I do think Cal has reached out to the B1G. If the B1G is trying to find enough money or another partner to possibly add UW and UO it may be difficult to find enough to add 2 more. Is Carol Christ the voice you want to be reaching out to the B1G? I think that would not be her strength. UW and UO do have smoke coming about the B1G but not from them. It is coming from others. But I have been told by a UW donor (friend) they are expecting an invite. For 2024. Is that accurate? No clue.Econ141 said:6956bear said:The B1G may ultimately not have an interest in Cal. But if the ACC breaks apart what will be left to merge with will not be worth a lot. The big programs like Clemson, FSU, UNC will all land closer to home either in the B1G or SEC or possibly even the Big 12.. A merging with Syracuse, BC, Wake Forest that do not interest the major conferences is not something TV will likely have a great deal of interest in.southseasbear said:I have been in favor of a Pac-#/ACC merger ever since USC and Southern Branch announced their defection. the B1G is not interested in us. They may take UO and UW and possibly Stanford but we are likely to be left out. And dreams of a Pac-B1G merger are just dreams.calumnus said:Strykur said:The ACC is arguably in a worst spot than the PAC-12 because while for the latter things are pretty fluid and open the ACC is handcuffed by their grant of rights through 2036 and now that Clemson makes less money than Purdue there could be an ugly divorce up next because of the money involved.BearSD said:Looks like all of the bitter ghouls hoping for conference destruction have turned their attention to the east coast this week.philbert said:ACC officials discussed releasing a statement in response to the situation with the 7. But...
— Ross Dellenger (@RossDellenger) May 17, 2023
“We’re not unified,” ACC source says. “We’re unified until someone offers a school more to go somewhere else. Everyone is going to grab it.”
From @ByPatForde - https://t.co/GM1OqeSBL4
It is why a PAC-12 and ACC quasi merger makes so much sense. The value created by having East Coast teams play on the West Coast in games the East Coast cares about in the East Coast evening time slots on ESPN is huge. It counters Fox and the B1G getting the LA schools. The increased TV contract keeps the ACC teams in and keeps the PAC -10 together. It is a compelling basketball league too. It creates a clear #3 conference, eclipsing the B-12 which would now be the SEC's focus for expansion. Eventually the LA schools might even want to come back. The coasts are where the population, money, media and best schools are.
I think the ACC is a better cultural fit and a coast-to-coast conference will work, but the Pac division of the new expanded/merged conference would have to add a few teams to balance the two divisions, maybe UNLV, Colorado State, SMU, New Mexico.
I think for Cal the best bet is to hope the B1G is not expanding til 2030 and use these next several seasons to become a decent program and make bowls. Hoops needs to be good as well. Fans will need to watch the games. The University resides in a great market that at present does not watch or attend the games at strong levels. That will need to change. Winning is what will drive that change.
The B1G presidents like Cal. But TV is paying. They have to show the TV folks that there is an interest in the programs. Merging with the ACC now given their GOR makes little sense to the P12 members. They do not want to be tied into a GOR of that length. It would require a breaking of the GOR and if that happens several current members that have options will not want to be in a west coast conference. Particularly one that has duds like UNLV, New Mexico or Colorado St.
Cal IMO needs to do whatever it takes to get to the B1G. If that does not happen they better find a way to keep the current membership intact. If UW and UO leave and the B1G does not want Cal now or in 2030 the program is in deep peril.
We are in deep peril for sure. There is smoke coming out from UW and Oregon but crickets from Cal. I get that things would be kept close to the chest but I highly doubt Christ and Knowlton are working around the clock to get Cal to land safely here. They have their own scandals they need to cover up.
I think we are left to just crossing our fingers and see how things shake out. Yes Larry Scott played a huge in this but our decades long administration failures also did...so we can't be totally pissed when we no longer get to enjoy cal football.
Cal's athletic performance which has been poor in the revenue sports far precedes both her and Knowltons time here. TV is looking for ratings (eyeballs) and Cal has not shown that in recent seasons. It may not matter how hard Christ promotes Cal to the B1G. The performances and the ratings tell a big story. College athletics is a big business. Cal if they want to stay in a P5 conference will need to improve their performances on the field, in attendance and TV ratings. And quickly. If UW and UO are extended an invite for 2024 and Cal does not it may be too late.
There is talk that the B1G does not want to break up the P12. But in reality Cal may need to hope the P12 does not want to break up the P12. At least not this media deal cycle. If UW and UO get actionable offers I think they would find it hard to say no to the B1G. Unless the dollars are similar to the P12.
But I do think there is more realignment coming. When is the question.