviscerates corporate regulations that protect the working class. And yet there are educated people who believe he is an economic populist. If that is so easy to accomplish, let's see you do it!
faux populist masquerading as a populist
Trump is anti-NAFTA; it was amended/replaced with USMCA.
Note - I am not talking about the actual effect of the policies, I am talking about the purported purposes and rationales. Those two things alone make Trump the most anti-traditional Republican ever, at least from an economic policy. If you are a lesser educated factory worker in the rust belt or a dairy farmer in the mid-west Trump sure is hell is in your corner in a way not seen since pre-NAFTA Democratic party.
tRump's talk of eliminating the income tax is the equivalent of dropping thousands of tRump University applications out of an airplane. It is just another scam in a long line of huckster ideas he floats out there to see who nibbles (and votes for him because of it).
If the 748 billionaires in the U.S. got $2,200,000,000,000 richer under the tRump tax cuts, how does eliminating the federal income tax pencil out for them? As Putin would say, "It pays to keep the oligarchs happy."
Trump Flirts With the Ultimate Tax Cut: No Income Taxes at All - The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/24/us/politics/donald-trump-tax-policy.html
"Mr. Trump has denied that Americans pay the cost of tariffs. He argues that companies overseas bear the cost of tariffs on the products they ship to the United States. Economists largely debunk that argument, companies generally pass along those higher costs to consumers by raising prices.
…..Mr. Trump's goal to impose tariffs on all imports into the United States could raise a lot of money for the federal government, but it would not be nearly enough to replace income taxes. The United States imports roughly $3 trillion worth of goods annually, while the country collected roughly $4.2 trillion in income and payroll taxes last fiscal year.
Overall, his agenda would raise taxes on low-income Americans, provide a tax break for the richest and drastically increase the deficit, according to an analysis from the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, a liberal think tank."
If the 748 billionaires in the U.S. got $2,200,000,000,000 richer under the tRump tax cuts, how does eliminating the federal income tax pencil out for them? As Putin would say, "It pays to keep the oligarchs happy."
Trump Flirts With the Ultimate Tax Cut: No Income Taxes at All - The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/24/us/politics/donald-trump-tax-policy.html
"Mr. Trump has denied that Americans pay the cost of tariffs. He argues that companies overseas bear the cost of tariffs on the products they ship to the United States. Economists largely debunk that argument, companies generally pass along those higher costs to consumers by raising prices.
…..Mr. Trump's goal to impose tariffs on all imports into the United States could raise a lot of money for the federal government, but it would not be nearly enough to replace income taxes. The United States imports roughly $3 trillion worth of goods annually, while the country collected roughly $4.2 trillion in income and payroll taxes last fiscal year.
Overall, his agenda would raise taxes on low-income Americans, provide a tax break for the richest and drastically increase the deficit, according to an analysis from the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, a liberal think tank."
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If he does this by letting Putin have what he wants, then it's not clear to me that this actually lowers the chance of future conflict.movielover said:sycasey said:I don't think these chances really change much regardless of who is President.movielover said:
Meanwhile, there is a 100% chance Harris and the NeoCons will keep us in war with Russia, and maybe a 25% chance we go to war somewhere in the middle east. Maybe higher. And maybe a 5% chance we go to war w North Korea, and a 2% chance of nuclear war.
President Trump will end the war in Ukraine. This is clear, while the NeoCons are attempting to prefund the war (and destruction of Ukraine) for years.
The China tariffs were so positive, Biden-Harris kept them in place.
dajo9 said:
If this polling is close to accurate then Dementia Donold is cooked and Vice President Harris will have a comfortable victory. It would mean Republicans and / or Unaffiliateds are voting in material numbers for Harris. She has the momentum. She has the enthusiasm. She has American values.Marist polling of early voters:
— Blank Slate (@blankslate2017) October 24, 2024
AZ: Harris 55 Trump 44
NC: Harris 55 Trump 43
GA: Harris 54 Trump 45.
It strikes me as a little surprising given the composition of the EV thus far in those states. Suggests that EV Indies are voting Dem.
Actual votes already cast are running about 55% - 45% female. Could be that older Republican and / or unaffiliated women coming out early in big numbers for Harris. Very energized younger cohorts still to come on election day.
Happy Roevember
sycasey said:If he does this by letting Putin have what he wants, then it's not clear to me that this actually lowers the chance of future conflict.movielover said:sycasey said:I don't think these chances really change much regardless of who is President.movielover said:
Meanwhile, there is a 100% chance Harris and the NeoCons will keep us in war with Russia, and maybe a 25% chance we go to war somewhere in the middle east. Maybe higher. And maybe a 5% chance we go to war w North Korea, and a 2% chance of nuclear war.
President Trump will end the war in Ukraine. This is clear, while the NeoCons are attempting to prefund the war (and destruction of Ukraine) for years.
Logic could argue the exact opposite.
1. Putin retains Crimea and Eastern Ukraine - culturally Russia areas
2. The USA / NATO / CIA out of Donbas
3. The civil war is over
4. Make Ukraine neutral, like Finland in 1948 inked The Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation and Mutual Assistance
5. If Poland is worried, help beef up their defenses
Installed, not elected, and since she has such a thin resume she lies.
Bernie was beating Kamala by a wide margin in 2020, he must be wondering how Kamala got to where she is now. Oh wait, he knows.
Big C said:
Sorry, my fellow lefties, but this illustrates Trump's genius:
Big C, you must be pleased, we have more irregulars posting here.
dajo9 said:
Harris rally tonight had 2.5 million viewers while Dementia Donold rally had 15k viewers
https://www.threads.net/@demsmight/post/DBkksRsR16z?xmt=AQGzLcKsTC-n8dFyKts6bvrZKte6xak86sMNm_HEdlX18A
REPORT: Beyoncé endorses Kamala Harris at Houston rally, but doesn't perform any songs, leaving some attendees frustrated and feeling duped
— Election Wizard (@ElectionWiz) October 26, 2024
Kamala got booed after tricking everybody into thinking Beyoncé was gonna perform 🤣 pic.twitter.com/SGmvQs94Sw
— Hodgetwins (@hodgetwins) October 26, 2024
Viewers came for Beyonce, not Kamala.
BREAKING: Biden is telling advisors the election is “dead and buried” and called Kamala an “innate sucker” - per WH official pic.twitter.com/Mb2uXfe2mg
— Jack Poso 🇺🇸 (@JackPosobiec) October 27, 2024
If true, good for Biden.movielover said:BREAKING: Biden is telling advisors the election is “dead and buried” and called Kamala an “innate sucker” - per WH official pic.twitter.com/Mb2uXfe2mg
— Jack Poso 🇺🇸 (@JackPosobiec) October 27, 2024
Instead of suckers and losers it's suckers and jackasses. Jill will never forgive them.
Acting POTUS ^^^
Wannabe POTUS
There are thousands of memes & dozens of videos highlighting Kamala’s substance problem.
— Still Boneless (@still_boneless) October 27, 2024
And her campaign thinks it’s a good idea for her to sit down at a bar and drink
Unreal
pic.twitter.com/KN1lSEmAUv
Kamala and Gretchen Whitmer are caught on a hot mic at their very cringe drinking beer at bar scene:
— Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) October 27, 2024
"We need to move ground among men."
Then realizes they are probably getting recorded...
"Oh we have microphones in here just listening to everything ... Sh**." pic.twitter.com/UeSOAdF30a
Powerful highlight of Harris' background.
Oh my god.
— Tim Pool (@Timcast) October 26, 2024
Listen to this
These clips of Kamala are disqualifying
pic.twitter.com/KWL2CJZso1
Kamala Harris is now comparing Donald Trump to Adolph Hitler.
— Rudy W. Giuliani (@RudyGiuliani) October 23, 2024
Kamala knows there have been two assassination attempts and countless threats on his life.
It couldn't be any clearer—this is a dog whistle to potential assassins.
Disgraceful. pic.twitter.com/xrhFIKpDIU
Kamala gives the go ahead for the cult to use dangerous inflammatory language and they obey.
Hidden Crisis: Violent Crime Rises 55% Under Biden-Harris as FBI Conceals Crime Real Stats
— @amuse (@amuse) October 27, 2024
"crime is down" lol
The Biden-Harris regime didn't just allow crime to spiral out of controlthey actively worked to hide it. When the FBI first reported a 2.1% decrease in violent crime for 2022, Biden and Harris were quick to tout this as evidence of their success. But just weeks before the 2024 election, the FBI quietly revised these figures. The reality? Violent crime had increased by 4.5%, including 1,699 additional murders that were originally missed. The revised data showed an increase of 80,029 violent crimes, including 7,780 more rapes, 33,459 more robberies, and 37,091 aggravated assaults. This revision isn't a minor adjustmentit's a glaring indictment of how this administration manipulates data to suit its political agenda.
The situation is even worse when you consider data from independent sources. The National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS), which relies on reports from victims rather than law enforcement agencies, paints an even grimmer picture. It shows a 55% rise in violent crime since Biden and Harris took office. That's rightviolent crime has surged by over half under their regime. Yet, they continue to gaslight the public, pretending we're safer than ever. This isn't just incompetence; it's willful deceit.
And it gets worse. If approximately 30% of jurisdictions aren't reporting crime data, then the actual increase in violent crime is likely much higher. If the current 55% rise is based on only 70% of reported data, an extrapolation suggests the real increase could be closer to 79%. The true scope of this crisis is likely far worse than what Biden, Harris, and their media allies want us to believe.
The Biden-Harris regime didn't just allow crime to spiral out of controlthey actively worked to hide it. When the FBI first reported a 2.1% decrease in violent crime for 2022, Biden and Harris were quick to tout this as evidence of their success. But just weeks before the 2024 election, the FBI quietly revised these figures. The reality? Violent crime had increased by 4.5%, including 1,699 additional murders that were originally missed. The revised data showed an increase of 80,029 violent crimes, including 7,780 more rapes, 33,459 more robberies, and 37,091 aggravated assaults. This revision isn't a minor adjustmentit's a glaring indictment of how this administration manipulates data to suit its political agenda.
The situation is even worse when you consider data from independent sources. The National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS), which relies on reports from victims rather than law enforcement agencies, paints an even grimmer picture. It shows a 55% rise in violent crime since Biden and Harris took office. That's rightviolent crime has surged by over half under their regime. Yet, they continue to gaslight the public, pretending we're safer than ever. This isn't just incompetence; it's willful deceit.
And it gets worse. If approximately 30% of jurisdictions aren't reporting crime data, then the actual increase in violent crime is likely much higher. If the current 55% rise is based on only 70% of reported data, an extrapolation suggests the real increase could be closer to 79%. The true scope of this crisis is likely far worse than what Biden, Harris, and their media allies want us to believe.
There's also a 100% "chance" that Harris and her crew will continue the Biden/Harris policies in favor of censorship and pressuring media companies to tow the government line.movielover said:
OK, so you believe there's a 5% chance Trump does something authoritarian like.
Meanwhile, there is a 100% chance Harris and the NeoCons will keep us in war with Russia, and maybe a 25% chance we go to war somewhere in the middle east. Maybe higher. And maybe a 5% chance we go to war w North Korea, and a 2% chance of nuclear war.
There is nothing more "fascist"/authoritarian then the president ignoring the first amendment seeking to control media. That is in addition to the unprecedented lawfare and wanton derogation of the law when it comes to the border and/or student loan forgiveness.
The irony in all this is that the dems are terrified that, if elected, Trump will engage in the exact same activities/initiatives/tactics the dems have been doing for the past 8 years. Imagine that.
No, I think trying to overturn the results of an election you lost is more authoritarian.BearGoggles said:
There is nothing more "fascist"/authoritarian then the president ignoring the first amendment seeking to control media. That is in addition to the unprecedented lawfare and wanton derogation of the law when it comes to the border and/or student loan forgiveness.
Projection.
sycasey said:No, I think trying to overturn the results of an election you lost is more authoritarian.BearGoggles said:
There is nothing more "fascist"/authoritarian then the president ignoring the first amendment seeking to control media. That is in addition to the unprecedented lawfare and wanton derogation of the law when it comes to the border and/or student loan forgiveness.
You mean like the dems just did with the 2024 primaries?
Did you feel that way in 2004 when Gore sought to change the rules post-election and litigated to the end of the earth? Or in 2016 when several Dems voted to not certify the election of Trump for no real reason?
Did you feel that way about the attempts of Dems to overturn the 2016 election via the made up Russian collusion hoax and Steele dossier? The dems literally impeded the Trump administration for years over that BS, which was far more impactful than anything Trump did after the 2020 election.
Just to be clear, Trump's election denial after Nov 2020 was awful. His rhetoric was incendiary. He should have attended the inauguration. But, ultimately, he left. Fascists/authoritarians don't do that.
The only thing even close to this is 2000 (not 2004), and that was a legitimately uncertain outcome so legal challenges were inevitable. Mueller was investigating criminality, not the actual election results. 2024 primaries don't even warrant a mention; there are not and never have been any official rules about how parties pick their nominees.BearGoggles said:sycasey said:No, I think trying to overturn the results of an election you lost is more authoritarian.BearGoggles said:
There is nothing more "fascist"/authoritarian then the president ignoring the first amendment seeking to control media. That is in addition to the unprecedented lawfare and wanton derogation of the law when it comes to the border and/or student loan forgiveness.
You mean like the dems just did with the 2024 primaries?
Did you feel that way in 2004 when Gore sought to change the rules post-election and litigated to the end of the earth? Or in 2016 when several Dems voted to not certify the election of Trump for no real reason?
Did you feel that way about the attempts of Dems to overturn the 2016 election via the made up Russian collusion hoax and Steele dossier? The dems literally impeded the Trump administration for years over that BS, which was far more impactful than anything Trump did after the 2020 election.
Just to be clear, Trump's election denial after Nov 2020 was awful. His rhetoric was incendiary. He should have attended the inauguration. But, ultimately, he left. Fascists/authoritarians don't do that.
Trump sued, tried to pressure officials into giving him the results he wanted, and still has not admitted he lost. Also kind of incited a riot.
I agree with much. But what the Democrats have done is far worse.
Bush introduced the Patriot Act and Homeland Security. Then Obama and Holder turned the intell agencies on American citizens, and McConnell went after the Tea Party.
These Lawfare legal attacks are unprecedented, President Trump has been hounded for nine years with fabricated dossiers, illegal FISA warrants, underlings setup, spying, etc. There are those deep into this chicanery that believe the multiple lawsuits and investigations which followed are a way to shield the wrongdoers from their prior illegal acts. Once Trump declared for 2024, more dubious and unprecedented Lawfare lawsuits were filed, and his supporters were likewise legally hounded for events Democrats are given a pass. New York changed the SOL laws to specifically go after President Trump by a decades-old whacky individual, while Biden's White House met (directed?) these bloodthirsty legal pursuits. Banana Republic behavior.
Bush introduced the Patriot Act and Homeland Security. Then Obama and Holder turned the intell agencies on American citizens, and McConnell went after the Tea Party.
These Lawfare legal attacks are unprecedented, President Trump has been hounded for nine years with fabricated dossiers, illegal FISA warrants, underlings setup, spying, etc. There are those deep into this chicanery that believe the multiple lawsuits and investigations which followed are a way to shield the wrongdoers from their prior illegal acts. Once Trump declared for 2024, more dubious and unprecedented Lawfare lawsuits were filed, and his supporters were likewise legally hounded for events Democrats are given a pass. New York changed the SOL laws to specifically go after President Trump by a decades-old whacky individual, while Biden's White House met (directed?) these bloodthirsty legal pursuits. Banana Republic behavior.
Only you need to know who you vote for. Just ask Melania. pic.twitter.com/gdMyXZXYjj
— The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) October 28, 2024
* My guess is if it is a mail it ballot MAGA husband will lurk over his wife as she votes and if wife votes at a polling place husband's directive is to have wife snap an iPhone photo of the tRump vote after she fills in the circle.
Cancel my subscription to the Resurrection
Send my credentials to the House of Detention
I got some friends inside
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I got some friends inside
BREAKING: Tim Walz had secret fling with Chinese Communist Party official's daughterhttps://t.co/wryCxFYElG
— Jack Poso 🇺🇸 (@JackPosobiec) October 28, 2024
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