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The Official Nov 2026 Elections thread

26,452 Views | 502 Replies | Last: 2 hrs ago by sycasey
dajo9
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bearister said:

"….. in my 45 years on God's Earth"

I've got socks older than that.


For clarity, that whole blurb is a quote from blueesky - not me
sycasey
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DiabloWags said:

dajo9 said:

It's looking like the North Carolina Dems will have a *supermajority* in the State House

It currently has an R supermajority

I have never seen political whiplash like this at any time, ever, in my 45 years on God's Earth

https://bsky.app/profile/gregdoucette.bsky.social/post/3mziqm3vvec2d


From what I've read, a top Republican super PAC pulled their funds from North Carolina back in October after months of poor polling and outraising from Cooper's campaign.

Never mind that the Republican Party picked a candidate that no one knew and who had never held public office. His opponent, Michael Whatley did nothing but push "attack" ads on tv.

Cooper on the other hand had been Governor and held statewide positions with an approval rating over 50% in the months after he had left the governor's mansion and had NEVER LOST A STATEWIDE RACE.

Cooper's campaign slogan was literally "Make Stuff Cost Less"

Didn't Tequila just move to North Carolina?
Maybe he can add some insight.


Roy Cooper, Democrat

Roy Cooper flipped North Carolina. Republicans let him do it | Opinion

Maybe Cooper would have won no matter what (he was a popular governor), but you can also thank Trump for pushing Thom Tillis out for being disloyal.
sycasey
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cal83dls79 said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

Interesting data




Happy Roevember

not only did women sour but pretty much every race and age group

https://www.npr.org/2026/11/04/nx-s1-6028080/voter-polls-midterms-demographics









In 2024 Republicans made some of their biggest gains with Hispanic and Asian voters who were sick of the excesses of the Woke Era . . . and in two years managed to piss them all away.

Can't believe these voters didn't like seeing immigrants snatched off the street and disappeared to a Salvadorian gulag or seeing conservatives complaining about having too many Indians at American universities (including one GOP politician in Texas who called them "the problem"). Can't imagine why they would have swung back so hard.
smh
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dajo9 said:

bearister said:

"….. in my 45 years on God's Earth"

I've got socks older than that.


For clarity, that whole blurb is a quote from blueesky - not me

blue sky rocks, big time. never going back to the other place.
# bsky.app

> Bluesky is an open social network that gives creators independence from platforms, developers the freedom to build, and users a choice in their experience.
Anarchistbear
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DiabloWags said:

With 96% of the vote now in, Scott Colom has increased his lead to 425 votes from just 65 over Cindy Hyde-Smith.



Spent some time here. Ran a great campaign with a really viral ad that caught on; also attended a Trump rally where he walked the line and picked up votes.
chazzed
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Why is Elon deleting such tweets? He's a far-right MAGA through and through. He should own it until the day he dies.

sycasey
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Anarchistbear said:

DiabloWags said:

With 96% of the vote now in, Scott Colom has increased his lead to 425 votes from just 65 over Cindy Hyde-Smith.



Spend some time here. Ran a great campaign with a really viral ad that caught on; also attended a Trump rally where he walked the line and picked up votes.

His lead is up to 1800 now. He's going to win.



And yeah, in retrospect his campaign was brilliant and people should have been paying more attention here. People just didn't believe the Democratic wave could get as big as it was and sweep this one in.



DiabloWags
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Pick another PROTEIN!

Shhhhhi*, I'd rather pick another Senator instead.







Cults don't end well. Think Jonestown.


DiabloWags
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It's a Cult.

Lmfao.





Arizona Election Officials Field Calls From Voters Asking Why Trump Is Missing From the 2026 Midterm Ballot | IBTimes UK
Cults don't end well. Think Jonestown.


smh
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DiabloWags said:

Arizona Election Officials Field Calls From Voters Asking Why Trump Is Missing From the 2026 Midterm Ballot | IBTimes UK

aand the next election won't have b'tard T on the ballot neither.
# roll 'em up
bearister
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smh said:

dajo9 said:

bearister said:

"….. in my 45 years on God's Earth"

I've got socks older than that.


For clarity, that whole blurb is a quote from blueesky - not me

blue sky rocks, big time. never going back to the other place.
# bsky.app

> Bluesky is an open social network that gives creators independence from platforms, developers the freedom to build, and users a choice in their experience.


A theme song for your comment:

“Cancel my subscription to the Resurrection
Send my credentials to the House of Detention
I got some friends inside”
—Jim Morrison

“I love Cal deeply, by the way, what are the directions to The Portal from Sproul Plaza?”
BearlySane88
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Interesting breakdown

BearlySane88
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Funny how many right wing policies passed this midterm. Like I've been saying, the midterms isn't an endorsement of democrats and democrat policies. The middle will swing back to the right after seeing what democrats focus their energy on for the next two years.

BearlySane88
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lol nice

sycasey
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BearlySane88 said:

lol nice



I wonder what chances Polymarket bettors gave Republicans of winning the Texas Senate race two years ago? I would bet that the odds looked similar.
BearlySane88
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sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

lol nice



I wonder what chances Polymarket bettors gave Republicans of winning the Texas Senate race two years ago? I would bet that the odds looked similar.


I thought we were in the "believe all prediction markets" phase
sycasey
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BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

lol nice



I wonder what chances Polymarket bettors gave Republicans of winning the Texas Senate race two years ago? I would bet that the odds looked similar.


I thought we were in the "believe all prediction markets" phase

Not me, I look at the polling aggregator models and believe they get more accurate as the election approaches. Nate Silver and Lakshya Jain did not steer me wrong this year! Two years out, though, they can't tell me much of anything. Political coalitions can change.
BearlySane88
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sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

lol nice



I wonder what chances Polymarket bettors gave Republicans of winning the Texas Senate race two years ago? I would bet that the odds looked similar.


I thought we were in the "believe all prediction markets" phase
Political coalitions can change.


Looks like polymarket agrees
sycasey
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BearlySane88 said:

Funny how many right wing policies passed this midterm. Like I've been saying, the midterms isn't an endorsement of democrats and democrat policies. The middle will swing back to the right after seeing what democrats focus their energy on for the next two years.



Two kinds of issues definitely represent a Republican "win" on an issue, and you saw this in voter initiatives:

1. Voter ID (albeit a far less stringent version of it than what Trump was proposing)
2. Trans girls in sports

This is a very narrow victory in view of the rest of the results, though. (Trans women in sports is perhaps the narrowest, given how little this actually affects people. Other generally anti-trans bills tended to fail, so it was just specifically on sports where the right has won the argument.)
dajo9
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"Some more bonkers stats here: white voters in the South aged 18-29 are now essentially voting like northern Democrats.
('24-->'26 swing in parentheses):

Alabama: 45% (D+38)
West Virginia: 47% (D+41)
Kentucky: 47% (D+39)
Florida: 52% (D+28)
Georgia: 52% (D+32)
South Carolina: 52% (D+38)"

https://bsky.app/profile/alexip718.com/post/3mzmnmg5ax22s
cal83dls79
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sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

Funny how many right wing policies passed this midterm. Like I've been saying, the midterms isn't an endorsement of democrats and democrat policies. The middle will swing back to the right after seeing what democrats focus their energy on for the next two years.



Two kinds of issues definitely represent a Republican "win" on an issue, and you saw this in voter initiatives:

1. Voter ID (albeit a far less stringent version of it than what Trump was proposing)
2. Trans girls in sports

This is a very narrow victory in view of the rest of the results, though. (Trans women in sports is perhaps the narrowest, given how little this actually affects people. Other generally anti-trans bills tended to fail, so it was just specifically on sports where the right has won the argument.)
the voting initiatives mostly were measures reaffirming existing requirements specifically non-citizen voting which was a fear campaign Trump supported so really a nothing burger compared to the other ass kick. If passing laws to solve problems that don't exist or restate existing law was the goal then I guess that was achieved.


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cal83dls79
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This from a WSJ link spells out why AI is clearly in the political realm now. Great read.

Watch as the ai bros cuddle up to the new regimes. Musk already purging mean tweets.

https://stratechery.com/2026/ai-on-the-ballot/
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dajo9
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cal83dls79 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

Funny how many right wing policies passed this midterm. Like I've been saying, the midterms isn't an endorsement of democrats and democrat policies. The middle will swing back to the right after seeing what democrats focus their energy on for the next two years.



Two kinds of issues definitely represent a Republican "win" on an issue, and you saw this in voter initiatives:

1. Voter ID (albeit a far less stringent version of it than what Trump was proposing)
2. Trans girls in sports

This is a very narrow victory in view of the rest of the results, though. (Trans women in sports is perhaps the narrowest, given how little this actually affects people. Other generally anti-trans bills tended to fail, so it was just specifically on sports where the right has won the argument.)
the voting initiatives mostly were measures reaffirming existing requirements specifically non-citizen voting which was a fear campaign Trump supported so really a nothing burger compared to the other ass kick. If passing laws to solve problems that don't exist or restate existing law was the goal then I guess that was achieved.





They are dealing with copium right now
BearlySane88
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Wrong. So very wrong.
dajo9
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Trump built a wall on the border. A blue wall.

https://bsky.app/profile/kackbro.bsky.social/post/3mznazzuexs2g
cal83dls79
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Newsflash: Greenland, per exit polls, was not on the list of issues on voters minds. Corruption was number 2. That's astonishing, well no it's not come to think.
Priest of the Patty Hearst Shrine
Anarchistbear
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cal83dls79 said:

This from a WSJ link spells out why AI is clearly in the political realm now. Great read.

Watch as the ai bros cuddle up to the new regimes. Musk already purging mean tweets.

https://stratechery.com/2026/ai-on-the-ballot/


Both the new Governor and Senator of Texas have extended olive branches to Elon. They are practical




cal83dls79
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Thanks antichrist! Tell me you know something about this without really telling me. LMFAO.
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sycasey
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cal83dls79 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

Funny how many right wing policies passed this midterm. Like I've been saying, the midterms isn't an endorsement of democrats and democrat policies. The middle will swing back to the right after seeing what democrats focus their energy on for the next two years.



Two kinds of issues definitely represent a Republican "win" on an issue, and you saw this in voter initiatives:

1. Voter ID (albeit a far less stringent version of it than what Trump was proposing)
2. Trans girls in sports

This is a very narrow victory in view of the rest of the results, though. (Trans women in sports is perhaps the narrowest, given how little this actually affects people. Other generally anti-trans bills tended to fail, so it was just specifically on sports where the right has won the argument.)

the voting initiatives mostly were measures reaffirming existing requirements specifically non-citizen voting which was a fear campaign Trump supported so really a nothing burger compared to the other ass kick. If passing laws to solve problems that don't exist or restate existing law was the goal then I guess that was achieved.

Yes, it's small-potatoes stuff for the most part. And also, honestly, giving ground in this small ways takes away a lot from the Republicans' stronger issues going forward. They're going to have to actually be good on the economy or immigration or foreign policy now, and well . . . not holding my breath while this crew is in charge.
B.D.Bear
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sycasey said:

cal83dls79 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

Funny how many right wing policies passed this midterm. Like I've been saying, the midterms isn't an endorsement of democrats and democrat policies. The middle will swing back to the right after seeing what democrats focus their energy on for the next two years.



Two kinds of issues definitely represent a Republican "win" on an issue, and you saw this in voter initiatives:

1. Voter ID (albeit a far less stringent version of it than what Trump was proposing)
2. Trans girls in sports

This is a very narrow victory in view of the rest of the results, though. (Trans women in sports is perhaps the narrowest, given how little this actually affects people. Other generally anti-trans bills tended to fail, so it was just specifically on sports where the right has won the argument.)

the voting initiatives mostly were measures reaffirming existing requirements specifically non-citizen voting which was a fear campaign Trump supported so really a nothing burger compared to the other ass kick. If passing laws to solve problems that don't exist or restate existing law was the goal then I guess that was achieved.

Yes, it's small-potatoes stuff for the most part. And also, honestly, giving ground in this small ways takes away a lot from the Republicans' stronger issues going forward. They're going to have to actually be good on the economy or immigration or foreign policy now, and well . . . not holding my breath while this crew is in charge.

It's not small potatoes. These are some of the most important issues to the right that are largely popular across the country.
sycasey
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B.D.Bear said:

sycasey said:

cal83dls79 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

Funny how many right wing policies passed this midterm. Like I've been saying, the midterms isn't an endorsement of democrats and democrat policies. The middle will swing back to the right after seeing what democrats focus their energy on for the next two years.



Two kinds of issues definitely represent a Republican "win" on an issue, and you saw this in voter initiatives:

1. Voter ID (albeit a far less stringent version of it than what Trump was proposing)
2. Trans girls in sports

This is a very narrow victory in view of the rest of the results, though. (Trans women in sports is perhaps the narrowest, given how little this actually affects people. Other generally anti-trans bills tended to fail, so it was just specifically on sports where the right has won the argument.)

the voting initiatives mostly were measures reaffirming existing requirements specifically non-citizen voting which was a fear campaign Trump supported so really a nothing burger compared to the other ass kick. If passing laws to solve problems that don't exist or restate existing law was the goal then I guess that was achieved.

Yes, it's small-potatoes stuff for the most part. And also, honestly, giving ground in this small ways takes away a lot from the Republicans' stronger issues going forward. They're going to have to actually be good on the economy or immigration or foreign policy now, and well . . . not holding my breath while this crew is in charge.

It's not small potatoes. These are some of the most important issues to the right that are largely popular across the country.

You guys keep telling yourselves that.
B.D.Bear
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sycasey said:

B.D.Bear said:

sycasey said:

cal83dls79 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

Funny how many right wing policies passed this midterm. Like I've been saying, the midterms isn't an endorsement of democrats and democrat policies. The middle will swing back to the right after seeing what democrats focus their energy on for the next two years.



Two kinds of issues definitely represent a Republican "win" on an issue, and you saw this in voter initiatives:

1. Voter ID (albeit a far less stringent version of it than what Trump was proposing)
2. Trans girls in sports

This is a very narrow victory in view of the rest of the results, though. (Trans women in sports is perhaps the narrowest, given how little this actually affects people. Other generally anti-trans bills tended to fail, so it was just specifically on sports where the right has won the argument.)

the voting initiatives mostly were measures reaffirming existing requirements specifically non-citizen voting which was a fear campaign Trump supported so really a nothing burger compared to the other ass kick. If passing laws to solve problems that don't exist or restate existing law was the goal then I guess that was achieved.

Yes, it's small-potatoes stuff for the most part. And also, honestly, giving ground in this small ways takes away a lot from the Republicans' stronger issues going forward. They're going to have to actually be good on the economy or immigration or foreign policy now, and well . . . not holding my breath while this crew is in charge.

It's not small potatoes. These are some of the most important issues to the right that are largely popular across the country.

You guys keep telling yourselves that.

The voters just proved it.
cal83dls79
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B.D.Bear said:

sycasey said:

B.D.Bear said:

sycasey said:

cal83dls79 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

Funny how many right wing policies passed this midterm. Like I've been saying, the midterms isn't an endorsement of democrats and democrat policies. The middle will swing back to the right after seeing what democrats focus their energy on for the next two years.



Two kinds of issues definitely represent a Republican "win" on an issue, and you saw this in voter initiatives:

1. Voter ID (albeit a far less stringent version of it than what Trump was proposing)
2. Trans girls in sports

This is a very narrow victory in view of the rest of the results, though. (Trans women in sports is perhaps the narrowest, given how little this actually affects people. Other generally anti-trans bills tended to fail, so it was just specifically on sports where the right has won the argument.)

the voting initiatives mostly were measures reaffirming existing requirements specifically non-citizen voting which was a fear campaign Trump supported so really a nothing burger compared to the other ass kick. If passing laws to solve problems that don't exist or restate existing law was the goal then I guess that was achieved.

Yes, it's small-potatoes stuff for the most part. And also, honestly, giving ground in this small ways takes away a lot from the Republicans' stronger issues going forward. They're going to have to actually be good on the economy or immigration or foreign policy now, and well . . . not holding my breath while this crew is in charge.

It's not small potatoes. These are some of the most important issues to the right that are largely popular across the country.

You guys keep telling yourselves that.

The voters just proved it.
100% good point!
Priest of the Patty Hearst Shrine
sycasey
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Peopl
B.D.Bear said:

sycasey said:

B.D.Bear said:

sycasey said:

cal83dls79 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

Funny how many right wing policies passed this midterm. Like I've been saying, the midterms isn't an endorsement of democrats and democrat policies. The middle will swing back to the right after seeing what democrats focus their energy on for the next two years.



Two kinds of issues definitely represent a Republican "win" on an issue, and you saw this in voter initiatives:

1. Voter ID (albeit a far less stringent version of it than what Trump was proposing)
2. Trans girls in sports

This is a very narrow victory in view of the rest of the results, though. (Trans women in sports is perhaps the narrowest, given how little this actually affects people. Other generally anti-trans bills tended to fail, so it was just specifically on sports where the right has won the argument.)

the voting initiatives mostly were measures reaffirming existing requirements specifically non-citizen voting which was a fear campaign Trump supported so really a nothing burger compared to the other ass kick. If passing laws to solve problems that don't exist or restate existing law was the goal then I guess that was achieved.

Yes, it's small-potatoes stuff for the most part. And also, honestly, giving ground in this small ways takes away a lot from the Republicans' stronger issues going forward. They're going to have to actually be good on the economy or immigration or foreign policy now, and well . . . not holding my breath while this crew is in charge.

It's not small potatoes. These are some of the most important issues to the right that are largely popular across the country.

You guys keep telling yourselves that.

The voters just proved it.

People supported some of these bills but they have little impact. Voter fraud is extremely rare and adding (or reinforcing) voter ID won't change much. Trans athletes are also extremely rare. You want to tell yourselves it's worth it anyway? Be my guest. But it doesn't affect people's lives a whole lot.
B.D.Bear
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sycasey said:

Peopl
B.D.Bear said:

sycasey said:

B.D.Bear said:

sycasey said:

cal83dls79 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

Funny how many right wing policies passed this midterm. Like I've been saying, the midterms isn't an endorsement of democrats and democrat policies. The middle will swing back to the right after seeing what democrats focus their energy on for the next two years.



Two kinds of issues definitely represent a Republican "win" on an issue, and you saw this in voter initiatives:

1. Voter ID (albeit a far less stringent version of it than what Trump was proposing)
2. Trans girls in sports

This is a very narrow victory in view of the rest of the results, though. (Trans women in sports is perhaps the narrowest, given how little this actually affects people. Other generally anti-trans bills tended to fail, so it was just specifically on sports where the right has won the argument.)

the voting initiatives mostly were measures reaffirming existing requirements specifically non-citizen voting which was a fear campaign Trump supported so really a nothing burger compared to the other ass kick. If passing laws to solve problems that don't exist or restate existing law was the goal then I guess that was achieved.

Yes, it's small-potatoes stuff for the most part. And also, honestly, giving ground in this small ways takes away a lot from the Republicans' stronger issues going forward. They're going to have to actually be good on the economy or immigration or foreign policy now, and well . . . not holding my breath while this crew is in charge.

It's not small potatoes. These are some of the most important issues to the right that are largely popular across the country.

You guys keep telling yourselves that.

The voters just proved it.

People supported some of these bills but they have little impact. Voter fraud is extremely rare and adding (or reinforcing) voter ID won't change much. Trans athletes are also extremely rare. You want to tell yourselves it's worth it anyway? Be my guest. But it doesn't affect people's lives a whole lot.

If it didn't matter, they wouldn't have passed while also electing Democrats. These are 80-20 issues that Democrat politicians continue to preach and vote for the 20.
 
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